Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $32.40 $24.40 305%
    EXA (5/3/6/7)-(5/3/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $86.80 $62.80 262%
PID-2   DD (5/3/6/7)-(2/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $62.80 $38.80 162%
PID-4   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.00 $4.00 67%
PID-8   EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $13.60 $1.60 13%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA MEDIUM 3 6 7 7   5 1 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50 23% 3.40 15.20 W
GREY CHARMER 5 4 31 3½   21 2 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 1.80 34% 1.90 1.70 P
LORD OF LEGENDS 1 2 1½ 1½   11 3 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 15.00 8.90  
OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 4 5 6 6   6 4 (morrell)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 16.40  
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 6 1 2½ 2½   4 5 (radosevich shel)STANLEY O 122 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40  
AESTHETICALLY 2 7 52 4   31 6 (cheeks katy)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 7.30  
SPICY SHOT 7 3 42 5   7 73 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
 
PID-2   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:001     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY SHE IS 2 5 54 6   2½ 1 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 43% 1.30 0.50 W
ZORA 6 1 1 11   1½ 2 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 10.00 12.60  
RIA FORMOSA 1 6 65 52   53 3 (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 30% 2.30 3.40 S
MISS CLAUDETTE 4 3 3 4   3½ 45 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
BLUEBERRY PIE 3 2 42 31   4 5 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 5.00 6.30  
MY BRIDGET VERDOT 5 4 2 21   6 612 (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 15.00 29.40  
SCR  KAGERO               (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80    
 
PID-3   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOAT AWAY 3 3 2 2nk   12 16 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 2.50 2.00  
LAWN DART 1 4 1 1nk   22 26 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 2.00 24% 3.20 1.40 P
POQUITO ROSE 2 5 4 42   3 3 (radosevich sh)WALKER M 122 4.50 7.30  
WATERLOO SUNSET 5 6 5 5   4 4 (schneider kim)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
CINCO DE MANDEE 4 2 3 3½   5 510 (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 115 3.50 24% 3.10 4.00  
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 6 1 6 64   6 616½ (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 9.60  
 
PID-4   07/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:122 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AQUACAT 1 3 2½ 2 2½ 1 1 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 16% 5.10 4.00 W
HARI 3 4 47 410½ 5 43 2 (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 3.70  
GOLDEN SODA 6 2 3 37 33 2 38 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 2.50 49% 1.00 10.50 S
SHIMMERING LEROID 2 1 59 510½ 4 5 412 (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 122 4.50 4.70  
RANSEUR 5 6 1½ 1 1½ 3 512¾ (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 2.00 1.00  
GOLDEN OAK 4 5 69 611 68 6 613¼ (schneider kim)STANLEY O 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
 
PID-5   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:222 :443 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN WIGGY 3 3 1 1   13 1¾ (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 2.40  
SONET'S NAME 1 5 43 54   33 2¾ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 2.80  
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 6 2 54 43   4 32 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 5% 19.00 15.30 S
A KISS FOR KHOZAN 4 4 2 3   23 4 (barron rory)WALKER M 122 2.50 17% 4.90 2.00  
SERENADE A KITTEN 2 6 69 67   6 5 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5.50  
LET'S BE HONEST 5 1 3 2   54 67 (musarro joseph)ALLEN D 122 3.00 40% 1.50 7.50  
 
PID-6   07/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:124 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAND OF GOLD 4 6 5 42 53 2nk 1¼ (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 17% 5.00 1.30 W
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 1 5 32 31 21 1nk 2¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 3.60  
JENNY LIND 3 1 66 7 64 5 3 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 44% 1.20 3.50 S
HIDDEN CLASS 5 4 43 5 42 4¾ 4 (sharp joe)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 12% 7.20 5.30  
TESHIMA 6 3 21 21 3 6 5 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 122 8.00 20.60  
UNSTABLE PRINCESS 2 7 77 6 7 7 6 (martin willi)AYALA J 122 15.00 22.30  
VACCINA 7 2 11 11 11 3½ 7 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 6% 15.00 9.40  
 
PID-7   07/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:124 1:371   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Q F SEVENTY FIVE 4 4 4 4 34 4¾ 1nk (potts ro)GALLARDO A 124 2.00 1.70  
STARSHIP EMPIRE 5 5 5 5 55 3½ 2nk (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.50 17% 4.80 2.60 P
R ADMIRAL 1 1 2 24 22 2nk 3½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.60 37% 1.70 2.40 S
THE BLACK STRAT 2 2 1 14 12 1nk 44 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
HEY PADRE 3 3 37 3 4 5 5 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 9.00  
SCR  LIGHT CRUISER               (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
SCR  LOWCOUNTRY               (boucher lilith)BAYS BROOKE 115 10.00    
 
PID-8   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:224 :464 :59     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET KHOZY 1 3 2 2½   2nk 1¾ (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 124 6.00 49% 1.00 1.80 W
MAKE THE BED 5 2 43 3½   31 2¾ (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 5% 17.80 2.10 P
ELUSIVE CHANGE 6 1 1 1½   1nk 3¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 22.40  
GLOBAL HYSTERIA 2 6 5 6   4 43 (kintz matthew)FOX CHRIS 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.40  
NOT TODAY GOVERNOR 3 4 3 5   5 5 (hayes leland)ALLEN D 124 4.00 7.90  
OVERTIME CHARLIE 4 5 64 4   6 6 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 124 6.00 9.80  
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY               (vitali marcu)AYALA J 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.