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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-4			WIN	(8/12/2/10/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	3		$12.76			$2.76				28%
			EXA	(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)						20	$2.00	$40.00	3-12		$81.90			$41.90				105%
			TRI	(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-12-8		$70.73			$40.73				136%
			SFT	(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)						120	$0.10	$12.00	3-12-8-2		$34.10			$22.10				184%
CD-5			WIN	(10/3/5/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$15.36			$7.36				92%
			EXA	(10/3/5/2)-(10/3/5/2/9)						16	$2.00	$32.00	2-9		$55.76			$23.76				74%
			DD	(8/12/2/10/3)-(10/3/5/2)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-2		$43.27			$23.27				116%
CD-6			DD	(10/3/5/2)-(6/3/8)						12	$1.00	$12.00	2-6		$22.32			$10.32				86%
			PK3	(8/12/2/10/3)-(10/3/5/2)-(6/3/8)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-2-6		$68.02			$38.02				127%
CD-7			EXA	(9/1/6/10/7)-(9/1/6/10/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	9-10		$75.34			$35.34				88%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			09/12/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	GARDINER									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						6.00						5.19
12	COLONEL YORKE									(calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						4.00		14%		6.10		6.90	P
1	SELL IT									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		54%		0.90		5.83	S
4	HANK HILL									(brennan t)BEALMEAR C 112						8.00						10.77
11	ASLEEP AT EIGHT									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						5.00		★				3.29
7	HUEVOS D'ORO									(orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00		5%		19.00		41.25
8	BELIEVE IN DREAMS									(moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						20.00						44.90
6	DOWN THE ISLANDS									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00		5%		19.00		2.90
10	BAYTOWN GUVNAH									(mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						26.38
2	BRAVE WORDS									(fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 119						6.00						8.29
13	BAMBY BOOM									(alvarez nery)MONCADA IRVING 112						12.00						68.11
SCR	EL SARGENTO									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 119						20.00
SCR	KERNER									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00
SCR	SPENARD									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119						8.00

CD-2			09/12/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	GILDED CRAKEN									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						1.40						0.83
3	DANCE SOME MO									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122						2.00		40%		1.50		1.79	P
5	HARLEEZY									(hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 122						6.00						9.53
4	MUCHO MOJO									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00		11%		8.00		14.09
2	J T'S IMAGINATION									(sharp joe)TORRES A 118						3.50		22%		3.70		7.17
6	HE'S A ANGEL									(orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 122						20.00						36.96

CD-3			09/12/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	BERNIN HOT									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121						6.00						3.10
7	DR. STORM									(devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121						8.00						5.52
4	ACTIVE DUTY (FR)									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						5.00		14%		6.20		3.73	S
2	TIS CHARMING									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121						4.00		15%		5.80		5.02
6	COWBOY CODE									(lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121						15.00						16.55
1	MO HOPE									(mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124						6.00						17.62
10	REMARKABLE MO									(brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						6.00		17%		5.00		4.76
3	GHOST PRINCE									(quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121						30.00						57.32
11	SESAME STREEK									(sharp joe)TORRES A 121						8.00						36.80
8	LUCCHESI									(habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 121						10.00		5%		19.00		21.93
13	JON'S STREET BAND									(vance tho)TORRES A 121						8.00		32%		2.10		13.94
SCR	GRAND ILLUSION									(catalano wa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						20.00
SCR	MARK UR WAY									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121						12.00
SCR	WICKED MELODY									(garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121						10.00

CD-4			09/12/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	EDDIE M									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121						10.00		5%		19.00		5.38	W
12	UNCLE BERLEY									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						6.00		15%		5.50		5.12	P
8	DAZZLEMESILVER									(amoss tho)TORRES A 121						3.00		36%		1.80		2.06	S
2	STINGY									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		13%		6.40		2.73
1	CITY OF CLOUDS									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						20.00						47.55
11	MYSTIC POWER									(irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120						30.00						73.06
10	SUPREMELY									(foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121						8.00		9%		10.30		8.30
6	EXTRA HALO									(granitz an)CORRALES GERARDO 118						5.00						8.03
4	MOONSTRIKE (GB)									(dixon jr)HESS SARA 114						30.00						47.12
7	TOWN BRANCH									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 123						10.00						38.86
SCR	BETTERING									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						20.00
SCR	EXPRESS CRUISER									(camejo m)BEJARANO R 118						12.00

CD-5			09/12/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MITTY'S GRIDDY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00		11%		8.40		6.68	W
		(by MITOLE out of SARAH'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9	EL PRESTIGIO									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						3.50		★				3.06	P
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BARTLETT NARROWS by FLATTER)
12	HITCHCOCK									(eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00						13.03
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
1	AIN'T NO DISCO									(lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00						36.72
		(by CATALINA CRUISER out of FIRST TOMOE by FIRST SAMURAI)
5	PERFECT FORCE									(lukas w)TORRES A 119						8.00		12%		7.00		10.49
		(by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)
4	PUTTING EAGLE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119						10.00						9.41
		(by VOLATILE out of MAGIC MOTION by BERNARDINI)
7	TOM CAT TUESDAY									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						12.00						27.18
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of LAKE COMO by SALT LAKE)
10	CAMPAIGN TRAIL									(foster eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						8.00		26%		2.90		29.70
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LUNA RISING by STAY THIRSTY)
6	ICAN									(dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119						10.00						24.45
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of WE LOVE LUCY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3	FREE COUNTRY									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.50		26%		2.90		4.53
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
11	CARCAR EXPRESS									(sharp joe)TORRES A 119						12.00						33.66
		(by CARACARO out of FOXBEAU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
14	BOB MO									(crichton )LEPAROUX R 119						10.00						3.19
		(by UNCLE MO out of CRY AND CATCH ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR	MONSIEUR BIG MAN									(romans dale)ORTIZ L 119						8.00
		(by VOLATILE out of MAGICALCARPETRIDE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR	TETHERED SOUL									(gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00
		(by LAOBAN out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
SCR	TUXEDO PARK									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						20.00
		(by COMPLEXITY out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)

CD-6			09/12/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($127K)			2		F		PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	ECHO SOUND									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.50		38%		1.70		1.07	W
7	OLIVIERA									(schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 120						4.00						5.60
8	BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 113						10.00		5%		19.00		31.71	S
5	ROSHIELL MY BELLE									(abreu r)ORTIZ L 122						5.00						4.12
4	ANAKARINA									(stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						3.00		★				1.99
1	INTO GOLDEN ROAD									(irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122						15.00						55.71
SCR	BILYANA									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122						4.00
SCR	THUNDER KIN									(catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 122						15.00		33%		2.10

CD-7			09/12/2024		4950ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($141K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	EXTRA ANEJO									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.00		43%		1.30		1.58	W
10	BROMLEY									(lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 121						20.00		5%		19.00		18.05	P
3	GULFSTREAM WAY									(casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121						5.00						8.05
7	KAVOD									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121						12.00		5%		19.00		14.12
6	RAISE CAIN									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121						3.50		12%		7.10		3.95
2	W W CANDY									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121						15.00						14.46
4	CONFIDENCE GAME									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121						20.00						21.12
5	ARRO SMASH									(bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 123						8.00						5.97
1	RECKER POINT									(hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						4.00		15%		5.60		6.10
SCR	GUNOE									(lobo paul)TORRES A 121						20.00

CD-8			09/12/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	BIG BOAT									(divito ja)TORRES A 119						8.00						7.57
		(by NYQUIST out of IRISH PRESENCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
11	KALAHARI DREAMS									(bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						6.00		★				4.06	P
		(by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GEORGIA CLAY by GHOSTZAPPER)
1	FURIO									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00						3.51
		(by MCKINZIE out of TAKE CHARGE ANGEL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5	QUINTILLION (IRE)									(miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119						5.00		26%		2.90		9.66
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8	COPP									(mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00		5%		19.00		28.11
		(by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
3	ZANDVOORT									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						4.50		38%		1.60		3.64
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
10	BRACKET BUSTER									(oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00		15%		5.70		6.42
		(by VEKOMA out of SPRING DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
2	GREATDAYFORHOCKEY									(romans dale)ORTIZ L 119						15.00						27.23
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAT RAGS by UNION RAGS)
6	WORLD BEATER									(mott riley)TORRES A 119						15.00						13.02
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
13	OTTER MISCHIEF									(hiles a)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						50.03
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TITLE WINNER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
14	GALANTINI									(lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119						15.00						12.86
		(by BERNARDINI out of MY GAL BETTY by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR	CAMP HALE									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00
		(by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR	I GOT GAME									(amoss tho)TORRES A 119						3.50
		(by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
SCR	MONEY MAN									(reed r)BEJARANO R 119						15.00
		(by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
SCR	SIR GALLIVANT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.