Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/7/6)-(6/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(6/5/2)-(5/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/1/7)-(2/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(2/3/5)-(7/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(7/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(7/3/1)-(6/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/9/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/9/1)-(7/3/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(6/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(6/4/3)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/8/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/8/3)-(6/4/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE A Jul05 Jun14 May24 May11 Apr21 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.00    
2  DUDLEY Jun25 Jun12 Nov26 Nov06 Oct05 (schaber debb)AYALA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 Jan24 Jan05 (dickey k)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
4  LORD OF LEGENDS Jul17 Jul01 Jun12 Nov30 Nov08 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
5  THE COOKIE MAN Jul16 Jul01 May28 Dec13 Dec06 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CALL ME GUSTO Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 May23 Apr27 (herring)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 3.50    
7  WAPITI WAY Jul10 Jun24 May28 Nov07 Oct19 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
 
PID-2   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEAH TAKE THAT Jul24 Jul16 Jun04 Nov16 Oct29 (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 111 4.50    
2  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Jul16 Jul04 Jun18 May22 Jan11 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 3.50 ★    
3  SHE SPEAKS WELL Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May29 May14 (maver ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 15.00    
4  REBEL WARRIOR Jul16 Apr18 Mar21 Mar08 Feb16 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00    
5  BAKERS PRIDE Jun18         (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
6  SPIRITED DEBATE Jul01 Jun19 Oct19 Oct05 Sep05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  YANKEE HUMOR Jul16 Jul01 Apr22 Apr02 Dec07 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
 
PID-3   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUTSIDER Jun26 Jun11       (russell )MARTINEZ A 118 4.50    
2  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Jul23 Jun16 May26 Apr30 Mar13 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARTY NEWS May22 May04 Dec26 Nov14 Oct31 (maver ed)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
4  MARINARA SAUCED Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May14 Nov19 (antus lawrence)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
5  ROYAL MENDE May31 May04 Apr17 Mar23 Feb11 (davis ch)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
6  GAVEL Jun26 Jun04 May11 Jan18 Nov24 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
PID-4   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERFUL TROUT Jul04 Jun25 Jun03 May27 Mar26 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
SCR  SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Jul10 Jun17 May27 Jul26   (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 2.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
3  ASHERAH'S RUN Jul10 Jun26 Sep26 Sep06   (mckinley mary)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00    
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of DIXIE FELINE by LANGFUHR)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM Jul10 May27 Oct18 Sep26   (wismer s)STANLEY O 124 5.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
5  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Jul04 Jun12 May02 Apr01 Feb21 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
6  FIRST FORAY Jul04 Jun12       (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of STIFLING by FLATTER)
7  EASY SEVEN May27         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MAJESTIC LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
PID-5   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL WINSTON Jul15 Jun26 May22 Oct19 Oct03 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
2  CERTAIN Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 May20 (connelly)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Jul02 Oct23 Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  THE SINNER IS YOU Jun26 Jun10 May22 Feb20 Feb01 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
5  CASANOVA KITTEN Jun07 May25 May11 Mar23 Mar01 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 May29 Oct10 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 6.00    
7  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Jun20 May02 Mar15 Feb09 Jan18 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   07/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY CHILD Jul02 Oct30 Sep27     (goodwin gabr)AYALA J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of MARIE'S TUFF by TEUFLESBERG)
2  WISECRACK WARRIOR Jul12 Jun22       (salvaggio mar)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PUN by PULPIT)
3  SECRET TREASURE Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 May21 Apr26 (potts g)WALKER M 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by ARROGATE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
4  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Jul13 Jun09 Apr13 Mar31 Mar07 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
5  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE Apr20 Mar28 Dec31 Dec09 Nov19 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BONITA CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  ADIOS ASHWOOD Jul01 Jun11       (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  ATROCIOUS Jul15 Jun26 Jun11 May29 Mar27 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
SCR  HYPERBOLIZE Jul03 Jun13       (west w)ALENCAR WALBER 120 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SAMURAI'SFIRSTLADY by FIRST SAMURAI)
9  BERNIN TUNE Aug27         (morey wi)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PID-7   07/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOGLY EYES Jun19 May27 Jan19 Dec09 Oct29 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00    
2  ROCK N REWARD Jul08 Jun11 May29 Oct02 Sep20 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
3  IMMORTALLOVE Jul08 Jun17 Mar31 Feb17 Dec20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLIRTINI May23 May03 Apr12 Mar13 Feb08 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  VACCINA Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 Oct17 Oct04 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 12.00    
6  HEAVEN RULES Jul08 Jun26 Jul10     (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  VALIANT VICTORIA Jun19 Apr26 Apr07 Oct19 Oct09 (gonzalez alda)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
8  HIDDEN CLASS Jul17 Jun15 May25 Dec22 Oct29 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 ★    
 
PID-8   07/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KUTIA         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  FROZEN FOUR Jun28 May25 Nov03 Sep17 Aug18 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  CHAPS KNIGHT May28 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 120 10.00    
4  ELM STREET Jul04 Jun17 May27 May04 Apr12 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  STRATEGYFORYOU Jul02 Jun10 Nov21 Nov01 Oct19 (clarke matthe)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 4.50    
6  COLORFUL LAD Jul15 Apr22 Jun06     (bourke john)DELGADO DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MAGNUS EFFECT Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May29 Apr26 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
8  LUCIOS ZORAN Jul02 Jun18 Oct02 Jun22 Jun01 (buhrow jam)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
9  THIRD CITY Jul25 Jun11 Jul15     (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.