Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (8/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
ELP-2   Win (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.08 $4.08  
ELP-3   Win (12/2/5/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $7.08 $7.08  
ELP-4   Win (13/2/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $6.80  
ELP-5   Win (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.36 $3.36  
ELP-6   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.06  
ELP-7   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.34 $3.34  
ELP-8   Win (3/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.10  
ELP-9   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.56  
ELP-10   Win (3/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $48.86  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRIE'S IN TOWN 4 1 11 1½   1½ 1¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 20% 3.90 1.50 W
7  SHOGUN (IRE) 7 5 73¼ 52   5¾ 2¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 23% 3.40 2.65 P
1  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 1 7 83¾ 62½   4¾ 31¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★ 10.56 S
8  ART FAIR 8 4 31 2½   3½ 43¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 28% 2.60 4.75  
2  PERFECT MAGIC 2 3 41½ 31½   2½ 53¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 9% 9.70 13.41  
3  SAND CAST 3 6 62¾ 83½   61¼ 65 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 38.04  
9  LUMBER LEGACY 9 9 104¾ 93¾   73¼ 75¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 16.09  
10  GARDINER 10 8 94¾ 103¾   105½ 810½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00 23.47 DH
5  RADARMAN 5 2 21 73   85¼ 810½ (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 17.46 DH
6  SO GRAND 6 10 52½ 42   95½ 1012½ (vaccarezza ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 31.54  
SCR  SPEECHLESS               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIAM IN THE DUST 7 1 1nk 1nk   12 12¼ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 32% 2.20 1.04 W
8  IMPULSE BUY 8 5 31 3.2   22 22¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 6% 14.50 5.04 P
5  DAWN AFTER DAWN 5 6 51¾ 41¾   44½ 35½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 6.74  
1  CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS 1 8 83¾ 84¾   67½ 47½ (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 20.76  
4  OUR SHENANIGAN 4 3 2nk 2nk   34 58 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 24% 3.10 4.78  
2  UNCORK IT 2 7 72¾ 73¼   79 612 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 30.52  
3  BRAVE SAMANTHA 3 4 41½ 51¾   56 713 (medina robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 17.60 22.90  
6  MOON LAW 6 2 62¾ 62¾   811 817½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 6.38  
SCR  TICKIN TIME BLONDE               (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
 
ELP-3   08/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:114 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  JUST THE SKY 12 10 86¼ 86 62½ 62¼ 1½ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.54 W
3  ENCHANT 3 3 33 32½ 41½ 51¼ 2½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 9.27  
10  RACONTEUSE 10 7 64½ 53 31 31 3½ (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5.36  
2  LUZ DIVINA 2 2 21½ 21½ 2½ 1nk 4¾ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 25% 3.00 3.70  
4  SCREAMING MIMI 4 4 74¾ 75 104¼ 73¼ 51½ (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 30.31  
9  FEELING BEACHY 9 11 118 118¼ 126¼ 83¾ 62½ (casse norm )TORRES A 118 12.00 11% 8.40 13.45  
1  TIZ SWEET EMOTION 1 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 72¾ (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 16.01  
8  SCARBOROUGH FAIR 8 8 129½ 129¾ 115¼ 115¾ 84¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 10.53  
11  MARINA GAMBA 11 9 107¾ 108 83¼ 94¾ 95¼ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 ★ 12.49  
5  PEACEFUL KINGDOM 5 6 96¼ 96½ 94¼ 126 105½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 15% 5.80 10.85  
6  REDO 6 12 54½ 63½ 52½ 41¼ 115½ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 15.00 39.91  
7  HEART HEADED WOMAN 7 5 43½ 43 72¾ 105¼ 127½ (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 28.40  
SCR  SHE'S SO MALICE               (maker michael )TORRES A 124 10.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR               (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  WHAPPEN               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:211 :434 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEDWIG 4 8 51¼ 5¾   2nk 1¾ (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 2.40  
13  COUNTERSTRIKE 11 7 93 82   5½ 2¾ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 36% 1.80 4.59 P
7  POWERFUL 6 2 2nk 2nk   3.2 32 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 38.84  
3  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS 2 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 42¾ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 11% 8.40 4.02  
12  FOXTROTANNA 10 5 41 4¾   61 53¼ (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 8.00 25.02  
10  CHISELER 9 4 71¾ 71½   92 63½ (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 8.00 14.27  
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET 7 6 61¾ 61¼   71½ 73½ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 9% 10.70 6.71  
2  B D VALESKI 1 11 114½ 103½   103 84¼ (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 13% 6.60 6.20  
4  NOT NORMAL 3 10 104½ 114½   113 95 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00 26.93  
6  HUNTER JOHN 5 9 82¾ 92½   4¼ 105 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 10.00 13.40  
9  ADIOS GARY 8 3 3½ 3.2   82 115¼ (davis jos)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 12.30 25.69  
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION               (cano muno)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD               (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  J. P. RACE               (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10 1:224   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SAUDI CROWN 5 3 11 1nk 1nk 12 11¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 39% 1.60 0.68 W
8  INJUNCTION 7 4 43 31½ 42 42½ 21¾ (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 10% 9.10 6.07 P
11  HAPPY AMERICAN 10 10 1014¼ 1010 87½ 53 32 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 30.00 61.19  
10  RAISE CAIN 9 8 64½ 53¼ 31½ 32½ 43½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 ★ 7.17  
9  THREE TECHNIQUE 8 9 96¼ 84½ 53½ 65 54¼ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 19.66  
2  MR. WIRELESS 2 5 85¼ 94½ 76 75½ 64¼ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 29% 2.40 5.11  
5  PIPELINE 4 2 21 2nk 2nk 22 75¾ (devaux cherie)TORRES A 122 15.00 32.75  
7  SILVER PROSPECTOR 6 7 74¾ 63¼ 65 87½ 811 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00 35.81  
3  PREVALENCE (GB) 3 6 54½ 73½ 910½ 99½ 920¾ (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.59  
1  MACHINE GUN MAN 1 1 31½ 41¾ 1012½ 1012 1025¼ (sanchez jua)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00 66.88  
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE               (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
 
ELP-6   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Derby Presented Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:111 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOST WANTED 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 3.03  
3  NOT THIS BOY 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 21 2hd (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 17% 4.90 4.24 P
1  WHO DEY 1 5 53½ 51¾ 52¼ 32½ 31 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 49% 1.00 1.21 S
6  NATIVE LAND 5 3 43 3½ 3½ 43 410½ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 6.00 14.24  
5  STRETCH RIDE 4 4 32 41½ 42 54½ 514½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 5% 19.00 2.90  
SCR  CATALYTIC               (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
SCR  GIVE ME A REASON               (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-7   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Juvenile Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OWEN ALMIGHTY 7 1 3.2 3.2   2nk 14¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 1.80 34% 1.90 0.67 W
4  POLITICALLYCORRECT 4 6 2nk 1nk   1nk 24¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 35% 1.80 1.51 P
6  THREE ECHOES 6 2 4¾ 41¼   32 38¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 2.50 ★ 9.05 S
1  HEAT 1 7 75¾ 74¼   57 411½ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 18.86  
2  CHARBONNAY 2 4 52¼ 51¼   44½ 513 (ennis john)ROMAN A 120 20.00 69.19  
5  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS 5 3 64¼ 62¾   68½ 625 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 31.23  
3  ENDURING SPIRIT 3 5 1nk 2nk   710 728 (ramos rafae)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 41.71  
 
ELP-8   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Debutante Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  STILETTOS 6 1 1nk 2nk   11½ 11½ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 2.05  
3  RICH CITY GIRL 3 4 2nk 1nk   21½ 21½ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.97 P
9  ADEERA 7 2 61½ 42¾   34½ 310 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 10.00 9.76  
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 5 7 83 78¼   47 412¼ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 118 30.00 41.39  
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD 1 8 31 813¾   715 526¼ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 5% 19.00 65.72  
4  RUN CAMILA RUN 4 3 41¼ 66¾   512½ 633 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 30.00 79.09  
10  AMERICAN WOMEN 8 6 71½ 54¾   615 747½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.71  
2  MRS WORLDWIDE 2 5 51¼ 32½   823 8100 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8% 11.60 6.32  
SCR  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
SCR  STURGEON MOON               (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Audubon Oaks Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FIBBER 2 3 41¼ 41½   31 12¼ (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50 2.78  
1  TARIFA 1 4 3.2 2nk   1nk 22¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 27% 2.80 1.25 P
8  ADOGATE 5 2 51¼ 53   43 35¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 12.18  
6  MINK'S PALACE 4 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 47½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 26% 2.90 2.02  
4  TAMBO 3 5 1nk 3½   54½ 57¾ (eurton pete)TORRES A 118 4.00 8% 12.20 9.21  
SCR  MERASOL SUGAR               (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  NAY V BELLE               (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME               (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
 
ELP-10   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Groupie Doll Purse ($175K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113 1:24   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIGALLE 4 7 74¼ 72¾ 73 51¼ 1¼ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 23.43  
7  FANCY 6 6 64 62¾ 21 4¼ 2¼ (walsh brendan )TORRES A 122 20.00 16.78  
1  MYSTIC PLEASURE 1 1 11 11 11 1nk 3½ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.44 S
5  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 5 4 32 31½ 31 2nk 41 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 29% 2.50 4.58  
3  TAXED 3 3 53 41½ 51¼ 3.2 53½ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.10  
2  HIDDEN CONNECTION 2 2 21 21 62¾ 63¼ 65¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 4.50 4.36  
10  MAGICAL LUTE 8 8 86¾ 84¾ 84½ 74¼ 79 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 11.66  
9  JERSEY PEARL 7 5 42 51¾ 41¼ 84¾ 814 (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 11% 8.40 7.63  
SCR  BE LIKE WATER               (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 50.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.