The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $31.20 $31.20 25.20
PEN-2   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-3   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
PEN-4   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $16.00 -6.00
PEN-5   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.20 -6.00
PEN-6   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
PEN-7   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FILTERED LIGHT 4 2 31 3   31 11 (moreno tito)CORA D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.60 W
KAZ MUSIC 3 1 2½ 1½   11 21 (albright am)VARGAS L 119 6.00 25% 3.10 7.50 P
DUST BUNNY 2 5 5 42   4 3 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 6.40  
WARRIOR'S MISS 1 4 1½ 2½   21 4 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.80 28% 2.50 0.50  
ARROGANTE 5 3 43 5   5 5 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 3.00 2.90  
SCR  MAGIC GLASS               (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
 
PEN-2   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO'S BOURBON 1 4 12 12   12 1¾ (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 17% 5.00 2.10 W
YES SIR ROBERT 2 3 22 22   22 2¾ (murillo a)CORA D 120 3.00 34% 2.00 4.00 P
YES IT'S ROO 5 6 6 45   33 3 (rideout ronald)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
GAGETOWN 4 2 4 35   4 4 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 3.70  
ROMANTIC GAMBLE 6 5 5 58   5 512½ (geist w)FLORES E 122 3.50 2.10  
MONSTER MASON 3 1 3 6   610½ 621¼ (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 22.30  
 
PEN-3   05/15/2024 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRVINIZED 3 3 11 1 12 2½ 1hd (allen ferris)MENA E 120 4.00 59% 0.70 0.50 W
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 2 2 3 3 22 1½ 2hd (meister willi)INIRIO J 120 12.00 6.10  
FLOWERDEW 1 4 4 43 37 37 3 (gaudet lacey)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.10 S
NATURE TRAIL 4 1 21 2 4 423 448¼ (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 8.40  
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE               (hawthorne bobb)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
SCR  MORE THAN GLORY               (dunham g)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY               (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
SCR  WINGS OF A SONG               (schoenthal phil)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
 
PEN-4   05/15/2024 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:122 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK RUNNER 1 1 12 12 1 1 1 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 4.50 7.00  
TRICOLOUR 4 5 5 55 4 34 2 (aristone p)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.00 27% 2.70 2.80 P
EAST AURORA 3 2 22 32 2 2 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
UNCLE EDDIE 5 3 3 44 5 47 4 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 4.90  
STATELY ORDER 6 4 66 6 6 6 5 (sacco gregory)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.50 1.70  
RAMSEY 2 6 4 22 3 57 69 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 47% 1.10 3.90  
 
PEN-5   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIGHTFEET 4 1 1 12   1 1 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00 5.10  
LADRO DI FICHI 5 6 55 43   3 2 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 P
BLAME CATALAYA 2 5 4 32   2 32 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 6.10  
ASHLEE'S RING 6 3 2 22   44 49 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 14% 6.30 1.30  
TILTED TIARA 1 4 32 54   58 513½ (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 48% 1.10 2.10  
HOP TO A DECISION 3 2 6 611   616 624½ (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 115 20.00 30.40  
SCR  PHABULOUS PHOEBE               (kravets bru)VARGAS L 117 4.50    
 
PEN-6   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRETT'S WORLD 1 5 47 47   3 1hd (bravo-estrada)RAMOS C 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60 W
REDEEM EDDIE 2 4 5 37   4 2hd (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 11.00  
PICTOR 6 2 12 1   13 3¾ (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 21% 3.90 2.70 S
LIVING WATER 4 1 22 2   23 4 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 40% 1.50 2.90  
CARGO SHIP 5 6 35 5   5 5 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 3.70  
ROCKIN THE PALACE 3 3 6 6   66 6 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 7.30  
 
PEN-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLENE JOLENE 5 3 4 4   3½ 1 (mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 20% 4.00 3.40 W
LA LIMA 4 2 2 2nk   1½ 2 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
DESI'S REWARD 2 4 1 1nk   2½ 3 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.80 41% 1.50 4.50 S
HELLO GRACIE 1 6 5 31   4 4 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00 1.50  
KASHAN 3 1 3 5   53 5 (martinez a)CORA D 124 6.00 6.10  
SCOREBOARD LILY 6 5 6 6   65 611½ (kravets bru)VARGAS L 124 20.00 16.50  
SCR  ROSES FROM HEAVEN               (boyer j)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.