Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
SAR-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $4.60  
SAR-3   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 2.90
SAR-4   Win (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
SAR-5   Win (8/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $14.00  
SAR-6   Win (8/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 6.80
SAR-7   Win (9/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $11.00  
SAR-8   Win (1/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $26.80  
SAR-9   Win (8/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $17.60  
SAR-10   Win (8/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $6.20  
SAR-11   Win (2/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUS TOO FLY 4 3 41½ 43   31½ 1½ (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 33% 2.00 1.30 W
3  REPLEVIN 2 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 7.50  
1  SKY MASTERSON 7 4 2½ 2½   2nk 3¾ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 3.15  
4  MAX N FIFO 3 8 76 76½   54½ 44¼ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 7% 12.80 13.90  
6  WRAP AND SEND 5 6 88 810   77 57¼ (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 7% 12.80 14.10  
7  RESISTANCE FUTILE 6 5 53 54½   65 67½ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 6.00 10.10  
9  PAPA'S NICO BOY 8 7 31 31½   44 78 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 ★ 5.60  
2  KY ANANSI 1 1 63 64½   87½ 813¾ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 36.25  
SCR  BUT NOW AM FOUND               (contessa c)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  CORRELATION               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  MONTE AVI               (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
 
SAR-2   08/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOLDCREST 6 1 52 41½   3½ 11¼ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 1.30  
4  MON PETIT CHOU 3 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 21¼ (potts wayne)LUZZI J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.85 P
1  AWESOME ANNMARIE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 32¾ (toscano jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 6.00 25% 3.10 5.20 S
6  RIBOT'S VALENTINE 5 2 31 31   47½ 48¾ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 16.90  
5  MY FIRST LOVE 4 6 63½ 63½   57¾ 59¾ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 7.20  
3  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 2 5 42 52   69¾ 614½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 45% 1.20 3.60  
SCR  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY               (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 118 3.50    
 
SAR-3   08/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CRUISE TO CATALINA 2 2 2½ 1nk   13 17 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 32% 2.20 3.45 W
5  NOLITA 3 3 33 32   23 27 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 6.30  
6  DUCKPHAT 4 4 58½ 510   58½ 311½ (corrao james)LUZZI J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.80 S
7  SWEET ANNIVERSARY 5 5 46½ 45½   47½ 413¼ (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 4.00 3.45  
1  EVALUATION 1 1 1½ 2nk   35½ 519¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 38% 1.70 0.75  
SCR  FIRST CLASS CAT               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
SCR  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN               (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
 
SAR-4   08/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:141 1:364   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CALL PROTECTION 4 5 21 21 2½ 14 16¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 6.70 1.90 W
7  STEADFAST RESOLVE 7 8 74 53 53 45 26¼ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 4.00  
2  MR FLOWERS 2 2 31½ 32 32½ 35 37¾ (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50 S
5  SANDBORN 5 3 42½ 42½ 42½ 55½ 48¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 6% 16.70 4.00  
1  HURRICANE EXPRESS (FR) 1 1 53 63½ 74¼ 66 59½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 7.30  
3  ARTEMPUS 3 6 63 73½ 64 77 69½ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 52% 0.90 5.30  
8  JOHN THE BAPTIST 8 4 11 11 1½ 24 710¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 10.90  
6  FLUORESCENT BAY 6 7 86½ 86½ 88¾ 815 817 (davis robb)DAVIS A 124 50.00 45.75  
SCR  DARK DEVIL               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80    
SCR  STREET VIEW               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 113 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MALIBU MOONSHINE 6 8 88 44½   3½ 14½ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 6.00  
1  HAZARDOUS HUMOR 1 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 24½ (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 14% 6.10 8.80 P
2  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT 2 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 35¾ (acquilano jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 15% 5.80 12.10 S
4  IT TAKES HEART 4 4 31½ 31½   41½ 47½ (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 3.60  
3  BACKED BY GOLD 3 5 54½ 55½   54 59½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 8.70  
5  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 5 7 66 79   75¼ 610¼ (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 13.60  
8  SHESALITTLE EDGY 7 1 43½ 66   65 713 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 1.60 33% 2.00 1.25  
9  JACKSON'S DIXIE 8 6 77½ 89¼   85¾ 820¾ (noda orlando)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 22.90  
SCR  JACKIE THE JOKER               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00    
 
SAR-6   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FILOSO 2 2 63¼ 61¾ 33 14 13½ (summers chad)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.40 W
4  SPURGEON 4 6 98¾ 84¾ 65 44½ 23½ (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 36.25  
1  AMERICAN PROMISE 1 4 2nk 2nk 22½ 34½ 36½ (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 6.20  
9  T KRAFT 9 7 1nk 1nk 12½ 24 48¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
8  NOBLE CONFESSOR 8 5 52¼ 51¼ 43½ 57½ 510½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 54% 0.80 1.60  
3  FIDDLING FELIX 3 3 42 41 54½ 68 612½ (beckman whit)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 7% 13.10 7.80  
7  CONTRABANDIST 7 9 85¾ 94¾ 76½ 710½ 714¼ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 12% 7.20 9.70  
5  THARHOM 5 8 74¼ 73¼ 87½ 812½ 821½ (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 18.70  
6  DISCREET DANCER 6 1 3½ 3½ 99 916½ 925½ (sano anton)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 41.75  
 
SAR-7   08/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT TO VOTE 1 4 32½ 32½ 32 3½ 11¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 4.50  
4  VINTAGE VINO 4 7 66½ 65½ 66 43 21¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 2.30  
5  CIAO CHUCK 5 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 31¾ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 10% 8.90 6.10 S
9  INHERENT PROMISE 7 2 21 21 2½ 1nk 41¾ (lewis l)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 52% 0.90 3.15  
3  PRIMED TO GO 3 6 76½ 76½ 76½ 65½ 56¼ (duarte jr)JARA FERNANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
8  ACT OF MUTINY 6 3 43½ 43 55 54 67½ (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 12% 7.20 7.80  
2  WHEELHOUSE 2 5 55 55 45 75¾ 78¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 5.00  
SCR  COMMANDER OF TRUTH               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
SCR  DURATION               (brown c)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  MILITARY ROAD               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80    
SCR  PROSPERO (IRE)               (devaux cheri)RIVERA R 118 15.00    
 
SAR-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHARGING AERO 9 6 63 56   33 11¾ (abreu fernan)RIVERA R 123 6.00 12.40  
3  HATCH (GB) 2 4 31½ 34   43½ 21¾ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 19% 4.20 4.30 P
2B  BOURBON'S HOPE 4 5 21 23   23 32½ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 45.75  
1  CHATEAU 1 1 11 13   13 42½ (kimmel joh)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 1.60 27% 2.70 1.25  
1A  AFTERNOON HEAT 7 10 1010¾ 911   68½ 55¼ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 1.25  
4  NOTTOWAY 3 9 75 78   57½ 66 (reed lisa )DAVIS A 123 15.00 6% 15.40 39.25  
8  EMERALD FOREST 8 7 86 88½   78¾ 78½ (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 14% 6.30 2.80  
10  BUSTIN SHOUT 10 3 52 45½   89¾ 810½ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 12.10  
6  DADDY KNOWS 6 8 910½ 1019   1017¼ 914½ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 9% 9.60 11.80  
5  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 5 2 42 67   910¾ 1016½ (rodriguez gustavo)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 36.50  
SCR  HONORARY DEGREE               (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 15.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS               (potts way)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 30.00    
 
SAR-9   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TWO'S A CROWD 2 2 32 32 31 11½ 12¼ (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 7.80  
6  SKYLER'S STARSHIP 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 21½ 22¼ (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 4.50 17% 5.00 3.50 P
5  PROVISION 4 5 76 53 41½ 42½ 32½ (shivmangal)SANTANA JR 123 30.00 40.50  
4  MERLIN'S MOMENT 3 4 65½ 75 53 53 44¾ (bond harold )RIVERA R 120 8.00 12.00  
8  NOONZIO 7 7 2½ 21 2½ 32½ 54¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 39% 1.50 2.65  
7  DOLLY'S BANK 6 3 42½ 63½ 76 76½ 69¼ (coffey m)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00 48.50  
9  BAD LARRY 8 6 53 43 63½ 66 711 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 ★ 6.40  
10  BOB JOHN RAY 9 9 911½ 99¾ 910½ 98¾ 811¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 20% 4.10 3.05  
2  BOYS CODE 1 8 811½ 89½ 87 88½ 915¼ (dixon lind)DAVIS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SCR  BETA               (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 15.00    
SCR  JAA MODE               (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
 
SAR-10   08/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM With Anticipation Purse ($175K) 2 ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:124 1:36   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ZULU KINGDOM (IRE) 4 3 33½ 32½ 42 2nk 1¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 2.10  
9  TENACIOUS LEADER 6 2 22 21½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 6% 15.90 1.90 P
8  CAVALLO BAY (GB) 5 5 44 43 31 41¼ 33¼ (appleby charles)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 39% 1.60 5.40 S
1  NUDGE 1 1 12 11½ 1½ 3.2 43¼ (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 16.90  
3  TEST SCORE 3 4 55 54 65½ 53¾ 53¼ (motion grah)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 6.80  
2  WITHOUT CAUTION 2 6 65 64 53 65¾ 68 (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 27% 2.70 4.20  
SCR  DANCING BEAR               (martin c)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
SCR  GOOD LONG CRY               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 113 15.00    
SCR  JOEY MUSCLES               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  REACH FOR THE ROSE               (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 120 5.00    
SCR  UNCAGED               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
 
SAR-11   08/29/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:213 :441 :554     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CREDITWORTHY 2 2 44½ 44   1nk 1¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 55% 0.80 0.80 W
1  PROTON SPIRIT 1 8 79 78   31½ 2¼ (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 15.00 5% 19.00 8.10 P
3  SUMMER IN ERIN 3 6 67½ 67½   51¾ 36¼ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 ★ 7.20 S
6  SPEED FIGURES 6 1 11½ 12   2nk 46½ (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 17% 4.70 5.00  
8  REVEREND MOON 8 3 32 22   41¾ 57½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
5  INK LIES 5 7 813 913½   88¾ 69¼ (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 18.90  
7  ZECA DIABO 7 5 55 54½   74¾ 79¾ (caramori)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 28.00  
4  CALL BOB 4 4 21½ 32½   62¾ 812½ (caramori edu)RIVERA R 124 20.00 25.00  
9  LIBERTE DE BAYEUX 9 9 913½ 813   916¾ 919½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 36.00  
SCR  TIME AND TIDE               (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.