Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   WIN (8/12/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $12.76 $2.76 28%
    EXA (8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-12 $81.90 $41.90 105%
    TRI (8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-12-8 $70.73 $40.73 136%
    SFT (8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3)-(8/12/2/10/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  3-12-8-2 $34.10 $22.10 184%
CD-5   WIN (10/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.36 $7.36 92%
    EXA (10/3/5/2)-(10/3/5/2/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-9 $55.76 $23.76 74%
    DD (8/12/2/10/3)-(10/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-2 $43.27 $23.27 116%
CD-6   DD (10/3/5/2)-(6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $22.32 $10.32 86%
    PK3 (8/12/2/10/3)-(10/3/5/2)-(6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-2-6 $68.02 $38.02 127%
CD-7   EXA (9/1/6/10/7)-(9/1/6/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-10 $75.34 $35.34 88%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GARDINER 3 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 11¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.19  
12  COLONEL YORKE 10 2 73¾ 43   34 21¼ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 14% 6.10 6.90 P
1  SELL IT 1 5 1nk 2nk   2½ 31¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 54% 0.90 5.83 S
4  HANK HILL 4 4 41¾ 54   55 43½ (brennan t)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00 10.77  
11  ASLEEP AT EIGHT 9 1 31½ 32   45 54¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 ★ 3.29  
7  HUEVOS D'ORO 6 10 1012¼ 1112¾   1010½ 66 (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
8  BELIEVE IN DREAMS 7 9 86¼ 88   910¼ 711 (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 20.00 44.90  
6  DOWN THE ISLANDS 5 11 1114¾ 1010¾   810¼ 811 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.90  
10  BAYTOWN GUVNAH 8 6 63¾ 77   68 912 (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 26.38  
2  BRAVE WORDS 2 7 52¾ 65½   78¼ 1013¾ (fernandez edwa)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 8.29  
13  BAMBY BOOM 11 8 96¾ 98¼   1113½ 1119¼ (alvarez nery)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00 68.11  
SCR  EL SARGENTO               (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  KERNER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  SPENARD               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   09/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED CRAKEN 1 3 1½ 11 11 13½ 13 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40 0.83  
3  DANCE SOME MO 3 2 2½ 21 31 23½ 23 (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.79 P
5  HARLEEZY 5 6 53 64¼ 64½ 67¾ 35 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00 9.53  
4  MUCHO MOJO 4 1 41½ 31 21 35½ 46¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 11% 8.00 14.09  
2  J T'S IMAGINATION 2 5 31½ 42½ 42½ 45½ 56¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 22% 3.70 7.17  
6  HE'S A ANGEL 6 4 63¼ 52¾ 53 57½ 68¾ (orantes r)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 36.96  
 
CD-3   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BERNIN HOT 10 4 11 11 12 13½ 12¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 3.10  
7  DR. STORM 6 9 84 84¼ 45 33½ 22¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 5.52  
4  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 4 2 73½ 42½ 55½ 54¾ 34 (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 14% 6.20 3.73 S
2  TIS CHARMING 2 6 105½ 63½ 34 43¾ 45 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.80 5.02  
6  COWBOY CODE 5 5 21 31½ 22 23½ 57 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 16.55  
1  MO HOPE 1 1 53 74 78½ 68¼ 613½ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 17.62  
10  REMARKABLE MO 8 11 95 106¼ 811 810¾ 716 (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 17% 5.00 4.76  
3  GHOST PRINCE 3 7 119½ 118¾ 1013½ 1014¼ 820½ (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 57.32  
11  SESAME STREEK 9 3 31½ 21 67 710¾ 920½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00 36.80  
8  LUCCHESI 7 8 42½ 52½ 911 913¾ 1027 (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00 21.93  
13  JON'S STREET BAND 11 10 63 94¾ 1119½ 1130¼ 11100 (vance tho)TORRES A 121 8.00 32% 2.10 13.94  
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION               (catalano wa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  MARK UR WAY               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  WICKED MELODY               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   09/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EDDIE M 3 3 63¼ 74¾   1nk 17½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.38 W
12  UNCLE BERLEY 10 10 52¾ 42   2nk 27½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 15% 5.50 5.12 P
8  DAZZLEMESILVER 7 9 95¼ 95¾   43 38 (amoss tho)TORRES A 121 3.00 36% 1.80 2.06 S
2  STINGY 2 4 41¾ 31½   54½ 412¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.40 2.73  
1  CITY OF CLOUDS 1 7 84¾ 54   64¾ 513¼ (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00 47.55  
11  MYSTIC POWER 9 8 108¾ 109¾   911¼ 619¾ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00 73.06  
10  SUPREMELY 8 6 74¼ 84¾   78¾ 720¼ (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 9% 10.30 8.30  
6  EXTRA HALO 5 5 3.2 1nk   32½ 822½ (granitz an)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 8.03  
4  MOONSTRIKE (GB) 4 2 1nk 2nk   89¼ 927½ (dixon jr)HESS SARA 114 30.00 47.12  
7  TOWN BRANCH 6 1 2nk 64¼   1015¼ 1040¾ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 38.86  
SCR  BETTERING               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER               (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:212 :442 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MITTY'S GRIDDY 2 12 1212 1010   76¾ 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 11% 8.40 6.68 W
  (by MITOLE out of SARAH'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  EL PRESTIGIO 8 1 2½ 1nk   14 21 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 ★ 3.06 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BARTLETT NARROWS by FLATTER)
12  HITCHCOCK 11 3 64 64¾   44¼ 31½ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 13.03  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
1  AIN'T NO DISCO 1 9 54 54¾   34 41¾ (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 36.72  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FIRST TOMOE by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  PERFECT FORCE 5 7 75½ 44½   24 53 (lukas w)TORRES A 119 8.00 12% 7.00 10.49  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CUABA by SMOKE GLACKEN)
4  PUTTING EAGLE 4 6 32½ 33½   54¼ 65½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 9.41  
  (by VOLATILE out of MAGIC MOTION by BERNARDINI)
7  TOM CAT TUESDAY 7 8 87 77¼   88¾ 79½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 27.18  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LAKE COMO by SALT LAKE)
10  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 9 11 108½ 98   910¼ 812½ (foster eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 26% 2.90 29.70  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LUNA RISING by STAY THIRSTY)
6  ICAN 6 4 97½ 87½   1011¼ 917¾ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 24.45  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of WE LOVE LUCY by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  FREE COUNTRY 3 5 1½ 2nk   65¾ 1018½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 26% 2.90 4.53  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
11  CARCAR EXPRESS 10 10 1110 1212   1114¾ 1121¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00 33.66  
  (by CARACARO out of FOXBEAU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
14  BOB MO 12 2 43 1110   1220¾ 1238¼ (crichton )LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 3.19  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CRY AND CATCH ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN               (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of MAGICALCARPETRIDE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TETHERED SOUL               (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
SCR  TUXEDO PARK               (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
CD-6   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:213 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ECHO SOUND 4 4 2½ 1nk   11½ 11½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 38% 1.70 1.07 W
7  OLIVIERA 5 1 31 2nk   21½ 21½ (schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 5.60  
8  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 6 3 42½ 42½   34 35 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 113 10.00 5% 19.00 31.71 S
5  ROSHIELL MY BELLE 3 5 67 57   46½ 45¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 4.12  
4  ANAKARINA 2 2 1½ 3½   59 517¾ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 ★ 1.99  
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD 1 6 53 67½   612½ 618½ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 55.71  
SCR  BILYANA               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
SCR  THUNDER KIN               (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 33% 2.10    
 
CD-7   09/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:094 1:213   1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EXTRA ANEJO 8 8 52¼ 52   1½ 1¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.58 W
10  BROMLEY 9 9 94¾ 95¼   41½ 2¾ (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00 18.05 P
3  GULFSTREAM WAY 3 2 21 41½   31 33½ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 8.05  
7  KAVOD 7 5 41¼ 31   2½ 43¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.12  
6  RAISE CAIN 6 3 83¼ 83¾   52 54¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 12% 7.10 3.95  
2  W W CANDY 2 1 72¾ 73½   73 64¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 14.46  
4  CONFIDENCE GAME 4 7 62¼ 63   94½ 76¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 21.12  
5  ARRO SMASH 5 6 11 2nk   62 88 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5.97  
1  RECKER POINT 1 4 31 1nk   84 912¼ (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60 6.10  
SCR  GUNOE               (lobo paul)TORRES A 121 20.00    
 
CD-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BIG BOAT 6 7 63½ 43   2½ 13½ (divito ja)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.57  
  (by NYQUIST out of IRISH PRESENCE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
11  KALAHARI DREAMS 9 3 74 54   32½ 23½ (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★ 4.06 P
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GEORGIA CLAY by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  FURIO 1 4 1½ 12   1½ 35¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.51  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAKE CHARGE ANGEL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  QUINTILLION (IRE) 4 6 31½ 33   43 46¼ (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 26% 2.90 9.66  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  COPP 7 11 105 76¼   65 57½ (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.11  
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
3  ZANDVOORT 3 1 2½ 22   53 68 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 38% 1.60 3.64  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
10  BRACKET BUSTER 8 2 42 64¼   76½ 710½ (oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 15% 5.70 6.42  
  (by VEKOMA out of SPRING DANCE by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
2  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 2 9 84 96¾   88½ 815½ (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 27.23  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAT RAGS by UNION RAGS)
6  WORLD BEATER 5 8 94½ 86¼   99 916 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 13.02  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of DABINETT by BLAME)
13  OTTER MISCHIEF 10 5 52½ 108¼   1011½ 1018¼ (hiles a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 50.03  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TITLE WINNER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
14  GALANTINI 11 10 1114 1126¼   1131½ 1154 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 12.86  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MY GAL BETTY by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  CAMP HALE               (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  I GOT GAME               (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 3.50    
  (by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
SCR  MONEY MAN               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of ORO BLANCO by HOLD FOR GOLD)
SCR  SIR GALLIVANT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.