Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $6.70  
SAR-2   Win (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $34.00  
SAR-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
SAR-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $7.70  
SAR-5   Win (6/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $16.20 $16.20 8.20
SAR-6   Win (9/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $24.00 $24.00 16.00
SAR-7   Win (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
SAR-8   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 0 $3.80  
SAR-9   Win (5/7/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
SAR-10   Win (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MANHATTAN TWIST 3 2 1½ 11½   11 11¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 2.35  
3  MAN OF MISCHIEF 2 1 2½ 21½   21 21¾ (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 67% 0.50 1.25 P
9  KEEPINITREAL 6 3 36½ 33½   32 32¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 2.35  
6  ROCK STAR REBEL 4 6 58½ 44   43½ 45¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
7  GAMEBRED 5 5 610½ 69½   612 59¼ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 38.25  
1  OZZY 1 4 48 58   510½ 613 (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 17.60  
SCR  OATH OF OMERTA               (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  SALT SPARTAN               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  VIBRANT EXPRESS               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
 
SAR-2   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :451 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCUTTLEBUZZ 3 6 41½ 32   2½ 1½ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 ★ 16.00  
7  CHESS MASTER 4 1 2½ 21   1½ 2½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 7% 13.40 2.65 P
2X  HIGH FRONT 9 5 63¼ 64   41½ 3¾ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40 71% 0.40 1.30 S
3  RITHM NIC 8 7 74¼ 54   52½ 41¾ (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 3.05  
5  THREE ZERO 2 2 1½ 11   3½ 52½ (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
8  NOLO CONTESTO 6 8 84¾ 86½   65 64½ (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 10.00  
2B  HE'S GOT IT 7 3 53 74½   75¼ 75 (abreu r)TORRES A 118 1.40 1.30  
4  ME 'N SAP 1 9 99¼ 910½   912¾ 813¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 32.50  
2  HEAVEN STREET 5 4 31½ 43   812¼ 914¼ (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 1.30  
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD               (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE)               (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  SILARDI               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  SQUIRE CREEK               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80    
 
SAR-3   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:113 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENTATHLON 2 2 32 31½ 31½ 21 13½ (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.40 55% 0.80 0.20 W
2  CUANDO 1 1 12 11 11 11 23½ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
1A  UPSTANDING 8 3 22 21 21 33½ 312½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 0.40 ★ 0.20 S
5  BOURBON'S FAULT 5 4 54 53½ 57½ 47 413 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 11.10  
3  DAILY GRIND 3 6 67 75 68½ 58½ 513 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 8.00 15.80  
6  IGNITE THE LIGHT 6 8 77¼ 64½ 78½ 610 625½ (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 20% 4.10 23.40  
7  FATTOUSH 7 5 43½ 42½ 45½ 712 736¼ (moubarak nader)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 36.00  
4  PRAIRIE DUNES 4 7 810¾ 811½ 813½ 814 838¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 ★ 15.70  
 
SAR-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MINISTERIAL 4 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 1½ 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 2.85  
1  WILD BANKER 1 2 44 43¾ 41¾ 41½ 2¾ (metivier)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 27.25 P
7  HE'S GOT THIS 6 5 55 66¾ 52¼ 31½ 31 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 2.85  
6  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 5 6 66½ 53¾ 31½ 51¾ 42¼ (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 7% 12.40 5.90  
2  CLASSIC MARK 2 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 57½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.70  
4  WINTER'S GHOST 3 1 2nk 2nk 63¾ 69¾ 615¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 57% 0.80 6.80  
SCR  GEEBERT               (guerrero carlos)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VERY STORMY 8 4 42½ 32   2½ 1nk (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 18% 4.50 7.10 W
7  CALL BOB 7 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2nk (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 3.50 2.20  
1  SORORITY PRANK 1 2 32 42½   43 31¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 7.70  
6  CONCORDE SPIRIT 6 5 75¾ 69½   56 44¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 33% 2.10 3.05  
3  HE HAS IT ALL 3 3 1nk 2nk   32 55 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
5  BIG RICH 5 7 65¾ 710   68 68¼ (antonucci je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 6.80  
2  MIDNIGHT LEGEND 2 8 89¾ 813   79½ 711½ (mcburney patrick)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 25.75  
4  ROMANTIC CHARMER 4 6 52¾ 57½   814½ 826½ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
 
SAR-6   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:133 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHE'S GOT WILL 4 4 31 41½ 41½ 31½ 11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 16.90 11.00 W
2  NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE) 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 21 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 4.90  
9  DR GLICK 8 9 85 95 75 55 33½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 30% 2.40 2.60 S
10  WONDERLAND 9 10 106¾ 106½ 106¼ 65¼ 43½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 29% 2.50 4.20  
8  LAUGHING LADY 7 5 42 31 31 43 54¾ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 8.00  
3  SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP 3 8 95¼ 84¾ 96¼ 77¼ 65 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.40  
6  CHELSEY'S CHOICE 5 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 21½ 76¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 6% 16.90 6.60  
7  THUNDER PRINCESS 6 6 52 51¾ 52 810¼ 812¼ (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 22.00  
1  TRADING SECRETS 1 2 63 63¼ 85¼ 911¼ 922 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 13.90  
11  IL SUO ORO 10 7 73½ 73¼ 64 1012¼ 1026¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★ 21.30  
SCR  COMPETITIVE MARKET               (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 5.00    
 
SAR-7   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:252 :512 1:17 1:412   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COURTLY BANKER 4 3 21½ 21½ 2½ 1nk 1¼ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 10% 9.20 2.95 W
2  FIDELIGHTCAYUT 2 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 2nk 2¼ (avila carlo)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 5.00  
7  CABLE READY 7 5 43 42 42 31½ 34 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00 27.00  
6  RUSSIAN REALM 6 7 53¼ 63¼ 74¼ 53 45 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 54% 0.90 4.00  
5  B D SAINTS 5 8 84½ 83¾ 84¾ 64 56¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 16.60  
1  EZ ROLL 1 2 31½ 31½ 32 42 66¼ (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
8  ELYSIAN MEADOWS 8 6 74¼ 53 52½ 74¼ 710¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 3.40  
3  INSTAMATIC 3 4 63¼ 73¼ 64 85¼ 816 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 12% 7.00 5.20  
SCR  DOC SULLIVAN               (miceli michael)RIDER TBA 123 1.00    
SCR  LAND D'ORO               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/15/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:12 1:37   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COOKE CREEK 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12½ (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 ★ 0.90  
5  TABEGUACHE 4 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 22½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 2.00  
1  OLYMPIC DREAMS 1 1 31½ 31½ 35 35 37½ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 40% 1.50 4.50 S
4  NIMITZ CLASS 3 4 48½ 413½ 425 435 445¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5.20  
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  DONEGAL FOREVER               (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
 
SAR-9   08/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMACON 1 2 11 11½ 12½ 13 1¼ (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
5  AMPLITUDE 5 5 54½ 43 44½ 33½ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 35% 1.80 2.00 P
3  D C BOY'S 3 6 75½ 75½ 65¾ 43½ 3¾ (levine bru)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 7.20  
4  FERRIS MULER 4 7 65 64½ 54¾ 23 44 (hosang o)GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00 33.25  
2  CAESAR'S GHOST 2 1 21 53½ 76¼ 66¼ 59½ (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 15.00 26.75  
7  NEW YORK SCRAPPY 6 3 32 21½ 22½ 53¾ 69½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 25% 3.10 2.10  
11  WIND DANCER 7 4 43½ 32 32½ 76¼ 715¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 18% 4.70 8.00  
SCR  ACCIDENTAL BID               (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40    
SCR  BARICCI               (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  CHARLES J               (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
SCR  ISOMARSHALL               (keithan ra)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  KID KREESA               (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 6.00    
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING               (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  TINEBAR               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RILEY JEAN 7 3 31 31½   41 1nk (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
5  LESLIE'S HUMOR 4 5 41¼ 41¾   1½ 2nk (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 26% 2.80 2.90 P
2  RECONCILE 2 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 32½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 3.85  
1  DAUGHTER OF TIME 1 1 1nk 1nk   31 47 (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 3.45  
6  HEAVEN RULES 5 4 63¼ 65¾   57½ 512¾ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 20% 3.90 7.20  
3  PAROLA SICURA 3 6 52¾ 55¾   68½ 615½ (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13.10  
8  PROUD MARY 6 7 75¼ 78¼   712 716 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 17% 5.00 6.50  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN               (giangiulio michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES               (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
SCR  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE)               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER               (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  THERESASILVERLININ               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.