The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.60 -4.00
TDN-2   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
TDN-3   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $36.80 -6.00
TDN-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $3.80 -6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 6.80
TDN-6   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
TDN-7   Win (9/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00
TDN-8   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PECKS NOT BAD 5 2 34 34   22 13 (juarez lor)MARTINEZ A 119 3.50 2.80  
4  MANNFORD 4 5 57 45½   44 23 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 60% 0.70 0.60 P
2  OHIO PLAYER 2 4 12 12½   12 34½ (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.00 ★ 4.90 S
3  HOPPY GILMORE 3 6 68 66½   56 45¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 12% 7.70 17.30  
1  TIGER TRAIL 1 3 22 22½   32 57¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9.20  
6  TAMMY'S TOY 6 1 46 55½   67½ 610 (brown glenroy)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 8.00 31.30  
 
TDN-2   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EMPIRE'S FIRE 5 1 42 3.2   11½ 11¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.80 23% 3.30 1.30 W
3  CHANNEL FURY 3 4 2½ 2nk   21½ 21¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 1.60  
4  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 4 6 54 51¾   32 32½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 123 10.00 11.00  
2  FREE SAILIN 2 5 31½ 41¾   43½ 44½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 33% 2.00 3.40  
6  CREDIT RIVER 6 3 66 63¼   66 56¾ (castro a)GONZALEZ A 123 15.00 46.80  
1  IRISH UNITY 1 2 1½ 1nk   54 610¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
 
TDN-3   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:014     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELEGGUA 5 3 51¾ 51¾   42½ 12 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 17.40  
3  HEY HEY GOODBYE 3 5 3.2 2nk   1nk 22 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 2.00 30% 2.40 4.10 P
2  MO SNOW 2 6 2nk 1nk   2nk 32 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 123 1.80 37% 1.70 0.60 S
4  MOBOT 4 2 67¾ 66¼   55½ 43½ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 123 3.00 2.70  
6  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 6 1 4¼ 3.2   31 53¾ (genovese rich)PETERSON FERRIN 123 4.00 14.90  
1  CAMILAS WARRIOR 1 4 1nk 41¾   67½ 614¼ (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 38.30  
 
TDN-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RED HOT LASS 4 2 21 1nk   2nk 11¼ (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 123 1.60 0.90  
6  COMMAND STRIKE 5 1 11 2nk   1nk 21¼ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 45% 1.20 0.90 P
4  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 3 5 55¾ 45   44½ 35¾ (skerrett jeff)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.20 S
2  TWILIGHT VISION 1 4 31 32   33½ 46¼ (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 1.80 27% 2.70 8.30  
3  CEVICHE 2 3 45½ 512   512½ 520 (casalinova ti)PETERSON FERRIN 123 15.00 64.90  
SCR  WINE ME UP BABY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
 
TDN-5   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:142     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DELOVELY 3 3 46 43½ 41¼ 11 14 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 50% 1.00 5.40 W
2  NOT TODAY 2 4 32 31½ 1nk 21 24 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 2.50 14.70  
4  MY SUZIE Q 4 1 11 1nk 2nk 31½ 35¾ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 11% 7.90 0.20 S
5  LADY GIULIANA 5 6 69½ 67¾ 53¾ 45½ 49 (skerrett j)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 24.50  
1  BACK UP GHOST 1 5 57½ 57½ 68¼ 67½ 515¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 6% 15.70 6.90  
6  TRAMA QUEEN 6 2 21 2nk 31 56 622½ (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 3.00 19.50  
 
TDN-6   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HENRY MAC 4 3 42½ 21   2½ 1½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 1.60 24% 3.10 0.60 W
6  SO DIALED IN 6 1 12 11   1½ 2½ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 2.30  
1  RAVEN MOON 1 6 64¼ 44   43 32½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 5% 17.30 8.40 S
3  MR. BOUMA 3 5 52¾ 31   33 43¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 44% 1.30 7.40  
2  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 2 4 32½ 65½   56 59 (rivera nestor)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 42.30  
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 5 2 22 54½   67½ 610¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 10.20  
 
TDN-7   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KELLEHER 5 2 42½ 1½   13 12 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 22% 3.60 3.00 W
1  SOCIAL HISTORY 1 6 21 41   23 22 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 10.00 0.40  
8  MOMENT IN THE DARK 6 1 52½ 3½   44 38¼ (bookman dona)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30 S
3  MOMMA K'S BOY 3 5 11 2½   33½ 410½ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 14% 6.40 6.40  
4  BIG TIME FLIRT 4 3 63 54   58½ 515½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 37.70  
2  RADIO SILENT 2 4 32 66   610½ 616½ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 11.20  
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING               (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  GHOST OF LONDYN               (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  LIVING THE DREAM               (fernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00    
 
TDN-8   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RECKLESS L J 3 3 32 2nk   14 16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 62% 0.60 0.40 W
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK 5 5 42 4¾   24 26 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 9.60  
2  HENRY THE CAT 2 6 54 51¼   46 39½ (meyers shane)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 12% 7.10 5.30 S
6  GIV'EM THE BIZ 6 1 21 1nk   35½ 413¼ (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
7  KARAMEL CORN 7 4 79 66¼   612½ 514 (tumblin an)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00 68.90  
4  MUCHO PRIMO 4 2 11 3.2   58½ 616¼ (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 ★ 6.00  
1  RED COMET 1 7 66 78¼   715½ 719¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 46.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.