Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $16.50 $10.50 175%
MTH-3   TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-6-8 $13.15 $4.15 46%
MTH-5   WIN (7/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $28.40 $20.40 255%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:131 1:384   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST REIGN 3 1 8 8 8 3½ 1 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.00 5.30  
GULF COAST GIRL 2 2 7 7 7 5 2 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00 12% 7.60 6.30 P
CITRUS BELLE 7 4 3 4 31 4¾ 3 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.80 S
QUEEN CATALINA 6 8 5 3 2½ 2nk 4 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
APEROL SPRITZ 1 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 5 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 30% 2.30 2.30  
10  SHAMU 8 5 2 5 41 6 6 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 24.80  
DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) 4 7 6 6 6 7 79 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 16.90  
TOOTSIE TOES 5 6 4 21 5 8 814¼ (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 8.00 9.50  
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA               (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 116 6.00    
SCR  GWEN STACY               (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 30.00    
 
MTH-2   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:231 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICENT RIDE 5 2 2nk 1nk   12 1¼ (serey j)OLVER MADISON 124 15.00 5% 19.00 5.40 W
SPOTTED BULL 3 3 3 3   32 2¼ (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.10 P
SNEAKINESS 2 1 1nk 2nk   22 33 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 10.00 12.30  
LEMON CREEK LOUIE 1 4 4 4   45 4 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10  
NOTION TO TAPIT 4 5 5 57   59 59 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00 16.60  
SCR  EDDIEMUSH               (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 124 6.00    
SCR  STRIKING SPEED               (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80    
 
MTH-3   08/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:21 :441       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAPLIN 2 4 33 3   3½ 1½ (david carlos )JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 28% 2.50 0.80 W
NEW YORK STRONG 6 3 54 6   43 2½ (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 41% 1.50 3.10 P
BEWARE OF PRIDE 7 6 7 7   7 3 (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 10.20 S
HEAVY TIMBER 1 7 6 5   54 43 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 15.00 28.00  
DITHER 5 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 5 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00 5.50  
MIDNITE MUSKET 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 6 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 18.00  
ALEAH ALEAH 3 5 4 43   6 7 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 6.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SCR  JUST COMPLY               (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
SCR  TRY HARDER               (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
 
MTH-4   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAREN'S HONOR 4 1 3 2½   1½ 1 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 5.80  
FOOLISH CHALLENGE 3 5 2½ 1½   2½ 2 (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50 7.50  
MY HONEYBUNCH 5 4 4 42   4 3 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 4.50 8.50  
HOW SWEET SHE IS 2 6 5 5   3 44 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60 41% 1.40 1.10  
BAILINTIN 6 3 6 6   5 5 (moore mic)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 5.00 30% 2.30 1.90  
BRIGHT KOHANA 1 2 1½ 3   6 613½ (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 108 12.00 5% 19.00 26.90  
SCR  FRANNIE LEW               (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 121 8.00    
 
MTH-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:114 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED WIND 6 8 5 44 4 11 1 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 16% 5.30 13.20 W
CINDY'S SONG 3 1 6 7 7 4 2 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 8.00  
GIRLY THE BUTCHER 4 7 8 87 6 31 3 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 4.50 4.40  
BIZYMALINE 7 2 2nk 2nk 1nk 21 4 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80 40% 1.50 0.80  
AWESOMENEWYEAR 5 4 1nk 1nk 3.2 5 57 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 15.00 13.80  
UP HER SLEEVE 2 6 7 6 5 6 613¼ (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 10.30  
LATIN NIKKITA 1 5 4 5 8 8 715¼ (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
ANADOR (FR) 8 3 3.2 31 2nk 7 815¼ (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00 15% 5.90 23.60  
SCR  MOVING IN STEREO               (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
 
MTH-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN JAY 6 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1¼ (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 1.80  
PALM ISLAND 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2¼ (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 7.70  
AMERICAN LAW 1 4 7 4   43 3 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 2.70  
GROUCH 4 5 4 32   3 44 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 12% 7.40 2.80  
ERNIE BANKER 3 3 5 54   57 514½ (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 56% 0.80 5.70  
CATALINA ROYALTY 7 6 6 7   68 615¾ (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00 28.10  
DEPOLI 2 7 32 6   79 719 (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
SCR  MY MAMBA               (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Oceanport Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:094 1:344   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST ANTHONY 3 4 42 4 32 5 1 (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 118 5.00 9.60  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
THERE ARE NO WORDS 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 1½ 2 (spina charles)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
HE'SPUREGOLD 5 3 53 5 6 3 3 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 8.70  
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
BIG EVEREST (GB) 6 2 2½ 2½ 21 2½ 42 (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 36% 1.70 2.00  
  (by THE GURKHA out of LONG FACE by WHYWHYWHY)
KUBRICK (IRE) 2 6 64 64 53 4 5 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 1.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROSA BONHEUR by MR. GREELEY)
CALIFORNIA FROLIC 4 7 74 7 7 6 6 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 15.30  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CURLIN'S FROLIC by CURLIN)
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 7 5 3 3 42 7 7 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 118 4.00 34% 1.90 6.60  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HONOR YOUR GIFT by SIGHTSEEING)
 
MTH-8   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LLOYD 5 4 3½ 2nk   11 1 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 122 1.80 46% 1.20 2.10 W
PRACTICAL COACH 4 3 4¾ 1nk   21 2 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 11% 8.40 1.00 P
HONORARY DEGREE 7 2 6 3   33 3 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50 S
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU 3 5 7 7   56 4 (yanez reynaldo)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 10.00  
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW 2 6 5¾ 42   4 511½ (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 12.00 14.60  
POWER AGENDA 6 1 1½ 54   711 616¾ (penaloza migu)KAY R 121 20.00 26.10  
PORCH SWING 1 7 2½ 66   69 717¼ (serey mar)VARGAS A 121 5.00 9% 10.40 7.70  
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE               (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.