Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-2   Win (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (6/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (9/10/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
SAR-9   Win (5/7/11/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OZZY         (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  SALT SPARTAN Jul19         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
MAN OF MISCHIEF Jul25         (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
SCR  OATH OF OMERTA         (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
MANHATTAN TWIST         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00    
ROCK STAR REBEL         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
GAMEBRED         (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SCR  VIBRANT EXPRESS         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00    
KEEPINITREAL         (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
 
SAR-2   08/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCUTTLEBUZZ Aug01 Dec15 Nov25 Oct01 Aug23 (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
SCR  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Jul24 Dec29 Nov17 Oct06 Sep28 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
HEAVEN STREET Jul04 May27 Apr20 Feb10 Dec30 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 1.40    
2B  HE'S GOT IT Jan27 Jan04 Dec10 Nov11 Nov02 (abreu r)TORRES A 118 1.40    
2X  HIGH FRONT Jul04 Sep22 Aug23 Jun21 May19 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.40 71% 0.40    
RITHM NIC Jul13 Jun22 May24 May04 Apr20 (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 120 5.00    
SCR  BRITERDAYZAHEAD Jul21 May27 Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 (d'angelo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
ME 'N SAP May18 Sep01 Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
THREE ZERO Jul13 Jun20 May24 Apr25 Mar27 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILARDI Jul26 Jul14 May12 Apr21 Mar09 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
CHESS MASTER Oct27 Sep02 Aug02 Jul21 Jun24 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 7% 13.40    
NOLO CONTESTO Jul27 Jun28 Jun09 May19 Mar03 (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jul28 Jun12 May29 Apr14 Feb28 (ferraro w)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  SQUIRE CREEK Jul31 Jun30 Jun16 Apr21 Mar03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80    
 
SAR-3   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENTATHLON Jun30 Jun07 Oct06 Aug05   (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 0.40 55% 0.80    
1A  UPSTANDING Jul13         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 0.40    
CUANDO Jul06 Jun15 May19 Apr11 Mar09 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAILY GRIND Jul12 Jun08 May18 Apr30 Mar30 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 8.00    
PRAIRIE DUNES Jun30 Mar27 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
BOURBON'S FAULT Jun30 Dec23 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
IGNITE THE LIGHT Feb25 Dec02 Nov04 Sep16   (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 20% 4.10    
FATTOUSH Jun09 May23 Apr27     (moubarak nader)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD BANKER Jul24 Jun27 May02 Apr06 Mar24 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC MARK Jul26 Jun21 Dec10 Oct21 Sep21 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  GEEBERT Jul22 Jun26 Jun08 Apr15 Mar20 (guerrero carlos)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
WINTER'S GHOST Mar30 Feb25 Jan20 Jan12 Dec16 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 57% 0.80    
MINISTERIAL Jun26 Feb18 Jun18 Apr20 Feb24 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Jul26 May18 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 (toscano t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
HE'S GOT THIS May31 May12 Apr10 Mar10 Feb15 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 3.00    
 
SAR-5   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORORITY PRANK Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May11 Apr13 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
MIDNIGHT LEGEND         (mcburney patrick)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
HE HAS IT ALL Jul20 Jun14 May18 Apr13 Mar09 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
ROMANTIC CHARMER Jul11 Jun06 May11 Apr04 Mar07 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG RICH Mar31 Jan31 Dec29     (antonucci je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
CONCORDE SPIRIT Jun14         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
CALL BOB Jul11 Jun07 Mar21 Jan18 Dec23 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 3.50    
VERY STORMY Jul18 Jun27       (levine bruce)SAEZ LUIS 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
SAR-6   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRADING SECRETS Jul21 Jun28       (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00    
NEVER REALLY KNOW (IRE) Jul18         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
SNIPSNIPPITYSNIP         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  COMPETITIVE MARKET         (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 5.00    
SHE'S GOT WILL         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 6% 16.90    
CHELSEY'S CHOICE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 6% 16.90    
THUNDER PRINCESS Jul21 Jun23       (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
LAUGHING LADY Jul21 Jun21       (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
DR GLICK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
10  WONDERLAND         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
11  IL SUO ORO Jun14         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/15/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Rick Violette Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ ROLL Jul27 Jun20 Apr28 Nov03 Sep17 (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIDELIGHTCAYUT Jul18 Jun16 Jun01 Apr17 Feb02 (avila carlo)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
INSTAMATIC Jun22 Apr26 Nov03 Aug24 Jul27 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 12% 7.00    
COURTLY BANKER Jul18 Jun16 Apr27 Mar31   (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 10% 9.20    
B D SAINTS Jul18 Jun06 Dec16 Oct29 Oct04 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
RUSSIAN REALM Jun29 May11 Mar24     (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 54% 0.90    
CABLE READY Jul18 Jun21 May25 May03 Apr14 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00    
ELYSIAN MEADOWS Jul15 Jun09 Apr27 Apr06 Feb10 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50    
SCR  DOC SULLIVAN Jul15 Jun09 May05 Apr14 Feb25 (miceli michael)RIDER TBA 123 1.00    
SCR  LAND D'ORO Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/15/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLYMPIC DREAMS May04 Mar30 Mar21 Feb23 Jan26 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  DONEGAL FOREVER Jul05 Jun07 May01 Mar30 Feb18 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
COOKE CREEK Jun29 May27 Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 (maker j)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
NIMITZ CLASS May03 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Oct17 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
TABEGUACHE May09 Mar21 Jan26 Dec28 Nov03 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50    
SCR  CLASSIC CATCH Jul11 Jun12 May11 Apr13 Nov18 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00    
 
SAR-9   08/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMACON Jul11 Apr20 Mar24     (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAESAR'S GHOST Jul20 Jul11 Sep03 Jul22 May06 (caramori eduar)TORRES A 124 15.00    
D C BOY'S Jul11         (levine bru)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
FERRIS MULER Jul26 May26 Jun23 Jun01 May06 (hosang o)GRISALES DANILO 124 20.00    
AMPLITUDE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  KID KREESA Jul25 Jun28 Jun09 May10 Nov19 (dixon k)RUIZ ELISEO 124 6.00    
NEW YORK SCRAPPY Jul11 Jun22       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  CHARLES J Jun22 Jun06 Apr26 Feb11 Dec29 (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
SCR  ISOMARSHALL Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Feb25 Feb04 (keithan ra)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  TINEBAR Jul27 Jun15       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
11  WIND DANCER Jul26 Jun30 Jun06     (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  BARICCI         (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
SCR  ACCIDENTAL BID Jun15         (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.40    
SCR  STORMY'S DREAMING Jul11 Jun14 Aug12     (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAUGHTER OF TIME Jul21 Jun29 Feb11 Jan14   (baker charlton)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
RECONCILE Jul20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 Dec17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
PAROLA SICURA Jul20 Jun16 May16 Apr20 Mar13 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO Jul13 Jun06 Oct26 Jul03 May27 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
LESLIE'S HUMOR Jul14 May17 Jan14     (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
HEAVEN RULES Jul31 Jul08 Jun26 Jul10   (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MASTEROF THE TUNES Jul20 Jun29 May19 Apr27 Nov09 (lee joseph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
PROUD MARY Jun29 May26 Apr20 Dec13 Oct22 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
RILEY JEAN Jul20 Jun17 May20 Apr18 Mar06 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RISK THRESHOLD (IRE) Jun28 Apr21 Feb23     (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN Jun23 May26 Apr18 Feb17 Jan04 (giangiulio michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  BELLE OF THE BALL Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 Mar24 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  THERESASILVERLININ Jul17 Jun27 Apr27 Mar01 Feb02 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 122 2.00    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER Aug05 Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr11 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.