Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(5/2/3)-(3/10/12) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/10/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/10/12)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/10/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/12)-(3/10/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/10/12)-(3/10/12)-(3/10/12) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/10/12)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/10/12)-(2/6)-(2/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/7/5)-(2/6/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEST ABBOTT Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 Jun16 May12 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AVATAL HERO Apr19 Mar24 Feb22 Feb08 Jan13 (preciado guada)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
SCR  FAST LANI Apr20 Mar03 Feb04 Oct08 Aug12 (mcmahon d)CARRASCO R 120 3.00    
SCR  SHORTY MAC Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug30 Aug03 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00    
5  LUCKBEALADYTONIGHT Apr19 Feb02 Nov22 Nov08 Oct05 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
6  CHAPA May09 Mar14 Feb02 Dec20 Nov29 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 4.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  DWELLER Apr30 Apr28 Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Oct08 Sep22 Aug30 Aug03 Jul14 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
9  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN May09 Mar29 Feb02 Dec14 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  IN HER CUPS Nov09 Sep08 Aug20 Aug03 Jul19 (manchio robert )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Oct08 Aug10 Jul24 Jun28 Jun20 (rogers rona)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIROLOGIST May09 Mar30 Mar01 Feb09 Dec23 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 2.50    
2  FIREBALL EXPRESS May03 Apr20 Mar22 Mar01 Nov01 (albright r)CORA D 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  MISSING A SOCK Oct27 Oct18 Sep29 Sep14 Aug24 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PYROTECHNICS May03 Mar25 Mar07 Feb21 Jan19 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50    
5  MOONSHINE WARRIOR May03 Mar22 Jan11 Nov30 Nov02 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
PEN-3   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOST IN THOUGHT Nov20 Oct16 Sep20     (aro michael)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 15.00    
SCR  SEA SHANTY         (merryman el)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 121 5.00    
3  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL May25 May11 Apr20     (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  REIGERT GIRLS Dec29 Nov15 Oct16 Oct02   (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
SCR  GODDESS OF FORTUNE Apr01         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
6  ROCK IT RUBY Dec27         (pessanha ne)ROBLES O 117 12.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY Oct13 Sep13 Aug04 Jul10 Jun20 (pattershall )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 2.50    
SCR  MUMMALICIOUS Apr16 Mar13 Jan30 Dec20 Nov08 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
9  MAYDAY MAYHEM Apr24         (houghton thom)ROJAS MARTINA 116 10.00    
10  DANCING CHIME May02 Oct25       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
11  PRINCESS WIGGY May09 Mar14 Sep13 Aug25 Aug04 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
12  CITY OF LONDON Dec28 Nov30 Nov01 Aug03 May25 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
PEN-4   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURPLE SHIRT Jan11 Dec29 Dec13 Dec01 Oct25 (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 117 50.00    
2  DYNAMITE KARMA Mar17 Feb29 Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
3  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY May04 Mar21 Jan26 Dec29 Dec10 (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
4  FORECLOSURE Apr16 Feb21 Jan26 Oct06 Sep22 (moreno tito)CORA D 122 12.00    
5  PRATT May04 Feb22 Feb09 Jan10 Dec13 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 ★    
6  HERE'S WALDO Feb22 Feb09 Dec13 Nov08 Oct20 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 7% 14.20    
7  LAKE NAKURU May09 Apr16 Mar15 Feb21 Jan18 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC SPIN Mar21 Feb07 Dec27 Nov30 Nov02 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Apr14 Mar20 Feb27 Feb09 Jan10 (lake a)OCASIO M 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MR PHIL May05 Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 Feb19 (jacobson david)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
4  MEMORY BOUQUET Apr17 Jan30 Dec13 Oct22 Aug19 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
5  GENGHIS May02 Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jan08 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 4.50    
6  MOBEER Mar13 Feb09 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 6% 16.40    
 
PEN-6   05/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELTRFROMTHESTORM May02 Mar08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 (smith r)FLORES E 121 3.00    
2  BRADY Mar22 Feb22 Jan19 Nov17 Oct24 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  HE AROSE May03 Mar14 Feb29 Jan26 Jan12 (shea lydee)CORA D 124 4.50    
4  HE'S FANCY FREE May03 Mar14 Mar01 Jul19 Jun28 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  WE'RE EVEN May03 Mar14       (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
6  RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON May02 Mar14 May19     (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
PEN-7   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT OF AMMO May03 Mar19 Feb23 Feb14 Jan12 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  UPTOWN SERAPHINA May04 Mar22 Mar08 Jan26 Jan12 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50    
3  HIGHWAY QUEEN May03 Apr05 Mar21 Feb23 Feb14 (miller marl)INIRIO J 120 30.00    
4  CELTIC REVIVAL Mar22 Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  LONDON LADY May03 Mar07 Feb08 Jan25 Dec15 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 6.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  MUGURUZA Apr27 Apr11 Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
7  MOONLITE IN HEAVEN Apr23 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 (kravets m)CORA D 120 6.00    
8  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL May03 Mar22 Mar08 Feb03 Dec29 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  LIL H May03 Mar13 Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 (cifarelli frank)BAKER J 120 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.