Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - September 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (9/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/1/8/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/2/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (9/10/5/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-9   Win (1/8/10/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  POLICY CHANGE Aug17         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
DEVIL OF RAMADI Aug10 Jul13       (paragallo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 30.00    
LUCAS'S MISCHIEF Aug31 Jul20       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
NOD TO TRAN Aug30         (diprima )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00 6% 16.50    
REPLEVIN Aug29 Jul12       (ryerson t)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY MAN MAGOO         (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
TIZ DASHING         (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 8% 11.00    
HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) Aug31 Aug11       (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 1.60 65% 0.50    
SCR  SOCIAL HOUR Aug17 Jul20       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 1.20    
 
BAQ-2   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUBRICK (IRE) Aug16 Jun08 Apr12 Mar01   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00    
ANDTHEWINNERIS Aug21 Jul20 May06 Apr07 Mar04 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50    
HIGHESTDISTINCTION Aug16 Oct13 Sep16 Aug13 Jul14 (schultz lindsay)RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00    
BATTLE OF NORMANDY Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Sep03 Aug05 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
UTAH BEACH May18 Apr14 Feb28 Jan25 Nov29 (correas ign)DETTORI LANFRANCO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHILEAS FOGG Aug03 Jul13 Jun06 Apr30 Mar15 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.60    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Aug23 May09 Mar18 Dec28 Nov26 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC DREAMS Aug15 May04 Mar30 Mar21 Feb23 (kantarmaci ilka)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.00    
SCR  WINIT Aug23 May03 Apr07 Mar07 Jan26 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-3   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO FOR CHARGING Jul18 Jun14 Nov10 Oct01 Aug05 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
WATASHA Nov12 Sep27 Aug17 Jun25 May26 (brion keri)RIVERA R 121 3.50 11% 8.40    
ARREBATO Apr20 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 Feb17 (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
HEARD ON THESTREET Sep02 Jun29 Jun07 Apr28 Apr19 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
MR. SWAGGER Aug09 Jul20 Jun16 Jun01 Apr20 (sciacca)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 6.00    
BADLANDS RULER Aug18 Aug11 Jun29 May09 Mar21 (chatterpaul naipa)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
DEBATE Aug24 Aug01 Jun16 Jun07 May18 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
PARKERNESS Aug23 Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Jul10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
BAQ-4   09/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLGA ISABEL Jul05 Jun07 Dec09 Oct26 Aug30 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
JUST KATHERINE Aug23 Jul21 Jun15 Feb02 Dec28 (jimenez l)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.00    
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Sep01 Aug03 Jun30 May24 May03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
BRAGANZA May27 Apr26 Nov18 Oct21 Sep01 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
DREAM CONCERT Apr27 Apr05 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (o'connell kathle)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY KENTUCKY GIRL Jul14 Sep30 Aug28 Aug06 Jun11 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50    
EVERYONELOVESLINDA Aug07 Jun07 May12 Apr25 Apr07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 125 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/20/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER TAY (IRE) Aug17 May12 Apr07 Sep03 Jul28 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00    
RAININGATTHEBEACH Aug07 Jun09 May11 Feb24   (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 15.00    
SHAMAN PRINCESS Aug30 Aug04 Dec14 Nov18 Oct26 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS BOURBON Aug17 Apr18 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
JUSTHEART Aug28 Aug01 Jun21 May19 Apr14 (brown r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
VALENTINE GIFT Aug17 Jul18 Jun15 Dec14 Oct29 (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
TURRIGA Aug23 Jul13 May25 Apr25 Jan05 (bond kevin)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 6% 14.40    
REFLEXIVITY (IRE) Aug29 Jul20 Jun29 Sep10 Aug12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.20 69% 0.50    
AMY'S LIGHT Jul17 Jul07 Jun20 May09 Mar29 (pringle e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
10  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Aug16 Jul19 Jun23 May27 Nov18 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  BELLA VOCE Jul18 Jun25 May28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.40    
SCR  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jun19 May31 (sweezey kent)RIDER TBA 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSTON'S PHINEST Aug04         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
DREAMWORKIN         (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 6.00    
BLUE EYED SCOUT Aug30         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 13% 6.50    
BLOSSOMING ERUDITE         (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 119 15.00    
IMMIGRATION LAW         (levine bru)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 26% 2.90    
STRACA         (duggan david)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
FURRY FOX         (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
GATTATIZ Aug14         (bond jam)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 19% 4.40    
TRICKY MAMA         (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
10  TWILIGHT TANGO (GB)         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
11  LADY DELILAH Sep02 Jul25       (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  MISCHIEVOUS TRICK         (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION Jun23         (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  OPEN FLAME Aug21 Jul26       (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  FRANKIE HICCUPS Aug22         (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS MISCHIEF Aug22         (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIRATE Aug07 Jul05 Jun07 May05 Apr06 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PENTATHLON Aug15 Jun30 Jun07 Oct06 Aug05 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
PADDINGTON Jun22 May19 Oct21 Oct06 Aug18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
SCR  RESERVE CURRENCY Aug28 Jul18 Jun16 Apr27 Mar08 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
DONEGAL SURGES Aug18 Jun09 May02 Mar29 Feb24 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
DIGITAL OPS Aug17 Jun30 Oct06     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
MAMA'S GOLD Feb24 Jan27 Jan13 Dec03 Oct20 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
FROMANOTHAMUTHA Aug28 Aug07 Jun28 Apr20 Mar07 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUN THUNDER Aug28 Jun27 Jun09 Mar14 Feb24 (jimenez jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 8% 11.70    
10  JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 May25 May02 (noda orla)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
11  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Jul31 Jun22 Apr18 Mar09 Feb10 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/20/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUDGEMENT TIME Aug17 Jul20 Jun12 May11 Nov23 (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul03 Jun25 (thompson glenn )IORIO MELISSA 122 50.00    
NO MO CANDY Jul26 Jun27       (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Aug24 Jul08 Jun08 May21 Mar20 (linder jr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00    
DETERMINED LILLY Sep02 Jul19 Jun28 May25 Nov03 (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
DANCING DEAN Aug16 Jul18 Jun16 Nov18 Sep03 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
TOY COLLECTOR Aug16 Jul08 Jun05     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET DUTCHESS Aug08 Jul18 May19 Apr20 Mar23 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 122 20.00    
PRETTY ANA Aug16 Jun01 May03 Apr07 Feb13 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
GOLD LIGHTNING Jul07 May10 Nov17 Oct27 Oct04 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
10  VINO ROUGE Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 May19 Dec02 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 22% 3.40    
11  SASSY PRINCESS Jul07 Jun01 Apr25 Mar03 Oct29 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
12  ELLE EST FORTE Aug08 Jul25 May09 Mar21 Feb22 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  WHOCOULDASKFORMO Aug22 May17 Apr06 Mar02 Feb10 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 1.00    
SCR  JUST MUSIC Aug23 Jul21 Jul11 Jul04 May24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  HALO CITY Aug16 Aug03 Apr18 Mar01 Feb09 (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAST TENSE Aug18 Jul21 Jun20 May24 May04 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  ALTHENA Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Mar27 Mar09 (paragallo jennife)RUIZ ELISEO 120 50.00    
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Jul21 May16 Apr04 Jan11 Nov25 (metivier richar)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
EXOTIC CAT Aug02 Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 Jul01 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00    
JENAS MERCY Oct13         (brown bruce )RIVERA R 120 20.00    
TRUE MYTH Aug16 Jun23 Oct20 Oct05   (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
PHILLY'S FINEST Jul10 Oct14       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
BAM BAM (BRZ) Aug11 Jun28       (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
10  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) Jul21 Oct13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
11  AMERICAN KESTREL Aug02 Jun16 May27 Apr14   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00    
12  WILD IRIS Aug06         (duggan davi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  CAPO DONNA Aug24 Jul19 Jun20 May09 Apr05 (handal r)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOOKS FIRST Apr19 Mar09 Jul23 Jun18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
SCR  STREET VIEW Aug08 Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50    
SCR  LOOKING FOR GINNY Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.