Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.10  
SAR-2   Win (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
SAR-3   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $10.80  
SAR-4   Win (8/10/16/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
SAR-5   Win (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 11.20
SAR-6   Win (11/10/16/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $13.60  
SAR-7   Win (11/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
SAR-8   Win (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
SAR-9   Win (8/2/12/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $8.10 $8.10  
SAR-10   Win (4/6/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $25.40 $25.40 15.40
SAR-11   Win (4/16/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 16 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILAND 5 1 22 22   11 1¼ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 2.55  
CLAIRE'S CHARM 2 6 4 4   21 2¼ (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 1.60  
COMPLEX GAL 1 5 32 32   42 37 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
RATIONAL THEORY 6 4 12 12   31 4 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.50 8.80  
BURIANA 3 3 5 5   55 511 (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.20  
1A  VANILLA SUNDAE 4 2 6 6   611 615 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 48% 1.10 3.25  
SCR  ICE CREAM BOAT               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.40    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2024 7260ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:133 1:382   2:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HEBRIDES 4 22 2 2 1½ 13 1 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.85 W
10  THE TACO LADY 6 12 1 1 2½ 23 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 7.00  
JITTERBUG 1 65 6 65 5 410½ 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00 2.00  
PAST TENSE 5 3 32 3 36 310 410¼ (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 30% 2.40 3.35  
MALIBU'S DYNAMITE 2 4 43 4 4 515½ 517¼ (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 118 50.00 34.00  
APPELLATE 3 5 5 5 6 620½ 637½ (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 41% 1.50 3.50  
SCR  ADDAGIRL ADDIE               (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
SCR  COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  QUITE CONTINENTAL               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  SHADE OF PALE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Evan Shipman Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:123 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK FRENZY 3 5 56 55 4 4 1 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 4.40  
MAKER'S CANDY 4 2 11 1 1nk 1nk 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 31% 2.20 4.70 P
SHERIFF BIANCO 1 1 3 3 2nk 3.2 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8% 12.20 7.30 S
CICCIOBELLO 2 4 4 43 3.2 2nk 42 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 117 8.00 15.40  
WHITTINGTON PARK 6 6 6 67 6 5 511½ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 8.00  
DONEGAL SURGES 5 3 21 2 5 621¼ 653 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 34% 1.90 0.80  
 
SAR-4   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  TOMMY TWO SOCKS 7 6 34 3   34 1nk (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 10.20 2.40 W
RAGING 4 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 40% 1.50 1.50 P
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 3 3 4 611½   58 3 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 9.40  
10  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 5 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 31% 2.20 3.05  
SOLO'S FURY 1 5 5 48   47 5 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
11  BUCKORTWO 6 2 7 712½   611 6 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 39.50  
PATRIARCHAL 2 7 6 5   711 7 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 13.50  
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE               (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
SCR  SCHNITTKER               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND               (sacco d)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN               (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL MAESTRO               (quick j)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  KREESA               (dixon k)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  KORRONGO               (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR               (potts wayne)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
SCR  IRISH TENOR               (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
 
SAR-5   08/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELSON AVENUE 6 4 3 2½   11 1 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 9% 10.40 8.60 W
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 3 5 4 52   31 2 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 4.40  
DIDINGER 7 3 1½ 1½   21 3 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 12.40  
TRIDENT HIT 1 7 8 77   6 4 (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 19% 4.20 13.40  
I GOT NO MUNNY 4 2 54 42   43 5 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 33% 2.10 1.55  
SQUIRE CREEK 5 1 2½ 3   54 612 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 3.20  
SYNTHESIS 2 8 78 8   7 716 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 23.70  
MILTON THE MONSTER 8 6 6 65   8 820¾ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 6% 15.30 9.70  
 
SAR-6   08/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ESTHER 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 1hd (martin f)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 5.80  
10  LU'S REDEMPTION 5 4 4 31 31 31 2hd (duggan p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 18% 4.50 3.90 P
16  CORRI FELICE 8 3 21 2nk 2nk 2½ 3¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 6% 14.70 1.75 S
11  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS 6 8 8 7 5 44 43 (giddings melanie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 46% 1.20 5.10  
12  WATCH OVER ME 7 6 6 5 42 56 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 6.20  
HAYES BAY 2 5 5 8 610½ 611 611¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
SAVANNAH DANCER 1 7 7 6 710¾ 817 724¾ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 32.50  
LIL' HAYADOIN 3 2 33 4 811¼ 715 825¾ (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 26.00  
SCR  DUBAWI WOWIE               (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE               (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  LADY LAOBAN               (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman jr)USKE S 124 30.00    
SCR  SHE IS ALL BUSINES               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  SUPERSTARSUSAN               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  TONE OF SILENCE               (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
 
SAR-7   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:28
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIMCHI CAT 5 3 32 31   11 1 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 25% 3.10 3.00 W
ICONA MAMA 1 5 4 43   4 2 (stites flint )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00 5% 19.00 29.00 P
VIGGIEDAL 2 1 11 1½   21 35 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 19% 4.40 1.30 S
ME GOVERNOR 3 4 21 2½   3 4 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 10.90  
10  FORTUNA MIA 6 6 7 7   66 57 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 8.70  
11  OBLIGING 7 2 55 5   56 69 (delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 26% 2.90 5.90  
ABIENTOT 4 7 6 68   7 718¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 5.60  
SCR  DREAMGIRL               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
SCR  MIGHTY ERIU (IRE)               (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
SCR  YESTERDAY (IRE)               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
 
SAR-8   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:132 1:263   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARRON'S BOUNCE 9 4 3½ 2 11 1½ 15 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 23% 3.30 6.00 W
TIZ THE PRINCE 7 10 1017¾ 1014½ 1020 4 25 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 8% 10.90 6.50 P
ALBEDO 1 2 9 9 55 35 3 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5.20  
WAFLR 3 1 1½ 1 21 2½ 4 (donk david)RIVERA R 124 12.00 10.90  
BERNING BEAUTY 6 9 7 5 66 5 5 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 45% 1.20 2.75  
SENEGAL 4 3 2½ 4 3 6 612¾ (antonucci m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 3.40  
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY 5 5 5 6 910 916 717½ (schettino )DAVIS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 31.75  
10  KILKERRAN 10 7 41 32 4 814 818 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 20.80  
NEPTUNE BEACH 2 6 8 8 8 711½ 920¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 12.90  
ROUGH GUY 8 8 6 75 77 1028 1046½ (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 124 15.00 30.00  
SCR  BURN RUBBER               (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  JANSSEN               (lakeman andrew)JARA FERNANDO 118 3.00    
SCR  STANLEY ROUGH               (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
 
SAR-9   08/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHIEF 7 3 5 5   1½ 1nk (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.05 W
MAGIA NERA 3 10 7 66   32 2nk (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 2.05 P
MONTEBELLO 2 1 63 7   7 3½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 7.50  
12  THANK YOU JON 11 2 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 124 10.00 14% 6.20 12.40  
11  SOUTH STREET 10 11 1010¾ 1010½   9 5 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 13.70  
1A  BADLANDS RULER 1 9 9 810   8 6 (chatterpaul nai)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 16.30  
PHILHARMONIC 5 7 8 910½   10 7 (zito p)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00 20.60  
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 6 4 2½ 43   63 810¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 11% 8.10 9.90  
STOP THE SPREAD 4 6 41 3   53 910¼ (caramori e)DAVIS A 122 30.00 43.50  
SINFUL DANCER 8 5 3½ 2½   4 1011¼ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 122 30.00 5% 19.00 44.50  
10  UNCLE MARTY 9 8 1111¼ 1115½   1112¼ 1126 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 7.20  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 12 12 12100 12100   12100 12100 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS               (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 124 12.00    
 
SAR-10   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY CARA 8 9 8 6   6 1½ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00 9% 9.80 11.70 W
BETTER HUMOR ME 4 3 2½ 5   4 2½ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 28% 2.60 3.30 P
EASY PLAY 9 7 5 31   5 3 (d'alessandro ralp)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 9.60  
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE 6 1 1½ 1nk   11 4 (englehart chris)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 22% 3.60 1.80  
ENFUEGA 2 5 4¾ 4   31 55 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 4.20  
JACKSON AVENUE 5 4 9 9   96 6 (breed)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00 33.75  
MEL'S BABY SISTER 3 6 6 7   7 7 (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY 7 2 3½ 2nk   21 8 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 10.70  
NEWSDLEY 1 8 7 8   8 912¼ (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 11% 8.30 20.70  
 
SAR-11   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:141 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  COLLOQUY 7 6 4 52 4 1nk 1hd (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 15% 5.90 5.90 W
15  ROCCO STRONG 6 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 2nk 2hd (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 3.60  
13  SKYLANDER 5 4 3 3 31 31 3½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 1.90  
STREET READY 1 5 65 7 5 5 4 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 48% 1.10 8.10  
12  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 4 2 5 42 7 7 5 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 118 8.00 13% 6.80 17.70  
YONO 2 7 7 6 6 67 6 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00 4.70  
LANDBISCUIT 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 4 7 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  SUERTE               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  MARWAD (GB)               (moubarak nader)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  ICE TIME               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  HARROW               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
SCR  FRONT MAN               (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  EVER DANGEROUS               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
SCR  BOURBON DAY               (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50    
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DIAMOND               (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.