Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(3/1/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/7)-(4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/7)-(4/7/8)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(5/3/6)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/4/6)-(5/3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/4/6)-(4/2/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTONISHING ANABEL Apr29 Apr02 Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 ★    
2  MORGANS COVE May31 Feb21 Jan24 Nov29 Nov03 (geist w)CORA D 121 4.50    
3  STEPHANIE MY LOVE May29 May03 Apr12 Mar22 Mar06 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Jul04 Jun17 Jun03 May07 Apr30 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.50    
SCR  BALI MOON May27 May06 Apr05 Mar13 Feb14 (moore colton)BEATO INOEL 121 3.50    
SCR  JACKIE B GOOD Apr29 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 Dec11 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST LANI Jun23 Jun11 May25 Apr20 Mar03 (mcmahon dem)ROBLES O 114 4.50 24% 3.10    
2  LA LIMA Jun18 May31 May15 Mar08 Feb09 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 121 15.00    
3  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jun25 Jun11 Oct08 Sep22 Aug30 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  TRIXIE'S TIME Jun11 Sep22 Sep14 Sep23 Sep17 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 6.00    
5  ASUE Jul03 Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 3.50    
6  MADE TO HUSTLE Jun26 Jun11 May21 Oct08 Aug10 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  SHORTY MAC Jun11 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DON'T SEE COLORS Jun11 May22 Apr24 Apr03 Mar04 (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
2  PICTURE THIS Jun25 Jun04 Mar01 Dec22 Nov05 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  REBEL INVASION Dec15 Sep15 Aug21 May01   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00    
4  BAZINGA D Jun20 Jun04 May16 May02 Apr14 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 121 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  MAKE ME LUCKY May16 Feb22 Jan24 Dec27 Dec15 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
6  EASTER BET Jul04 May29 May08 Apr09 Mar20 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
7  TIZ SPEEDY Jun20 Jun04 May16 Mar15 Jan11 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRIDER'S SLIDER Jun18 May29       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
 
PEN-4   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jul03 Jun13 Mar22 Mar01 Jan31 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 20.00    
2  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Jun26 Jun11 May10 Mar24 Feb21 (sinnefia )VARGAS L 118 12.00    
SCR  COOLER KING Jun19 Apr04 Feb14 Jan17 Jul14 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 2.50    
4  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT May23 May09 Feb20 Jan25 Jan06 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  MAKOTO Dec15 Nov29 Nov01 Sep16 Aug30 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 121 10.00    
SCR  CHUCKA MOON Jun13 May04 Mar15 Dec06 Feb10 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50    
7  MO MOSCATO Jun13 May22 May03 Mar06 Feb02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
8  EMPTY MY POUCH Jun27 Jun18 May23 May02 Mar28 (albright r)CORA D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON BREEZE         (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of ZITRONE by LEMON DROP KID)
2  SHOWSTOPPER COPPER         (lingenfelter thomas)CORA D 122 10.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SANTIN'S ANNA by CONCORD POINT)
3  WISECRACK WARRIOR Jun22         (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PUN by PULPIT)
4  SANDY'S REFUGEE Jun18 May29       (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 4.50 ★    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
5  MAT MATTERS Jun18 May22 May03 Feb21   (kravets b)VARGAS L 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of BALTIMORE STREET by BALTIMORE BOB)
6  MALIBU KNIGHT         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MALIBU PUNCH by MALIBU MOON)
7  MY MAGIC STAR         (smith tho)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50    
  (by RED VINE out of STAR OF THE FOREST by OLD FORESTER)
SCR  E T PHONE HOME         (smith r)FLORES E 122 10.00    
  (by EMPEROR TIBERIUS out of BLINK TWICE by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
PEN-6   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER AND THUNDER Jun20 Jun06 Nov10 Oct06 Aug09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD Jul05 Jun06 Feb01 Dec28 Nov01 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.00    
3  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul01 Jun08 May29 Apr29 Apr22 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00    
4  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Jun19 May30 May09 Feb08 Jan18 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  PURPLE SHIRT Jun27 Jun12 May17 Jan11 Dec29 (harigeorg)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
6  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jun19 Jun06 May30 May09 Mar15 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAND ROZZO Jun22 Jun12 Apr27 Jan26 Dec24 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 8.00    
2  CITIZEN MACK Jun27 Jun11 May24 May03 Apr12 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  NECCO Jul03 Jun18 May29 May16 Mar21 (murtough st)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
4  BROKENHEARTED Jun19 Jun12 May24 May03 Apr08 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  CALL ME NOW Jun26 Jun03 May07 Apr15 Dec22 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50    
6  NORTHWOODS Jun19 Jun04 May23 May04 Mar15 (kravets bruce )TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
7  KEEP DEM TALKING Jul02 Jun18 May29 May14 Apr22 (nicholson juni)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WOW WISH Jun29 Jun01 May15 Apr26 Apr12 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.