Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (8/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (12/2/5/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (13/2/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (6/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (3/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-10   Win (3/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE)         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★    
2  PERFECT MAGIC         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 9% 9.70    
3  SAND CAST Jun22         (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
4  BRIE'S IN TOWN Jul14 Jun23       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  RADARMAN         (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
6  SO GRAND         (vaccarezza ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
7  SHOGUN (IRE) Jul05         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
8  ART FAIR Jul22 Jun20 May24     (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  LUMBER LEGACY         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
10  GARDINER         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  SPEECHLESS         (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE NIGHTS         (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
2  UNCORK IT         (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
3  BRAVE SAMANTHA         (medina robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 17.60    
4  OUR SHENANIGAN         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
5  DAWN AFTER DAWN Jul04         (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
6  MOON LAW Jun21         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00    
7  LIAM IN THE DUST         (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 32% 2.20    
8  IMPULSE BUY         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  TICKIN TIME BLONDE         (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
 
ELP-3   08/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SWEET EMOTION Jul14 Jun15 May16 May03 Mar23 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUZ DIVINA Jun15 Oct11 Sep23 Sep02   (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
3  ENCHANT         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
4  SCREAMING MIMI Jul05 May27       (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
5  PEACEFUL KINGDOM Jan31 Jun10       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
6  REDO Jun27 May27 May04 Apr05 Mar08 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 15.00    
7  HEART HEADED WOMAN Jun15 Apr27 Mar07 Jan25 Dec21 (drury thomas )PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
8  SCARBOROUGH FAIR         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
9  FEELING BEACHY Jul05 Sep04       (casse norm )TORRES A 118 12.00 11% 8.40    
10  RACONTEUSE Jul04 Jun09 May09 Apr13 Mar23 (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
11  MARINA GAMBA Jun07 Apr24       (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00 ★    
12  JUST THE SKY Jun15 May04 Mar21 Mar12 Jan22 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  STEPHANIESWARRIOR Jul21 May25 Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S SO MALICE Jul28         (maker michael )TORRES A 124 10.00    
SCR  WHAPPEN Jun09         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOW'S UR ATTITUDE Jul04 Jun19 May29 May04 Apr13 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
2  B D VALESKI Jun22 May25 Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
3  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Jun29 May27 Nov17 Oct15 Aug24 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
4  NOT NORMAL Jul20 May04 Apr10 Feb22 Jan30 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
5  HEDWIG Feb17 Nov11 Sep13 Aug19   (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
6  HUNTER JOHN Jul20 Jan16 Aug12 Jul22 May07 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 10.00    
7  POWERFUL Jul04 May18 Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00    
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET Jul14 Jun13 May01 Mar23 Feb10 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
9  ADIOS GARY Jul05 May27 May09 Apr24 Mar28 (davis jos)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 12.30    
10  CHISELER Jul20 Jun22 May24 Apr05 Feb25 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
SCR  HIGHER STANDARD Jun10 Apr21 Mar09 Jan16 Dec22 (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
12  FOXTROTANNA Jul20 Jun11 Jan12 Dec01 Oct07 (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 8.00    
13  COUNTERSTRIKE Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 Apr05 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  GLOBAL SENSATION Jul15 Jun27 May25 May10 Mar22 (cano muno)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  J. P. RACE Jul20 Jun12 May25 Apr07 Feb22 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINE GUN MAN Jul06 Jun07 May10 Apr06 Mar02 (sanchez jua)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
2  MR. WIRELESS Jul06 May04 Mar14 May05 Mar25 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
3  PREVALENCE (GB) Jul06 May18 Apr06 Mar01 Feb04 (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME Jul05 Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 30.00    
5  PIPELINE May03 Apr10 Jan27 Dec02 Oct01 (devaux cherie)TORRES A 122 15.00    
6  SAUDI CROWN Jan20 Nov04 Sep23 Jul29 Jul01 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  SILVER PROSPECTOR May27 May05 Mar30 Feb25 Jan27 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 12.00    
8  INJUNCTION Jul06 May03 Apr06 Feb25 Nov23 (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
9  THREE TECHNIQUE Jul26 Jun30 May04 Dec02 Nov04 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
10  RAISE CAIN Jun30 May30 May04 Apr06 Dec26 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 ★    
11  HAPPY AMERICAN Jun30 May31 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 30.00    
SCR  BIG BLUE LINE Jun29 Jun06 Nov04 Sep13 Aug13 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
 
ELP-6   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Derby Presented Purse ($275K) 3 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DEY Jun09 May04 Apr05 Nov25 Oct28 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 49% 1.00    
2  MOST WANTED Jul21 Jun21       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
3  NOT THIS BOY Jul04 May26 Oct03     (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GIVE ME A REASON Jul04 May05 Apr20 Mar28 Feb24 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00    
5  STRETCH RIDE Nov25 Oct14 Sep17     (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  NATIVE LAND Jun29 May11 Apr10 Mar09 Feb11 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 6.00    
SCR  CATALYTIC Jul05 May04 Mar30 Mar08 Oct07 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
 
ELP-7   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Juvenile Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAT Jun30 May11       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARBONNAY Jun17 May24       (ennis john)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
3  ENDURING SPIRIT Jun30 May16 Apr10     (ramos rafae)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
4  POLITICALLYCORRECT Jun30 May30       (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Jul13 Jun19       (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
6  THREE ECHOES Jul13 Jun06 May24     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 2.50 ★    
7  OWEN ALMIGHTY Jun20         (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
ELP-8   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Debutante Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD Jun11         (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MRS WORLDWIDE Jul04 Jun07       (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
3  RICH CITY GIRL Jul06         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  RUN CAMILA RUN Jun29 Jun15 May13 Apr07   (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 30.00    
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Jul05 Jun06 May18     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 118 30.00    
6  STILETTOS Jun29         (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
SCR  STURGEON MOON Jun04         (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 12.00    
SCR  SHEZAFUNKYDRUMMER Jul05 Jun02       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
9  ADEERA Jun30 May31       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 10.00    
10  AMERICAN WOMEN Jul15 Jun07       (walsh brend)TORRES A 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
ELP-9   08/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Audubon Oaks Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARIFA May03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Nov25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
2  FIBBER Jun28 May25 May11 Apr05 Dec23 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
SCR  NAY V BELLE Jun28 May25 Apr21 Mar09 Feb18 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
4  TAMBO Jun09 Apr21 Feb23 Jan07 Nov18 (eurton pete)TORRES A 118 4.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME Jul29 Jun28 May31 Mar20 Feb01 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
6  MINK'S PALACE Jun22 Jun01 May03 Nov02   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  MERASOL SUGAR Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 Apr20 Mar29 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 12.00    
8  ADOGATE Jul04 Nov09       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00    
 
ELP-10   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Groupie Doll Purse ($175K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC PLEASURE Jul07 Jun09 May01 Mar27 May04 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIDDEN CONNECTION Jul06 Jun01 Apr19 Jan27 Dec22 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 4.50    
3  TAXED Jun29 May27 Apr13 Mar16 Sep23 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
4  PIGALLE May26 Nov16 Nov05 Jul22 Jun24 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
5  MUSICAL MISCHIEF Jun30 May17 Apr13 Jan20 Dec26 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BE LIKE WATER Jul18 May27 Apr26 Nov18 Oct26 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 50.00    
7  FANCY Jun26 May26 May03 Aug03 Jul01 (walsh brendan )TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND Jul06 Jun01 Mar08 Jan18 Dec21 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
9  JERSEY PEARL Jul07 Nov20 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
10  MAGICAL LUTE Jul05 Jun01 Apr13 Feb17 Jan13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.