Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (9/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
BAQ-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
BAQ-3   Win (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
BAQ-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.60  
BAQ-5   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
BAQ-6   Win (5/1/8/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
BAQ-7   Win (5/2/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  
BAQ-8   Win (9/10/5/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $22.40 $22.40 12.40
BAQ-9   Win (1/8/10/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :463 :583     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ DASHING 6 7 53 5   1nk 1¼ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 8% 11.00 2.50 W
HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) 7 6 7 6   2nk 2¼ (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 65% 0.50 1.20 P
NOD TO TRAN 3 5 66 7   6 36 (diprima )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 6% 16.50 6.90 S
MY MAN MAGOO 5 2 4 4   5 4 (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 23.10  
REPLEVIN 4 3 3½ 3.2   31 59 (ryerson t)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
LUCAS'S MISCHIEF 2 4 2½ 2nk   4 610½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5.70  
DEVIL OF RAMADI 1 1 1½ 1nk   7 718 (paragallo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00 39.25  
SCR  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE               (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  POLICY CHANGE               (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  SOCIAL HOUR               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
 
BAQ-2   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:253 :513 1:162 1:382   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 3 21 21 21 21 1hd (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.50 30% 2.40 2.45 W
ANDTHEWINNERIS 2 4 3 32 32 3 2hd (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 3.55  
KUBRICK (IRE) 1 1 11 11 11 11 3¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 2.60  
UTAH BEACH 6 6 4 4 42 4 43 (correas ignacio)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 3 2 5 5 54 55 5 (schultz lindsay)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 27% 2.80 5.10  
PIONEERING SPIRIT 4 5 64 65 6 66 64 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 7.40  
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS               (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  PHILEAS FOGG               (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.60    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  WINIT               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-3   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:13     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBATE 7 8 811¼ 88   4 1½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 18% 4.50 2.70 W
TWO FOR CHARGING 1 3 6 6   3 2½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 2.30  
HEARD ON THESTREET 4 5 33 3   1½ 34 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 7.10  
PARKERNESS 8 2 13 1   2½ 4 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 46% 1.20 3.20  
ARREBATO 3 1 5 54   6 5 (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
WATASHA 2 6 23 2   55 611½ (brion keri)RIVERA R 121 3.50 11% 8.40 7.40  
MR. SWAGGER 5 4 7 75   89 714 (sciacca)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00 9.60  
BADLANDS RULER 6 7 4 42   77 824½ (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 37.75  
 
BAQ-4   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST KATHERINE 2 6 3 33   3½ 1½ (jimenez l)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00 1.30  
BRAGANZA 3 4 65 54   41 2½ (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 31% 2.30 3.05 P
EVERYONELOVESLINDA 6 1 4 43   52 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00 10.20  
DREAM CONCERT 4 2 21 21   2½ 4 (o'connell kathle)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 20.30  
OLGA ISABEL 1 5 11 11   1½ 5 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 31% 2.30 3.10  
MY KENTUCKY GIRL 5 3 5 6   614 621¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 6.40  
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) 8 1 1½ 1nk   1 13 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 69% 0.50 1.05 W
MISS BOURBON 4 7 7 6   34 23 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 4.80 P
JUSTHEART 5 9 9 8   5 3 (brown r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 15.60  
10  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 10 3 31 2nk   2 4 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 34.75  
RIVER TAY (IRE) 1 8 8 9   7 55 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00 14.90  
TURRIGA 7 4 2½ 3   46 66 (bond kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 6% 14.40 4.10  
SHAMAN PRINCESS 3 6 4 44   6 7 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
AMY'S LIGHT 9 2 6 7   9 88 (pringle e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 45.25  
VALENTINE GIFT 6 5 5 5   8 9 (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 41.50  
RAININGATTHEBEACH 2 10 10 1010¾   1012¾ 10 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 120 15.00 23.20  
SCR  BELLA VOCE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
SCR  PATTY VAN TWINKLE               (sweezey kent)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON'S PHINEST 1 5 3 42   2 12 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20 1.35 W
BLUE EYED SCOUT 3 2 11 1½   1 22 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13% 6.50 17.00 P
10  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB) 10 4 5 31   4 35 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 4.00  
BLOSSOMING ERUDITE 4 3 21 2½   32 4 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00 49.00  
DREAMWORKIN 2 10 8 6   56 5 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 6.00  
FURRY FOX 7 9 64 76   67 612 (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 14.00  
GATTATIZ 8 7 74 54   7 714½ (bond jam)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 19% 4.40 12.00  
STRACA 6 12 1212 8   8 814½ (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 12.00 25.00  
IMMIGRATION LAW 5 6 1110 1216½   1116 919 (levine bru)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 26% 2.90 9.00  
12  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK 12 11 109 1111½   914½ 1021½ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00 28.00  
11  LADY DELILAH 11 8 9 1010½   1015½ 1123¾ (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
TRICKY MAMA 9 1 4 9   1222 1243¼ (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 40.00  
SCR  FRANKIE HICCUPS               (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  OPEN FLAME               (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MISCHIEF               (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION               (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:383   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL SURGES 4 1 5 5 5 32 12 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 36% 1.80 4.00 W
MAMA'S GOLD 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 22 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 27.50  
PENTATHLON 2 5 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 3 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 29% 2.40 1.30 S
PIRATE 1 4 6 76 6 6 45 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
11  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 10 6 32 32 31 4 5 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00 45.50  
SUN THUNDER 8 7 810½ 64 41 54 6 (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 8% 11.70 22.30  
10  JACKSON HEIGHTS 9 8 1018 1016½ 1014¼ 1013¼ 712½ (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 18.70  
PADDINGTON 3 10 911 911½ 810½ 710¾ 814¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 6.40  
DIGITAL OPS 5 2 42 42 77 811¾ 922¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 4.70  
FROMANOTHAMUTHA 7 9 77 89 910¾ 913¼ 1027 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
SCR  RESERVE CURRENCY               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/20/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:13 1:37   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MO CANDY 1 2 12 11 1nk 1½ 1¾ (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 10% 9.20 10.20 W
DANCING DEAN 4 9 10 10 9 43 2¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 18% 4.70 2.75 P
PRETTY ANA 6 3 33 21 2nk 2½ 3¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5.10  
12  ELLE EST FORTE 10 10 97 9 74 8 4 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 6% 16.50 22.00  
10  VINO ROUGE 8 6 54 3 3½ 33 54 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 22% 3.40 2.70  
GOLD LIGHTNING 7 7 75 7 52 5 6 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 24% 3.20 7.40  
11  SASSY PRINCESS 9 8 64 6 6 7 75 (walsh p)DAVIS KATIE 120 12.00 34.75  
DETERMINED LILLY 3 4 4 5 10 9 8 (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 9.30  
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 2 1 22 4 4 6 9 (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00 48.50  
TOY COLLECTOR 5 5 86 8 8 10 10 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 8.60  
SCR  HALO CITY               (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SCR  JUDGEMENT TIME               (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY               (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS               (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 122 20.00    
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO               (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:133 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAST TENSE 1 5 64 5 43 2nk 1 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.95 W
PHILLY'S FINEST 6 4 4 45 64 3 2 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.50 2.80 P
TRUE MYTH 5 7 118 10 75 55 3 (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5.00  
10  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 8 2 5 6 5 4 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 17% 5.00 5.70  
11  AMERICAN KESTREL 9 3 1 1 1 1nk 5 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 16.10  
13  CAPO DONNA 11 9 86 8 9 77 67 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 2 6 96 7 8 6 7 (metivier richar)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 38.50  
EXOTIC CAT 3 11 10 11 10 9 8 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 80.25  
JENAS MERCY 4 1 2 2 2 8 916¼ (brown bruce )RIVERA R 120 20.00 63.00  
12  WILD IRIS 10 10 32 3 33 1010¾ 1017¾ (duggan dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
BAM BAM (BRZ) 7 8 7 9 11100 11100 11100 (sharp joe)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 9.30  
SCR  ALTHENA               (paragallo jennife)RUIZ ELISEO 120 50.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY               (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  STREET VIEW               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.