Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00  2 $6.80 $4.80 240%
    EXA (2)-(2/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00  2-6 $15.20 $14.20 1420%
PEN-6   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    DD (2)-(8/4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-4 $20.60 $16.60 415%
PEN-7   DD (8/4/3/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $17.40 $5.40 45%
    PK3 (2)-(8/4/3/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00  2-4-6 $31.30 $25.30 422%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT PELEE 7 1 32 22   2nk 1½ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 117 5.00 9.50  
MAJOR THOMAS 3 3 43 4   3½ 2½ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 42% 1.40 4.50 P
LILTONYTWOPHONES 1 7 1 12   1nk 3 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
FOLE'S NOTION 4 6 75 6   64 4 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00 4.10  
BAZINGA D 6 2 2 32   42 5 (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 2.90  
RIDLEY PARK 2 5 87 8   7 66 (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00 29.20  
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 8 4 5 5   5 76 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 30% 2.30 2.30  
NIGHTSCAPE 5 8 64 7   8 817¼ (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00 27.30  
 
PEN-2   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY THE TORCH 2 3 23 23   1nk 12 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 2.50 8.00  
REDEEM EDDIE 1 5 56 6   34 22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 7.90  
INDIRECTLY 3 6 6 56   6 33 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 5.80  
PICTOR 5 2 13 13   2nk 4 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 33% 2.00 0.40  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 4 4 35 35   4 5 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 6 1 45 4   5 6 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 25% 3.00 9.70  
 
PEN-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE BRAKE ALLEY 1 5 1 1½   14 1 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.00 W
10  PENTATONIC 10 4 3 2½   24 2 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00 5% 18.30 1.70 P
BAG OF GOLD 6 7 7 6   36 3 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 20.20  
UTILITY 7 2 2 43   46 4 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 14.10  
SYLVIA I AM 4 10 109 1012¼   811¾ 5 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 35.20  
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO 9 3 8 53   5 610 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 40% 1.50 6.30  
SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 2 6 4 3   6 710½ (smith thomas)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00 22.90  
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON 5 8 96 910¼   710¼ 817¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 10.30  
GOTTA HAVE HEART 8 1 5 8   911¾ 921½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
J R JONE Z 3 9 6 7   1012¼ 1022¼ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00 31.60  
 
PEN-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:221 :473       1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLICETHEMAINBRACE 8 1 54 22   21 1¾ (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 2.20  
GENGHIS 6 3 6 5   5 2¾ (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.50 21% 3.70 6.50 P
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 3 4 22 12   11 32 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9.20  
ROMANTIC GAMBLE 4 7 8 8   7 4 (geist w)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
GRAB THE GOLD 5 2 3 43   4 5 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 15% 5.50 3.60  
YES IT'S ROO 7 5 7 6   8 65 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 120 30.00 34.20  
GAGETOWN 2 6 44 7   6 7 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 6.70  
CAPT. CANDY 1 8 12 32   3 810¾ (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 20% 3.90 4.50  
SCR  WASABI BOY               (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:121 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY JUNIOR 2 1 23 2½ 2nk 15 111½ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 43% 1.30 2.40 W
SWAN POINT 4 2 3 4 34 25 211½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 4.10 P
MS STRONG HEART 3 4 4 3 46 410½ 321¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 4.80  
KNICKERSINATWIST 1 3 13 1½ 1nk 3 421¾ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 0.80  
SCR  DATE NIGHT KISSES               (allen ferris)MENA E 120 3.00    
SCR  PEYTON ELIZABETH               (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.50    
 
PEN-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD IN THE WIND 4 7 43 42   22 1¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 25% 3.10 4.20 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
WARRIOR'S TREASURE 1 3 11 1   12 2¼ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 4.40  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
DANCING CHIME 3 6 66 57   5 36 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 12.00 17% 5.00 11.10 S
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of OUTLAW DANCER by BOWMAN'S BAND)
NEVA'S GIRL 8 1 21 2   3 4 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 31% 2.20 4.40  
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of UNWAVERING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
PERIDOT PENDANT 7 8 8 6   66 5 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00 2.90  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EMERALD BRACELET by GREEN DANCER)
LITTLE LAMB CHOP 6 2 3 32   44 6 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90  
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
JUST START DANCIN 2 5 5 7   7 711 (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 22.20  
  (by JUMP START out of OUR QUIET DANCER by REAL QUIET)
SUSANOO 5 4 76 810¾   810½ 818¾ (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 116 6.00 5.90  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of COURAGE AND INTENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
PEN-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE HARRY 6 6 5¾ 2½   2nk 1½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 37% 1.70 1.00 W
EMPTY MY POUCH 5 5 2nk 31   3.2 2½ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50 3.90  
SPORTING THE GOLD 3 4 8 63   4 31 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 9.30 S
ABBY'S SPIRIT 8 2 6 5   5 41 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 10.60  
NOTORIOUS REY 7 1 3.2 1½   1nk 5 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00 59.40  
LET'S GET CRAZY 2 8 7 7   7 6 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 6.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT 1 7 4¼ 4   6 7 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 6.80  
CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 3 1nk 8   8 815½ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
SCR  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN               (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.