Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.14 $11.14 5.14
CD-2   Win (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.86 $5.86  
CD-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.88  
CD-4   Win (4/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
CD-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.88 $4.88  
CD-6   Win (10/3/12/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.78 $6.78  
CD-7   Win (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $35.64  
CD-8   Win (13/12/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $12.72  
CD-9   Win (2/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $30.18  
CD-10   Win (5/12/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.52 $4.52  
CD-11   Win (11/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $22.66 $22.66 14.66
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AGOO 4 1 11 1½   2½ 1¾ (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 12% 7.40 4.57 W
1  MIRACLE WORKER 1 3 31 31½   1½ 2¾ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 24% 3.10 3.59 P
2  PARKWAY 2 4 52½ 42   33½ 35¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50 5.93  
6  TEMECULA 5 2 41½ 2½   43½ 47¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 40% 1.50 0.94  
3  FINDAWAY 3 5 21 53   59½ 523½ (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00 5.40  
SCR  SHIRL'S BEE               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:22 :461 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SALLY O'MALLEY 8 9 83¼ 3.2   12 1½ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 41% 1.50 1.93 W
1  LADY ABERDEEN 1 3 31 51¼   22 2½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 121 6.00 15.48  
5  EFFERVESCENT 5 10 62¼ 72¼   32½ 31¼ (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 12.00 9.28  
9  ENDLESS GLOW 9 8 104¼ 96¾   86¼ 42¾ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 30% 2.40 3.04  
2  FOXY ZORRA 2 4 41½ 61¾   64¼ 55 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 12.67  
7  BEACH BUNNY 7 2 21 1nk   42½ 66¼ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 7.03  
3  LOTUS CASE 3 11 72¾ 84¾   96¾ 77¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.04  
4  ELLA ELIZABETH 4 1 11 4¼   52¾ 811½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 ★ 12.13  
6  FLIGHT ON RACE DAY 6 7 93¼ 107   109¾ 911¾ (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 20.81  
11  VIN D'OR 11 5 51¾ 2nk   75¼ 1017¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 49.64  
10  ITOOKDAMONEYHONEY 10 6 115¼ 1111½   1117¾ 1132¼ (werre danny)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00 34.89  
 
CD-3   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:13 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MO WINNING 3 8 52½ 31 31½ 2nk 1¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 3.44  
9  ASK ARTHUR 8 4 31½ 41½ 41½ 1nk 2¼ (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 26.77  
2  GAMBLERS TAIL 2 7 73¼ 83¾ 85½ 43 31¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 8.92 DQ↓4
6  MANDALORIAN 5 6 84¼ 73½ 63½ 53½ 41¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 2.50 45% 1.20 2.26 S
8  MO RUM 7 3 21 21 21 31 53 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 5% 19.00 17.98  
10  BETTERA 9 2 62¾ 63 75 63¾ 65 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 12.00 ★ 14.70  
5  MY FRIEND LOUIE 4 9 95¼ 95¾ 97 98¾ 712¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 8.17  
7  MR MCGREGOR 6 1 11 11 11 74¾ 813 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 30% 2.40 6.45  
1  MERIT 1 5 41½ 52 53 86¾ 917 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 ★ 4.41  
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-4   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:133 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UNION MIST 4 1 52 62 2½ 11 12½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 43% 1.30 2.30 W
6  VIABLE 6 8 94¼ 83 74 33½ 22½ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 12.53  
3  VINO FRIZZANTE 3 2 21 2nk 1½ 21 33 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 ★ 8.15 S
10  CHURNING BERNI 10 9 105¾ 105 84½ 59 49¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 6.00 6.96  
2  SHEZALITTLESTINKER 2 5 62½ 51¾ 52½ 46 510¼ (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 23.41  
7  PRESTWICK 7 6 31½ 31½ 63½ 69 610¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
9  LEISURE TIME 9 7 73 73 95 912 720 (medina robert)TORRES A 120 8.00 7% 12.70 30.41  
5  RUNCATHERINERUN 5 3 11 1nk 31½ 710 824¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 23.18  
1  VANISHED 1 4 41½ 41¾ 42½ 810½ 927¼ (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.65  
8  LEGACY DEFINED 8 10 84 94 105½ 1030 1096 (hobby steve)ROCCO S 120 20.00 25.37  
 
CD-5   09/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Open Mind Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZEITLOS 2 6 66 66   32½ 11¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 1.60 53% 0.90 1.44 W
3  POSITANO SUNSET 3 3 43½ 44½   43 21¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 2.50 10% 8.90 1.96 P
4  HAPPY AM I 4 1 21 22½   22 33½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 6% 15.30 10.02 S
1  RUN FOR THE HILLS 1 5 11 12½   12 44¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.37  
6  UNSUNG MELODY 6 2 32 33   55 56¾ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 4.24  
5  BACKYARD MONEY 5 4 54 55   66 612 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 19.20  
 
CD-6   09/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STAR OF WONDER 9 8 63½ 43½   21 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.39 W
12  ATTACHE 11 1 2½ 2½   11 21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 12% 7.10 3.31 P
2  LINEBACKER 2 10 74 75¼   64¾ 33½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 8.88  
4  HOUSE UNITED 4 9 108 1110¼   87¼ 45¼ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 33.86  
7  THINK BIG 6 7 95½ 87¾   76¼ 56 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 4.04  
11  CALL ME ANDY 10 3 32½ 32   43½ 66½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 47.25  
1  GOLD SWEEP 1 5 42½ 53½   54½ 78¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 5% 19.00 26.99  
5  EDIFIED 5 11 118¼ 108¾   99¼ 812¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 18.85  
3  HARRODSBURG 3 2 1½ 1½   33½ 914½ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 19% 4.20 5.29  
9  OWN THE FIELD 8 6 84½ 98¼   1011¼ 1015¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 12.80  
8  GLOBAL STAGE 7 4 53 63¾   1117¼ 1147½ (cano muno)TORRES A 123 20.00 6% 16.80 49.16  
SCR  AZTECA'S GOLD               (lacroix gene)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 FAST Fasig-Tipton Locust Grove Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:121 1:363   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 1 4 31 31 41½ 12 13¼ (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 16.82  
6  CORNINGSTONE 6 5 63 84 83¼ 53¼ 23¼ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 43.60  
7  SHOTGUN HOTTIE 7 7 73½ 73 62¼ 33 33¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 2.00 1.21  
5  PIGALLE 5 6 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 45¼ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 12.27  
3  TAXED 3 1 52 52½ 52 43 56½ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 16% 5.20 10.70  
4  LOVED 4 8 83¾ 63 73¼ 75¼ 66½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 32% 2.10 4.68  
8  HOOSIER PHILLY 8 3 42 41½ 3½ 86¾ 712¼ (amoss m)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.61  
2  FREE LIKE A GIRL 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 63¼ 813 (pomier devil)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 23% 3.30 6.78  
 
CD-8   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Pocahontas Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LA CARA 3 9 116¼ 73½ 53½ 2½ 1¾ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 5.36  
14  LIAM IN THE DUST 14 5 3½ 31½ 12 1½ 2¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 9.25  
2  ICONA MAMA 2 1 63½ 41½ 43 3½ 3¾ (stites w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 18.50 30.71 S
6  PRETTY SURE 6 7 95¼ 84 74½ 63½ 42¾ (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00 5.38  
8  ATOMIC CITY 8 6 53 52½ 22 42½ 55½ (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.04  
4  EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF 4 2 41½ 63 64 53 66 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 ★ 48.77  
9  STRONG STATE 9 12 127¾ 126¾ 86½ 76 77¼ (stall m)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 12% 7.30 4.31  
5  HEARTS UNITED 5 14 149¾ 149¼ 118¼ 87 88½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00 75.24  
1  CHATTANOOGA CREW 1 13 139¼ 115¾ 108¼ 109½ 916½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 32.20  
12  STILETTOS 12 3 2nk 1½ 32 98 1026 (calhoun william )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 20% 4.00 5.19  
7  QUINN'S PROMISE 7 10 105¼ 94½ 1210¼ 1112½ 1127¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 10.00 24.25  
11  WEST MEMORIAL 11 8 84¾ 137¼ 1415¾ 1319 1233 (weaver george)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00 56.99  
10  LADY KATHRYN 10 11 73¾ 105½ 1311¼ 1217 1334 (mott riley)TORRES A 122 10.00 16.51  
13  KIMCHI CAT 13 4 1nk 2½ 98 1429 1472¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 38% 1.60 3.73  
SCR  CLAIRE'S CHARM               (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD CHEER               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisville Thoroughbred Societ Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:221 :45 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 4 5 44½ 32   32½ 1¼ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 14.09  
10  SKELLY 7 3 11½ 11½   12½ 2¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 34% 2.00 1.05 P
6  HERE MI SONG 3 2 21½ 21½   22½ 31½ (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 7% 12.40 9.90 S
9  NECKER ISLAND 6 1 34 43   43½ 45 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 32.37  
8  MANNY WAH 5 4 65½ 64½   66 56¾ (ennis john)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 46.83  
3  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 2 7 77½ 77   76½ 67¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 12.00 8.56  
2  CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR 1 6 54½ 53   54½ 711¼ (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 35% 1.90 1.42  
SCR  DISCO BALL               (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  GULFSTREAM WAY               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  MY BUDDY B               (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
 
CD-10   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Iroquois Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JONATHAN'S WAY 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 13 12¾ (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 21% 3.70 1.26 W
5  OWEN ALMIGHTY 4 2 41¼ 41½ 32 33½ 22¾ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.99 P
2  GIOCOSO 1 6 52¾ 51¾ 2½ 23 37 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 24.58 S
11  MESERO 10 8 85¼ 73¼ 74¼ 55½ 47¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00 21.86  
7  SANDMAN 6 10 106¼ 94¾ 96¼ 77¾ 510 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 ★ 5.21  
3  JACK'S TIME 2 1 21 31½ 62¾ 45½ 610¼ (von ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.95  
8  MAGNITUDE 7 4 31 2½ 52½ 87¾ 712 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 16.01  
6  STRUMMIN 5 7 1110¾ 1112¼ 1111¼ 1011¼ 812 (hancock joh)TORRES A 122 12.00 49.38  
4  AUTHENTIC STRIKE 3 5 62¾ 62¼ 42 67½ 914½ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 10.09  
9  FIRMUS 8 9 73¼ 105¼ 109¼ 1111¾ 1016 (catalano w)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 57.26  
12  POLITICALLYCORRECT 11 11 95¾ 83¾ 84¾ 99¼ 1118¼ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 27% 2.70 16.40  
SCR  FIRST RESORT               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
 
CD-11   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:01
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:134 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HANDSOME PANTS 4 8 64½ 65½ 41½ 1½ 11½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.33 W
11  KINETIC CONTROL 10 11 86 76 62¼ 2½ 21½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 37% 1.70 0.79 P
9  COOPER 8 10 1111½ 1112½ 95¼ 45 35¾ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00 6.40  
3  MONET'S MAGIC 3 5 75 86½ 84¾ 57 410½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 54.54  
5  TICKLED QUIST 5 3 1½ 22½ 1nk 34½ 512½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 30% 2.30 5.72  
6  SO SANDY 6 7 108 1011 117¾ 810 616¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 17.24  
2  HOMER'S ODYSSEY 2 6 31 44½ 51¾ 77½ 717 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 ★ 13.07  
1  VADEN 1 9 97½ 99 105¾ 910¼ 822 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 62.55  
10  THUNDERHAWK 9 1 51½ 12½ 2nk 67½ 922¾ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 17.95  
7  DESERT AIRE 7 4 2½ 34 31 1012¼ 1029¼ (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9% 9.60 25.42  
13  RIPPED 11 2 41½ 55 72¾ 1114¼ 1130¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 12.00 30.08  
SCR  ABBI FEDE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)               (amoss m)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.