Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/12/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $12.38  
CD-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.66  
CD-3   Win (13/10/2/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $8.20  
CD-4   Win (8/12/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $12.76 $12.76 2.76
CD-5   Win (10/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $15.36 $15.36 7.36
CD-6   Win (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.14 $4.14  
CD-7   Win (9/1/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.16 $5.16  
CD-8   Win (3/5/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $17.14  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARDINER 3 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.19  
12  COLONEL YORKE 10 2 7 43   34 2 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 14% 6.10 6.90 P
SELL IT 1 5 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 54% 0.90 5.83 S
HANK HILL 4 4 4 54   55 4 (brennan ter)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 10.77  
11  ASLEEP AT EIGHT 9 1 3 32   45 5 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 3.29  
HUEVOS D'ORO 6 10 1012¼ 1112¾   1010½ 66 (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
BELIEVE IN DREAMS 7 9 8 88   910¼ 711 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 20.00 44.90  
DOWN THE ISLANDS 5 11 1114¾ 1010¾   810¼ 811 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
10  BAYTOWN GUVNAH 8 6 6 77   68 912 (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 26.38  
BRAVE WORDS 2 7 5 6   7 1013¾ (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 8.29  
13  BAMBY BOOM 11 8 9 9   1113½ 1119¼ (alvarez nery)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00 68.11  
SCR  EL SARGENTO               (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  KERNER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  SPENARD               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN 1 3 1½ 11 11 1 13 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 0.83  
DANCE SOME MO 3 2 2½ 21 31 2 23 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.79 P
HARLEEZY 5 6 53 6 6 6 35 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00 9.53  
MUCHO MOJO 4 1 4 31 21 3 4 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 11% 8.00 14.09  
J T'S IMAGINATION 2 5 3 4 4 4 5 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 22% 3.70 7.17  
HE'S A ANGEL 6 4 6 5 53 5 6 (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 36.96  
 
CD-3   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BERNIN HOT 10 4 11 11 12 1 1 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 3.10  
DR. STORM 6 9 84 8 45 3 2 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5.52  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 4 2 7 4 5 5 34 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 14% 6.20 3.73 S
TIS CHARMING 2 6 10 6 34 4 45 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.80 5.02  
COWBOY CODE 5 5 21 3 22 2 57 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 16.55  
MO HOPE 1 1 53 74 7 6 613½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 17.62  
10  REMARKABLE MO 8 11 95 10 811 810¾ 716 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 17% 5.00 4.76  
GHOST PRINCE 3 7 11 11 1013½ 1014¼ 820½ (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 57.32  
11  SESAME STREEK 9 3 3 21 67 710¾ 920½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 36.80  
LUCCHESI 7 8 4 5 911 913¾ 1027 (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 21.93  
13  JON'S STREET BAND 11 10 63 9 1119½ 1130¼ 11100 (vance thoma)TORRES A 121 8.00 32% 2.10 13.94  
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION               (catalano wayn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  MARK UR WAY               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  WICKED MELODY               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   09/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE M 3 3 6 7   1nk 1 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.38 W
12  UNCLE BERLEY 10 10 5 42   2nk 2 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 15% 5.50 5.12 P
DAZZLEMESILVER 7 9 9 9   43 38 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 121 3.00 36% 1.80 2.06 S
STINGY 2 4 4 3   5 412¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.40 2.73  
CITY OF CLOUDS 1 7 8 54   6 513¼ (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 47.55  
11  MYSTIC POWER 9 8 10 10   911¼ 619¾ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 73.06  
10  SUPREMELY 8 6 7 8   7 720¼ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 9% 10.30 8.30  
EXTRA HALO 5 5 3.2 1nk   3 822½ (granitz anth)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 8.03  
MOONSTRIKE (GB) 4 2 1nk 2nk   8 927½ (dixon jr)HESS SARA 114 30.00 47.12  
TOWN BRANCH 6 1 2nk 6   1015¼ 1040¾ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 38.86  
SCR  BETTERING               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER               (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:212 :442 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITTY'S GRIDDY 2 12 1212 1010   7 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 11% 8.40 6.68 W
EL PRESTIGIO 8 1 2½ 1nk   14 21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 3.06 P
12  HITCHCOCK 11 3 64 6   4 3 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.03  
AIN'T NO DISCO 1 9 54 5   34 4 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 36.72  
PERFECT FORCE 5 7 7 4   24 53 (lukas way)TORRES A 119 8.00 12% 7.00 10.49  
PUTTING EAGLE 4 6 3 3   5 6 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.41  
TOM CAT TUESDAY 7 8 87 7   8 7 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 27.18  
10  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 9 11 10 98   910¼ 812½ (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 26% 2.90 29.70  
ICAN 6 4 9 8   1011¼ 917¾ (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 24.45  
FREE COUNTRY 3 5 1½ 2nk   6 1018½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 26% 2.90 4.53  
11  CARCAR EXPRESS 10 10 1110 1212   1114¾ 1121¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00 33.66  
14  BOB MO 12 2 43 1110   1220¾ 1238¼ (crichton ro)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 3.19  
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN               (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
SCR  TETHERED SOUL               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  TUXEDO PARK               (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
 
CD-6   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:213 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO SOUND 4 4 2½ 1nk   1 1 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 38% 1.70 1.07 W
OLIVIERA 5 1 31 2nk   2 2 (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5.60  
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 6 3 4 4   34 35 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 113 10.00 5% 19.00 31.71 S
ROSHIELL MY BELLE 3 5 67 57   4 4 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 4.12  
ANAKARINA 2 2 1½ 3½   59 517¾ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 1.99  
INTO GOLDEN ROAD 1 6 53 6   612½ 618½ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 55.71  
SCR  BILYANA               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
SCR  THUNDER KIN               (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 33% 2.10    
 
CD-7   09/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:094 1:213   1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA ANEJO 8 8 5 52   1½ 1¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.58 W
10  BROMLEY 9 9 9 9   4 2¾ (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 18.05 P
GULFSTREAM WAY 3 2 21 4   31 3 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 8.05  
KAVOD 7 5 4 31   2½ 4 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.12  
RAISE CAIN 6 3 8 8   52 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 12% 7.10 3.95  
W W CANDY 2 1 7 7   73 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 14.46  
CONFIDENCE GAME 4 7 6 63   9 7 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 21.12  
ARRO SMASH 5 6 11 2nk   62 88 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5.97  
RECKER POINT 1 4 31 1nk   84 912¼ (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60 6.10  
SCR  GUNOE               (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BOAT 6 7 6 43   2½ 1 (divito jame)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.57  
11  KALAHARI DREAMS 9 3 74 54   3 2 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 4.06 P
FURIO 1 4 1½ 12   1½ 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.51  
QUINTILLION (IRE) 4 6 3 33   43 4 (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 26% 2.90 9.66  
COPP 7 11 105 7   65 5 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.11  
ZANDVOORT 3 1 2½ 22   53 68 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 38% 1.60 3.64  
10  BRACKET BUSTER 8 2 42 6   7 710½ (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 15% 5.70 6.42  
GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 2 9 84 9   8 815½ (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 27.23  
WORLD BEATER 5 8 9 8   99 916 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 13.02  
13  OTTER MISCHIEF 10 5 5 10   1011½ 1018¼ (hiles a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 50.03  
14  GALANTINI 11 10 1114 1126¼   1131½ 1154 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 12.86  
SCR  CAMP HALE               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  I GOT GAME               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 3.50    
SCR  MONEY MAN               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  SIR GALLIVANT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.