Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - April 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(5/3/6)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(6/4/5)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/1/2)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(2/1/3)-(3/7/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/7/5/1)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/7/5/1)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/1)-(6/2/3)-(7/1/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (7/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARAMEL CORN Apr08 Feb28 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 (tumblin )MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
2  NEBULOSA Oct13 Sep04 Aug03 Jun13 May16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 44% 1.30    
3  STONE COLD CAT Apr08 Mar14 Feb27 Jan24 Sep11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME Apr04 Mar11 Feb28 Nov21 Oct13 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50    
5  OFTEN ENOUGH Jun07 May31 May08 Apr27 Apr13 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
6  THE MAN CAN Apr08 Mar18 Feb27 Jan24 Dec19 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPLEY EFFECT Sep25 Sep07 Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 (jackson r)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
2  SKY Apr10 Dec12 Nov13 Nov06 Oct23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
3  BAREBACK FUN Dec06 Oct02 Sep06 Aug17 Jul04 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  MISS OVER THERE Feb07 Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 Jul17 (manning richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
5  EPICUREAN Mar27 Mar18 Feb28 Feb07 Jan31 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
6  JEN'S BATTLE Jan23 Dec19 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANG A RANG Mar02 Dec23 Oct25 Oct12   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
SCR  COOL IN BLUE Mar23 Feb24 Feb14 Dec30 Dec01 (brooks g)MARTINEZ A 115 8.00    
3  LAST COOKIE Dec29 Nov30 Nov21 Nov01 Sep30 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
4  REAL NAUGHTY Apr01 Feb29 Feb17 Jan12 Dec16 (cline robert )BRACHO A 123 2.00 12% 7.60    
5  EL BAMBINO Apr09 Mar26 Mar11 Feb15 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 115 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  MIGHTY LES Mar28 Mar13       (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
7  TIMESATAPPIN Feb20 Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Nov01 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 4.00    
 
TDN-4   04/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRANCIPANTS Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb08 Jan09 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
2  SPECIAL BEACH Mar13 Jan09 Dec27 Nov13 Sep25 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IYIYI Mar28 Mar11 Feb22 Jan10 Jan01 (romero jose )ROSARIO L 119 8.00    
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL Mar30 Jan09 Dec05 Nov09 Oct10 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  GRAY ROYALITY Mar27 Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Nov16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60    
6  BIG JAVA Apr09 Jan31 Dec28 Dec15 Nov21 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY BUBBLES Feb21 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov03 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  CONSTITUTIONALIST Apr02 Mar14 Mar05 Feb21 Feb07 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  LA CUMPARSITA Apr04 Jan27 Dec22 Jul15 Jun17 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Mar26 Mar07 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 (romero oscar)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  NEXT GENERATION Dec21 Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 Jul07 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 119 2.00    
6  ROSY APPLE Apr03 Mar17 Feb26 Feb08 Jan25 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ANDY Oct31 Oct13 Aug22 Jul31 Jul12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  ZELIG Mar17 Feb15 Feb05 Dec07 Nov08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.00    
3  JUNE GLOOM Jun07 May04 Apr14 Feb15 Jan04 (cline c)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 35% 1.90    
4  JACK'S ADVANTAGE Apr08 Mar14 Feb28 Feb13 Dec27 (schuster ro)PETERSON FERRIN 123 8.00    
5  CHACO SPIRIT Feb05 Dec13 Jun05 May08 Apr12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  WIZARD WILLIE Apr01 Mar17 Feb29 Feb05 Jan22 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 123 3.50    
7  MORE THAN GOOD Dec12 Nov21 Nov02 Oct18 Sep14 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
8  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Apr02 Mar18 Mar06 Feb20 Dec30 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
 
TDN-7   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL MOON Apr11 Mar05 Feb12 Aug17 Jul04 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.50    
2  CORNER OFFICE Oct03 Aug28 Jul27 Jun24 Jun02 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Jan30 Jan01 Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 (genovese richard)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 15% 5.50    
4  GILLIGAN Mar17 Feb28 Feb14 Jan15 Dec28 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 121 6.00 ★    
5  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Apr02 Mar13 Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50    
6  STAGE NAME Jul29 Jun27 Jun02 May08 Apr13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  SAMMY'S SMILE Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Jul18 Jun19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K C OUTWORK Mar28         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of KIOSK'S CAL by COWBOY CAL)
2  RAMBLER Apr09 Mar05 Sep26 Sep06   (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HOPEFAITHJOY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  CRACK COMMAND         (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 9% 9.60    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of PROUD COMMANDER by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  DOUBLE AGENT Oct12 Sep13       (hamm t)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
5  GRAY TORMENTOR Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep26 Sep06 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CIRCLE CAN RUN by KENTUCKY DANE)
6  HIDDEN RANSOM         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of HIDDEN NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  ROLL A QUARTERS         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of ATLANTIC ZIP by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  MISSION CONTROL Apr01 Mar09       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by PAYNTER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  EL SORDO Apr10 Mar25 Mar14 Feb22 Dec12 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.