The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - April 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
TDN-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
TDN-3   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TDN-4   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
TDN-5   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
TDN-6   Win (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $23.00 $23.00 15.00
TDN-7   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TDN-8   Win (7/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA 2 3 13 13   1 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.00 W
STONE COLD CAT 3 5 55 5   5 2 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 2.80  
KARAMEL CORN 1 4 33 4   3 33 (tumblin an)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 8.00  
OFTEN ENOUGH 4 1 4 33   4 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 20% 3.90 3.40  
THE MAN CAN 5 2 23 23   2 5 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
 
TDN-2   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICUREAN 5 1 1 15   15 17 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 51% 1.00 0.40 W
MISS OVER THERE 4 2 3 3   25 27 (manning c)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 36.30  
BAREBACK FUN 3 3 2 25   35 39 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 23% 3.40 2.10 S
JEN'S BATTLE 6 4 6 511½   410 410¼ (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
RIPLEY EFFECT 1 6 57 612   510½ 513¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 8.00 15.70  
SKY 2 5 4 411½   611½ 617 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 17.10  
 
TDN-3   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL NAUGHTY 3 1 1½ 1nk   1 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 123 2.00 12% 7.60 1.20 W
MIGHTY LES 5 2 2½ 2nk   2 2 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 41% 1.50 5.60 P
LAST COOKIE 2 6 54 5   4 3 (urie)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 8.90  
BANG A RANG 1 3 33 33   3 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 2.00  
EL BAMBINO 4 5 4 4   5 510¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 4.50 11% 8.00 22.10  
TIMESATAPPIN 6 4 6 6   614½ 629¾ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 4.00 5.40  
SCR  COOL IN BLUE               (brooks ger)MARTINEZ A 115 8.00    
 
TDN-4   04/23/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL 3 5 4 52 41 2nk 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 32% 2.10 0.80 W
GRAY ROYALITY 4 3 32 21 2nk 1nk 2¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 1.10  
BIG JAVA 5 4 54 4 1nk 3.2 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 15.70  
PRANCIPANTS 1 1 1nk 31 5 4 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 5.00 23% 3.40 15.00  
SPECIAL BEACH 2 2 2nk 11 3½ 5 511¾ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
SCR  IYIYI               (romero a)ROSARIO L 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONALIST 2 5 42 3   1nk 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10 1.00 W
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 4 3 32 1nk   2nk 2 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 7.80  
ROSY APPLE 5 1 54 5   5 34 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50 5.50  
LA CUMPARSITA 3 2 2½ 4   43 4 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SPEEDY BUBBLES 1 4 1½ 2nk   3½ 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.30 1.60  
SCR  NEXT GENERATION               (cowans william )BRACHO A 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:003     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY ANDY 1 7 710 610½   21 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 5% 17.40 10.50 W
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 7 5 34 33   11 2 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 3.00 3.10  
JACK'S ADVANTAGE 3 3 4 4   5 3 (schuster robin)TOLEDO S 123 8.00 16.80  
CHACO SPIRIT 4 4 57 5   64 4 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 6.00 12% 7.20 1.20  
MORE THAN GOOD 6 2 2½ 1nk   3 5 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 20% 4.00 6.90  
JUNE GLOOM 2 6 610 711   75 6 (cline c)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 35% 1.90 6.70  
WIZARD WILLIE 5 1 1½ 2nk   4 711¾ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 5.70  
SCR  ZELIG               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00    
 
TDN-7   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE NAME 6 1 21 2nk   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 29% 2.40 1.20 W
POWERFUL MOON 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 2 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50 4.70  
GILLIGAN 4 6 6 5   33 33 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 8.10 S
SAMMY'S SMILE 7 2 7 6   5 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00 9.40  
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 5 7 5 4   4 5 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 7.40  
EXONERATED PREZ 3 3 32 7   7 614 (genovese l)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 15% 5.50 5.40  
CORNER OFFICE 2 5 42 3   6 714 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 19% 4.40 7.50  
 
TDN-8   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:00     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL A QUARTERS 7 3 1 12   1 1 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 32% 2.10 1.10 W
HIDDEN RANSOM 6 6 6 4   2 2 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 119 5.00 3.70  
RAMBLER 2 2 3 3   35 36 (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 29.80  
DOUBLE AGENT 4 5 43 5   4 4 (hamm tim)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 22.70  
GRAY TORMENTOR 5 4 7 66   5 5 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 20.00 56.60  
K C OUTWORK 1 1 2 22   69 613¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 19% 4.20 1.70  
CRACK COMMAND 3 7 5 77   715 726¼ (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 9% 9.60 10.30  
SCR  EL SORDO               (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
SCR  MISSION CONTROL               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.