Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   TRI (9/8/5/6)-(9/8/5/6)-(9/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-9-5 $14.00 $2.00 17%
BAQ-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.90 $0.90 15%
    DD (9/8/5/6)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-5 $12.90 $0.90 8%
BAQ-3   PK3 (9/8/5/6)-(5/3/6)-(8/7/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00  8-5-7 $50.00 $2.00 4%
BAQ-6   EXA (5/1/8/3/11)-(5/1/8/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-3 $28.25 $8.25 41%
BAQ-8   WIN (9/10/5/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $22.40 $12.40 124%
    EXA (9/10/5/2/12)-(9/10/5/2/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-5 $91.25 $71.25 356%
    DD (5/2/9/8/1)-(9/10/5/2/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  5-2 $122.75 $97.75 391%
    PK3 (5/1/8/3/11)-(5/2/9/8/1)-(9/10/5/2/12) 125 $1.00 $125  1-5-2 $412.50 $287.50 230%
BAQ-9   DD (9/10/5/2/12)-(1/8/10/13/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-1 $62.00 $37.00 148%
    PK3 (5/2/9/8/1)-(9/10/5/2/12)-(1/8/10/13/12) 125 $1.00 $125  5-2-1 $441.50 $316.50 253%
    PK4 (5/1/8/3/11)-(5/2/9/8/1)-(9/10/5/2/12)-(1/8/10/13/12) 625 $0.50 $312  1-5-2-1 $547.25 $234.75 75%
    PK5 (8/7/3)-(5/1/8/3/11)-(5/2/9/8/1)-(9/10/5/2/12)-(1/8/10/13/12) 1875 $0.50 $937  8-1-5-2-1 $2319 $1382 147%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :583     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIZ DASHING 6 7 53 52¾   1nk 1¼ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 8% 11.00 2.50 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BREAKING BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
9  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 7 6 76½ 63¼   2nk 2¼ (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 65% 0.50 1.20 P
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TAMAZUG by MACHIAVELLIAN)
5  NOD TO TRAN 3 5 66 75¾   63¼ 36 (diprim)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 6% 16.50 6.90 S
  (by MINESHAFT out of SEA HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  MY MAN MAGOO 5 2 42½ 42¼   51¾ 46½ (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 23.10  
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET RUMOR by STREET SENSE)
6  REPLEVIN 4 3 3½ 3.2   31 59 (ryerson james )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of CHANGE OF CUSTODY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
4  LUCAS'S MISCHIEF 2 4 2½ 2nk   41¼ 610½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARVESTFORTHEWORLD by SO YOU THINK (NZ))
3  DEVIL OF RAMADI 1 1 1½ 1nk   73¼ 718 (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00 39.25  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FOREST FASHION by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOOT FOR THE MOON by HONEYLAND)
SCR  POLICY CHANGE               (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of EXCITED by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
SCR  SOCIAL HOUR               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RUMANDICE by CONGRATS)
 
BAQ-2   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:253 :513 1:162 1:382   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 3 21 21 21 21 1hd (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.50 30% 2.40 2.45 W
2  ANDTHEWINNERIS 2 4 31½ 32 32 32½ 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 3.55  
1  KUBRICK (IRE) 1 1 11 11 11 11 3¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 2.60  
6  UTAH BEACH 6 6 42½ 42½ 42 44½ 43 (correas ignac)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
3  HIGHESTDISTINCTION 3 2 53½ 54½ 54 55 53¼ (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 27% 2.80 5.10  
4  PIONEERING SPIRIT 4 5 64 65 64½ 66 64 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 7.40  
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  PHILEAS FOGG               (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.60    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  WINIT               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-3   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEBATE 7 8 811¼ 88   44½ 1½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 18% 4.50 2.70 W
1  TWO FOR CHARGING 1 3 66¾ 64½   33½ 2½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 2.30  
4  HEARD ON THESTREET 4 5 33 31½   1½ 34 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 7.10  
8  PARKERNESS 8 2 13 11½   2½ 44½ (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 46% 1.20 3.20  
3  ARREBATO 3 1 53¾ 54   65½ 57¾ (noda or)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
2  WATASHA 2 6 23 21½   55 611½ (brion keri)RIVERA R 121 3.50 11% 8.40 7.40  
5  MR. SWAGGER 5 4 77¾ 75   89 714 (sciac)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00 9.60  
6  BADLANDS RULER 6 7 43¼ 42   77 824½ (chatterpaul nai)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 37.75  
 
BAQ-4   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST KATHERINE 2 6 32½ 33   3½ 1½ (jimenez l)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 1.30  
4  BRAGANZA 3 4 65 54   41 2½ (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 31% 2.30 3.05 P
7  EVERYONELOVESLINDA 6 1 42½ 43   52 32½ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 10.20  
5  DREAM CONCERT 4 2 21 21   2½ 42¾ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
1  OLGA ISABEL 1 5 11 11   1½ 53¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 31% 2.30 3.10  
6  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 5 3 54½ 66½   614 621¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 6.40  
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 8 1 1½ 1nk   12½ 13 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 69% 0.50 1.05 W
4  MISS BOURBON 4 7 73¾ 65¼   34 23 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 ★ 4.80 P
5  JUSTHEART 5 9 98¾ 87¾   56½ 34¼ (brown r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 15.60  
10  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 10 3 31 2nk   22½ 44¼ (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 34.75  
1  RIVER TAY (IRE) 1 8 86¾ 97¾   78½ 55 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 ★ 14.90  
7  TURRIGA 7 4 2½ 32½   46 66 (bond kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 6% 14.40 4.10  
3  SHAMAN PRINCESS 3 6 42½ 44   66½ 76½ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
9  AMY'S LIGHT 9 2 63½ 77¼   99¾ 88 (pringle)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 45.25  
6  VALENTINE GIFT 6 5 52½ 54¼   88¾ 98¼ (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 41.50  
2  RAININGATTHEBEACH 2 10 108¾ 1010¾   1012¾ 109½ (sharp joe)RIVERA R 120 15.00 23.20  
SCR  BELLA VOCE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
SCR  PATTY VAN TWINKLE               (sweezey kent)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSTON'S PHINEST 1 5 31½ 42   21½ 12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 1.35 W
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
3  BLUE EYED SCOUT 3 2 11 1½   11½ 22 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13% 6.50 17.00 P
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of BLUE CLARET by TOM ROLFE)
10  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB) 10 4 53½ 31   42½ 35 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 4.00  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of RUBY DUSK by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE 4 3 21 2½   32 46½ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 49.00  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
2  DREAMWORKIN 2 10 87½ 65½   56 57¼ (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 6.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of EGG ROLL by WAQUOIT)
7  FURRY FOX 7 9 64 76   67 612 (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 14.00  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MARSHTINI by BERNARDINI)
8  GATTATIZ 8 7 74 54   78½ 714½ (bond j)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 19% 4.40 12.00  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of GATTINARA by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
6  STRACA 6 12 1212 88½   89½ 814½ (duggan dav)RIVERA R 119 12.00 25.00  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  IMMIGRATION LAW 5 6 1110 1216½   1116 919 (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 26% 2.90 9.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of LEGALLY BAY by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
12  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK 12 11 109 1111½   914½ 1021½ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 28.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
11  LADY DELILAH 11 8 98½ 1010½   1015½ 1123¾ (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MARIE ANTOINETTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
9  TRICKY MAMA 9 1 42½ 99½   1222 1243¼ (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 40.00  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MAMA THERESA by CARSON CITY)
SCR  FRANKIE HICCUPS               (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of BLUE GRASS MARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  OPEN FLAME               (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of IGNITE by JUMP START)
SCR  PRINCESS MISCHIEF               (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PRINCESS CONSORT by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION               (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
BAQ-7   09/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:383   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DONEGAL SURGES 4 1 54½ 53½ 51½ 32 12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 36% 1.80 4.00 W
7  MAMA'S GOLD 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 22 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 27.50  
2  PENTATHLON 2 5 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 33½ (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.30 S
1  PIRATE 1 4 66½ 76 66½ 64¼ 45 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
11  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 10 6 32 32 31 42½ 56¾ (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 45.50  
9  SUN THUNDER 8 7 810½ 64 41 54 69½ (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 8% 11.70 22.30  
10  JACKSON HEIGHTS 9 8 1018 1016½ 1014¼ 1013¼ 712½ (noda or)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 18.70  
3  PADDINGTON 3 10 911 911½ 810½ 710¾ 814¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 6.40  
6  DIGITAL OPS 5 2 42 42 77 811¾ 922¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 4.70  
8  FROMANOTHAMUTHA 7 9 77 89 910¾ 913¼ 1027 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
SCR  RESERVE CURRENCY               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/20/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:13 1:37   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NO MO CANDY 1 2 12 11 1nk 1½ 1¾ (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 10% 9.20 10.20 W
5  DANCING DEAN 4 9 107½ 106¼ 95¼ 43 2¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 18% 4.70 2.75 P
8  PRETTY ANA 6 3 33 21 2nk 2½ 3¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5.10  
12  ELLE EST FORTE 10 10 97 95¼ 74 85¼ 43¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 6% 16.50 22.00  
10  VINO ROUGE 8 6 54 31½ 3½ 33 54 (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 22% 3.40 2.70  
9  GOLD LIGHTNING 7 7 75 73¼ 52 54½ 64¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 24% 3.20 7.40  
11  SASSY PRINCESS 9 8 64 62¾ 62½ 74¾ 75 (walsh p)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 34.75  
4  DETERMINED LILLY 3 4 43½ 52½ 106¼ 96¾ 85¼ (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 9.30  
3  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 2 1 22 41½ 41½ 64¾ 96½ (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00 48.50  
6  TOY COLLECTOR 5 5 86 84¾ 84¼ 107¾ 107¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.60  
SCR  HALO CITY               (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SCR  JUDGEMENT TIME               (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY               (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS               (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 122 20.00    
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO               (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:133 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAST TENSE 1 5 64 55¼ 43 2nk 11¾ (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.95 W
8  PHILLY'S FINEST 6 4 42½ 45 64 31½ 21¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.50 2.80 P
7  TRUE MYTH 5 7 118 109½ 75 55 35¼ (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5.00  
10  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 8 2 53½ 65¼ 53½ 43½ 45¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 17% 5.00 5.70  
11  AMERICAN KESTREL 9 3 11½ 13½ 12½ 1nk 55½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 16.10  
13  CAPO DONNA 11 9 86 87½ 95¼ 77 67 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
3  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 2 6 96 77¼ 85¼ 66½ 77¾ (metivier rich)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 38.50  
5  EXOTIC CAT 3 11 107½ 119½ 106¼ 97¾ 89¼ (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 80.25  
6  JENAS MERCY 4 1 21½ 23½ 22½ 87½ 916¼ (brown bruc)RIVERA R 120 20.00 63.00  
12  WILD IRIS 10 10 32 33½ 33 1010¾ 1017¾ (duggan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
9  BAM BAM (BRZ) 7 8 75½ 99½ 11100 11100 11100 (sharp joe)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 9.30  
SCR  ALTHENA               (paragallo jenni)RUIZ ELISEO 120 50.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  STREET VIEW               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.