Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Sunday - August 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (6/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (8/10/16/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (11/10/16/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (11/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (8/2/12/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (4/6/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (4/16/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  VANILLA SUNDAE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.40 48% 1.10    
SCR  ICE CREAM BOAT         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.40    
COMPLEX GAL         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLAIRE'S CHARM         (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
BURIANA Jul28 Jun26       (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
BRILAND         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50    
RATIONAL THEORY         (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
 
SAR-2   08/18/2024 7260ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADE OF PALE Jun15 Aug05       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
JITTERBUG Jul21 Jun20 May24 Feb03   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00    
SCR  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 May04 Apr06 (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
MALIBU'S DYNAMITE Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Feb24   (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 118 50.00    
SCR  COMPETITIVE THREAT (IRE) Jul21 Sep16       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
APPELLATE Jul14 Jun15 Oct06 Sep03 Jul23 (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  QUITE CONTINENTAL Jul24 Mar29 Jan28     (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
MISS HEBRIDES Jul14         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAST TENSE Jul21 Jun20 May24 May04 Mar31 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 30% 2.40    
10  THE TACO LADY Aug08 Jul17 May18 May04 Mar10 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 5.00    
 
SAR-3   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Evan Shipman Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERIFF BIANCO Aug08 Jun29 Jun09 May02 Nov26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8% 12.20    
CICCIOBELLO Aug01 Jun29 Oct29 Oct07 Sep09 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 117 8.00    
BANK FRENZY May26 Apr14 Sep24 Aug31 Apr22 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50    
MAKER'S CANDY Jun09 May17 Apr07 Feb24 Jan27 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
DONEGAL SURGES Jun09 May02 Mar29 Feb24 Jan27 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
WHITTINGTON PARK Jun09 May03 Apr06 Feb24 Jan13 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
 
SAR-4   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO'S FURY Jun28 Dec16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep04 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLAYGROUND LEGEND Jul13 Jun16 Aug26 Jul22 May28 (sacco d)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  WAR TERMINATOR Jul13 Jun22 May25 Oct05 Aug31 (potts wayne)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
PATRIARCHAL Jun20 May30 Apr30 Apr17 Mar16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  SCHNITTKER Jul03 May22 Mar30     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50    
SCR  IRISH TENOR Jul31 Jun14 May26 Apr04 Mar10 (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Oct06 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
RAGING Feb23 Jan06 Dec16     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  KREESA Jul21 Jun22 May25 Apr21 Nov11 (dixon k)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
10  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jul12 Jun16 Jul08 May20 Apr22 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  BUCKORTWO Jul21 Jun29 May25 Nov16 Oct05 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL MAESTRO Jul21 Jun23 Jun07 Apr14 Mar16 (quick j)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  KORRONGO Jul21 Jun28 May31 Apr26 Apr07 (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
SCR  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug04 Jun14 May09 Apr28 Mar22 (friedman mitchel)LUZZI J 122 20.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Jun21 Apr19 Apr03 Feb02 Jan24 (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
16  TOMMY TWO SOCKS Jul18 Jun08 Apr28 Mar31 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 9% 10.20    
 
SAR-5   08/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIDENT HIT Apr26 Mar30 Jan26 Oct27 Sep17 (moquett ronald)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
SYNTHESIS Jul31 Jul14 May26 Apr20 Mar30 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jul22 Jun29 May16 Aug19 Jul29 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00    
I GOT NO MUNNY Jul13 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 Jul23 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 33% 2.10    
SQUIRE CREEK Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 Apr21 Mar03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
NELSON AVENUE Aug08 Jul13 May01 Mar09 Jan20 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
DIDINGER Jul13 Jun12 Apr17 Mar06 Jan30 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
MILTON THE MONSTER Jul13 Oct14 Jul08 May21 Apr27 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 6% 15.30    
 
SAR-6   08/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARLIGHT DANCER Jul07 May19 Oct29     (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  LADY LAOBAN Jul05 Jun08 Nov17 Aug27 Jul29 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
SAVANNAH DANCER Jul05 Jun14 May04 Feb24   (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
HAYES BAY Aug01 Aug17       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TONE OF SILENCE Jun27 Jun09 Nov09     (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
SCR  DUBAWI WOWIE Jul04 May04 Apr06     (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
LIL' HAYADOIN Jul19 Mar29 Oct29     (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SPIRIT OF ESTHER Aug02 Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr06 (martin f)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  HOLDER CLOSE Jul24 Jun22 Jun09 Feb16 Jan12 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
10  LU'S REDEMPTION Jul24 Jun14 May04 Oct29 Oct01 (duggan p)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 18% 4.50    
11  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jul24 Jul04 Jun09 May11 Mar28 (giddings melanie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 46% 1.20    
12  WATCH OVER ME Jul07 Oct26       (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
SCR  SUPERSTARSUSAN Jul26 Jul07 May19 Nov19 Sep15 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Jul26 Feb16 Feb02 Dec30 Nov25 (pregman jr)USKE S 124 30.00    
SCR  SHE IS ALL BUSINES Jul27 Oct12 Sep15     (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
16  CORRI FELICE Jul05 Jun02 May16 Apr26 May05 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 6% 14.70    
 
SAR-7   08/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Bolton Landing Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 4:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICONA MAMA Jul22         (stites flint )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIGHTY ERIU (IRE)         (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
SCR  DREAMGIRL Jul11 Jun14       (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
VIGGIEDAL Jul11 Jun14       (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
ME GOVERNOR Jul28 Jul04 Jun16     (david a)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT Jul13         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
SCR  YESTERDAY (IRE) Jul21         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
ABIENTOT Jul18 Jun21       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
KIMCHI CAT Jul14 Jun14       (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 25% 3.10    
10  FORTUNA MIA Jun30 May13       (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 10.00    
11  OBLIGING Jul13 Jun01       (delgado jorge)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
SAR-8   08/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBEDO Jul18 Nov03 Oct14 Sep14 Aug23 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
NEPTUNE BEACH Jun22 May03 Apr11 Mar09 Feb18 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
WAFLR Aug11 Jul05 Jun22 May19 Mar09 (donk david)RIVERA R 124 12.00    
SENEGAL Jul18 Jul27       (antonucci m)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SLOW DOWN BIG ANDY Jul25 Apr13 Feb25     (schettino )DAVIS A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BERNING BEAUTY Jun14 Apr13 Feb11 Jan13   (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
TIZ THE PRINCE Jul25 Jun30 Jun06 Nov12   (duggan p)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 8% 10.90    
ROUGH GUY Oct05 Sep13       (goodwin gabrie)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
BARRON'S BOUNCE Jul24 May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar10 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
10  KILKERRAN Oct14         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  JANSSEN Jul24 Jul05 May19 Apr19 Apr11 (lakeman andrew)JARA FERNANDO 118 3.00    
SCR  STANLEY ROUGH Jul24 Jun27 May25 Apr28   (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SCR  BURN RUBBER         (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BADLANDS RULER Aug11 Jun29 May09 Mar21 Feb19 (chatterpaul nai)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS Feb29 Jan28 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 124 12.00    
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL Jul28 Apr13 Mar09 Mar01 Feb17 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
MONTEBELLO Apr12 Feb29 Feb03 Dec03 Aug23 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
MAGIA NERA Jul14 May12 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
STOP THE SPREAD Jul21 Jul14 Jun06 Apr12 Mar21 (caramori e)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
PHILHARMONIC Jul14 May24 Apr19 Mar29 Dec17 (zito p)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Jul21 Dec10 Nov16 Oct20 Aug03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
SUPER CHIEF Jul31 Jun07 Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SINFUL DANCER Jul28 Jul12 Jun07 May05 Apr21 (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNCLE MARTY Apr26 Feb04 Dec17 Oct20 Sep24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 5.00    
11  SOUTH STREET Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 May22 Apr28 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
12  THANK YOU JON Jul14 Jun16 May17 May05 Mar29 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
 
SAR-10   08/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWSDLEY Jul25 Jun30 May16 Apr18 Feb17 (synnefias )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
ENFUEGA Jul28 Jun30 Nov05 Sep28   (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
MEL'S BABY SISTER Jul24 Jun09 May10 Jan28 Dec31 (giddings melanie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BETTER HUMOR ME Jul25 Dec15 Nov25 Oct12 Aug12 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
JACKSON AVENUE Aug05 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (breed)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE Jul22 Jun17 May20 Nov08 Sep19 (englehart chris)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Jul28 Jul02 Jun10 Nov14 Oct24 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
FOXY CARA Aug02 Jul07 Jun20 May24 May16 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.00 9% 9.80    
EASY PLAY Jul25 Jul02 Jun10 Apr25 Apr18 (d'alessandro ralp)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
 
SAR-11   08/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Jul24 Jul05 May18 Mar23 Feb17 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  MARWAD (GB) Jun23 May25 Jan27 Dec30 Nov11 (moubarak nader)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  HARROW Apr10 Mar10 Feb16 Dec24 Apr16 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
STREET READY Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 Dec23 Sep23 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  EVER DANGEROUS Jun09 Apr23 Mar15 Jan28 Jan01 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
YONO Jul19 Jun15 May12 Apr11 Feb03 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
LANDBISCUIT Jul24 May26 May12 Apr26 Oct28 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMERICAN DIAMOND Jul24 Jun19 May02 Mar03 Jan06 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  FRONT MAN Jul12 Jun29 May26 Nov18 Oct13 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  BOURBON DAY Jul24 Jun04 May13 Mar10 Feb08 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 2.50    
SCR  SUERTE Jul13 Jun08 Mar09 Jan27 Dec30 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
12  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jul19 Jun06 Mar29 Feb09 Jan12 (barrera s)RIDER TBA 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
13  SKYLANDER Jul19 Jun21 May25 Apr06 Mar16 (sharp joe)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  ICE TIME Jul21 May18 Apr24 Nov29 Nov16 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
15  ROCCO STRONG Aug01 Jul11 Jun07 Apr28 Mar30 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
16  COLLOQUY Aug04 May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 (chichakly amira)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 15% 5.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.