Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8)-(9/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/8/3)-(6/2/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1)-(7/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/2/1)-(6/7/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APEROL SPRITZ Jul26 Jun26 May25 Mar20 Feb21 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  GWEN STACY Jul17 Jun08 May14 Nov29 Nov03 (linder lo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 30.00    
3  GULF COAST GIRL Jul26 Jun29 May25 Apr17 Mar30 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  FIRST REIGN Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 Jun08 Sep15 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 123 4.00    
5  DON'T TOUCH ME (IRE) Jul17 May27       (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  DESTIN FOR DRAMA Jul25 Jun26 Apr10 Mar20 Feb09 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 116 6.00    
7  TOOTSIE TOES Jun28         (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 8.00    
8  QUEEN CATALINA Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 Nov05 Sep28 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CITRUS BELLE Jun16 Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 Feb24 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
10  SHAMU Jul27 Jun30 Jun15 May25 Apr24 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
 
MTH-2   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON CREEK LOUIE Jul20 Jun28 Jun09 May19 Jan10 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  SNEAKINESS Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan26 Jan12 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 10.00    
SCR  STRIKING SPEED Jul26 Jun14 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80    
4  SPOTTED BULL Jul07 Jun01 May12 Apr22 Mar16 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  NOTION TO TAPIT Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00    
SCR  EDDIEMUSH Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 Jun24 Jun12 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 124 6.00    
7  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Aug10 Jul28 Jul21 May26 Apr05 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   08/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY TIMBER Nov06 Oct13 Jul30 Jul07 Jun10 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 117 15.00    
2  CHAPLIN Jul07 Jun08 Apr21 Mar14 May14 (david carlos )JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
3  ALEAH ALEAH Jul12 Jun07 May10 Apr20 Apr06 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIDNITE MUSKET Jun16 Apr25 Mar27 Feb17 Jan27 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
5  DITHER Jul13 Jun16 May27 Apr28 Sep08 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
6  NEW YORK STRONG Jul27 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Mar20 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  JUST COMPLY Jun29 Jun21 May12 Dec01 Oct06 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
8  BEWARE OF PRIDE Jun13 Oct17       (pino v)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50 ★    
SCR  TRY HARDER Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Oct11   (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 115 20.00    
 
MTH-4   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT KOHANA Jul12 Jun09 May26 Sep02 Aug19 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 108 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOW SWEET SHE IS Jul08 May26 Apr20 Mar01 Oct24 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
3  FOOLISH CHALLENGE Jul12 Jun01 May11     (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.50    
4  KAREN'S HONOR Aug07 Jun27 May16 Apr25 Jan24 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00    
5  MY HONEYBUNCH Aug09 Jul14 Jun21 May11 Aug13 (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 111 4.50    
SCR  FRANNIE LEW Aug07 Jun30 Jun22 May17 Apr25 (jones edua)BONILLA CRISTINA 121 8.00    
7  BAILINTIN Aug04 Jul13 Jul03 Jun10 May21 (moore mic)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 5.00 30% 2.30    
 
MTH-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN NIKKITA Mar17 Feb21 Feb07 Jan19 Dec22 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  UP HER SLEEVE Jul04 Oct26 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
3  CINDY'S SONG Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May04 Apr20 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
4  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Aug04 Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 Nov03 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 4.50    
5  AWESOMENEWYEAR Jul27 Jul04 Jun12 May13 Nov07 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 15.00    
6  RED WIND Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May12 Dec10 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
7  BIZYMALINE Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 May10 Apr12 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  MOVING IN STEREO Aug04 Jul28 Jul04 Nov04 Sep09 (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
9  ANADOR (FR) Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 Apr13 Mar16 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
 
MTH-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN LAW Jul28 Jul12 Jun22 May25 May11 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
2  DEPOLI Jul17 Jun30 May11 Apr23 Apr09 (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ERNIE BANKER Jun02 May12 Apr07 Mar16 Feb23 (hurley r)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
4  GROUCH Jul31 Jul06 Jun09 Oct13 Sep04 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
5  PALM ISLAND Jul13 Jun09 Aug26 Jul12 May23 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
6  JOHN JAY Jul20 Jun30 Jun02 May11 Mar29 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50 ★    
7  CATALINA ROYALTY May20 Apr03       (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
SCR  MY MAMBA Jul28 Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 Jun09 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Oceanport Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THERE ARE NO WORDS Jul07 May25 Oct19 Sep04 Aug13 (spina charles)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
2  KUBRICK (IRE) Jun08 Apr12 Mar01     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROSA BONHEUR by MR. GREELEY)
3  ST ANTHONY Nov12 Sep04 Jul28 Jul04 May11 (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 118 5.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
4  CALIFORNIA FROLIC Jun15 May25 Mar31 Jan27 Jan01 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CURLIN'S FROLIC by CURLIN)
5  HE'SPUREGOLD Jul07 May25 Apr27 Sep16 Aug13 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
6  BIG EVEREST (GB) Jun23 May17 Mar30 Nov12 Aug13 (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 120 2.00 36% 1.70    
  (by THE GURKHA out of LONG FACE by WHYWHYWHY)
7  HIGHESTDISTINCTION Oct13 Sep16 Aug13 Jul14 May27 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of HONOR YOUR GIFT by SIGHTSEEING)
 
MTH-8   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORCH SWING Aug04 Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 May25 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 9% 10.40    
2  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jul26 Jul06 May19 May04 Apr13 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 12.00    
3  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Jul21 Jun01 Apr18 Apr11 Feb14 (yanez reynaldo)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00    
4  PRACTICAL COACH Jul28 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 11% 8.40    
5  LLOYD Jul28 Jun29 Jun02 Apr15 Mar21 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  POWER AGENDA Aug01 Jul17 Apr10 Mar06 Feb27 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 121 20.00    
7  HONORARY DEGREE Jul28 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May27 (jones edu)CAMACHO JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOT ROD RUMBLE Aug04 Jun29 May04 Mar22 Mar14 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.