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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			TRI	(1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6)						6	$0.50	$3.00	4-1-6		$14.22			$11.22				374%
CD-5			WIN	(8/6/2/10)						4	$2.00	$8.00	10		$14.86			$6.86				86%
			EXA	(8/6/2/10)-(8/6/2/1/10)						16	$2.00	$32.00	10-1		$177.40			$145.40				454%
CD-6			DD	(8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	10-8		$23.97			$11.97				100%
CD-7			PK3	(8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1)-(4/1/3)						36	$0.50	$18.00	10-8-4		$49.90			$31.90				177%
CD-8			WIN	(11/7/3/10/8)						5	$2.00	$10.00	7		$11.42			$1.42				14%
			DD	(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-7		$30.47			$15.47				103%
			PK3	(5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)						45	$0.50	$22.50	8-4-7		$37.84			$15.34				68%
CD-9			WIN	(7/4/11/9/1)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$55.06			$45.06				451%
			EXA	(7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-7		$147.06			$107.06				268%
			TRI	(7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1)-(7/4/11/9/1)						60	$0.50	$30.00	4-7-1		$376.93			$346.93				1156%
			DD	(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1)						25	$1.00	$25.00	7-4		$190.74			$165.74				663%
			PK3	(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1)						75	$0.50	$37.50	4-7-4		$372.12			$334.62				892%
			PK4	(5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1)						225	$0.50	$112	2/8/13/14/15/16-4-7-4		$1670			$1558				1385%
			PK5	(8/6/2/10)-(5/8/1)-(4/1/3)-(11/7/3/10/8)-(7/4/11/9/1)						900	$0.50	$450	10-2/8/13/14/15/16-4-7-4		$17776			$17326				3850%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/25/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PALMETTO FURY									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						1.80		31%		2.30		1.76	W
1	LIL GIN N CLASS									(eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 118						1.60		33%		2.00		1.44	P
6	MILA JUNES									(van berg )BEALMEAR C 111						6.00		5%		19.00		5.66	S
2	LITTLE SISTER SUE									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 121						4.00						3.17
3	BRIGHT LADY DAY									(jackson chri)MONCADA IRVING 111						8.00						27.26
5	ITSABLINGTHING									(barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121						15.00						61.87

CD-2			09/25/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	MIZMALICE									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119						4.00		★				5.89
5	CRUZ CHICA									(cash l)CANNON DECLAN 119						6.00						28.23
3	SPUNDERELLA									(puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119						3.50						3.23
7	SIP'N' SPEED									(hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 119						5.00		13%		6.70		6.67
4	KIM POSSIBLE									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00		13%		6.60		29.52
6	JOYFUL JOSEPHINE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		41%		1.40		0.71
2	COMBATTANTE									(desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						6.00						19.32

CD-3			09/25/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	PRINCESS IS OLIVIA									(jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118						3.50		34%		1.90		1.71	W
2	SHERBET FOUNTAIN									(pino michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121						4.50						3.58
4	BOBBIE SOX									(gonzalez )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						10.00		5%		19.00		4.16	S
6	SHE'S JERSEY TUFF									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121						5.00		34%		1.90		2.86
5	KACHOW									(curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120						30.00						47.59
7	WEATHER MAP									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						6.00						7.79
10	HURRICANE LASSIE									(heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121						10.00		5%		18.80		24.88
SCR	ALAMO									(lukas wayne)CHUAN MARTIN 118						15.00
SCR	LATE NITE LIZZIE									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 118						8.00
SCR	MISS TAPPY TONE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						4.00

CD-4			09/25/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	THUNDERIAN									(danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50						3.40
4	PIKE PLACE									(mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 122						2.50		37%		1.70		1.02	P
6	SOARING BIRD									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						8.00		31%		2.20		7.34	S
8	HUGE BIGLY									(shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122						3.00		★				5.22
7	FOWLER BLUE									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122						10.00		5%		19.00		7.67
2	BREADMAN									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						6.00						13.43
5	MY NOBLE KNIGHT									(rivera xa)TORRES A 120						12.00						36.80
SCR	CASEYS MEMORY									(johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						15.00

CD-5			09/25/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	COUNTTHEBRAVE									(correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 119						12.00		5%		19.00		6.43	W
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of SHE'S MY FIRST by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
1	MORAL									(drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119						8.00		★				13.44	P
		(by CATHOLIC BOY out of CROSS by MIGHTY)
3	BERMUDA BLITZ									(casse ma)SANTANA JR 119						8.00						4.56
		(by VEKOMA out of BAGH OF JEWELZ by A.P. INDY)
9	BROTHA KENY									(morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00						7.66
		(by MO TOWN out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2	ENDRICK									(camejo m)VAZQUEZ A 119						6.00		5%		19.00		9.14
		(by VOLATILE out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6	LANDING CRAFT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.00		25%		3.00		2.99
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of BRIDGETTE BORDEAUX by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7	MARKET WATCH									(maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						10.00						29.67
		(by INSTAGRAND out of TOMATO BISQUE by MACHO UNO)
8	HOFF									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						3.00		50%		1.00		3.11
		(by UNCLE MO out of VIGOR by WAR FRONT)
12	FROSTY BLUE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						31.37
		(by FROSTED out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
5	TAP EM' OUT									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 119						10.00						21.41
		(by TAPIT out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
11	SUPER SMOOTH									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						30.00						71.82
		(by GET STORMY out of SUPER PHILLY by SMOOTH JAZZ)
SCR	COMING IN HOT									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
SCR	D BIGALOW									(richard tobio)GARCIA MARTIN 119						15.00
		(by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
SCR	GOLDEN GOAL									(demeritte)BEALMEAR C 112						15.00
		(by GAME WINNER out of KAT ZIPPITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR	INVISIBLE									(orseno f)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00
		(by UNKNOWN out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR	LURED AWAY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						20.00
		(by ENTICED out of SKINDY by SKIP AWAY)

CD-6			09/25/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	DESPO'S DREAM									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50		16%		5.20		1.62	W
9	ROMANTIC DANCER									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121						8.00						16.61
5	TEMPTING LADY									(tomlinson mi)GEROUX FLORENT 121						4.00		56%		0.80		3.18	S
1	STAGFLATION									(baker james)GRAHAM J 124						10.00		5%		19.00		25.06
7	STREETS OF PARIS									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						10.00						8.60
12	SAKURA SKY									(walden wi)TORRES A 121						5.00		★				5.90
6	DREAMSCAPE									(moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 121						15.00						27.61
11	CHARLINA									(shorte)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114						20.00						######
10	THUNDERSTRIKE									(puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 121						15.00						19.59
4	MISS ESCAPADE									(santamaria car)ORTIZ L 121						8.00		★				5.93
3	TAPWRIT WARRIOR									(vasque)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 121						30.00						97.23
SCR	HAND IT OVER									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121						8.00
SCR	HERE'S GRACIE									(sims p)BEJARANO R 121						15.00
SCR	INVENTING ANNA									(medina ro)BEALMEAR C 117						6.00
SCR	STARCOURT									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121						4.00
SCR	VIBE CHECK									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121						6.00

CD-7			09/25/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($175K)					Purse ($148K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MR. WIRELESS									(calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 122						2.00		50%		1.00		2.08	W
2	WAR CAMPAIGN									(sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126						2.50						3.17
3	HOWLING TIME									(troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						15.00		5%		19.00		9.06	S
5	TRADEMARK									(oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 126						5.00						4.37
6	FROSTED DEPARTURE									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 126						1.80						2.98
1	FAIR AND SQUARE									(hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 126						10.00		14%		6.10		7.88

CD-8			09/25/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BLUE SQUALL									(morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50		31%		2.20		4.71	W
4	BRUNCH PUNCH									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						6.00						10.22
3	GIRLS WEEKEND									(beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00		8%		11.40		1.61	S
11	WAILUA									(joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		33%		2.00		2.97
6	ZEN MOMENT									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						5.00						12.06
2	MT. MASADA									(amoss m)ORTIZ L 118						12.00						18.84
1	JE SUIS RAPIDE									(king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						30.00						36.40
8	LA LA ROSE									(foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 118						20.00		5%		19.00		16.75
10	PATE									(lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						15.00		5%		19.00		49.64
9	DOT									(blair jor)TORRES A 118						5.00						12.94
5	ALTER THE STARS									(suarez ja)BEALMEAR C 116						30.00						79.04

CD-9			09/25/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PANCAKE HOUSE									(blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 122						15.00		16%		5.40		26.53	W
7	CURLIN'S GESTURE									(scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 122						3.00		47%		1.10		1.74	P
1	ATLANTIC DANCER									(cook b)BEJARANO R 122						20.00		5%		19.00		11.27	S
10	FLAT ON									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50						2.49
8	COPPER ECHO									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00						5.16
9	PARKWAY									(jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122						10.00		5%		19.00		7.45
11	PURSUIT OF POWER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						10.00		11%		8.00		7.31
2	CURLIN GUNNER									(medina ro)TORRES A 118						15.00						34.21
5	ROCKSTAR RED									(johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						20.00						68.42
SCR	MO WINNING									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120						8.00
SCR	THE THUNDERER									(morse rand)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						4.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.