Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $28.80 $22.80 380%
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $153.40 $141.40 1178%
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/2/9)-(4/8/3/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-3-2 $338.90 $320.90 1783%
PEN-3   TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-2-1 $10.45 $1.45 16%
PEN-6   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $8.40 $4.40 110%
    DD (5/2)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-6 $5.20 $1.20 30%
PEN-7   WIN (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $19.80 $11.80 148%
    EXA (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-8 $22.90 $10.90 91%
    TRI (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-8-2 $60.95 $48.95 408%
    SFT (8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4)-(8/6/2/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-8-2-6 $61.69 $59.29 2470%
    DD (2/6)-(8/6/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  6-4 $44.60 $36.60 458%
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/6)-(8/6/2/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00  1/5-6-4 $26.50 $18.50 231%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HUSHEMUP 7 2 31 32 31½ 21 1½ (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 13% 6.40 13.40 W
3  LAVINIA SPIRIT 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 11 2½ (kravets b)VARGAS L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
2  OLIVIA DEE 1 9 54½ 53 44½ 45 32½ (martin char)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 ★ 4.10 S
7  PRACTICAL RACHEL 6 8 913 912 811 56½ 42¾ (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 14.80  
6  MILLROSE 5 4 69½ 69½ 69 78 57½ (wolfe j)INIRIO J 122 8.00 31.80  
4  MOMMA KIM 3 7 2½ 21 2½ 32 68 (nunn douglas)CHIAPPE R 119 1.50 55% 0.80 0.80  
5  MOON POOL 4 5 711½ 811 79 68 79½ (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 65.20  
10  SHORESY 9 6 812½ 710½ 912 911 813½ (schoenthal ph)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.00 7.60  
9  AWESOME GLO 8 3 41½ 42 58 810 916 (kreiser c)CORA D 119 3.00 ★ 17.10  
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE               (webb sandr)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
 
PEN-2   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLETCHER 2 1 1½ 21 2½ 1½ 12½ (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 2.80  
1  SHARP TONES 1 6 3½ 11 1½ 2½ 22½ (ashby lynn)WOLFSONT ANDREW 117 3.50 2.50  
8  TREVESSO 5 4 2½ 32 46 310½ 315¾ (lynch cat)RODRIGUEZ R 117 6.00 9.70  
5  SACHMO 3 3 51½ 52½ 56¼ 410½ 420 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 15% 5.50 31.70  
9  EGOT A POKER FACE 6 5 41 42 36 513 521 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 50% 1.00 0.90  
7  T REX 4 2 67½ 611½ 616¼ 619 627¼ (rogers rona)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
SCR  LACCO AMENO               (woolley ti)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
SCR  MORNING MARCH               (gordon-watson)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  SAKETUMI               (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC               (betancourt eli)MOYA F 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MARGIN OF AIR 6 2 11 1½ 14 16 17 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.00 70% 0.40 0.10 W
2  FOLE'S NOTION 2 4 42½ 42½ 46 47 27 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70 P
1  BAZINGA D 1 1 21 31 24 26 39½ (beattie t)VARGAS L 120 6.00 8% 11.70 13.20 S
3  MAKE ME LUCKY 3 5 63 64½ 69 611¼ 49¾ (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 38.50  
5  SKIMBLE SHANKS 5 3 31½ 2½ 34 37 59¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 9.60  
4  TIZ SPEEDY 4 6 52½ 52½ 58 511 611¼ (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★ 22.20  
7  RIDLEY PARK 7 7 75½ 76½ 712½ 717¼ 722¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00 38.40  
SCR  ORASHI               (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNION BELLE 5 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 3.50  
1  FLEETING EMBER 1 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 21 (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 11.80  
2  TIME OF OUR LIVES 2 4 42½ 41½   32½ 34½ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 8% 12.10 6.60 S
3  COMBAT HOOFS 3 2 31½ 31   42½ 47½ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50  
4  SMILEY JONES 4 3 53½ 56   512½ 518¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 15% 5.80 5.90  
SCR  JUST START DANCIN               (wolfe j)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
 
PEN-5   05/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:121 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KEEPING IT COUNTRY 3 2 1½ 1½ 13½ 15 13 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.60 63% 0.60 0.20 W
6  YES SIR COLONEL 4 3 43 44 44½ 35 23 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00 4.40  
3  CURLINGTON 2 4 2½ 2½ 23½ 45¼ 36¼ (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5.50  
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK 1 1 32½ 33½ 34 25 46¾ (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00 18.70  
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD               (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
SCR  FORECLOSURE               (moreno tito)INIRIO J 120 50.00    
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS               (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00    
 
PEN-6   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ABBY'S SPIRIT 6 2 42 22   21½ 1¼ (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 23% 3.40 3.20 W
5  SKYHOOK 5 4 1½ 12   11½ 2¼ (perez ruper)RAMOS C 122 2.00 1.50  
2  COWBOY JIM 2 1 2½ 33   33½ 32½ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.80 3.10 S
3  NECCO 3 6 52 44   43½ 42¾ (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 3.00 4.00  
1  CHASIN' WHISKEY 1 5 63 57½   57½ 55 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 12.00 ★ 14.70  
4  NOTORIOUS REY 4 3 31 6100   6100 6100 (ippolito )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 14.20  
 
PEN-7   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:143 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REZQUIA 4 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 11 11 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.90 W
8  ZIFFY BUG 8 1 31 31½ 2nk 21 21 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 38% 1.60 0.90 P
2  BACALL 2 3 76 76¼ 68¼ 57½ 34¼ (aguirre antho)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 14% 6.10 9.40 S
6  BUILT'IN ABILITY 6 4 2½ 2nk 3.2 34½ 44¾ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 20% 3.90 8.30  
3  JUMP A FOX 3 5 43 43½ 44¼ 46½ 55¾ (meister wil)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00 6.90  
7  ENSUING GRACE 7 8 54½ 54 55¾ 617½ 623¼ (zalalas mich)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 3.90  
5  EARLY 5 7 65 66 714¼ 722½ 724¼ (crane clovi)INIRIO J 121 12.00 31.10  
1  LOOKING FANCY 1 6 810½ 810¾ 818¼ 828½ 830¾ (crane clovis)CORA D 121 50.00 44.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.