Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (10/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $4.00  
SAR-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.10  
SAR-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $5.60  
SAR-4   Win (6/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.10 $7.10  
SAR-5   Win (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $6.20  
SAR-6   Win (6/5/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $9.50  
SAR-7   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
SAR-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.50  
SAR-9   Win (9/3/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.30 $6.30  
SAR-10   Win (7/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $7.70 $7.70  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITH THE ANGELS 7 1 12 1   1 111½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 1.00  
STONE SMUGGLER 4 3 22 2   2 211½ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6% 15.60 5.80 P
PRINCESS MISCHIEF 3 8 7 7   413½ 313¾ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 29.50  
FRANKIE HICCUPS 1 6 5 68   313½ 414¼ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.80  
WILLFUL MAMA 2 7 43 4   513¾ 517½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 15.60  
10  VEHEMENTE 8 2 32 3   615¾ 619¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 62% 0.60 4.00  
FIVE G 6 5 6 5   716¾ 722 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6% 15.60 5.30  
PRETTY MAGICAL 5 4 8 821½   831¾ 832 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 18.00  
SCR  MATERIAL GIRL               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
SCR  MISS WELCH               (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00    
 
SAR-2   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Ballston Spa Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:15 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) 3 2 11 11 1nk 1½ 1¼ (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50 2.55  
GINA ROMANTICA 4 1 4 4 3½ 31 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 0.90  
DELAHAYE 2 3 21 21 2nk 2½ 3¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 40% 1.50 3.20 S
SURPRISINGLY 1 4 3 3 41 43 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 11% 8.50 5.70  
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
SCR  COPPICE (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  HOOSIER PHILLY               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 0.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
 
SAR-3   08/22/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:164 1:421 2:073 2:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TIME (FR) 1 31 32 3 3 1½ 1 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 1.80  
JUSTDENY 7 21 21 2 21 2½ 2 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 7.90 P
SY B 3 5 5 55 54 5 3 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 2.05  
POWER AND GLORY 2 7 7 7 65 6 4 (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 118 50.00 44.75  
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) 4 42 4 4 4 4 5 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 67% 0.50 2.40  
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE 5 64 6 6 76 7 6 (miller darrin)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
A NEW PEACE 6 11 11 1 11 3 79 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 20.00 40.00  
SCR  BROUGHTY FERRY               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 123 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF ARMS 5 6 52 4   31 1 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 1.80 31% 2.20 2.55 W
BRITERDAYZAHEAD 8 2 2½ 2½   11 2 (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 2.25  
1A  MISTER J T 6 7 8 7   6 3 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 20% 3.90 4.00 S
SCARAMANGA (IRE) 1 4 3 32   4 43 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 10.00 13.20  
JOKING WAY 2 8 65 6   5 53 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 15.50  
SAFFA'S DAY 3 1 1½ 1½   21 64 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 16% 5.30 3.65  
COMMERCE COMET 7 5 4 5   75 711 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
BRONX BOMBER 4 3 7 88   87 817½ (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.00  
SCR  CAPONE               (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  MASTERMIND               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR SOME REASON 2 1 1nk 11   13 15 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 2.10  
MAGNIFICENT MILE 1 3 2nk 21   23 25 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 23% 3.30 0.80 P
THREE ZERO 3 2 31 3   3 3 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 46% 1.20 2.15 S
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  STINGY               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW               (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  UPSIDE POTENTIAL               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
SCR  ANTHRACITE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER               (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
 
SAR-6   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:153 1:404   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNIE GOODBODY 2 3 6 64 33 1½ 1 (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 3.75  
LUCKFORYOU 7 9 1nk 12 11 2½ 2 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 119 30.00 25.00  
LOTUS PETAL 1 5 9 9 67 4 36 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.50 S
KATERINA RISTOVA 4 6 8 87 5 3 47 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 44.00  
AUTHENTICATE NOW 8 8 5 4 21 57 513¾ (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
BISA 3 2 7 76 910½ 7 613¾ (caramori e)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.25  
10  SOMEONE 9 7 3 3 4 68 718½ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 4.30  
MEZCALIFORNIA 5 1 42 54 810 812½ 824 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 18% 4.50 2.55  
TECA 6 4 2nk 22 7 915½ 928½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 53% 0.90 4.60  
SCR  BOSSY DISH               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
SCR  MARGO'S MARGARITA               (synnefias pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:114 1:372   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMERA 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 1½ (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30 DQ↓3
HEADLINE NUMBERS 6 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 51% 0.90 0.60 W
WHOCOULDASKFORMO 3 4 63 31 31 3 3 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 8.60  
CENTRAL AVENUE 2 3 32 52 56 414½ 415 (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 20% 3.90 3.50  
STANDOUTSENSATION 4 5 42 62 4 515 521 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 7.30  
SWEET MYSTERY 5 6 5 4 67 616 631 (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 32.00  
SCR  FADE TO GREY               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00    
 
SAR-8   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO BALL 1 2 1 1   1 1 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 1.75  
KAVOD 3 4 5 2   2 2 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 5.30  
LITTLE VIC 2 1 2 3   33 3 (avila carl)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.95 S
RUNNINSONOFAGUN 5 3 4 4   45 4 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 29% 2.50 4.20  
GUN IT 4 5 3 56   57 514¾ (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 2.50  
SCR  DURANTE               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50    
SCR  GULFPORT               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
SCR  MAJOR BLUE               (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
 
SAR-9   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:141 1:392   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T FOOL ME 3 4 64 6 7 4 1 (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 25% 3.00 2.15 W
BERNT AGAIN 1 1 32 32 4 2½ 2 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 23.00  
10  IM JUST KIDDIN 9 7 2 21 21 3 3 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 5% 19.00 2.00 S
SPOOKY LADY 4 3 1 11 11 1½ 45 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 22% 3.50 5.00  
SOLIB 8 8 5 5 3 52 55 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 27% 2.80 7.90  
SNOWY EVENING 7 9 85 7 6 7 6 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5.30  
RACING COLORS 5 5 7 8 8 6 7 (follett norman)HARKIE K 124 30.00 57.50  
AMITY ISLAND 6 6 9 9 910¾ 8 813¾ (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 50.00 64.25  
SWEETEST PRINCESS 2 2 43 42 54 912¾ 921¾ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 25.50  
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE               (schettino dominick )RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
SCR  MAGGIE T               (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
SCR  OVERACTING               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
 
SAR-10   08/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:222 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA SALVADORENA 6 5 6 3   1½ 12 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 13% 6.90 2.85 W
OUT TOO LATE (GB) 8 9 84 8   4 22 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00 18.40  
SHOP LIFTING 7 7 7 9   5 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 34% 1.90 7.30 S
CHARDAN 4 6 95 7   8 4 (moubarak n)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 56.75  
PRECISELY 2 1 1½ 1½   2½ 5 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00 6.90  
UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE) 1 4 5 4   73 6 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 3.15  
ARRASOU 3 2 4 5   6 7 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 31% 2.20 3.10  
BLACKFOOT DAISY 5 3 2½ 2½   3½ 8 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
SEINE (ARG) 9 8 3 6   910 927¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 23.00  
SCR  BILES (IRE)               (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.