Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/2/4)-(1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/4)-(6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/5/2)-(6/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/3/2)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/5/4)-(1/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(1/3/6)-(5/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARVELING Feb29 Feb03       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  CAP IS BACK Jun23         (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.80 55% 0.80    
SCR  IN AMERICAN Apr25 Feb10 Jan21 Dec01 Nov04 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
4  INSATIABLE EVA Jan10 Oct08 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (canegata james)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
5  DO NOT PASS Oct03         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NOT OVER YET Apr25 Apr04       (urieta johan)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 5.00    
 
TDN-2   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Apr13 Jan18 Dec14     (cowans willia)BRACHO A 115 1.50 39% 1.60    
2  OHIO STRONG Mar25 Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
3  GOOD MUSIC Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
4  I STRONG Apr24 Apr04 Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  AFLEET O ME Sep28 Sep18 Aug24 Aug10 Jul17 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-3   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO ANGEL Feb11 Sep17 Jul01 Jun04 May25 (canegata james)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
2  C J ALL THE WAY Apr09 Mar20 Dec07 Nov21 Nov08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.50 ★    
3  CYCLONE Apr19 Mar23 Feb25 Jan28 Dec29 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
4  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL May01 Mar20 Mar06 Feb15 Feb01 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 123 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  BIG ROWDY DAN Apr20 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Jan13 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 1.60    
 
TDN-4   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBINSTEIN Apr25 Mar26 Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
2  GEH SCHNELL Apr09 Feb05 Jan10 Dec26 Dec12 (manning ri)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  KLAATU Apr25 Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 Feb20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 12.00    
4  HAD RIGHT Apr29 Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50    
5  GILES Mar25 Mar14 Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Apr25 Mar25 Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 (calderon ivan)BOWEN ROCCO 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-5   05/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Apr23 Dec06 Oct02 Sep06 Aug17 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
2  PRINCESS HALIME Dec12 Nov09 Sep20 Sep05 Aug02 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRITONE GAL Apr10 Apr02 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 121 3.00 6% 14.60    
4  BOOGIE BOOGEE Apr11 Mar26 Mar06 Sep11 Aug16 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
SCR  JEN'S BATTLE Apr23 Jan23 Dec19 Dec06 Oct31 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00    
6  AFERDITA Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Feb11 Jan17 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
7  CONSTITUTIONALIST Apr23 Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 Feb21 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
 
TDN-6   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXTRA CRAFTY Apr01 Mar14 Feb24 Jan09 Dec11 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 8.00    
  (by PALACE out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  CALI CRUISER Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Jan24 Jan10 (inirio oliv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FLY INTO MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  BUCKEYE CRUISER Apr24         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of INDUSTRIAL POLICY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  QUETZALY Apr24 Apr08 Jan30 Jan15   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
5  WORK'N ON A BUZZ Apr08 Mar20       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of BUZZ HOME by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Jan30         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
7  RUNAWAY ATLANTIC         (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 8.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of RUNAWAY'S VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
TDN-7   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN ANDREWS Apr27 Apr09 Feb22 Feb08 Dec08 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  BROADWAY SKY Mar26 Feb22 Feb01 Dec03 Mar28 (romero a)BARBARAN ERIK 121 6.00    
3  ICE BLAST Apr22 Mar27 Mar17 Feb19 Jan30 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  SWEEPING GIANT Feb11 Jan06 Dec01 Nov22 Oct20 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
5  AULD LANGE SYNE Mar20 Jan23 Jan01 Dec18 Nov15 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
6  MY BROTHER CAM Apr22 Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 Dec18 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOUCH CODE Mar20 Feb26 Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 (brown glenro)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 15.00    
 
TDN-8   05/09/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S CRAFTY Apr13 Apr03 Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 3.00 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
2  MARKET SUCCESS Apr29 Oct28 Sep26 Aug12 Jul20 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT OAK out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Apr30 Apr10 Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 15.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of COPPER ROSE by UNBRIDLED)
4  HIGH FIRE Apr13 Mar26 Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 117 10.00    
  (by BULLET TRAIN out of HI SUGAR by JUMP START)
5  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Apr24 Oct28 Oct05 Sep07 Aug12 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 1.80 68% 0.50    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  R THREE ANGELS Mar18 Feb29 Feb06 Jan18 Nov09 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  WINDY LU WHO Apr30 Apr03 Mar18 Feb24 Feb06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 3.50 7% 12.90    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.