Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $31.20 $25.20 420%
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $94.80 $88.80 1480%
PEN-2   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-5 $21.40 $18.40 613%
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-1 $63.10 $54.10 601%
PEN-3   PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/1/5)-(7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-1-5/7 $52.15 $43.15 479%
PEN-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.20 $1.20 20%
PEN-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $19.30 $13.30 222%
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-2 $44.45 $41.45 1382%
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-6 $20.90 $11.90 132%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FILTERED LIGHT 4 2 31 31½   31 11 (moreno tito)CORA D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60 W
4  KAZ MUSIC 3 1 2½ 1½   11 21 (albright )VARGAS L 119 6.00 25% 3.10 7.50 P
3  DUST BUNNY 2 5 53½ 42   41½ 32½ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 6.40  
2  WARRIOR'S MISS 1 4 1½ 2½   21 43½ (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.50 0.50  
6  ARROGANTE 5 3 43 53½   54½ 58¼ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 3.00 2.90  
SCR  MAGIC GLASS               (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
 
PEN-2   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BO'S BOURBON 1 4 12 12   12 1¾ (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 17% 5.00 2.10 W
2  YES SIR ROBERT 2 3 22 22   22 2¾ (murillo a)CORA D 120 3.00 34% 2.00 4.00 P
5  YES IT'S ROO 5 6 66½ 45   33 32½ (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
4  GAGETOWN 4 2 44½ 35   44½ 44¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 3.70  
6  ROMANTIC GAMBLE 6 5 54½ 58   59½ 512½ (geist w)FLORES E 122 3.50 2.10  
3  MONSTER MASON 3 1 33½ 68½   610½ 621¼ (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 22.30  
 
PEN-3   05/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GIRVINIZED 3 3 11 12½ 12 2½ 1hd (allen ferris)MENA E 120 4.00 59% 0.70 0.50 W
4  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 2 2 32½ 32½ 22 1½ 2hd (meister wil)INIRIO J 120 12.00 6.10  
1  FLOWERDEW 1 4 43½ 43 37 37 37½ (gaudet lacey)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
8  NATURE TRAIL 4 1 21 22½ 48½ 423 448¼ (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 8.40  
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE               (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GLORY               (dunham bernard )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY               (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
SCR  WINGS OF A SONG               (schoenthal ph)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
 
PEN-4   05/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER 1 1 12 12 12½ 13½ 14¼ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 7.00  
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  TRICOLOUR 4 5 55½ 55 43½ 34 24¼ (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.00 27% 2.70 2.80 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  EAST AURORA 3 2 22 32 22½ 23½ 34½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
5  UNCLE EDDIE 5 3 33½ 44 53¾ 47 48¾ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 4.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of TOO MUCH DETAIL by OVERANALYZE)
6  STATELY ORDER 6 4 66 65¼ 63¾ 67¼ 58¾ (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.50 1.70  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
2  RAMSEY 2 6 43½ 22 32½ 57 69 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 47% 1.10 3.90  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
 
PEN-5   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LADY LIGHTFEET 4 1 11½ 12   12½ 11¾ (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00 5.10  
6  LADRO DI FICHI 5 6 55 43   32½ 21¾ (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
2  BLAME CATALAYA 2 5 43½ 32   22½ 32 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 6.10  
7  ASHLEE'S RING 6 3 21½ 22   44 49 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 14% 6.30 1.30  
1  TILTED TIARA 1 4 32 54   58 513½ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 48% 1.10 2.10  
3  HOP TO A DECISION 3 2 67½ 611   616 624½ (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 115 20.00 30.40  
SCR  PHABULOUS PHOEBE               (kravets b)VARGAS L 117 4.50    
 
PEN-6   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRETT'S WORLD 1 5 47 47   33½ 1hd (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60 W
2  REDEEM EDDIE 2 4 57½ 37   43½ 2hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 11.00  
6  PICTOR 6 2 12 12½   13 3¾ (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 21% 3.90 2.70 S
4  LIVING WATER 4 1 22 22½   23 44¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.90  
5  CARGO SHIP 5 6 35 57½   55½ 54¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 3.70  
3  ROCKIN THE PALACE 3 3 67½ 69½   66 65¾ (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 7.30  
 
PEN-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JOLENE JOLENE 5 3 42½ 41¼   3½ 11¼ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 20% 4.00 3.40 W
5  LA LIMA 4 2 21½ 2nk   1½ 21¼ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
2  DESI'S REWARD 2 4 11½ 1nk   2½ 33¾ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.80 41% 1.50 4.50 S
1  HELLO GRACIE 1 6 52¾ 31   41½ 44½ (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00 1.50  
3  KASHAN 3 1 31½ 52¼   53 54¾ (martinez a)CORA D 124 6.00 6.10  
7  SCOREBOARD LILY 6 5 64¼ 63¾   65 611½ (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 20.00 16.50  
SCR  ROSES FROM HEAVEN               (boyer david)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.