Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (10/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-4   Win (6/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (6/5/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (9/3/5/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (7/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKIE HICCUPS         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS WELCH Jul26         (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.00    
WILLFUL MAMA         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00    
PRINCESS MISCHIEF         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
STONE SMUGGLER         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 6% 15.60    
PRETTY MAGICAL         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
FIVE G         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 6% 15.60    
WITH THE ANGELS         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
SCR  MATERIAL GIRL         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
10  VEHEMENTE Jul17         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 62% 0.60    
 
SAR-2   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Ballston Spa Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRISINGLY Jul20 Jun07 May03 Mar30 Jan27 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  COPPICE (GB) Jul13 Jun07 May04     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
DELAHAYE Jul20 Jun02 May04 Mar23 Jan31 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) Jul20 Jun07 Apr13 Dec03 Oct27 (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50    
GINA ROMANTICA Jul13 Jun07 Apr13 Nov04 Oct07 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80    
SCR  HOOSIER PHILLY Jun29 Jun01 Apr27 Mar30 Nov04 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 0.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Aug03 Jul26 Apr14 Mar30 Feb25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50    
SCR  AMANDA'S FOLLY Jul11 Jun21 May10 Dec28 Oct29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
 
SAR-3   08/22/2024 7260ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TIME (FR) Jul25 Jul07 Apr25 Nov12   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00    
POWER AND GLORY Aug03 Jul19 Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 118 50.00    
SY B Jul06 May27 Apr05 Mar06 Feb07 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
GLITTERING LIGHTS (GB) Jul21 Jun20 May19 Apr20   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 67% 0.50    
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Jun08 Nov12 Sep10 Aug19 Jun29 (miller darrin)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
A NEW PEACE Aug14 Jul07 Jun27 Jun08 May26 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 20.00    
JUSTDENY Jul25 Jun20 May18 Apr05 Oct27 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
SCR  BROUGHTY FERRY Jul21 Jun12 Apr30 Mar29 Feb01 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
SCR  CRUSHED ICE Jul28 Jul11 Jun20 May17 Mar27 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 123 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONX BOMBER Aug01 Jun29 May05 Apr11 Mar08 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
1A  MISTER J T Aug11 Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar21 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jul28 Jun12 May29 Apr14 Feb28 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 118 10.00    
SCR  CAPONE Apr11 Mar15 Feb09 Jan01 Dec28 (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
JOKING WAY Aug11 Jul12 Jun23 May19 Mar30 (arenas marcelo)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SAFFA'S DAY Aug10 Jul12 May30 Apr21 Apr05 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
MASTER OF ARMS Aug07 Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 Mar10 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  MASTERMIND Jun01 May10 Apr19 Apr05 Mar29 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
COMMERCE COMET Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 Nov16 Aug12 (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Jul21 May27 Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
SAR-5   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UPSIDE POTENTIAL Apr20 Mar01       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00    
SCR  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Jun16 May27 Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  ANTHRACITE Aug11 Jul21 Apr13 Mar21 Feb25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Jun27 May17 Apr19 Apr06 Mar09 (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  STINGY Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr14 Feb10 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Jul14 Jun28 May19 Apr05 Mar29 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER Jul13 Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 (camejo jos)SANTANA JR 120 20.00    
FOR SOME REASON Jul28 Jun09 May09 Mar15 Feb15 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
THREE ZERO Aug15 Jul13 Jun20 May24 Apr25 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 46% 1.20    
 
SAR-6   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTUS PETAL         (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANNIE GOODBODY Jul18         (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
BISA Jul31 Jul13 Jun16     (caramori e)DAVIS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KATERINA RISTOVA Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May27 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
MEZCALIFORNIA Aug07 Jul13       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
TECA Jul11 Jun01       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  BOSSY DISH Aug07 Jun14       (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
LUCKFORYOU Jul04 Jun14 May16     (romero jesus)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
AUTHENTICATE NOW Jul04         (dini mike)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOMEONE Jul26         (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
SCR  MARGO'S MARGARITA Aug02         (synnefias pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/22/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMERA Jul18 Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CENTRAL AVENUE Jul28 Nov25 Oct07 Aug31   (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  FADE TO GREY Jul17 Jun16       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 5.00    
WHOCOULDASKFORMO May17 Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 Dec31 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
STANDOUTSENSATION Jul28 Jun01 May03 Apr05 Feb17 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SWEET MYSTERY Jul28 Jul04 May11 Apr14 Feb11 (quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
HEADLINE NUMBERS Jul04         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
SAR-8   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO BALL Aug08 Jun07 Mar29 Mar03 Jan05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50    
SCR  DURANTE Aug11 May11 May04 Jan27 Dec30 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 3.50    
SCR  MAJOR BLUE Jul26 Jun08 May02 Apr06 Mar10 (lukas wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
SCR  GULFPORT Jun30 Apr07 Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.60 32% 2.10    
LITTLE VIC Jul28 May27 Mar23 Feb10 Sep03 (avila carl)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
KAVOD Jun29 Jun08 May02 Apr07 Mar14 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
GUN IT Jul20 Jun08 May26 Nov17 Oct14 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50    
RUNNINSONOFAGUN Jul26 Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar04 (toscano t)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 29% 2.50    
 
SAR-9   08/22/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNT AGAIN Jul24 Jan28 Dec14 Oct27 Aug16 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Jul11 Jun09 Apr25 Mar24 Feb17 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAN'T FOOL ME Jul24 Jun23 May25 Nov19 Oct01 (de hor)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  OVERACTING Jul24 Jun09 Apr27 Oct27 Sep04 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50    
SPOOKY LADY Jul24 Jun28 May24 Apr25 Nov19 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
RACING COLORS Jul18 Jun20 May12 Apr12 Mar15 (follett norman)HARKIE K 124 30.00    
AMITY ISLAND Aug14 Jul04 Jun20 May12 Mar15 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 50.00    
SNOWY EVENING Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 May24 Apr25 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SOLIB Jul11 May24 Apr04 Jan05 Dec14 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
10  IM JUST KIDDIN Jul24 Jan04 Sep17 Aug16 Jul19 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE SHOE LADY Jun09 Apr07 Feb24 Jan14   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Jul18 Jun09 May05 Mar17 Feb18 (schettino dominick )RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  MAGGIE T Aug02 Jul07 May02 Apr05 Mar16 (giangiulio m)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY Aug14 Jul24 Jun23 May24 Apr25 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
 
SAR-10   08/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE)         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
PRECISELY Jun11         (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00    
ARRASOU Jul27 Aug25 Jul30     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
CHARDAN Jun28 Apr28 Mar31     (moubarak n)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
BLACKFOOT DAISY Dec14         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LA SALVADORENA Jul14 Jun16 Apr18     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
SHOP LIFTING Jun30 May27 Nov19 Nov04 Aug26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00 34% 1.90    
OUT TOO LATE (GB) Jul14 Jun28 Aug13     (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00    
SEINE (ARG)         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  BILES (IRE)         (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.