Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-6 $14.22 $11.22 374%
CD-5   WIN (8/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $14.86 $6.86 86%
    EXA (8/6/2/10)-(8/6/2/1/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  10-1 $177.40 $145.40 454%
CD-6   DD (8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-8 $23.97 $11.97 100%
CD-7   PK3 (8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  10-8-4 $49.90 $31.90 177%
CD-8   WIN (11/7/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $11.42 $1.42 14%
    DD (4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-7 $30.47 $15.47 103%
    PK3 (5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50  8-4-7 $37.84 $15.34 68%
CD-9   WIN (7/4/11/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $55.06 $45.06 451%
    EXA (7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-7 $147.06 $107.06 268%
    TRI (7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-7-1 $376.93 $346.93 1156%
    DD (11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-4 $190.74 $165.74 663%
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50  4-7-4 $372.12 $334.62 892%
    PK4 (5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1) 225 $0.50 $112  2/8/13/14/15/16-4-7-4 $1670 $1558 1385%
    PK5 (8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1) 900 $0.50 $450  10-2/8/13/14/15/16-4-7-4 $17776 $17326 3850%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :441 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PALMETTO FURY 4 4 11 12½   12½ 1¾ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 31% 2.30 1.76 W
1  LIL GIN N CLASS 1 3 31 22½   22½ 2¾ (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 1.60 33% 2.00 1.44 P
6  MILA JUNES 6 6 44½ 44½   45½ 34½ (van berg )BEALMEAR C 111 6.00 5% 19.00 5.66 S
2  LITTLE SISTER SUE 2 1 66 57   56½ 45 (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 4.00 3.17  
3  BRIGHT LADY DAY 3 2 21 32½   35½ 57 (jackson chri)MONCADA IRVING 111 8.00 27.26  
5  ITSABLINGTHING 5 5 55½ 68½   612½ 619¼ (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 15.00 61.87  
 
CD-2   09/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:142 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIZMALICE 1 3 11½ 11 11 14½ 19½ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 ★ 5.89  
5  CRUZ CHICA 5 1 21½ 31 21 24½ 29½ (cash l)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 28.23  
3  SPUNDERELLA 3 6 53 42 43 37½ 314¾ (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 3.23  
7  SIP'N' SPEED 7 4 63½ 63¾ 54½ 59½ 416¼ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 13% 6.70 6.67  
4  KIM POSSIBLE 4 5 31½ 21 32½ 47½ 517¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 13% 6.60 29.52  
6  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE 6 2 42½ 52¼ 75½ 612½ 620½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 41% 1.40 0.71  
2  COMBATTANTE 2 7 75 74¼ 65 713½ 722½ (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 19.32  
 
CD-3   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:213 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 1 4 31½ 2½   1½ 1¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.50 34% 1.90 1.71 W
2  SHERBET FOUNTAIN 2 5 41½ 32   32 2¼ (pino michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 3.58  
4  BOBBIE SOX 3 2 11 1½   2½ 33¼ (gonzalez )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 4.16 S
6  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 5 7 75½ 76   56 47½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 34% 1.90 2.86  
5  KACHOW 4 1 21 42½   45½ 511 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 30.00 47.59  
7  WEATHER MAP 6 6 63 55   68 614½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 7.79  
10  HURRICANE LASSIE 7 3 52 66   79½ 715½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 10.00 5% 18.80 24.88  
SCR  ALAMO               (lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  LATE NITE LIZZIE               (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 8.00    
SCR  MISS TAPPY TONE               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:103 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THUNDERIAN 2 1 1½ 11 2nk 2nk 1¼ (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 3.40  
4  PIKE PLACE 3 5 52½ 53 53¼ 32 2¼ (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.02 P
6  SOARING BIRD 5 2 2½ 21 1nk 1nk 31 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 31% 2.20 7.34 S
8  HUGE BIGLY 7 3 41½ 42 32 42½ 44¼ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 ★ 5.22  
7  FOWLER BLUE 6 6 63 74½ 77¾ 79 59¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.67  
2  BREADMAN 1 4 31½ 31½ 43 56 611¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 13.43  
5  MY NOBLE KNIGHT 4 7 73½ 63½ 64¼ 67½ 711¼ (rivera xa)TORRES A 120 12.00 36.80  
SCR  CASEYS MEMORY               (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COUNTTHEBRAVE 9 1 1nk 11   11 1hd (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.43 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SHE'S MY FIRST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
1  MORAL 1 7 75¼ 53   32½ 2hd (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 ★ 13.44 P
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CROSS by MIGHTY)
3  BERMUDA BLITZ 3 5 52¼ 41½   21 31¼ (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 4.56  
  (by VEKOMA out of BAGH OF JEWELZ by A.P. INDY)
9  BROTHA KENY 8 9 118¾ 89   77½ 43¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 7.66  
  (by MO TOWN out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  ENDRICK 2 4 2nk 21   43 55¼ (camejo m)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.14  
  (by VOLATILE out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  LANDING CRAFT 5 10 96¾ 76½   67 66¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 25% 3.00 2.99  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BRIDGETTE BORDEAUX by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  MARKET WATCH 6 11 107¼ 109¾   89½ 79¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 29.67  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TOMATO BISQUE by MACHO UNO)
8  HOFF 7 2 3½ 31   55½ 810 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 50% 1.00 3.11  
  (by UNCLE MO out of VIGOR by WAR FRONT)
12  FROSTY BLUE 11 8 85¾ 99¼   1012½ 917 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 31.37  
  (by FROSTED out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
5  TAP EM' OUT 4 3 42 63½   912 1023 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 10.00 21.41  
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
11  SUPER SMOOTH 10 6 64¾ 1114¼   1122½ 1147¾ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 71.82  
  (by GET STORMY out of SUPER PHILLY by SMOOTH JAZZ)
SCR  COMING IN HOT               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
SCR  D BIGALOW               (richard tobio)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR  GOLDEN GOAL               (demeritte)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of KAT ZIPPITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  INVISIBLE               (orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  LURED AWAY               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SKINDY by SKIP AWAY)
 
CD-6   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DESPO'S DREAM 7 8 62¾ 52¾   22 12 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 16% 5.20 1.62 W
9  ROMANTIC DANCER 8 2 21 2nk   12 22 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 16.61  
5  TEMPTING LADY 4 11 105½ 75¼   34½ 34¼ (tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 56% 0.80 3.18 S
1  STAGFLATION 1 6 84¾ 85¾   47 48¼ (baker james)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 25.06  
7  STREETS OF PARIS 6 7 31 32   57 513¾ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00 8.60  
12  SAKURA SKY 11 1 74¾ 97¼   79½ 614½ (walden wi)TORRES A 121 5.00 ★ 5.90  
6  DREAMSCAPE 5 3 41½ 63¾   68½ 715½ (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 27.61  
11  CHARLINA 10 10 119½ 108¾   1011½ 819 (shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 20.00 ######  
10  THUNDERSTRIKE 9 4 51¾ 42¼   910½ 922¼ (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 121 15.00 19.59  
4  MISS ESCAPADE 3 5 11 1nk   810 1026 (santamaria car)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 ★ 5.93  
3  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 2 9 95¼ 1110¾   1117½ 1132 (vasque)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121 30.00 97.23  
SCR  HAND IT OVER               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 8.00    
SCR  HERE'S GRACIE               (sims p)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
SCR  INVENTING ANNA               (medina ro)BEALMEAR C 117 6.00    
SCR  STARCOURT               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
SCR  VIBE CHECK               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00    
 
CD-7   09/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104 1:361   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MR. WIRELESS 4 3 31½ 31½ 2nk 12½ 11 (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.08 W
2  WAR CAMPAIGN 2 4 53 42 41½ 22½ 21 (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.50 3.17  
3  HOWLING TIME 3 6 66 66 63½ 33 32¼ (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.06 S
5  TRADEMARK 5 5 43 53½ 52½ 56 48 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 126 5.00 4.37  
6  FROSTED DEPARTURE 6 1 2½ 2nk 1nk 43½ 58½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 126 1.80 2.98  
1  FAIR AND SQUARE 1 2 1½ 1nk 31 69 629½ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 126 10.00 14% 6.10 7.88  
 
CD-8   09/25/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :444       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BLUE SQUALL 7 6 53 42   11 1¾ (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 31% 2.20 4.71 W
4  BRUNCH PUNCH 4 3 42 53   52½ 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 10.22  
3  GIRLS WEEKEND 3 5 2nk 2½   21 3¾ (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 8% 11.40 1.61 S
11  WAILUA 11 11 119½ 98½   65½ 42 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 33% 2.00 2.97  
6  ZEN MOMENT 6 4 31½ 32   42½ 52½ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 12.06  
2  MT. MASADA 2 2 1nk 1½   31½ 64¼ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 18.84  
1  JE SUIS RAPIDE 1 1 75½ 75½   76 75 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00 36.40  
8  LA LA ROSE 8 9 86½ 87   96¾ 85½ (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.75  
10  PATE 10 7 65 64½   86½ 96 (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 49.64  
9  DOT 9 10 97 109½   109¼ 1010¼ (blair jor)TORRES A 118 5.00 12.94  
5  ALTER THE STARS 5 8 109 1113   1111¼ 1111¾ (suarez ja)BEALMEAR C 116 30.00 79.04  
 
CD-9   09/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:371   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PANCAKE HOUSE 3 2 32 42 32 1½ 1¼ (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 16% 5.40 26.53 W
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE 5 5 54 53 53 42 2¼ (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.74 P
1  ATLANTIC DANCER 1 6 64¼ 64 64½ 52½ 3¼ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 11.27 S
10  FLAT ON 8 3 11½ 11 2½ 3½ 41¾ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.49  
8  COPPER ECHO 6 4 42 31 1½ 2½ 52¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5.16  
9  PARKWAY 7 8 75¼ 75½ 76½ 75 64½ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.45  
11  PURSUIT OF POWER 9 1 21½ 21 42 64 75¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 11% 8.00 7.31  
2  CURLIN GUNNER 2 9 95¾ 85¾ 88½ 87½ 86¼ (medina ro)TORRES A 118 15.00 34.21  
5  ROCKSTAR RED 4 7 85¼ 96¾ 911½ 914 921 (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 68.42  
SCR  MO WINNING               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  THE THUNDERER               (morse rand)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.