Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/3)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(2/5/1)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/3/1)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(6/2/4)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(9/7/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(9/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(9/7/3/8)-(3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8)-(9/7/3/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/3/8)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGER TRAIL Feb21 Jan22 Dec26 Dec12 Nov20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
2  OHIO PLAYER Apr01 Mar11 Feb06 Jan24 Dec14 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.00 ★    
3  HOPPY GILMORE Apr01 Mar11 Feb21 Jan31 Jan02 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 12% 7.70    
4  MANNFORD Dec26 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Sep25 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  PECKS NOT BAD Apr04 Mar11 Feb21 Feb06 Jan22 (juarez l)MARTINEZ A 119 3.50    
6  TAMMY'S TOY Mar25 Mar06 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 (brown glenro)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 114 8.00    
 
TDN-2   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH UNITY Nov01 Oct19 Oct02 Aug29 Jul10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  FREE SAILIN May19 Apr22 Mar30 Feb23 Dec10 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  CHANNEL FURY Sep11 Aug09 Jul17 Jun11 May30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.00    
4  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Mar11 Aug06 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 123 10.00    
5  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jul10 Jun15 Jun02 May11 Jan02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 1.80 23% 3.30    
6  CREDIT RIVER Apr09 Dec20 Dec04 Jul25 Jul10 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 123 15.00    
 
TDN-3   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMILAS WARRIOR Mar28 Mar04 Dec06 Nov26 Nov02 (romero oscar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MO SNOW Apr13 Feb22 Feb12 Jan11 Jun13 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  HEY HEY GOODBYE Mar14         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  MOBOT Feb21 Jan24 Jan17 Dec31 Dec05 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00    
5  ELEGGUA Apr01 Mar13 Mar04 Feb22 Feb12 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
6  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jan10 Dec13 Nov27 Sep21 Aug31 (genovese ri)PETERSON FERRIN 123 4.00    
 
TDN-4   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINE ME UP BABY Apr13 Mar26 Oct05 Sep07 Jul25 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
2  TWILIGHT VISION Oct01 Sep13 Aug10 Jun21 May25 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
3  CEVICHE Jan31 Jan23 Jan08 Dec06 Nov09 (casalinova )PETERSON FERRIN 123 15.00    
4  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 Dec06 Sep06 (skerrett je)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  RED HOT LASS Aug15 Jul20 Jun24 Jun19 May31 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 123 1.60    
6  COMMAND STRIKE Oct02 Jul25 Jun26 Jun07 May15 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
TDN-5   05/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK UP GHOST Apr03 Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 Jan17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 6.00 6% 15.70    
2  NOT TODAY Mar20 Feb20 Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 (ray kevin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 2.50    
3  DELOVELY Apr08 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21 Jan17 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
4  MY SUZIE Q Apr22 Mar20 Mar07     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.50 11% 7.90    
5  LADY GIULIANA Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Aug24 Aug08 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
6  TRAMA QUEEN Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 Oct05 Sep13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 3.00    
 
TDN-6   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAVEN MOON Apr04 Mar06 Feb07 Jan10 Dec26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 5% 17.30    
2  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Mar20 Mar06 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 (rivera nest)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
3  MR. BOUMA Jun21 May30 May09 Apr13 Mar09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  HENRY MAC Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 Oct04 Sep12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 1.60 24% 3.10    
5  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Apr11 Mar06 Jan31 Dec26 Dec07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
6  SO DIALED IN Feb26 Jan24 Dec21 Nov14 Nov01 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
 
TDN-7   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIAL HISTORY Feb08 Jan24 Dec21 Nov15 Oct28 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 10.00    
2  RADIO SILENT Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00    
3  MOMMA K'S BOY Aug12 Jul26 Jul06     (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 8.00 14% 6.40    
4  BIG TIME FLIRT Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 Dec07 Nov16 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  GHOST OF LONDYN Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 Feb29 Feb15 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
SCR  LIVING THE DREAM Apr11 Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 Dec18 (fernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00    
7  KELLEHER Apr11 Mar08 Jan23 Jan02 Dec18 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
8  MOMENT IN THE DARK Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb07 Jan23 (bookman do)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Apr11 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 115 4.50 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-8   05/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED COMET Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Feb21 Feb06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
2  HENRY THE CAT Feb14 Dec14 Nov20 Oct28 Oct06 (meyers shan)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.50 12% 7.10    
3  RECKLESS L J Dec26 Nov20 Oct28 Sep25 Aug03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
4  MUCHO PRIMO Jan01 Dec19 Dec04 Nov06 Oct30 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 ★    
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK Apr04 Mar14 Feb29 Feb14 Jan23 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00    
6  GIV'EM THE BIZ Apr01 Mar11 Feb14 Jan31 Jan08 (johnson l)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  KARAMEL CORN Apr23 Apr08 Feb28 Feb19 Feb06 (tumblin )MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.