Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (9/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-7   Win (8/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRIMSON LILLE Nov11 Aug23 Jul05 Jun20 May25 (webb sandra)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
OLIVIA DEE Mar14 Feb02 Aug25 Aug03   (martin charle)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
LAVINIA SPIRIT May03 Apr22 Feb21 Feb01   (kravets bru)VARGAS L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOMMA KIM Apr24 Mar09 Jan20 Dec28 Dec02 (nunn douglas)CHIAPPE R 119 1.50 55% 0.80    
MOON POOL May08 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (beattie sandee )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
MILLROSE May03 Mar13 Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
PRACTICAL RACHEL Apr09 Mar05 Jan30 Nov20 Oct25 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00    
HUSHEMUP Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 Feb23 Feb08 (moreno tito)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 13% 6.40    
AWESOME GLO May03 Mar29 Mar03 Feb16 Feb03 (kreiser c)CORA D 119 3.00    
10  SHORESY Oct03 Sep21 Aug03 Jul13   (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 119 4.00    
 
PEN-2   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP TONES Apr19 Feb19 Jan30 Nov28 Oct25 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 117 3.50    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC Jan10 Jan01 Dec18 Nov14 Oct16 (betancourt j)MOYA F 120 12.00    
FLETCHER Nov18 Oct14 Jun02 May17 Apr15 (lawrence l)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
SCR  SAKETUMI Nov16 Oct26 Aug23 Aug04 Jul19 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
SACHMO Oct26 Oct05 Sep15 Aug23 Aug04 (salvaggio mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  MORNING MARCH Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug15 (gordon-watson a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
T REX Oct26 Oct07 Sep13 Jul13 Jun20 (rogers ronald)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
TREVESSO Feb19 Dec27       (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ R 117 6.00    
EGOT A POKER FACE Jan10 Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Sep25 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  LACCO AMENO Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 Aug18 (woolley tim)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAZINGA D May02 Apr14 Mar14 Feb22 Feb07 (beattie tod)VARGAS L 120 6.00 8% 11.70    
FOLE'S NOTION May02 Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 Nov09 (rathman elish)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE ME LUCKY Feb22 Jan24 Dec27 Dec15 Nov03 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
TIZ SPEEDY Mar15 Jan11 Nov24 Nov01 Oct10 (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Apr30 Mar15 Feb16 Jan24 Dec27 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
MARGIN OF AIR Mar30 Mar15 Feb12 Jan10 Dec04 (ness jamie)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.00 70% 0.40    
RIDLEY PARK May02 Dec27 Dec01 Oct26 Oct10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 10.00    
SCR  ORASHI Mar01 Feb16 Nov30 Nov16 Sep13 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEETING EMBER Mar21         (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
TIME OF OUR LIVES Nov09 Aug21 Jul28     (houghton thomas)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 8% 12.10    
COMBAT HOOFS Apr24 Apr01 Feb21     (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
SMILEY JONES         (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 15% 5.80    
UNION BELLE Feb11 Dec28 Nov12 Oct14   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00    
SCR  JUST START DANCIN May02         (wolfe jr)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
 
PEN-5   05/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAN ANDREWS May09 Apr27 Apr09 Feb22 Feb08 (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK May04 Mar15 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
CURLINGTON Apr13 Feb09 Dec13 Apr29 Apr06 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  FORECLOSURE Apr16 Feb21 Jan26 Oct06 Sep22 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 120 50.00    
KEEPING IT COUNTRY May04 Apr09 Mar21 Feb29 Feb07 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 1.60 63% 0.60    
YES SIR COLONEL May04 Apr08 Feb19 Jan29 Dec26 (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00    
SCR  COLONEL MOORHEAD Feb01 Dec28 Nov01 Oct07 Aug31 (rathman elish)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASIN' WHISKEY May02 Apr09 Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 12.00    
COWBOY JIM Mar21 Feb19 Jan29 Dec27 Dec05 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
NECCO Mar21 Mar06 Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 (murtough step)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
NOTORIOUS REY May02 Mar06 Jan24 Dec08 Nov09 (ippolito ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
SKYHOOK May01 Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Jan29 (perez ruperto)RAMOS C 122 2.00    
ABBY'S SPIRIT May02 Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Dec27 (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-7   05/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING FANCY May03 Mar14 Feb29 Feb09   (crane clovis)CORA D 121 50.00    
BACALL Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb23 Feb04 (aguirre anthony)ROJAS MARTINA 116 4.50 14% 6.10    
JUMP A FOX May03 Mar13 Nov02 Sep09 Aug06 (meister willi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 4.00    
REZQUIA May03 Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 Feb01 (kravets bru)VARGAS L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
EARLY May08         (crane clovis)INIRIO J 121 12.00    
BUILT'IN ABILITY         (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 20% 3.90    
ENSUING GRACE May03 Mar21 Mar07 Nov01 Sep11 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00    
ZIFFY BUG May03 Mar14 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.