Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/6/1)-(3/8/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(5/6/4)-(9/1/10/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(9/1/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(9/1/10/8)-(6/1/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/10/8)-(9/1/10/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/10/8)-(9/1/10/2/8)-(9/1/10/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/10/8)-(6/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/10/8)-(6/1/5/4)-(2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4)-(6/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/4)-(2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/4)-(2)-(8/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(8/4/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2)-(8/4/3/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/6)-(6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILTONYTWOPHONES Mar27 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Dec15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RIDLEY PARK Dec27 Dec01 Oct26 Oct10   (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00    
3  MAJOR THOMAS Mar15 Feb08 May26 May10 Dec07 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  FOLE'S NOTION Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 Nov09 Sep16 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
5  NIGHTSCAPE Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 Aug16   (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
6  BAZINGA D Apr14 Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 Jan19 (beattie t)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
7  POINT PELEE Dec01 Oct14 Aug25     (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 117 5.00    
8  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Mar15 Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Nov16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-2   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDEEM EDDIE Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 Dec22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
2  TOMMY THE TORCH Mar21 Feb29 Feb02 Jan19 Nov22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 2.50    
3  INDIRECTLY Mar07 Feb01 Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
4  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Dec28 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PICTOR Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Apr12 May11 Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-3   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Mar15 Mar07       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM Mar08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 Sep06 (smith thomas)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 8.00 ★    
3  J R JONE Z Apr15         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00    
4  SYLVIA I AM Mar01 Feb16 Dec07 Nov08 Sep07 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
5  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON Mar14 May19       (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
6  BAG OF GOLD Mar22 Mar08 Feb23 Feb02   (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
7  UTILITY Apr03 Mar13 Feb05 Dec27   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
8  GOTTA HAVE HEART Mar14 Dec14 Nov24     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
10  PENTATONIC Mar22 Mar09 Jan25 Dec14 Nov10 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00 5% 18.30    
 
PEN-4   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPT. CANDY Apr16 Mar27 Feb21 Jan31 Dec17 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  GAGETOWN Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 Nov15 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
3  BRIT'S CANDYMAN Mar29 Mar01 Feb02 Jan19 Dec08 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
4  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 Aug04 (geist w)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRAB THE GOLD Mar15 Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 Dec22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
6  GENGHIS Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jan08 Dec19 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
7  YES IT'S ROO Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Dec07 Nov16 (rideout ronald)FLORES E 120 30.00    
8  SPLICETHEMAINBRACE Apr10 Mar24 Mar08 Jan30 Jan03 (kravets bru)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
SCR  WASABI BOY Mar01 Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   05/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNICKERSINATWIST Apr22 Mar26 Mar09 Feb18 Feb02 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00    
2  FOXY JUNIOR Dec20 Nov22 Nov15 Sep18 Aug18 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  DATE NIGHT KISSES Mar09 Feb01 Dec20 Jul14 Jun21 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 3.00    
SCR  PEYTON ELIZABETH Apr14 Feb02 Dec23 Nov04 Oct15 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.50    
5  MS STRONG HEART Mar26 Mar07 Dec28 Dec07 Nov01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
6  SWAN POINT Dec20 Nov22 Nov15 Aug21 Jul21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S TREASURE Apr10         (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
2  JUST START DANCIN         (wolfe jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
  (by JUMP START out of OUR QUIET DANCER by REAL QUIET)
3  DANCING CHIME Oct25         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of OUTLAW DANCER by BOWMAN'S BAND)
4  CLOUD IN THE WIND Jan19 Nov09 Oct16 Sep27 Sep06 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WENT WITH THE WIND by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  SUSANOO         (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 116 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of COURAGE AND INTENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  LITTLE LAMB CHOP Apr01 Feb21 Dec13     (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
7  PERIDOT PENDANT         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EMERALD BRACELET by GREEN DANCER)
8  NEVA'S GIRL Apr10 Mar01 Feb24     (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of UNWAVERING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
 
PEN-7   05/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jan31 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
2  LET'S GET CRAZY Mar21 Jan19       (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
3  SPORTING THE GOLD Apr09 Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 ★    
4  CHASIN' WHISKEY Apr09 Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 Oct26 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMPTY MY POUCH Mar28 Mar06 Jan26 Jan09 Dec15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 119 3.50    
6  SUNSHINE HARRY Mar01 Jan31 Nov24 Nov08 Aug30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  NOTORIOUS REY Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 30.00    
SCR  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Mar21 Mar06 Jan25 Dec22 Dec08 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 30.00    
9  ABBY'S SPIRIT Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.