Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-2   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(6/7/4/3)-(1/2/5/6/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-3   WIN (6/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/3)-(1/2/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/3)-(1/2/5/6/8)-(3/1/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-4   WIN (1/2/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/6/8)-(1/2/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/6/8)-(1/2/5/6/8)-(1/2/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/5/6/8)-(3/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/6/8)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/4)-(3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/4)-(3/6/1)-(1/5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(1/5/3/4)-(8/7/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (1/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4)-(1/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/4)-(8/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/4)-(8/7/4/6)-(5/3/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-8   WIN (8/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6)-(8/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/6)-(5/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CNL-9   WIN (5/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/4)-(5/3/2/1/4)-(5/3/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/24/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEYOND REPROACH Aug02 Jul25 Jun08 Apr04 Mar23 (seale christop)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00    
2  AIN'T NONCENTS Aug13 Jul25 May31 Apr14 Mar30 (gardea abraham)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  MELODY WIN Aug02 Jun01 May01 Apr05 Mar08 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 118 4.00 ★    
4  EL MIC TIESUN Aug02 Jun20 May29 May05 Jan28 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 30.00    
5  ORANGE JUICE Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 Sep16 Aug16 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  EL GUAPO Aug13 Jul25 Feb10 Jan21 Dec27 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ICETECA Jul27 Jul04 Apr27 Mar16 Jan31 (hunt d)PANAIJO JORGE 123 30.00    
8  SPURS UP Aug02 Sep08 May20 Apr23 Sep06 (mccutche)GALLARDO A 123 1.60    
 
CNL-2   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPLAIN'S DREAM Jul18 Jun14 Sep29     (motion h )CARRASCO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPO DONNA Jul19 Jun20 May09 Apr05   (handal raym)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.50 16% 5.10    
3  CHANGE ORDER Aug15 Jul26 Dec03 Nov09   (gardea abraha)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
4  TINS Aug15 Jul25 Jun19 Feb28 Feb21 (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
5  CHANNEL LOOP Aug04 Jun22 May27 Mar29 Feb22 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  SHAKREVENGE Jul26 Jun30 May19 Apr20 Mar08 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
7  BAYWATCH BLONDE Jun05         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 5.00    
 
CNL-3   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OPHELIA Jul26 Jun22 May25 Apr13   (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00    
2  CHA CHA TAP Jan31 Dec20 Nov24 Oct29 Oct08 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
3  KOBE'S SMILE Oct13 Sep01 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONCE AN EAGLE Aug02 Jul13 May11 Sep15 Aug16 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 10.00 13% 6.40    
5  MALAWNIA Jul25 Jun20 May23 Apr26 Mar13 (tomlinson mich)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
6  DREAMING OF ABBA Aug01 Jul06 May25 Apr28   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
7  MARY KATHERINE Jul08 Jun16 Jun03 Jan24 Jan01 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
 
CNL-4   08/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARACLETE         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of MISS HERMES by LEMON DROP KID)
2  PASCALINE         (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  START TO WIN         (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
  (by UPSTART out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
4  PENEI Aug17         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOSTINHIM by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  NEW PLEX         (munoz carl)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NEW CIRCLE by ORB)
6  GOLDEN ICE         (simms jr)ASHTON GAVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of YIELDING GOLD by HIGH YIELD)
7  LOVE PACK         (motion grah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BOLD QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
8  ALIGN         (mccutche)GALLARDO A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of LISTEN IN by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
9  GRAND LIAM         (ochoa gerard)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SASSIFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
10  MONTADOR         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CNL-5   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRUTSHERSTUFF         (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of CRUSIN ALONE by HONOR CODE)
2  SECESSIONIST Jul26 May25 May11     (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of DREAMED TO DREAM by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
3  SPLASH OF JACK Aug11 Jul26 Jun15     (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 124 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of AWAKE THE DAY by MORE THAN READY)
4  LAST GLANCE         (williams)GALLARDO A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SCATBACK by SCAT DADDY)
5  HAIL NO Jul26         (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIRACLE MOMENT by CHESTER HOUSE)
6  DAISY MY NAME Jul26 May14       (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of GREAT STORM by GREAT NOTION)
7  FLORINE Aug12 Jul20 Jun20 May17 Apr26 (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00    
  (by GONE CLUBBING out of PERSUASIVE MOMENT by SINFUL PERSUASION)
8  SPECIAL CAP Sep08         (williams gary)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00    
  (by BRETHREN out of SNOOKS FIVE by WHEATON)
 
CNL-6   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOTTY SHOWERS Jul10 Jun12 May28 May07 Feb24 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EASTERN EMPRESS (GB) Jul27 Jun15 May05 Apr06   (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 2.50    
3  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) May19 Jun24 May12     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  PRIYANKA Jun27 May16       (motion h )CARRASCO R 123 4.50    
5  DON'T TELL DEREN Oct14 Aug19 Aug04 Jun17 May28 (robb j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
6  INANNA'S QUEST Aug03 Jul19 Jun27 Jun01 Mar30 (ashby lynn)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
7  DARK DAHLIA Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 Oct26 Oct03 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 123 30.00    
8  ANGEL ART Jul20 Jun16 May12 Mar08 Feb02 (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
 
CNL-7   08/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BRASS BED Jul27 Jun01 Mar03 Jan27 Jul23 (walsh p)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  ORDEROFTHEPHOENIX (IRE)         (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 12.00    
3  PLANET CLARE Jul27 Jul08 Jun01 May22 Apr28 (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 5.00 8% 10.80    
4  HERON BAY Jul31 May01 Mar27 Dec31 Dec10 (drysdale neil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SETTLING STORM Jul25 May29 Jan14 Jul02 Jun03 (clement christop)CURTIS BEN 125 4.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  JUNIPER JUICE Aug22 Jul05 Jun11 May27 Jul08 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 118 10.00    
7  SLEEPWALKER Jul11 May05 Mar28 Oct07 Sep09 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 5.00    
8  LOU ANNA Aug03 Dec08 Nov12 Oct26 Sep08 (mccutchen )ALBERT S 118 20.00    
9  TURF ROCKET Aug08 Jul11 Jun08 May17 Mar31 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
 
CNL-8   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAJA DE ORO Aug16         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
2  JUDY'S FLYER Aug16 Jul19 Jul11     (desormeaux k)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50    
3  BODY LANGUAGE Jul26 Jul11 May13     (mccutchen )ALBERT S 122 30.00    
4  NEW WAY         (ochoa gerard)FUENTES MARIO 122 15.00 9% 9.60    
5  ALL GAS NO BRAKES Jul11         (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50    
6  MISS TAPATIA Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun22   (rodriguez an)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HUIXTLA Jun16         (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 2.00 20% 4.00    
8  ROCIO Aug13 Jul19       (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
CNL-9   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY FLANNEL BOSS Aug01         (shuman mark)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 ★    
2  FORCED ATTITUDE         (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 8% 11.90    
3  COURAGEOUS MISSION Jul25         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  KONGZI         (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD ROCK Aug02 Jul19       (figgins ollie)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
6  HIGHTAILING HARRY         (payne beale)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
7  STORMIN' RUNNER         (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 10.00    
8  BLACKTHORNE BRUSCA         (cooney susan )PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
9  MOON FACTOR Aug13         (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
10  BUTHESPRETTY Aug02         (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.