Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-3   EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2 $17.80 $5.80 48%
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-2-5 $36.20 $24.20 202%
    DD (5/7/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-6 $21.60 $3.60 20%
PID-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $56.60 $44.60 372%
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5-2 $132.60 $120.60 1005%
    DD (5/1/7)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-3 $18.60 $0.60 3%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE A 1 6 5 5   21 1 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00 1.90  
LORD OF LEGENDS 4 1 1½ 1nk   11 2 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 124 10.00 5.60  
WAPITI WAY 6 4 31 4   42 3 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 1.20  
ELUSIVE MISCHIEF 3 2 2½ 2nk   31 44 (dickey k)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.50 31% 2.30 5.20  
THE COOKIE MAN 5 3 42 31   5 5 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00 22% 3.60 10.70  
DUDLEY 2 5 6 6   6 6 (schaber debb)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
SCR  CALL ME GUSTO               (herring)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.50    
 
PID-2   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAKERS PRIDE 5 4 33 31   11 1 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.00 39% 1.50 1.60 W
SHE SPEAKS WELL 3 7 7 65   3 2 (maver ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00 32.90  
YANKEE HUMOR 7 2 45 4   42 3 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 38% 1.70 1.30 S
REBEL WARRIOR 4 6 55 54   52 4 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00 13.80  
TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR 2 3 1½ 1½   21 5 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 3.50 5.60  
YEAH TAKE THAT 1 5 67 75   6 610½ (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 111 4.50 8.20  
SPIRITED DEBATE 6 1 2½ 2½   7 714¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
 
PID-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAVEL 5 1 2 1nk   12 1 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60 1.40 W
MIDNIGHT AMBITION 1 3 47 4   4 2 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
ROYAL MENDE 4 2 1 2nk   22 3 (davis ch)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 12% 7.20 1.60 S
MARINARA SAUCED 3 5 3 33   35 4 (antus lawrence)ALLEN D 122 8.00 3.30  
PARTY NEWS 2 4 57 56   59 513¼ (maver ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00 25.40  
SCR  OUTSIDER               (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 4.50    
 
PID-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE LAMB CHOP 4 1 1½ 1nk   12 1 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 4.50 26% 2.90 1.30 W
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
FIRST FORAY 5 2 2½ 2nk   22 2 (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 7.50  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
CHEERFUL TROUT 1 3 3 32   3 3 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.70 S
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
OPHELIAS DREAM 3 4 5 4   44 4 (wismer s)STANLEY O 124 5.00 4.30  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
EASY SEVEN 6 6 45 66   5 5 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MAJESTIC LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
ASHERAH'S RUN 2 5 67 55   6 611 (mckinley mary)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 73.40  
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of DIXIE FELINE by LANGFUHR)
SCR  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE               (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
 
PID-5   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 3 3 1½ 1   11 1nk (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 22% 3.50 2.80 W
CASANOVA KITTEN 4 5 55 53   4 2nk (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10 P
CERTAIN 2 6 42 32   21 3.2 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 24% 3.20 1.70 S
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 5 1 66 6   5 4 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 6.00 16.70  
GENERAL WINSTON 1 4 32 42   3 5 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 5.00 2.50  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 6 2 2½ 2   63 6 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 7.10  
SCR  THE SINNER IS YOU               (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
 
PID-6   07/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:13 1:374   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIN TUNE 7 3 2nk 32 1nk 1nk 1¼ (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 2.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ATROCIOUS 6 2 4¾ 53 2nk 2nk 2¼ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 37% 1.70 4.70 P
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
SECRET TREASURE 3 5 5 43 6 3 35 (potts g)WALKER M 124 2.50 34% 1.90 3.20 S
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 4 7 6 6 43 6 4 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 3.40  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
FAMOUS FINAL SCENE 5 4 3.2 2½ 5 5 511¾ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 6.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
WISECRACK WARRIOR 2 1 1nk 1½ 3 44 612 (salvaggio mar)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 10.30  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PUN by PULPIT)
DERBY CHILD 1 6 7 74 7 7 712¼ (goodwin gabr)AYALA J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 39.60  
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
SCR  ADIOS ASHWOOD               (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  HYPERBOLIZE               (west w)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SAMURAI'SFIRSTLADY by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
PID-7   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK N REWARD 2 6 5 42   3 1¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 3.50  
HEAVEN RULES 5 4 11 11   12 2¾ (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.20 P
IMMORTALLOVE 3 2 43 21   22 3 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
GOOGLY EYES 1 7 76 7   44 4 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 14.20  
HIDDEN CLASS 7 3 6 6   56 5 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 5.00  
FLIRTINI 4 5 21 31   6 611 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 33% 2.10 4.50  
VALIANT VICTORIA 6 1 3 5   78 712 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00 42.20  
SCR  VACCINA               (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
 
PID-8   07/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:123 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELM STREET 2 3 59 413 6 2nk 1¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 1.40  
FROZEN FOUR 1 6 610½ 614 5 1nk 2¾ (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 40% 1.50 0.80 P
THIRD CITY 6 5 49 513 3 3½ 3 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00 26.60  
MAGNUS EFFECT 4 1 3 312 4 4 412¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00 12.00  
LUCIOS ZORAN 5 4 2 210½ 2 54 515¼ (buhrow jam)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 10.00  
COLORFUL LAD 3 2 1 110½ 1 6 620½ (bourke john)DELGADO DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
SCR  CHAPS KNIGHT               (radosevich sh)WALKER M 120 10.00    
SCR  KUTIA               (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU               (clarke matthe)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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