The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
TDN-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.40 -4.00
TDN-4   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 6.80
TDN-5   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
TDN-6   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
TDN-7   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.40 -6.00
TDN-8   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSATIABLE EVA 3 2 1nk 2nk   15 18 (canegata james)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 4.00  
NOT OVER YET 5 1 2nk 1nk   25 28 (urieta johanna)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 5.00 2.30  
CAP IS BACK 2 3 5 511¼   314 312¾ (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 55% 0.80 1.40 S
DO NOT PASS 4 4 4 410¼   416 421½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
MARVELING 1 5 37 310   516 523½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 20% 4.10 5.20  
SCR  IN AMERICAN               (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
 
TDN-2   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 1 4 1 12   16 1 (cowans william )BRACHO A 115 1.50 39% 1.60 0.10 W
AFLEET O ME 5 1 2 22   26 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 11.00  
GOOD MUSIC 3 5 5 34   3 38 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 13.00  
I STRONG 4 2 4 5   413 416¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
OHIO STRONG 2 3 3 4   513½ 524¼ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 16% 5.30 15.40  
 
TDN-3   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ROWDY DAN 5 1 3 3.2   11 11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 1.60 1.20  
CYCLONE 3 5 54 4   21 21 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 2.40  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 4 2 2½ 1nk   31 35 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 123 6.00 17% 4.80 4.00 S
NO ANGEL 1 4 43 5   5 410¾ (canegata james)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 44% 1.30 4.60  
C J ALL THE WAY 2 3 1½ 2nk   4 512¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50 7.40  
 
TDN-4   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:142     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILES 5 4 5 5 44 1nk 14 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 31% 2.20 5.40 W
HAD RIGHT 4 2 4 3 32 2nk 24 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 0.70  
KLAATU 3 3 1 2nk 1nk 3½ 3 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 11.50  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 6 6 3 1nk 2nk 43 416¼ (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 2.70  
GEH SCHNELL 2 5 67 6 69 6 518 (manning rich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
RUBINSTEIN 1 1 2 4 55 57 618 (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 9.50  
 
TDN-5   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFERDITA 5 6 4¾ 1nk   1 14 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 61% 0.60 0.40 W
CONSTITUTIONALIST 6 2 5 5   2 24 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 8.60  
PRINCESS HALIME 2 3 3½ 4   3 3 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 16.80 S
BOOGIE BOOGEE 4 1 6 6   56 47 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 14.40  
TRITONE GAL 3 5 2½ 2nk   44 510¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 3.00 6% 14.60 3.50  
BAREBACK FUN 1 4 1½ 3.2   68 616¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 11.90  
SCR  JEN'S BATTLE               (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00    
 
TDN-6   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKEYE CRUISER 1 5 4 2nk   1nk 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 34% 1.90 1.80 W
WORK'N ON A BUZZ 3 4 1 1nk   2nk 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20 2.10 P
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 4 1 2 4   36 38 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 10.00 2.60  
RUNAWAY ATLANTIC 5 2 3 31   4 417 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 8.00 4.20  
QUETZALY 2 3 5 58   510½ 521½ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
SCR  CALI CRUISER               (inirio olivo)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00    
SCR  EXTRA CRAFTY               (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:124     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPING GIANT 3 5 5 4 3½ 11 1 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 3.70  
MY BROTHER CAM 5 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 21 2 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
ICE BLAST 2 2 3 32 4 4 3 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 22% 3.50 2.90 S
GRAN ANDREWS 1 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 32 4 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 52% 0.90 0.70  
AULD LANGE SYNE 4 4 4 55 5 510 513¼ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 24.80  
SCR  BROADWAY SKY               (romero a)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE               (brown glenroy)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 15.00    
 
TDN-8   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:254 :512 1:16 1:42   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 5 2 11 1nk 1nk 13 1¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 68% 0.50 0.30 W
WINDY LU WHO 7 1 42 5 34 36 2¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 3.50 7% 12.90 8.50 P
R THREE ANGELS 6 5 21 2nk 2nk 23 3 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00 9.20  
SHE'S CRAFTY 1 3 63 6 6 5 44 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 5.00  
MARKET SUCCESS 2 6 31 4 4 4 5 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
HIGH FIRE 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 117 10.00 41.20  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 7 5 32 5 713¾ 722½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 15.00 35.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.