Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/6/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7/3)-(2/6/5/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7/3)-(2/6/5/7/3)-(2/6/5/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/3/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/3/9/6)-(1/3/9/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/9/4)-(6/1/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J WILLARD Jul06 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Apr24 (simon linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
2  GROOVY SENSATION Jul06         (huston k)OLVER MADISON 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of GOOD AND GROOVY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  LITTLE LIA Jun16 May18 Apr13     (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HANNA BANANA by OFFICER)
4  WHISKEY AND RAIN Jul06 Oct13 Sep15 Sep10 Aug19 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 30.00    
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
5  BINGO'S ESPRESSO         (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
6  MILDOON Jul06 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Sep10 (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
7  ROCKY SEAS Jul12 Jun16 Aug20 Jul21 Jun09 (owens jr)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
8  VIVID ARTISTE Jul06 Jun16 May18 Jul21 Jun30 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
9  LADY MARLEEN Jul06 Oct26       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
 
MTH-2   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAVICHI Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 8.00    
2  GANGSTER RAP May10 Apr19 Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 12.00    
3  MARION GRACE Jul09 Dec27 Nov13 Oct19 Sep19 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Jun22 May04 Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 122 5.00 5% 18.20    
5  BULLET ON TAP Jul12 Jun21 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
6  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Jul20 Jun22 May26 May03 Mar17 (ward dan)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00    
7  CAUSE I SAID Jul10 Jun11 May18 May04 Apr16 (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 117 1.60 20% 4.00    
 
MTH-3   08/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERROTTO Jul21 Jun02 May19 Oct06 Aug20 (sacco gre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
2  GIANT JAMES Jul14 Jun09 Jun01 Oct06 Aug27 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 14% 6.30    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ROMANOVA by BURNING ROMA)
3  LAURA'S SONS Jul14         (kendall s)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Jul06 Dec15 Nov12 Oct06   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of CAMILLE'S COMET by BUSTIN STONES)
SCR  RANUNCULUS Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Jun01 May19 (wilson tony)MOYA F 123 6.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
SCR  ISLAND SPIRIT Jul21 Jul07 May19 Nov01 Jul08 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 123 5.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
7  CHAZ THE CHIEF Jul14 Jun16 May21     (falcone robert)CAMACHO SAMY 123 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of I AIN'T P T by A.P. INDY)
8  VESPARO Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 Oct06 Aug27 (huston ro)VARGAS A 123 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  SEE THE TRUTH Jul07 Aug12 Jul23     (ward dan)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of COUNTESS GERALDINE by LOVE OF MONEY)
10  WILD JAIME Jun16 May19 Nov30 Oct06   (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
11  CHANGING THE KARMA Jul25 Jul14 Jun09 Jun01 Mar11 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
MTH-4   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M A CUTIE PIE Apr06 Mar22 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 21% 3.70    
2  DON'T LISTEN Jul07 May09 Apr11 Nov24 Oct01 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  PLEASANT EMBRACE Jun02 May04 Apr10 Mar13 Oct28 (breen kel)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 4.50    
4  MY HONEYBUNCH Jul14 Jun21 May11 Aug13   (spina c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00    
5  LOVELY CHARM Jul12 Jun13 May25 Apr10 Mar26 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 3.00    
SCR  FOR SALE Jul07 Jun08 May20 Jan10 Dec20 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
7  BIG DREAMER Jul03 Jun08 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 3.00 ★    
 
MTH-5   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATURAL STAR Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 May27 Feb10 (hernandez)VARGAS A 120 1.20 66% 0.50    
2  RUNNING LUCKY Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May18 Apr12 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 8.00    
3  KING MIANO Jul05 Jun16 May18 May01 Apr07 (o'connell)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  SOPHIA'S PRINCE Jul07 Jun16 Mar22 Feb11 Jan07 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
5  HAVE NO REGRETS Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr19 (martin ramo)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 12.00    
6  GRAND AGAIN Apr18 Mar21 Feb29 Feb11 Jan14 (shivmanga)BOCACHICA J 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR CUPID Jul02 Jul17 Jun21 Jun05 May15 (lake a)AGUILAR JEAN 114 8.00    
8  DUDEWITHANAME Jul19 Jul07 May27 Aug13 Jun10 (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 20.00    
SCR  TEJOTA Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr26 Apr04 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-6   08/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  SINGINTHRUTHESTORM Jul15 Jul01 Jun08 May29 May06 (gonzalez-milia)MOYA F 124 8.00    
3  MUNDO MIX Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 May19 May12 (cole-da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT ACT Jul22 Jul02 Jun24 May28 May01 (perez ruperto )CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEEWINOT PASS Jul24 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Jun03 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 12.00    
6  GOLDEN JUAN Jul28 Jul04 Jun15 Jun01 May25 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  SNEAKINESS Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan26 Jan12 (avila c)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
8  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Jul28 Jun30 May12 Aug04 Jun11 (rivera j)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00    
9  HEY PORTER Jul22 Jun29 Jun08 May28 May11 (castillo mic)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-7   08/09/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PIRATE Aug07 Jul05 Jun07 May05 Apr06 (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 4.00    
2  AWESOME CITY Jul20 Jun30 May19 Apr03 Mar13 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  MR. SWAGGER Jul20 Jun16 Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 (sciacca gary)CAMACHO SAMY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LAST ROMANCE Jul13 Jun24 May28 Apr24 Mar20 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
5  TIGER MOON Jul20 Oct20 Sep27 Sep08 May06 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  PRAIRIE HAWK Jun23 Apr20 Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00    
7  MORETHANAFEELING May22 Jan11 Dec05 Nov06 Sep17 (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 121 4.50    
8  SUPREME DOMINANCE Jul14 Jun18 May18 Mar02 Feb03 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
SCR  SMART AND FAST Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 May08 Apr17 (pattershall)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 30.00    
 
MTH-8   08/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMM' DUKE Jul06 Jun06 May12 Apr27 Dec04 (ryerson t)BRAVO J 121 5.00    
2  CRUISING DEREK Jul28 Jul13 Jun11 Apr21 Apr12 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00    
3  SOZE Jul13 Jan12 Oct06 Aug26 Aug04 (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  CAGE MATCH Jul02 Apr20 Mar09     (atras rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
5  SEARCY Jun09 Mar28 Jan28 Dec09 Oct01 (schultz l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 5.00    
6  TURN UP THE TREES Mar28 Feb10 Jan13     (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 6.00 9% 10.70    
7  JUST ASK WATTS May27 May07 Mar15 Jan27 Dec08 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00    
8  BET THE LINE Jun24 May22 May12 Apr06 Feb26 (lake scot)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.