Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.00 $6.00 75%
SAR-2   TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-4 $4.35 $1.35 45%
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $19.00 $7.00 58%
SAR-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.40 $3.40 57%
SAR-5   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.70 $1.70 21%
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $21.70 $9.70 81%
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $15.40 $3.40 28%
SAR-6   EXA (1/5/10/11)-(1/5/10/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-10 $25.25 $9.25 58%
    TRI (1/5/10/11)-(1/5/10/11/4)-(1/5/10/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-10-1 $29.62 $5.62 23%
    SFT (1/5/10/11)-(1/5/10/11/4)-(1/5/10/11/4)-(1/5/10/11/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  5-10-1-4 $43.60 $34.00 354%
SAR-8   WIN (4/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.60 $3.60 45%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/14/2024 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Jonathan Sheppard Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
4:313         4:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY P 5 5 45 44 2nk 115 134½ (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 10.00 6% 16.90 6.00 W
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
GOING COUNTRY (IRE) 7 23 22 2 3 215 234½ (brion keri)HENDRIKS PARKER 140 20.00 18.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FRANKLY NATIVE by BE MY NATIVE)
ABAAN 3 813¾ 78 66 6 318½ 344 (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 154 4.00 14% 6.40 5.00 S
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
ARTISTIC CHOICE (IRE) 8 4 5 5 4 522½ 446¾ (young leslie )MULLINS DANNY 140 15.00 13.90  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CHICAGO GIRL by AZAMOUR)
PICKANUMBER (IRE) 6 13 12 1 1nk 420½ 549¼ (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.50 34% 1.90 2.70  
  (by SHANTOU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TOO FRIENDLY (GB) 1 611½ 67 7 53 627½ 662¾ (young lesli)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 6.00 6.90  
  (by CAMELOT out of CHATLINE by LINES OF POWER)
KIYOMORI 2 39 34 34 7 742½ 7102 (wyatt todd)BESWICK HARRISON 142 10.00 29.00  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of THE GREY EXPRESS by KING'S THEATRE)
ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) 4 711¾ 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (garner thoma)WATTERS GRAHAM 158 1.80 24% 3.10 1.95  
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
 
SAR-2   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:131 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 3 1 11 11 1 11 1¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.80 25% 3.00 1.10 W
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 1 2 42 42 2 21 2¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.00 47% 1.10 1.50 P
ECHO IN ETERNITY 4 3 21 21 3 36 3 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 5% 18.80 5.10 S
AMITY ISLAND 2 5 6 66 46 410½ 411 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00 35.50  
SARATOGA KISSES 5 4 53 54 5 513½ 516½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8.70  
KRYSTALHEIR 6 6 31 3 67 617 618¾ (coffey)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 23.80  
 
SAR-3   08/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:131 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 4 6 53 5 6 52 1¼ (o'connell kathl)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 25.75  
MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE) 2 2 21 21 2½ 1nk 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.80 34% 2.00 0.90 P
WATCH THIS BIRDIE 7 7 7 77 7 63 3¼ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 14.30  
IMMENSITUDE (FR) 5 5 3 3 4 31 41 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 32% 2.10 3.60  
NOT SO CLOSE 6 3 11 11 1½ 2nk 5 (casse w)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 6% 14.90 5.00  
BLISSFUL 1 1 4 4 3 4 62 (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
STRIKINGLY SPUN 3 4 64 65 54 7 7 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 15.00  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 0.80    
SCR  EDICT (ARG)               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 0.80    
 
SAR-4   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:124 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COST CONTAINMENT 2 1 11 11 1½ 1 1hd (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 27% 2.70 3.70 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CAT DANCER by STORM CAT)
TIPPLE 3 2 21 21 2½ 2 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 8.90  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
HELCIA 4 3 5 42 31 3 34 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 2.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of CARTWHEELIN LULU by BUSTIN STONES)
LORD I WONDER 1 4 32 3 43 48 415¾ (stall m)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.55  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PREVIOUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
REFUSE TO LOSE 5 6 6 64 610 616 518¼ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
ISLANDER 6 5 42 52 5 514 618½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.70  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIP AT TAPIT by TAPIT)
SCR  SWEET DISTRACTION               (st lewis)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
 
SAR-5   08/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Suzie O'Cain Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:114 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME CZECH 6 5 4 4 49 2 1 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 22% 3.40 3.85 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
BROCKNARDINI 1 6 712 816½ 716 4 2 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 22% 3.50 3.35 P
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BROAD STRIPES by BERNARDINI)
MUNNY GRAB 7 7 6 614½ 614 78 3 (de hor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 4.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
SUMMER WHIRL 2 8 813 716½ 816 89 46 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.45  
  (by ARROGATE out of SUMMER SHADE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
RED BURGUNDY 8 1 12 13 1 1 5 (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 10.80  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BOXED WINE 4 3 5 512½ 512 5 6 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 10.30  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TEMPER MINT PATTY by CONGRATS)
DOWNTOWN CHANNEL 3 4 22 23 2 3 715¼ (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 17.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
BOSSY JEANS 5 2 3 3 35 67 816¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  ALETTE D'ORO               (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ALETTE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  LANDED               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 0.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of GLORY GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-6   08/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :452 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNASCAUL 4 2 1½ 1½   15 13 (clement c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.75 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of EPPING FOREST by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  DISCO STAR 9 9 97 8   25 23 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 6% 17.10 7.80 P
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKY GAZER by SKY MESA)
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER 1 4 3 32   3 37 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 42% 1.40 4.20 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
GATTATIZ 3 3 52 42   47 410¼ (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 14.50  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GATTINARA by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
YOUNG AT HEART 6 8 74 6   58 510¼ (russell br)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 7.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of BARREL OF DREAMS by NOT FOR LOVE)
MISCHIEF LADY 7 1 2½ 2½   68 613¼ (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.50  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MISS BUFF by FRIEND OR FOE)
11  PRINCESS FIONA 10 6 6 7   79 716½ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of I STILL MISS YOU by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
TIMIA 8 5 4 5   810½ 818¼ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 30.75  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FORCE MAJEURE by DIXIELAND BAND)
ALPINE GIANT 2 10 1012 1011¼   916½ 922½ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 10.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ALPINE SKY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
DIVORCED OF COURSE 5 7 8 910¾   1018 1025¾ (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 33.25  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
SCR  DANCING DAKOTAH               (david ca)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of KODIAK KATIE by KODIAK KOWBOY)
SCR  FRANKIE HICCUPS               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of BLUE GRASS MARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  MANGETSU               (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PRINCESS MISCHIEF               (englehart chris)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  STONE SMUGGLER               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 119 2.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  TELLER TO WIN               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DEAR WILLA by HERE COMES BEN)
 
SAR-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKED BY GOLD 8 4 3½ 2½   1nk 1 (quick )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 10.50  
1A  MON PETIT CHOU 11 10 6 3½   2nk 2 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 4.00 2.80  
AWESOME ANNMARIE 5 5 83 9   84 3 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00 2.80 S
CONDIMENT GIRL 3 8 41 41   4 42 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00 23% 3.40 14.40  
10  GHOSTLY GIRL 10 3 5 7   6 54 (toscano jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00 12.80  
PERPETUAL PRAISE 4 7 7 52   5 6 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 8.60  
FONTANAFREDDA 2 11 105 8   73 7 (persaud ran)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.50 34% 2.00 3.20  
R FUNNY BIZNESS 6 9 119 10   9 8 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 9% 10.10 6.10  
EVERLYS GIRL 1 1 1½ 1½   31 9 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 7% 13.00 36.00  
VIOLENT VIXEN 9 2 2½ 6   10 1015¼ (bernardini juan)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 12.00  
WILLFUL DESIRE 7 6 95 11   11 1115¾ (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 7.20  
 
SAR-8   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:13 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY STAR 3 2 3 5 2 2½ 1 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.80 W
COLLABORATION 6 4 63 6 4 34 2 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 16.20  
REVALITA (FR) 4 10 95 8 6 45 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50 52% 0.90 1.05 S
MISS SAN GABRIEL 1 1 1½ 11 1 1½ 4 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 13.40  
ZIAERATI 8 7 84 9 8 6 5 (falcone robe)TORRES A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
BON ADIEU 5 3 2½ 3 5 7 6 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 30.00 60.50  
BEETS 2 6 10 10 10 810½ 710 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 21% 3.70 4.00  
11  PRELIMINARY (GB) 10 9 4 21 3 5 811¾ (brown cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 6.00 8.70  
CENTURIA (IRE) 7 5 52 4 7 1012¾ 913½ (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 30.00  
10  CURLIN'S GIRL 9 8 7 7 9 912½ 1015¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 21.00  
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 123 4.50    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  TAKE SHAPE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00    
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO               (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 118 2.50    
SCR  YES INDEED               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
 
SAR-9   08/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:22 :444 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINAL VERDICT 7 3 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (barker edw)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 5.40  
GASLIGHT DANCER 1 7 711 711½   7 2 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 6.70  
HILARIOUS AFFAIR 6 6 6 6   54 3 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 14% 6.10 3.65 S
10  FEATHERS ROAD 8 5 43 4   32 4 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
JAVA BUZZ 2 1 1½ 1½   2½ 55 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 36% 1.70 1.30  
BORLETTI (IRE) 4 4 33 3   42 6 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 11.80  
KING MOONRACER 5 2 56 55   6 7 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 15.20  
TYPHOON FURY 3 8 815 815½   8 8 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 14% 6.10 15.50  
SCR  COLLECT FROM IKE               (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00    
SCR  DR OSERAN               (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MILE               (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.