Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(2/1/5)-(7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(7/1)-(2/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(2/4/3)-(1/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/7/6)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGIC GLASS Apr12 Mar22 Dec27 Nov21 Oct18 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00    
2  WARRIOR'S MISS Mar01 Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 Oct09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
3  DUST BUNNY Apr22 Mar22 Mar01 Nov02 Sep14 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
4  KAZ MUSIC Mar22 Feb23 Feb07 Dec08 Nov17 (albright )VARGAS L 119 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  FILTERED LIGHT Apr22 Apr01 Feb23 Jan24 Dec28 (moreno tito)CORA D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARROGANTE Apr22 Apr01 Mar14 Feb02 Dec20 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 119 3.00    
 
PEN-2   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BO'S BOURBON Mar27 Mar07 Feb03 Nov29 Mar16 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 17% 5.00    
2  YES SIR ROBERT Mar22 Feb23 Jan12 Nov16 Nov03 (murillo a)CORA D 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  MONSTER MASON Dec13 Oct27 Aug11 Jul23 Jun11 (mcfarlane brandon)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
4  GAGETOWN May02 Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00    
5  YES IT'S ROO May02 Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Dec07 (rideout ron)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROMANTIC GAMBLE May02 Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 (geist w)FLORES E 122 3.50    
 
PEN-3   05/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOWERDEW Apr19 Mar22 Feb16 Dec23 Nov23 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jul30 Jun07 Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY Apr09 Mar04 Dec26 Nov09 Oct26 (dunham be)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00    
4  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY May01 Apr10 Mar06 Jan24 Dec20 (meister wil)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SCR  WINGS OF A SONG Dec08 Oct17 Sep23 Sep06 Aug18 (schoenthal ph)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
SCR  MORE THAN GLORY Feb05 Jan09 Dec04 Oct20 Aug28 (dunham bernard )BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
7  GIRVINIZED Apr25 Mar14 Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 4.00 59% 0.70    
8  NATURE TRAIL Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   05/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER May09 Apr09 Mar16 Feb22 Feb07 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 124 4.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  RAMSEY Apr12 Mar14 Feb09 Jan26 Jan10 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
3  EAST AURORA Mar15 Feb07 Dec27 Dec07 Nov24 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
4  TRICOLOUR Apr30 Apr09 Mar11 Jan09 Dec19 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
5  UNCLE EDDIE Mar28 Mar14 Feb25 Feb02 Dec29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TOO MUCH DETAIL by OVERANALYZE)
6  STATELY ORDER Apr10 Mar08 Feb23     (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
 
PEN-5   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TILTED TIARA Mar29 Feb29 Feb02 Jan18 Dec29 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  BLAME CATALAYA Apr25 Apr02 Mar13 Feb22 Feb02 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
3  HOP TO A DECISION May03 Apr22 Mar06 Jan27 Nov17 (harigeorgiou ko)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
SCR  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Apr06 Mar08 Feb08 Jan24 Nov22 (kravets b)VARGAS L 117 4.50    
5  LADY LIGHTFEET Apr14 Jun01 Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00    
6  LADRO DI FICHI Apr13 Mar22 Mar06 Jan18 Nov29 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASHLEE'S RING May04 Apr12 Mar27 Feb08 Jan25 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-6   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRETT'S WORLD May01 Apr15 Mar01 Feb19 Dec27 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  REDEEM EDDIE May02 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan19 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
3  ROCKIN THE PALACE Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 Jan31 Jan12 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50    
4  LIVING WATER Apr26 Apr13 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  CARGO SHIP May03 Apr08 Mar08 Feb16 Jan19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
6  PICTOR May02 Mar27 Mar13 Feb23 Feb09 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
PEN-7   05/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO GRACIE Mar21 Feb09 Jan24 Dec21 Nov22 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 2.00    
2  DESI'S REWARD May04 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep20 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 1.80 41% 1.50    
3  KASHAN Mar08 Jan26 Nov02 Oct14 Sep09 (martinez a)CORA D 124 6.00    
SCR  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Mar21 Feb29 Jan24 Dec21 Oct27 (boyer david)INIRIO J 124 8.00    
5  LA LIMA Mar08 Feb09 Jan24 Dec14 Nov28 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JOLENE JOLENE Mar22 Feb09 Dec18 Nov13 Oct18 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  SCOREBOARD LILY Mar21 Mar13 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.