Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   TRI (2/6)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00  2-6-5 $8.35 $2.35 39%
    SFT (2/6)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $0.10 $1.20  2-6-5-7 $3.64 $2.44 203%
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.40 $7.40 123%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    DD (2/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
PEN-6   DD (2/1/6)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-2 $14.20 $5.20 58%
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-1-2 $10.50 $1.50 17%
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $20.80 $12.80 160%
    EXA (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-4 $33.90 $21.90 183%
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $18.50 $6.50 54%
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-2-8 $99.40 $81.40 452%
    PK4 (2/6)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/5/8) 72 $0.50 $36.00  2-1-1/2-8 $125.15 $89.15 248%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT 2 2 22 1nk   11 11 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 19.00  
9  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 4 3 44 42   31½ 21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.50  
6  CHAPA 3 4 32½ 2nk   21 33¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00 58% 0.70 0.10 S
1  WEST ABBOTT 1 1 12 3½   42½ 47¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  IN HER CUPS               (manchio robert )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE               (rogers rona)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN               (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
SCR  FAST LANI               (mcmahon d)CARRASCO R 120 3.00    
SCR  SHORTY MAC               (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00    
SCR  AVATAL HERO               (preciado guada)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
SCR  DWELLER               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIROLOGIST 1 5 31 1½   11 12¼ (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.50 2.10  
3  MISSING A SOCK 3 2 52 42½   33 22¼ (miller a)AGUILAR M 117 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90 P
2  FIREBALL EXPRESS 2 1 1½ 2½   21 34 (albright r)CORA D 122 4.00 16% 5.20 3.50 S
5  MOONSHINE WARRIOR 5 3 41 53   55½ 48 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 122 2.00 53% 0.90 1.70  
4  PYROTECHNICS 4 4 2½ 31½   45 59 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 3.80  
 
PEN-3   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:223 :461       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MAYDAY MAYHEM 3 1 22½ 2½   14 16 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 116 10.00 7.20  
10  DANCING CHIME 4 3 54 44   34 26 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.00 34% 2.00 1.80 P
12  CITY OF LONDON 6 5 43½ 33½   46 313¼ (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 9% 9.90 3.30 S
11  PRINCESS WIGGY 5 2 12½ 1½   24 415 (fenimore elbe)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 11.20  
3  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL 1 6 33 55   58½ 515¼ (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 37% 1.70 1.60  
6  ROCK IT RUBY 2 4 67½ 67½   610½ 616½ (pessanha ney)CHIAPPE R 117 12.00 21.90  
SCR  GODDESS OF FORTUNE               (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
SCR  LOST IN THOUGHT               (aro michael)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
SCR  MUMMALICIOUS               (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY               (pattershall )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 2.50    
SCR  REIGERT GIRLS               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
SCR  SEA SHANTY               (merryman el)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 121 5.00    
 
PEN-4   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:113 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DYNAMITE KARMA 2 2 11½ 1½ 12 13½ 11½ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 1.80 70% 0.40 0.50 W
6  HERE'S WALDO 6 1 21½ 2½ 22 23½ 21½ (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 7% 14.20 2.50 P
5  PRATT 5 5 54 54½ 57 48½ 36¾ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★ 21.20 S
7  LAKE NAKURU 7 4 64 65 35½ 37½ 47¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 ★ 5.20  
4  FORECLOSURE 4 6 43½ 43 46½ 59 514½ (moreno tito)CORA D 122 12.00 20.00  
1  PURPLE SHIRT 1 7 713 717 719½ 721½ 618½ (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 117 50.00 59.50  
3  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY 3 3 33 32½ 67½ 612 720 (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 12.00 38.00  
 
PEN-5   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC SPIN 1 4 43 31   11 11¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 27% 2.70 5.70 W
2  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT 2 1 31½ 42   42 21¾ (lake a)OCASIO M 122 2.00 30% 2.30 0.40 P
5  GENGHIS 4 5 55½ 54   54 36 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.50 9.90  
6  MOBEER 5 2 11½ 1nk   21 46¾ (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 6% 16.40 6.00  
4  MEMORY BOUQUET 3 3 21½ 2nk   31 57 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 7.10  
SCR  MR PHIL               (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
 
PEN-6   05/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM 1 2 21½ 22½ 21½ 21 13 (smith r)FLORES E 121 3.00 0.90 DH
2  BRADY 2 1 11½ 12½ 11½ 11 13 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 22% 3.50 0.70 W
5  WE'RE EVEN 5 3 32 34 32½ 32½ 33 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.10 S
3  HE AROSE 3 5 54½ 57 44 46½ 46 (shea lydee)CORA D 124 4.50 10.20  
4  HE'S FANCY FREE 4 6 68 611 68½ 59½ 57¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
6  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON 6 4 43½ 46 56 610 612¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5.20  
 
PEN-7   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL 7 2 45 46½   43 1¼ (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 W
4  CELTIC REVIVAL 4 1 11½ 12   12 2¼ (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 24% 3.10 1.70 P
2  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 2 5 31½ 32   22 32¼ (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 10.30  
7  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN 6 4 21½ 22   33 43 (kravets m)CORA D 120 6.00 9.80  
1  OUT OF AMMO 1 8 88½ 58   55½ 55 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 2.50 48% 1.10 1.10  
5  LONDON LADY 5 6 66 69   68½ 68 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 6.00 6% 16.50 16.60  
9  LIL H 8 3 76½ 812   811 78¾ (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 120 50.00 65.10  
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN 3 7 55½ 711½   710 89¾ (miller marl)INIRIO J 120 30.00 72.70  
SCR  MUGURUZA               (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.