Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/6/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $11.60 $1.60 16%
MTH-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $23.60 $17.60 293%
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $39.70 $33.70 562%
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-3-7 $49.30 $46.30 1543%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:214 :45 :583     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MILDOON 6 6 97¾ 65½   32 1¾ (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 4.00 24% 3.20 4.80 W
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
9  LADY MARLEEN 9 1 2½ 2½   1½ 2¾ (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00 5.50  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
8  VIVID ARTISTE 8 2 55½ 54½   43 31½ (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00 4.30  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
7  ROCKY SEAS 7 3 86¾ 76   63½ 43 (owens jr)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 13% 6.60 3.50  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  LITTLE LIA 3 5 1½ 1½   2½ 53 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HANNA BANANA by OFFICER)
1  J WILLARD 1 8 43 33½   53½ 67¾ (simon linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 7.20  
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
5  BINGO'S ESPRESSO 5 4 3½ 44   74½ 79½ (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 16% 5.40 13.10  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
2  GROOVY SENSATION 2 9 66½ 88½   87½ 810 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 119 5.00 24% 3.20 8.20  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of GOOD AND GROOVY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
4  WHISKEY AND RAIN 4 7 76¾ 99½   99½ 914 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 30.00 60.60  
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
MTH-2   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SIMPLE SOUVENIR 3 5 64½ 41¼   2½ 1¼ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 122 5.00 5% 18.20 10.80 W
3  MARION GRACE 2 2 11½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 48% 1.10 1.20 P
7  CAUSE I SAID 6 1 21½ 2nk   3½ 3¾ (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 117 1.60 20% 4.00 1.20 S
6  ABBY THE BULL DAWG 5 6 54½ 52¼   43 43¾ (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 5.60  
2  GANGSTER RAP 1 4 32½ 62¾   63¾ 54¼ (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 12.00 39.80  
5  BULLET ON TAP 4 3 43 31   53¼ 65¾ (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00 17.00  
SCR  GAVICHI               (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
 
MTH-3   08/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:133 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIANT JAMES 1 1 2½ 42 1½ 13 17¼ (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 14% 6.30 1.20 W
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ROMANOVA by BURNING ROMA)
11  CHANGING THE KARMA 7 5 78½ 75¾ 63¼ 34 27¼ (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00 14.00  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
10  WILD JAIME 6 2 31 1½ 2½ 23 39 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 18.50  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
4  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS 3 4 65 62¾ 51¾ 46 412¼ (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of CAMILLE'S COMET by BUSTIN STONES)
8  VESPARO 5 6 53 52½ 41½ 56 515¼ (huston ro)VARGAS A 123 3.50 49% 1.00 3.10  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
7  CHAZ THE CHIEF 4 7 43 3½ 31½ 67 617 (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00 10% 8.90 5.90  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of I AIN'T P T by A.P. INDY)
3  LAURA'S SONS 2 3 1½ 2½ 78¼ 717 744 (kendall s)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 6.10  
  (by BANDBOX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ISLAND SPIRIT               (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
SCR  PERROTTO               (sacco gre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  RANUNCULUS               (wilson tony)MOYA F 123 6.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
SCR  SEE THE TRUTH               (ward dan)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of COUNTESS GERALDINE by LOVE OF MONEY)
 
MTH-4   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:22 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BIG DREAMER 6 1 11 11½   12 12½ (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00 ★ 1.90  
3  PLEASANT EMBRACE 3 6 31½ 21½   22 22½ (breen kel)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 4.50 6.00  
5  LOVELY CHARM 5 3 63½ 64¾   35½ 33¾ (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 3.00 2.00  
1  I'M A CUTIE PIE 1 5 42 34   45½ 44 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 21% 3.70 5.70  
4  MY HONEYBUNCH 4 4 53½ 44½   57½ 510¼ (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00 17.00  
2  DON'T LISTEN 2 2 21 54½   68½ 610¾ (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 2.50 31% 2.30 4.40  
SCR  FOR SALE               (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
 
MTH-5   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL STAR 1 5 31 1nk   14 19½ (hernandez)VARGAS A 120 1.20 66% 0.50 0.40 W
3  KING MIANO 3 4 53½ 63¼   46 29½ (o'connell kat)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 ★ 3.40 P
8  DUDEWITHANAME 6 1 2nk 2nk   24 312½ (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 20.00 21.20  
2  RUNNING LUCKY 2 6 41½ 42¼   35½ 413 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 8.00 7.00  
5  HAVE NO REGRETS 4 3 64½ 53¼   57 513½ (martin ramo)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00 13.90  
6  GRAND AGAIN 5 2 1nk 32   67 623 (shivmanga)BOCACHICA J 116 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
SCR  SIR CUPID               (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 114 8.00    
SCR  SOPHIA'S PRINCE               (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
SCR  TEJOTA               (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-6   08/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:112 1:241   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF HOLLYWOOD 1 5 36½ 38 2nk 2nk 1nk (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.90 W
6  GOLDEN JUAN 5 2 24 27 1nk 1nk 2nk (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 3.00 40% 1.50 1.50 P
8  TURNSANDCONDITIONS 6 3 49 49½ 45 37 38 (rivera j)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 10.00  
4  MIDNIGHT ACT 4 7 714½ 614 69 611¼ 416 (perez ruperto )CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
9  HEY PORTER 7 4 59½ 511 56 49 516¼ (castillo mic)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 ★ 3.30  
3  MUNDO MIX 3 1 14 17 32 59¼ 621¾ (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00 32.50  
2  SINGINTHRUTHESTORM 2 6 612 715 713 715¼ 722 (gonzalez-milia)MOYA F 124 8.00 16.70  
SCR  SNEAKINESS               (avila c)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
SCR  TEEWINOT PASS               (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
 
MTH-7   08/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:123 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRAIRIE HAWK 4 2 1½ 11 11½ 11 11¾ (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00 3.80  
2  AWESOME CITY 1 3 42 54 53¼ 31 21¾ (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.40 P
5  TIGER MOON 3 4 62¼ 64½ 31½ 21 34¾ (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.00 31% 2.20 1.30 S
8  SUPREME DOMINANCE 6 6 31 32 41¾ 54 48¼ (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00 20.80  
7  MORETHANAFEELING 5 1 2½ 21 21½ 43½ 59 (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50 6.00  
3  MR. SWAGGER 2 5 52 43 65¼ 66 610¼ (sciacca gary)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
SCR  LAST ROMANCE               (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
SCR  PIRATE               (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 4.00    
SCR  SMART AND FAST               (pattershall)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00    
 
MTH-8   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:214 :443 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUST ASK WATTS 7 3 64 63¼   41½ 12¼ (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00 18.40  
2  CRUISING DEREK 2 4 3½ 11   1nk 22¼ (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00 35.00  
6  TURN UP THE TREES 6 1 42 31½   2nk 32½ (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 6.00 9% 10.70 9.00 S
5  SEARCY 5 6 75 86¼   85¼ 43 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00 4.30  
1  CAMM' DUKE 1 7 2nk 21   31 53¼ (ryerson t)BRAVO J 121 5.00 5.60  
8  BET THE LINE 8 2 88½ 76¼   74¾ 64¼ (lake scot)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00 37.40  
3  SOZE 3 8 1nk 41½   54 77¼ (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 13% 6.90 2.40  
4  CAGE MATCH 4 5 52½ 53   64½ 810¼ (atras rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 57% 0.70 1.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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