Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $10.20 $2.20 28%
CT-2   EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $30.90 $18.90 158%
CT-3   EXA (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-4 $23.00 $7.00 44%
    TRI (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/2/10)-(5/4/8/2/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-4-10 $222.30 $174.30 363%
CT-7   WIN (5/1/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $18.20 $8.20 82%
    EXA (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-1 $30.20 $10.20 51%
CT-8   DD (5/1/6/7/4)-(6/1/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00  7-6 $44.40 $14.40 48%
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(6/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00  8-7-6 $46.00 $1.00 2%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFIANT GIANT 1 1 4 6   5 1 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 12% 7.10 4.10 W
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE 7 7 6 52   3.2 2 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 8.70  
ZIGGY STARDUST 3 5 5 4   2nk 3 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 38% 1.60 1.00 S
BRADLEY DO RIGHT 2 2 1nk 3½   4¼ 44 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 4.50 8.90  
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM 4 3 2nk 1½   1nk 5 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 23% 3.40 2.70  
ONE CANDY CASTLE 6 6 3½ 2½   6 617¼ (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00 33.10  
ON A WHIM 5 4 7 712½   710 720½ (murtaugh andre)REAP E 120 20.00 39.80  
 
CT-2   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:131     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATTA NOTION 7 5 11 1   1 1 (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 15% 5.80 0.70 W
SISTER SPIRIT 2 1 21 2   2 2 (aylor william )REAP E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 33.80 P
DUNDER BOSS 3 6 64 54   3 38 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 10.20  
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH 1 2 4 3   49 413½ (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 24% 3.10 5.90  
VINO DOLCE 6 7 53 6   510 516½ (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 3.50 41% 1.50 1.90  
NANA'S BOOPA 4 4 7 7   613 621¼ (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00 34.80  
WAVERLEY 5 3 3 4   716½ 728¾ (butts e)LARROSA G 122 30.00 63.80  
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAY               (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
 
CT-3   07/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:222 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADSNUMBRONEHELPR 5 5 11     1 1 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.10 W
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
JUBA'S HEART 4 7 3     3 2 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 20% 4.10 3.70 P
  (by JUBA out of EMPRESS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
10  BOLD ROCK 10 1 21     2 3 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70 S
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
IM THE DIRECTOR 3 8 63     5 4 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7.70  
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
BAIL IS DENIED 8 2 53     4 56 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.00 14% 6.20 3.40  
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
BLUSHING KAYLA 2 10 912     7 6 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 114 6.00 3.90  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
BABY BOSS ALLEN 7 4 42     6 711¾ (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 9.30  
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
DIRECT APPEAL 6 6 810     911¾ 812¾ (clatterbuck fr)REAP E 122 30.00 62.30  
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR 9 3 74     810¼ 913¾ (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00 47.20  
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
MANNY TOO 1 9 1018     1017¾ 1014½ (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 40.50  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
CT-4   07/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAN ANDREWS 4 2 5 53 21 21 1½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 53% 0.90 0.70 W
ADVANCE CASH 1 1 1nk 1½ 11 11 2½ (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 14% 6.30 3.50 P
SOUTHERN DISTRICT 2 6 4 42 31 3 3 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 9% 9.70 2.40 S
ONLY GET'N BETTER 7 7 7 78 64 46 49 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 27.50  
BLAMEITONTHEFUN 6 5 31 3 42 5 516 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 49.20  
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 3 2nk 2½ 5 610½ 618½ (delong ben)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
MY SLICK NICK 3 4 6 67 7 712 719¼ (conn p)REAP E 120 20.00 43.60  
SCR  BACKATYA               (farrior anth)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
 
CT-5   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  XCELLENT START 10 9 5 42   2 1nk (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00 25.20  
JUBA'S HAT TRICK 2 4 4 21   1 2nk (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.00 P
C R'S MANDATE 8 6 7 7   6 3 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.40 S
DIVINE CHILD 6 10 810¼ 8   7 43 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 116 10.00 6.90  
VAGABOND VIRGIN 3 5 6 5   46 56 (runco c)LEWIS M 119 8.00 16.40  
SUMMONING DENIS 9 8 1015¾ 1012½   911¾ 6 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 10.00 24.10  
PENGUIN PARADE 5 3 2nk 3   56 7 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 14% 6.20 7.40  
LORD OF CORK 7 2 1nk 11   34 810¾ (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 15.00 21.20  
ESPRESSO 1 1 3.2 64   811¼ 912¾ (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 34% 2.00 3.60  
NEVERPOPTHECORK 4 7 914¾ 912½   1013¼ 1013 (petty k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00 96.80  
 
CT-6   07/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:214 :45       :512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT SPIRIT 6 1 1nk     1 1 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 1.40 60% 0.70 0.40 W
BELLA MELA 1 5 2nk     2 2 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 17% 4.80 2.10 P
MUSICMANSANDY 2 6 65     38 3 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80 10.10  
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE 3 4 3     48 410 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00 58.70  
O K SMARTY PANTS 4 2 4     59 511¼ (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 124 10.00 19.60  
SWEET SHUGS 5 3 54     6 611½ (binning m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND               (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 120 15.00    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY               (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
 
CT-7   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHINTHERELEASE 6 6 12 11   1 1 (murdock s)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.20 8.10 W
RUNALDO 1 2 8 63   3 2 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 20% 3.90 1.60 P
JUBA'S NOTION 2 1 3 3   2 3 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 8.20  
DERBY DAY DREAMS 4 4 7 7   58 4 (barber c)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 31% 2.30 3.90  
ROAD PARTY 5 3 22 21   4 5 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 18% 4.60 6.80  
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY 3 5 9 97   712½ 616¼ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
ICING 7 8 5 85   812¾ 717½ (allen ferri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00 8.70  
12  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT 9 7 4 42   610 821¼ (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00 26.00  
10  BUBBA GRUMP 8 9 6 52   913¼ 926 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 12.90  
SCR  JUDGEMENT DAY               (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 3.50    
SCR  JUNGLE BEAST               (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL               (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOOT THE BREEZE 5 4 4 3   1nk 15 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 50% 1.00 1.10 W
UNCLE PRESS 4 3 21 2½   2nk 25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 4.10 P
RACING HOT LINE 1 2 710½ 59   3 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 22% 3.50 1.30 S
BLAZE FOR DAZE 3 1 11 1½   45 418½ (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 10.00 18.50  
TUP'S TO TAKE 2 6 5 4   510 521¼ (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 54.00  
HERE'STHEBREADMAN 7 7 66 69   616 628¾ (binning m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 23.60  
CEDAR RUNS FIBER 6 5 3 710½   726 743½ (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00 68.70  
SCR  BEST HOP IS A DROP               (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 116 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.