Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 0 $3.40  
PEN-2   Win (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.00  
PEN-3   Win (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $11.60  
PEN-4   Win (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-5   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $15.80  
PEN-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
PEN-7   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLIN'S GREY LADY 4 1 1½ 11   11 1¾ (pattershal)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50 0.70  
STEPHANIE MY LOVE 3 4 2½ 21   3 2¾ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 121 4.00 29% 2.40 2.70 P
MORGANS COVE 2 3 42 31   21 3 (geist w)CORA D 121 4.50 2.60  
ASTONISHING ANABEL 1 2 3½ 4   44 44 (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 8.80  
SCR  BALI MOON               (moore colton)BEATO INOEL 121 3.50    
SCR  JACKIE B GOOD               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:22 :443       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASUE 5 2 32 2   2½ 1¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 121 3.50 3.00  
TRIXIE'S TIME 4 4 44 44   32 2¾ (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 6.00 11.00  
MADE TO HUSTLE 6 1 1 1   1½ 31 (rogers rona)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 20% 4.00 3.00 S
SHORTY MAC 7 3 2 3   44 4 (rogers ronald )VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 3 7 55 55   56 54 (salvaggio v)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 27% 2.80 2.10  
LA LIMA 2 5 710 79   69 6 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00 38.80  
FAST LANI 1 6 67 68   715 715¼ (mcmahon demelza)ROJAS MARTINA 114 4.50 24% 3.10 5.90  
 
PEN-3   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:223 :452 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T SEE COLORS 1 4 42 22   1½ 1 (coletti ed)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 4.80  
REBEL INVASION 3 1 11 12   2½ 2 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 35.90  
EASTER BET 6 2 21 32   3 36 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 20.40  
MAKE ME LUCKY 5 8 78 712   57 411¾ (stites p)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 23.00  
STRIDER'S SLIDER 8 6 3 4   4 512¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 11% 8.50 8.10  
BAZINGA D 4 5 56 5   67 612½ (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 121 2.50 52% 0.90 1.70  
TIZ SPEEDY 7 3 89 813   710 715¾ (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
PICTURE THIS 2 7 6 610   818 829¾ (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 16% 5.20 1.40  
 
PEN-4   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT 3 4 31 11   1 13 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 3.50 48% 1.10 2.10 W
EMPTY MY POUCH 6 2 42 4   46 23 (albright r)CORA D 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00 P
MAKOTO 4 3 21 31   2 33 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00 33.20  
MO MOSCATO 5 1 11 21   3 45 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 30% 2.30 1.20  
SUGAR'S LAST HOPE 2 5 57 67   510 5 (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 118 12.00 6.50  
ROAN FOR THE ROSE 1 6 69 5   611 6 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 20.00 32.30  
SCR  CHUCKA MOON               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50    
SCR  COOLER KING               (barboza vic)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 2.50    
 
PEN-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOWSTOPPER COPPER 2 4 1 12   16 111 (lingenfelter thomas)CORA D 122 10.00 6.90  
SANDY'S REFUGEE 4 1 32 33   26 211 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 4.50 7.70 P
MAT MATTERS 5 2 5 4   48 313¼ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.70 S
WISECRACK WARRIOR 3 5 43 6   59 414½ (salvaggio mar)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 30% 2.30 2.30  
MY MAGIC STAR 7 3 2 22   38 514½ (smith thoma)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50 4.00  
MALIBU KNIGHT 6 7 6 55   614 620½ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
LEMON BREEZE 1 6 75 7   716 722 (reck christophe)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 49.10  
SCR  E T PHONE HOME               (smith r)FLORES E 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:124 1:41   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER ROYAL MOON 3 2 21 1nk 1 13 1¾ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 19% 4.20 5.60 W
PURPLE SHIRT 4 5 58 5 5 5 2¾ (harigeorgiou )INIRIO J 123 12.00 9.60  
OVER AND THUNDER 1 3 11 2nk 2 23 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90 S
ZIP IT SCOTTY 2 1 3 4 46 45 4 (pino michael )SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 1.20  
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 5 4 43 32 33 35 59 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD               (rathman elish)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.00    
 
PEN-7   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZEN MACK 1 5 31 3   32 1¼ (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 35% 1.80 1.20 W
BROKENHEARTED 2 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 37% 1.70 1.60 P
NORTHWOODS 4 1 1½ 2nk   2nk 3¼ (kravets m)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 8.10  
CALL ME NOW 3 3 44 4   47 4 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50 4.70  
KEEP DEM TALKING 5 2 55 5   59 510 (nicholson junior)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
SCR  GRAND ROZZO               (barboza vic)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 8.00    
SCR  NECCO               (murtough step)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
SCR  WOW WISH               (simone mich)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.