Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   TRI (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-7-1 $25.03 $1.03 4%
    SFT (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  4-7-1-8 $18.60 $9.00 94%
    SHF (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1)-(8/7/4/2/1) 96 $1.00 $96.00  4-7-1-8-2 $296.64 $200.64 209%
ELP-7   SFT (4/7/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  7-4-6-1 $3.15 $1.35 75%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRIE'S IN TOWN   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 20% 3.90 1.50 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  SHOGUN (IRE)   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 2.65 P
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
1  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE)   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★ 10.56 S
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TAMAZUG by MACHIAVELLIAN)
8  ART FAIR   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 4.75  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  PERFECT MAGIC   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 9% 9.70 13.41  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of YOU ASKED by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  SAND CAST   (leonard i)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 38.04  
  (by THE FACTOR out of NECK OF THE MOON by MORE THAN READY)
9  LUMBER LEGACY   (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.09  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SING SOFTLY by LORD AVIE)
10  GARDINER   (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00 23.47 DH
  (by AUDIBLE out of RAMDHAA by MORE THAN READY)
5  RADARMAN   (divito jam)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 17.46 DH
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  SO GRAND   (vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 31.54  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATHER'S VISION by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  SPEECHLESS   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
ELP-2   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIAM IN THE DUST   (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 32% 2.20 1.04 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of WHISPER LOUISE by BERNARDINI)
8  IMPULSE BUY   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 6% 14.50 5.04 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of JOJO WARRIOR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  DAWN AFTER DAWN   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 6.74  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
1  CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS   (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 20.76  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CRIMSON AND GOLD by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  OUR SHENANIGAN   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 24% 3.10 4.78  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLAUDETTE NONSTOP by THE FACTOR)
2  UNCORK IT   (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 30.52  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOMEPLACE ELSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  BRAVE SAMANTHA   (medina ro)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 17.60 22.90  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LITTLE HIDDEN GEM by BODEMEISTER)
6  MOON LAW   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 6.38  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of NOON MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TICKIN TIME BLONDE   (oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
 
ELP-3   08/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUST THE SKY   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.54 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of FACT FILE by DIXIE UNION)
3  ENCHANT   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 9.27  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of COACHWHIP by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
10  RACONTEUSE   (wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5.36  
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
2  LUZ DIVINA   (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 25% 3.00 3.70  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
4  SCREAMING MIMI   (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 30.31  
  (by AUDIBLE out of GOODBYE STRANGER by BROAD BRUSH)
9  FEELING BEACHY   (casse nor)TORRES A 118 12.00 11% 8.40 13.45  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FEELING BOSSY by COURAGEOUS CAT)
1  TIZ SWEET EMOTION   (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.01  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
8  SCARBOROUGH FAIR   (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10.53  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BLESSINGS FIRST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
11  MARINA GAMBA   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 ★ 12.49  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FAIRYTALE ENDING by GALILEO)
5  PEACEFUL KINGDOM   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 15% 5.80 10.85  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of KINGDOM'S QUEEN by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  REDO   (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 15.00 39.91  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNDO by FLATTER)
7  HEART HEADED WOMAN   (drury thoma)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 28.40  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BRILLIANT BLAZE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  SHE'S SO MALICE   (maker michae)TORRES A 124 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JESTER AND ME by ZANJERO)
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR   (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
SCR  WHAPPEN   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BONBOURBON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
ELP-4   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEDWIG   (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 2.40  
13  COUNTERSTRIKE   (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 36% 1.80 4.59 P
7  POWERFUL   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 38.84  
3  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS   (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 11% 8.40 4.02  
12  FOXTROTANNA   (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 8.00 25.02  
10  CHISELER   (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 14.27  
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 9% 10.70 6.71  
2  B D VALESKI   (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 13% 6.60 6.20  
4  NOT NORMAL   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 26.93  
6  HUNTER JOHN   (ortiz a)TORRES A 122 10.00 13.40  
9  ADIOS GARY   (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 12.30 25.69  
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION   (cano mu)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD   (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  J. P. RACE   (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAUDI CROWN   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 39% 1.60 0.68 W
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of NEW NARRATION by TAPIT)
8  INJUNCTION   (cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 10% 9.10 6.07 P
  (by SKIPSHOT out of VALID VALENCIA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
11  HAPPY AMERICAN   (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 30.00 61.19  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  RAISE CAIN   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 ★ 7.17  
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
9  THREE TECHNIQUE   (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 19.66  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  MR. WIRELESS   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 29% 2.40 5.11  
  (by DIALED IN out of VOUSSOIR by ARCH)
5  PIPELINE   (devaux cheri)TORRES A 122 15.00 32.75  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  SILVER PROSPECTOR   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00 35.81  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of TAP SOFTLY by TAPIT)
3  PREVALENCE (GB)   (walsh bre)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.59  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ENRICHMENT by FISCAL)
1  MACHINE GUN MAN   (sanchez j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00 66.88  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE   (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EBLOUISSANTE by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-6   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Derby Presented Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOST WANTED   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 3.03  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  NOT THIS BOY   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 17% 4.90 4.24 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of JEANA BABY by SUPER SAVER)
1  WHO DEY   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 49% 1.00 1.21 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PELIPA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  NATIVE LAND   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 6.00 14.24  
  (by MASTERY out of JANIS'S JOY by BROKEN VOW)
5  STRETCH RIDE   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 2.90  
  (by STREET SENSE out of Q GO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  CATALYTIC   (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ONE SHOW ONLY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  GIVE ME A REASON   (asmussen )TORRES A 118 10.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DREAM OF SUMMER by SIBERIAN SUMMER)
 
ELP-7   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Juvenile Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OWEN ALMIGHTY   (lynch bri)TORRES A 120 1.80 34% 1.90 0.67 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TEMPERS RISING by BAYERN)
4  POLITICALLYCORRECT   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 35% 1.80 1.51 P
  (by VIOLENCE out of HERON WATCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  THREE ECHOES   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 2.50 ★ 9.05 S
  (by ECHO TOWN out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
1  HEAT   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.86  
  (by MUNNINGS out of TOO COOL TO DANCE by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  CHARBONNAY   (ennis john)ROMAN A 120 20.00 69.19  
  (by MINESHAFT out of BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH by PAYNTER)
5  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS   (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 31.23  
  (by GORMLEY out of FOLLOW THE LITE by LITE THE FUSE)
3  ENDURING SPIRIT   (ramos raf)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 41.71  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LIFE STARTS by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
ELP-8   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Debutante Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STILETTOS   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 2.05  
  (by UPSTART out of UNSPOKEN WORD by CATIENUS)
3  RICH CITY GIRL   (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.97 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
9  ADEERA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 10.00 9.76  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of MAJESTIC PRESENCE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 118 30.00 41.39  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ATALA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 5% 19.00 65.72  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SURFACE by QUALITY ROAD)
4  RUN CAMILA RUN   (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 30.00 79.09  
  (by WEST COAST out of LIFE LESSON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  AMERICAN WOMEN   (walsh bre)TORRES A 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.71  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
2  MRS WORLDWIDE   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8% 11.60 6.32  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER   (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MZIMA SPRINGS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  STURGEON MOON   (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 12.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of LA REGIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
ELP-9   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Audubon Oaks Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIBBER   (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 2.78  
  (by FROSTED out of DEVIOUS INTENT by DIXIE UNION)
1  TARIFA   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 27% 2.80 1.25 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of KITE BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  ADOGATE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 12.18  
  (by ARROGATE out of ADHARA by PERRAULT (GB))
6  MINK'S PALACE   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 26% 2.90 2.02  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
4  TAMBO   (eurton pe)TORRES A 118 4.00 8% 12.20 9.21  
  (by ENTICED out of FLATTER ME FIRST by FLATTER)
SCR  MERASOL SUGAR   (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CHANEL NUMBER MINE by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  NAY V BELLE   (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAFE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MIZZEN DONALD by MIZZEN MAST)
 
ELP-10   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Groupie Doll Purse ($175K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIGALLE   (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 23.43  
  (by BLAME out of HEELS by FLATTER)
7  FANCY   (walsh brenda)TORRES A 122 20.00 16.78  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LACADENA by FASLIYEV)
1  MYSTIC PLEASURE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.44 S
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DISPOSABLEPLEASURE by GIACOMO)
5  MUSICAL MISCHIEF   (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 29% 2.50 4.58  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  TAXED   (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
2  HIDDEN CONNECTION   (calhoun w)TORRES A 122 4.50 4.36  
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  MAGICAL LUTE   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 11.66  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
9  JERSEY PEARL   (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 11% 8.40 7.63  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of JERSEY'S SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  BE LIKE WATER   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 50.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  TAKE A STAND   (oliver )DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.