Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-5   WIN (6/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $16.20 $8.20 103%
SAR-6   WIN (9/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $24.00 $16.00 200%
    DD (6/3/8/4)-(9/10/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-5 $130.75 $114.75 717%
SAR-7   DD (9/10/6/5)-(6/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-4 $55.50 $39.50 247%
    PK3 (6/3/8/4)-(9/10/6/5)-(6/3/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00  8-5-4 $782.50 $718.50 1123%
SAR-9   EXA (5/7/11/1)-(5/7/11/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $13.80 $1.80 15%
SAR-10   WIN (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-5 $30.00 $18.00 150%
    DD (5/7/11/1)-(5/6/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-9 $31.25 $15.25 95%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANHATTAN TWIST 3 2 1½ 1   11 1 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 2.35  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTER LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
MAN OF MISCHIEF 2 1 2½ 2   21 2 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 67% 0.50 1.25 P
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUPER SHOPPER by SUPER SAVER)
KEEPINITREAL 6 3 3 3   32 3 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 2.35  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HELD ACCOUNTABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
ROCK STAR REBEL 4 6 5 44   4 4 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SHEZA ROCKSTAR by MORE THAN READY)
GAMEBRED 5 5 610½ 6   612 5 (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 38.25  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of OMATICAYA by BERNSTEIN)
OZZY 1 4 48 58   510½ 613 (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 17.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SCENIC OVERLOOK by NYQUIST)
SCR  OATH OF OMERTA               (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of FIRST HUNTER by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  SALT SPARTAN               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PASTEL GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  VIBRANT EXPRESS               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of THE FUNKY EXPRESS by FREUD)
 
SAR-2   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :451 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCUTTLEBUZZ 3 6 4 32   2½ 1½ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 16.00  
CHESS MASTER 4 1 2½ 21   1½ 2½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 7% 13.40 2.65 P
2X  HIGH FRONT 9 5 6 64   4 3¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40 71% 0.40 1.30 S
RITHM NIC 8 7 7 54   5 4 (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 3.05  
THREE ZERO 2 2 1½ 11   3½ 5 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
NOLO CONTESTO 6 8 8 8   65 6 (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 10.00  
2B  HE'S GOT IT 7 3 53 7   7 75 (abreu jorge )TORRES A 118 1.40 1.30  
ME 'N SAP 1 9 9 910½   912¾ 813¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 32.50  
HEAVEN STREET 5 4 3 43   812¼ 914¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 1.40 1.30  
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD               (d'angelo j)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE               (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE)               (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  SILARDI               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  SQUIRE CREEK               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80    
 
SAR-3   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:113 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENTATHLON 2 2 32 3 3 21 1 (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.40 55% 0.80 0.20 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PARADE by TAPIT)
CUANDO 1 1 12 11 11 11 2 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
1A  UPSTANDING 8 3 22 21 21 3 312½ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 0.40 0.20 S
  (by CURLIN out of MANNERLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BOURBON'S FAULT 5 4 54 5 5 47 413 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 11.10  
  (by BLAME out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DAILY GRIND 3 6 67 75 6 5 513 (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 8.00 15.80  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WALK CLOSE by TAPIT)
IGNITE THE LIGHT 6 8 7 6 7 610 625½ (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 20% 4.10 23.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
FATTOUSH 7 5 4 4 4 712 736¼ (moubarak nade)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 36.00  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PURE SMILES by PURE PRIZE)
PRAIRIE DUNES 4 7 810¾ 811½ 813½ 814 838¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 15.70  
  (by CURLIN out of TORRENT by BLAME)
 
SAR-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERIAL 4 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 1½ 1¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 2.85  
WILD BANKER 1 2 44 4 4 4 2¾ (metivi)GRISALES DANILO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 27.25 P
HE'S GOT THIS 6 5 55 6 5 3 31 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 2.85  
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 5 6 6 5 3 5 4 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 7% 12.40 5.90  
CLASSIC MARK 2 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ 5 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.70  
WINTER'S GHOST 3 1 2nk 2nk 6 6 615¾ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 57% 0.80 6.80  
SCR  GEEBERT               (guerrero carl)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY STORMY 8 4 4 32   2½ 1nk (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 18% 4.50 7.10 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SMART AND SASSY by FREUD)
CALL BOB 7 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2nk (caramori edu)TORRES A 124 3.50 2.20  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of POWHATAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SORORITY PRANK 1 2 32 4   43 3 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 7.70  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CONCORDE SPIRIT 6 5 7 6   56 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 33% 2.10 3.05  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TOASTING by CONGRATS)
HE HAS IT ALL 3 3 1nk 2nk   32 55 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
BIG RICH 5 7 6 710   68 6 (antonucci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 6.80  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GENEROSITY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MIDNIGHT LEGEND 2 8 8 813   7 711½ (mcburney patri)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 25.75  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STRIKEALINETHRUIT by OFFICER)
ROMANTIC CHARMER 4 6 5 5   814½ 826½ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
 
SAR-6   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:133 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GOT WILL 4 4 31 4 4 3 11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 16.90 11.00 W
  (by WAR OF WILL out of RUFFENUFF by DIALED IN)
NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE) 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 21 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 4.90  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of DEADLY REEL by POUR MOI)
DR GLICK 8 9 85 95 75 55 3 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 30% 2.40 2.60 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  WONDERLAND 9 10 10 10 10 6 4 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 29% 2.50 4.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MISS SOUTHERN MISS by MORE THAN READY)
LAUGHING LADY 7 5 42 31 31 43 5 (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 8.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMPIRE LADY by EMPIRE MAKER)
SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP 3 8 9 8 9 7 65 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12.40  
  (by GIRVIN out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
CHELSEY'S CHOICE 5 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 7 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 6% 16.90 6.60  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FLYING THE COLORS by WAR FRONT)
THUNDER PRINCESS 6 6 52 5 52 810¼ 812¼ (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 22.00  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TEN PENNY PRINCESS by THUNDER GULCH)
TRADING SECRETS 1 2 63 6 8 911¼ 922 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 13.90  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
11  IL SUO ORO 10 7 7 7 64 1012¼ 1026¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.30  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SENORA UNO by MACHO UNO)
SCR  COMPETITIVE MARKET               (brown cha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 5.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CAJUN DELTA DAWN by KANTHAROS)
 
SAR-7   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:252 :512 1:17 1:412   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURTLY BANKER 4 3 2 2 2½ 1nk 1¼ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 10% 9.20 2.95 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of COURTLY LARK by SHAKESPEARE)
FIDELIGHTCAYUT 2 1 1 1 1½ 2nk 2¼ (avila car)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 5.00  
  (by LEOFRIC out of BEAM REACH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
CABLE READY 7 5 43 42 42 3 34 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00 27.00  
  (by REDESDALE out of CABLE by DYNAFORMER)
RUSSIAN REALM 6 7 5 6 7 53 45 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 54% 0.90 4.00  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUPER MARINA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
B D SAINTS 5 8 8 8 8 64 5 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 16.60  
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
EZ ROLL 1 2 3 3 32 42 6 (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
  (by ENTICED out of DADDYSNEVERREADY by SCAT DADDY)
ELYSIAN MEADOWS 8 6 7 53 5 7 710¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 3.40  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HEAVENLY THOUGHT by WAR FRONT)
INSTAMATIC 3 4 6 7 64 8 816 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 12% 7.00 5.20  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SEATTLE'S BEST by SEATTLE DANCER)
SCR  DOC SULLIVAN               (miceli michael)RIDER TBA 123 1.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LAND D'ORO               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LAND MINE by MINESHAFT)
 
SAR-8   08/15/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:12 1:37   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOKE CREEK 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 1.80 0.90  
TABEGUACHE 4 3 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 2 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 2.00  
OLYMPIC DREAMS 1 1 3 3 35 35 3 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 40% 1.50 4.50 S
NIMITZ CLASS 3 4 4 413½ 425 435 445¾ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5.20  
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
SCR  DONEGAL FOREVER               (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
 
SAR-9   08/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124 1:261   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMACON 1 2 11 1 1 13 1¼ (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 3.10 W
  (by TAPITURE out of LADY CONSTANCE by BELLAMY ROAD)
AMPLITUDE 5 5 5 43 4 3 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 35% 1.80 2.00 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of CANADIAN RIVER by SMART STRIKE)
D C BOY'S 3 6 7 7 6 4 3¾ (levine b)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 7.20  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
FERRIS MULER 4 7 65 6 5 23 44 (hosang)GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00 33.25  
  (by ARMY MULE out of CURIOUS LUCK by TRUST N LUCK)
CAESAR'S GHOST 2 1 21 5 7 6 5 (caramori edu)TORRES A 124 15.00 26.75  
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
NEW YORK SCRAPPY 6 3 32 2 2 5 6 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 25% 3.10 2.10  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
11  WIND DANCER 7 4 4 32 3 7 715¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 18% 4.70 8.00  
  (by WAR DANCER out of LADY CAMILLE by DESERT PARTY)
SCR  ACCIDENTAL BID               (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  BARICCI               (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SUGARILLE by JUMP START)
SCR  CHARLES J               (lee josep)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  ISOMARSHALL               (keithan )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
SCR  KID KREESA               (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 6.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of LADY KREESA by STONESIDER)
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING               (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of STORMY'S SMILE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  TINEBAR               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of JUMP RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
SAR-10   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RILEY JEAN 7 3 31 3   41 1nk (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 W
LESLIE'S HUMOR 4 5 4 4   1½ 2nk (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 26% 2.80 2.90 P
RECONCILE 2 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 3.85  
DAUGHTER OF TIME 1 1 1nk 1nk   31 47 (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 3.45  
HEAVEN RULES 5 4 6 6   5 512¾ (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 20% 3.90 7.20  
PAROLA SICURA 3 6 5 5   6 615½ (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13.10  
PROUD MARY 6 7 7 7   712 716 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 17% 5.00 6.50  
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN               (giangiulio michel)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES               (lee josep)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
SCR  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE)               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER               (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  THERESASILVERLININ               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.