Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/12/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (13/10/2/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (8/12/2/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (10/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (9/1/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (3/5/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELL IT Aug07 Jul14 Jun21     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 54% 0.90    
2  BRAVE WORDS Aug22 Jul18       (fernandez edward)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
3  GARDINER Aug11         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
4  HANK HILL Aug17 Jul22       (brennan ter)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00    
SCR  EL SARGENTO Aug20 Aug07       (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
6  DOWN THE ISLANDS         (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUEVOS D'ORO         (orantes r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BELIEVE IN DREAMS Aug05         (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 20.00    
SCR  SPENARD         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
10  BAYTOWN GUVNAH Aug17 Aug05 Jul21     (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
11  ASLEEP AT EIGHT Sep05 Jul13 Jun13     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 ★    
12  COLONEL YORKE Aug03 Jul07 Jun08     (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 14% 6.10    
13  BAMBY BOOM Aug15 Aug02 Jul18     (alvarez nery)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 12.00    
SCR  KERNER Aug05         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED CRAKEN Aug02 Jul12 Jun02 May11 Apr12 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40    
2  J T'S IMAGINATION Jul20 Jun15 May23 Apr14 Mar01 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 22% 3.70    
3  DANCE SOME MO Aug27 Jun23 Jun02 May05 Apr12 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  MUCHO MOJO Jun28 May25 May02 Mar23 Mar01 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  HARLEEZY Aug18 May27 May02 Apr12 Mar14 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00    
6  HE'S A ANGEL Aug31 Jun01 Apr14 Mar16 Jan11 (orantes r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00    
 
CD-3   09/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO HOPE Jun21 Jun05 Apr30 Sep02 Jun02 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00    
2  TIS CHARMING Feb18 Oct22 Oct01     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.80    
3  GHOST PRINCE Aug04 Jul11 Mar21 Mar07   (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
4  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Jun28 May18 Apr24 Feb22 Jan25 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  MARK UR WAY Aug25 Jul28       (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
6  COWBOY CODE Jul15 Jun21 Oct01 Jul21 Jun15 (lukas way)TORRES A 121 15.00    
7  DR. STORM Aug03 Jun21       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
8  LUCCHESI Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 May24 May02 (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION Aug06         (catalano wayn)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
10  REMARKABLE MO Aug18 Jul22 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
11  SESAME STREEK Jul28 Jul15 Jun21 May27 Apr21 (sharp joe)TORRES A 121 8.00    
12  BERNIN HOT Jul28 Jul07 Jun12 May10 Apr17 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
13  JON'S STREET BAND Jul29 Jun23       (vance thoma)TORRES A 121 8.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  WICKED MELODY Aug25 Aug13 Jul06 Jun16 May21 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 10.00    
 
CD-4   09/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY OF CLOUDS Jul13 Jun08 May25 May05 Apr21 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
2  STINGY Jul18 Jun20 May25 Apr14 Feb10 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.40    
3  EDDIE M Aug03 Jul13 May29 Sep13 Aug04 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 Jun06 May10 (dixon jr)HESS SARA 114 30.00    
SCR  EXPRESS CRUISER Jul13 Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
6  EXTRA HALO Aug11 Jun23 Jun11 Dec20 Nov18 (granitz anth)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
7  TOWN BRANCH Aug26 Jul28 Jul05 Jun02 May21 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
8  DAZZLEMESILVER Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jun02 May11 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BETTERING Jun12 May18 Apr27 Feb02 Jan12 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
10  SUPREMELY Aug03 Jun28 Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 (foley greg)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 9% 10.30    
11  MYSTIC POWER Aug13 Jul09 Jun12 May28 May07 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 30.00    
12  UNCLE BERLEY Aug03 Jul14 Jul04 Apr27 Apr12 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
CD-5   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T NO DISCO         (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
2  MITTY'S GRIDDY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  FREE COUNTRY         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  PUTTING EAGLE         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
5  PERFECT FORCE Aug17 Jul20 Jun23     (lukas way)TORRES A 119 8.00 12% 7.00    
6  ICAN         (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
7  TOM CAT TUESDAY         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  TUXEDO PARK Aug05 May02 Apr10     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
9  EL PRESTIGIO Aug03 Jun23       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 ★    
10  CAMPAIGN TRAIL Aug24         (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 26% 2.90    
11  CARCAR EXPRESS         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00    
12  HITCHCOCK         (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  MONSIEUR BIG MAN         (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
14  BOB MO         (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 119 10.00    
SCR  TETHERED SOUL         (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO GOLDEN ROAD Aug11 Jun11       (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
SCR  BILYANA Aug10         (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
SCR  THUNDER KIN Aug04         (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 33% 2.10    
4  ANAKARINA Aug04 Jun26 May17     (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 ★    
5  ROSHIELL MY BELLE Jul28 Jun28       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
6  ECHO SOUND Aug03         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
7  OLIVIERA Aug23         (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
8  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY Aug24 Aug11 Jul05 Jun06 May18 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   09/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKER POINT Jul22 Jun09 May05 Apr13 Mar17 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  W W CANDY Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 May04 Apr16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
3  GULFSTREAM WAY Jul21 Oct06 Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00    
4  CONFIDENCE GAME Jul05 Jun14 May11 Jan20 Dec23 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
5  ARRO SMASH Aug24 Jul20 May16 Nov26 Nov02 (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00    
6  RAISE CAIN Aug11 Jun30 May30 May04 Apr06 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
7  KAVOD Aug22 Jun29 Jun08 May02 Apr07 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUNOE Nov30 Oct23 Sep11 Jul06 May08 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 20.00    
9  EXTRA ANEJO Aug04 Jun30 May30 Jul22 Jun10 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
10  BROMLEY Feb22 Jan06 Nov26 Oct28 Sep20 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   09/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FURIO         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
2  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY Aug24         (romans dale)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
3  ZANDVOORT Aug05         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  CAMP HALE         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
5  QUINTILLION (IRE) Aug05         (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
6  WORLD BEATER         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00    
7  BIG BOAT         (divito jame)TORRES A 119 8.00    
8  COPP         (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONEY MAN         (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
10  BRACKET BUSTER Aug07         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 15% 5.70    
11  KALAHARI DREAMS         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  SIR GALLIVANT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
13  OTTER MISCHIEF         (hiles a)TORRES A 119 15.00    
14  GALANTINI         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  I GOT GAME Aug03 Jun20 May30     (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.