Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $15.80 $7.80 98%
CNL-3   DD (6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-6 $22.60 $6.60 41%
CNL-4   WIN (1/2/8/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    DD (6/7/4/3)-(1/2/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-2 $20.70 $0.70 4%
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3)-(1/2/8/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00  1-6-2 $146.40 $66.40 83%
CNL-5   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    DD (1/2/8/5/6)-(3/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-1 $30.50 $10.50 53%
    PK3 (6/7/4/3)-(1/2/8/5/6)-(3/1/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-2-1 $112.70 $32.70 41%
    PK4 (6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3)-(1/2/8/5/6)-(3/1/6/4) 320 $0.50 $160  1-6-2-1 $226.90 $66.90 42%
CNL-6   EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-6 $10.10 $7.10 237%
CNL-8   WIN (8/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.40 $1.40 18%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURS UP 7 4 22 2   1 1 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 123 1.60 1.90  
AIN'T NONCENTS 1 6 76 57   2 2 (gardea abraham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 12% 7.40 5.60 P
ORANGE JUICE 4 2 3 3   36 3 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 1.80 60% 0.70 1.60 S
EL MIC TIESUN 3 7 6 7   57 46 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 30.00 22.40 DH
ICETECA 6 1 54 4   4 46 (hunt d)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00 32.50 DH
MELODY WIN 2 5 44 6   67 66 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 118 4.00 4.20  
EL GUAPO 5 3 12 1   79 716¼ (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
SCR  BEYOND REPROACH               (seale christop)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
 
CNL-2   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:13 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHAMPLAIN'S DREAM 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1¼ (motion h )CARRASCO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
BAYWATCH BLONDE 7 7 53 53 4 4 2¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00 1.90  
CHANNEL LOOP 5 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 3½ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 14% 6.20 7.00 S
CAPO DONNA 2 5 75 7 5 5 4 (handal raym)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.50 16% 5.10 3.90  
SHAKREVENGE 6 4 31 32 3½ 31 5 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.20 49% 1.00 1.60  
CHANGE ORDER 3 2 6 6 7 6 6 (gardea a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00 38.60  
TINS 4 6 42 42 6 78 7 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 64.30  
 
CNL-3   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF ABBA 6 3 1 1 1 1 1¼ (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 32% 2.10 2.00 W
MALAWNIA 5 6 64 54 43 3 2¼ (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 6.10  
ONCE AN EAGLE 4 1 5 6 7 4 3 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 13% 6.40 8.70 S
KOBE'S SMILE 3 5 4 3 2 2 4 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
MARY KATHERINE 7 4 3 4 5 67 5 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00 18% 4.50 6.30  
CHA CHA TAP 2 7 7 7 6 7 65 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 2.10  
LADY OPHELIA 1 2 2 2 3 5 7 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00 8.70  
 
CNL-4   08/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASCALINE 2 8 7 62   32 1 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 3.50 25% 3.00 4.70 W
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  MONTADOR 10 5 6 3   1½ 2 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 1.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GOLDEN ICE 6 7 8 95   6 3 (simms jr)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 40.10 S
  (by KEEN ICE out of YIELDING GOLD by HIGH YIELD)
LOVE PACK 7 10 10 85   53 4 (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 7.00  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BOLD QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
START TO WIN 3 6 4¾ 5   2½ 5 (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00 8.60  
  (by UPSTART out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
PENEI 4 2 1½ 2nk   43 6 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 20.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOSTINHIM by GHOSTZAPPER)
PARACLETE 1 3 5¾ 72   7 710¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 28% 2.50 4.20  
  (by VOLATILE out of MISS HERMES by LEMON DROP KID)
ALIGN 8 1 2½ 1nk   8 816 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.60  
  (by ALLIANCE out of LISTEN IN by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
NEW PLEX 5 9 9 107   916¾ 924 (munoz carlos)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 37.80  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NEW CIRCLE by ORB)
GRAND LIAM 9 4 3½ 4   1016¾ 1026½ (ochoa gerard)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 46.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SASSIFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
 
CNL-5   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:221 :453 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRUTSHERSTUFF 1 4 42 32   1 1 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 23% 3.30 3.50 W
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
HAIL NO 5 1 11 11   2 2 (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 10.00  
  (by GET STORMY out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
SPLASH OF JACK 3 3 21 4   3 36 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 124 1.20 43% 1.30 0.60 S
  (by ARMY MULE out of AWAKE THE DAY by MORE THAN READY)
LAST GLANCE 4 8 78 77   59 4 (williams)GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SCATBACK by SCAT DADDY)
DAISY MY NAME 6 5 31 21   4 5 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 12% 7.10 4.40  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT STORM by GREAT NOTION)
SPECIAL CAP 8 6 67 6   610 611 (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 51.90  
  (by BRETHREN out of SNOOKS FIVE by WHEATON)
SECESSIONIST 2 7 89 88   712 711¼ (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00 85.50  
  (by KLIMT out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
FLORINE 7 2 53 5   812 813½ (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00 74.50  
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of PERSUASIVE MOMENT by SINFUL PERSUASION)
 
CNL-6   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) 2 1 33 3 41 1 1 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.60 62% 0.60 0.20 W
SPOTTY SHOWERS 1 2 5 4 6 32 2 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00 23.80 P
INANNA'S QUEST 4 4 2 21 2½ 42 3 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 8% 11.70 6.90 S
DARK DAHLIA 5 5 45 54 53 64 47 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 56.20  
DON'T TELL DEREN 3 6 67 65 31 5 5 (robb j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00 4.70  
ANGEL ART 6 3 1 11 1½ 2 610¼ (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00 20.20  
SCR  EASTERN EMPRESS (GB)               (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 2.50    
SCR  PRIYANKA               (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 4.50    
 
CNL-7   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BRASS BED 1 1 3 32 32 3½ 1¼ (walsh p)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00 51% 1.00 1.00 W
SLEEPWALKER 6 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2¼ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 9.50  
SETTLING STORM 5 3 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 3½ (clement christop)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00 17% 4.70 4.20 S
TURF ROCKET 8 5 4 42 4 41 4½ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 15.40  
PLANET CLARE 3 8 8 8 86 6 5 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 5.00 8% 10.80 8.40  
ORDEROFTHEPHOENIX (IRE) 2 7 55 53 64 5 6 (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 12.00 4.00  
HERON BAY 4 4 6 7 7 7 7 (drysdale neil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
LOU ANNA 7 6 7 6 54 810¼ 813½ (mccutchen )ALBERT S 118 20.00 53.30  
SCR  JUNIPER JUICE               (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 118 10.00    
 
CNL-8   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCIO 7 6 4 43 1½ 1½ 11 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 1.80 45% 1.20 3.70 W
ALL GAS NO BRAKES 4 7 6 5 4 2½ 21 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 2.10  
JUDY'S FLYER 1 2 32 3 3 33 3 (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 2.90  
NEW WAY 3 3 77 78 6 57 4 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 9% 9.60 29.40  
MISS TAPATIA 5 5 5 68 75 6 5 (rodriguez an)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
HUIXTLA 6 4 21 2½ 2½ 4 611 (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.00 20% 4.00 1.80  
BODY LANGUAGE 2 1 11 1½ 5 719½ 728¼ (mccutchen )ALBERT S 122 30.00 55.50  
SCR  BAJA DE ORO               (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON FACTOR 9 1 1 11   1 13 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 4.90  
COURAGEOUS MISSION 3 2 4 4   3 23 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.50 33% 2.00 3.00 P
HIGHTAILING HARRY 6 7 3 32   2 3 (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 36.60  
GREY FLANNEL BOSS 1 4 6 69   510 4 (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 3.30  
STORMIN' RUNNER 7 6 2 21   48 510¾ (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 10.00 27.90  
FORCED ATTITUDE 2 10 7 710   813½ 610¾ (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 8% 11.90 8.40  
KONGZI 4 9 1011¼ 812   713½ 711¼ (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
BOLD ROCK 5 3 54 5   611 813¾ (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 38% 1.60 2.50  
10  BUTHESPRETTY 10 5 9 914   920½ 921½ (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00 83.00  
BLACKTHORNE BRUSCA 8 8 8 1016   1028½ 1034½ (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00 48.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.