Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (8/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (4/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (10/3/12/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (13/12/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (2/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (5/12/10/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (11/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIRACLE WORKER Jul07 Apr26 Feb19 Apr01 Feb18 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
PARKWAY Aug07 Jul11 Jun30 May19 Apr13 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.50    
FINDAWAY Aug18         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 5.00    
SCR  SHIRL'S BEE Aug05 Nov04 Sep23     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00    
AGOO Jul13 May26 Feb13 Dec23 Nov25 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 6.00 12% 7.40    
TEMECULA Aug11 Jun23 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
CD-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ABERDEEN Sep04 Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 May26 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 121 6.00    
FOXY ZORRA Feb19 Dec31       (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
LOTUS CASE Jul26         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
ELLA ELIZABETH Aug08 Jul06 May30 Aug20   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00    
EFFERVESCENT         (blair jordan)TORRES A 124 12.00    
FLIGHT ON RACE DAY Aug26 Jul27       (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEACH BUNNY Jul27 Jun29       (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
SALLY O'MALLEY Jun29 May03 Mar16     (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00 41% 1.50    
ENDLESS GLOW Aug17 Jun29 Jun08 May11   (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 30% 2.40    
10  ITOOKDAMONEYHONEY         (werre danny)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00    
11  VIN D'OR Aug23         (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
 
CD-3   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERIT Aug03 Jul04 Apr06 Mar01 Feb03 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
GAMBLERS TAIL Jun02 Apr10 Jan09 Nov17   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50    
MO WINNING May25 May03 Jan28 Jan01 Nov13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE Aug05 Jul05 May23 May05 Apr13 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
MY FRIEND LOUIE Aug17 Jun07 May04 Apr12 Mar13 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00    
MANDALORIAN Aug29 Jun06 May11     (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
MR MCGREGOR Aug26 Jul21 Jun20 Oct12 Sep10 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 30% 2.40    
MO RUM Aug25 Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 Mar24 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
ASK ARTHUR Aug17 Jul25 Jun15 May19 Apr06 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
10  BETTERA Aug18 Jul15 Jun12 May26 Apr30 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
CD-4   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANISHED Dec14 Nov19 Oct19 Sep16 Jul15 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
SHEZALITTLESTINKER Aug19 Jul13 Jun08     (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
VINO FRIZZANTE Aug31 Dec30       (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
UNION MIST Jun28 Jun01 May03 Mar23 Feb24 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
RUNCATHERINERUN Aug17         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
VIABLE Jul13 Jan10 Nov29 Nov03   (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
PRESTWICK Jul06         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEGACY DEFINED Jul27 Jul31       (hobby steve)ROCCO S 120 20.00    
LEISURE TIME Aug17         (medina robert)TORRES A 120 8.00 7% 12.70    
10  CHURNING BERNI Aug19 Jul13 Jun07 Apr27 Mar14 (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
 
CD-5   09/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 Open Mind Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR THE HILLS Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 May03 Apr07 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
ZEITLOS Jul25 May24 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
POSITANO SUNSET Aug24 Jun22 May27 Apr27 Aug13 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 2.50 10% 8.90    
HAPPY AM I Jul05 May27 Apr27 Feb03 Nov19 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 6% 15.30    
BACKYARD MONEY Sep01 Jul14 Jun26 Jun09 May17 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
UNSUNG MELODY Aug07 Jul05 May27 May17 Apr24 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
 
CD-6   09/14/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD SWEEP Aug19 Jan28 Oct07 Sep04 Jul15 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
LINEBACKER Aug10 Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 Oct22 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
HARRODSBURG Aug04 Jun28 May24 Apr12 Jul01 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
HOUSE UNITED Jun30 May19 May04 Mar23   (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
EDIFIED Aug23 Jul27 Jun19 Oct14 Sep16 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  AZTECA'S GOLD Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 Apr16 Nov07 (lacroix gene)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
THINK BIG Jul27 Jun30       (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
GLOBAL STAGE Aug03 Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 Apr06 (cano muno)TORRES A 123 20.00 6% 16.80    
OWN THE FIELD Aug07 Jul18 Jun07 Apr21 Apr07 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00    
10  STAR OF WONDER Jun02         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
11  CALL ME ANDY Dec02 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Jul02 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
12  ATTACHE Jul07 Jun06 Nov22 Nov05 Oct12 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
 
CD-7   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC13 Fasig-Tipton Locust Grove Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL MISCHIEF Aug11 Jun30 May17 Apr13 Jan20 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
FREE LIKE A GIRL Aug23 Jun29 May03 Apr13 Mar24 (pomier devil)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
TAXED Aug11 Jun29 May27 Apr13 Mar16 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
LOVED Jul06 Apr19 Jul22 Jun11 May12 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 32% 2.10    
PIGALLE Aug11 May26 Nov16 Nov05 Jul22 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00    
CORNINGSTONE Jun22 Jun09 Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00    
SHOTGUN HOTTIE Jul21 Jun29 May17 Apr13 Mar09 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 2.00    
HOOSIER PHILLY Jun29 Jun01 Apr27 Mar30 Nov04 (amoss m)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 Pocahontas Purse ($300K) 2 F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATTANOOGA CREW Aug04 Jul06       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
ICONA MAMA Aug18 Jul22       (stites w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 18.50    
LA CARA Aug11 Jul14 Jun21 May17   (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
EMPIRICAL MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun26       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
HEARTS UNITED Aug12 Jul21       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
PRETTY SURE Aug25         (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
QUINN'S PROMISE Jul29 Jul04       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 10.00    
ATOMIC CITY Aug04 Jun28       (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STRONG STATE Aug31 Jul11 Jun16     (stall m)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 12% 7.30    
10  LADY KATHRYN Aug25 Jul15 Jun21     (mott riley)TORRES A 122 10.00    
11  WEST MEMORIAL Jul11 Jun06 May02 Apr07   (weaver george)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
12  STILETTOS Aug11 Jun29       (calhoun william )ORTIZ L 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
13  KIMCHI CAT Aug18 Jul14 Jun14     (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
14  LIAM IN THE DUST Aug11         (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  CLAIRE'S CHARM Aug18         (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD CHEER Aug05         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 Louisville Thoroughbred Societ Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GULFSTREAM WAY Sep12 Jul21 Oct06 Sep16 Aug04 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
CLOSETHEGAME SUGAR Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 May02 Sep18 (rice adam)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
CYCLONE MISCHIEF Aug03 Jun30 May03 Apr12 Jan27 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 12.00    
SCR  MY BUDDY B Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 May27 Mar08 (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
SCR  DISCO BALL Aug22 Aug08 Jun07 Mar29 Mar03 (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
HERE MI SONG Jul21 Jun01 May04 Mar09 Aug13 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 7% 12.40    
HAPPY IS A CHOICE Jul21 Jun22 Apr13 Mar03 Jan26 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
MANNY WAH Aug28 Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 Nov04 (ennis john)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
NECKER ISLAND Aug04 Jul05 May02 Dec30 Dec09 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SKELLY Jul27 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Feb03 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
CD-10   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC12 Iroquois Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST RESORT Aug10 Jul05       (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
GIOCOSO Aug05 Jul07 Jun20     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
JACK'S TIME Aug10         (von ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
AUTHENTIC STRIKE Aug12         (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
OWEN ALMIGHTY Aug11 Jun20       (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
STRUMMIN Aug26 Jul07 May26 May02 Apr17 (hancock joh)TORRES A 122 12.00    
SANDMAN Aug10 Jun27       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
MAGNITUDE Jul20 Jun06       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
FIRMUS Aug24         (catalano w)SANTANA JR 122 20.00    
10  JONATHAN'S WAY Aug17         (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 21% 3.70    
11  MESERO Jul29         (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
12  POLITICALLYCORRECT Aug11 Jun30 May30     (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-11   09/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VADEN Aug12         (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
HOMER'S ODYSSEY Aug05 Jul07       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50    
MONET'S MAGIC Aug12         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
HANDSOME PANTS         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TICKLED QUIST Aug26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
SO SANDY Aug12         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
DESERT AIRE Aug24         (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG) Jul27         (amoss m)TORRES A 119 12.00    
COOPER Jul20         (mott i)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
10  THUNDERHAWK Jul29         (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
11  KINETIC CONTROL Aug12         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ABBI FEDE Aug05         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
13  RIPPED Aug03         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.