Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(7/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(7/1/8/2)-(5/4/8/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2)-(7/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2)-(5/4/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/2)-(5/4/8/10)-(5/1/3/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/10)-(5/4/8/2/10)-(5/4/8/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/8/10)-(5/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/10)-(5/1/3/6)-(1/2/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/6)-(1/2/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/6)-(1/2/5/8)-(8/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/3/8)-(1/2/5/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/8)-(8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/8)-(8/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(6/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/1/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7/4)-(6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFIANT GIANT Jun01 May11 Apr25 Apr11 Feb14 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.00 12% 7.10    
2  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May16 Apr25 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 4.50    
3  ZIGGY STARDUST Jun22 Jun07 May17 Jun01 May11 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jul05 Jun29 May31 May10 May03 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  ON A WHIM Jul05 Jun07 May18 May02 Apr06 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 120 20.00    
6  ONE CANDY CASTLE Jun29 Jun15 May25 May02 Apr19 (binning matth)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar07 Dec06 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
 
CT-2   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Jun30 May18 Apr19 Apr12 Mar16 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  SISTER SPIRIT Jun29 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (aylor william )REAP E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUNDER BOSS Jun21 May24 Apr26 May12 Apr13 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50    
SCR  PAYNT YOUR WAY Jul12 Jun27 May02     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
5  NANA'S BOOPA Jun29 Jun14 Jun05 May15 Apr26 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  WAVERLEY Jun14 Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 Jan27 (butts e)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
7  VINO DOLCE Jun22 Jun13 May30 Apr21 Mar01 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 3.50 41% 1.50    
8  WHATTA NOTION Jul04 Mar28 Jan03 Nov25 Oct25 (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
CT-3   07/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANNY TOO         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of ATHENA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  BLUSHING KAYLA         (farrior anth)LEWIS M 114 6.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  IM THE DIRECTOR Jul04         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
4  JUBA'S HEART         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
  (by JUBA out of EMPRESS HEART by BODEMEISTER)
5  DADSNUMBRONEHELPR Jul04         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
6  DIRECT APPEAL Jul04         (clatterbuck fr)REAP E 122 30.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  BABY BOSS ALLEN Jul04         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  BAIL IS DENIED Jul04         (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
9  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Jul04         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  BOLD ROCK         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of NASHI by E DUBAI)
 
CT-4   07/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADVANCE CASH Jun27 Jun18 May11 Mar13 Feb22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  BACKATYA Apr25 Mar15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
3  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jun15 Jun02 Mar30 Mar02 Jan27 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 9% 9.70    
4  MY SLICK NICK Jul12 Jun20 Apr26 Apr11 Mar29 (conn p)REAP E 120 20.00    
5  GRAN ANDREWS Jun29 Jun07 May09 Apr27 Apr09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jun07 May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Jun29 Jun14 May02 Mar28 Feb14 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
8  ONLY GET'N BETTER Jun29 Jun07 May16 Apr25 Mar30 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   07/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPRESSO Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 Jan26 Dec01 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
2  JUBA'S HAT TRICK Jun27 Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr05 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  VAGABOND VIRGIN Jun28 Jun08 May16 Apr26 Apr04 (runco c)LEWIS M 119 8.00 ★    
4  NEVERPOPTHECORK Jun28 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (petty k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
5  PENGUIN PARADE Jun28 Jun06 Apr26 Apr05 Sep02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
6  DIVINE CHILD Jun21 May11 Apr28 Mar29 Feb18 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 116 10.00    
7  LORD OF CORK Jun28 Jun20 May18 Apr26 Apr05 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 15.00    
8  C R'S MANDATE Jun27 Jun06 Mar14 Feb22 Jan11 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SUMMONING DENIS Jun27 Jun06 May24 Apr13 Mar23 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 10.00    
10  XCELLENT START Jun08 May10 Apr18 Mar23 Feb10 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
 
CT-6   07/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA MELA Jun20 May25 Nov08 Oct14 Sep28 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jun06 May11 Apr19 Jan27 Jan05 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Jun22 May27 May10 Apr22 Mar20 (cuttino mari)WHITACRE GRANT 120 15.00    
4  MUSICMANSANDY Jun18 May05 Mar24 Feb18 Jan12 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 1.80    
5  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jul13 Jul04 Jun01 May09 Apr25 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
6  O K SMARTY PANTS Jun15 Mar22 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 124 10.00    
7  SWEET SHUGS Jun28 Jun07 May12 Apr20 Mar29 (binning m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  GREAT SPIRIT Jun20 Jun01 Oct14 Aug25 Jul29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
 
CT-7   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNALDO Jun27 May16 Apr27 Mar22 Feb23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  JUBA'S NOTION Jul12 Jul02 May30 Apr18 Oct14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
SCR  JUDGEMENT DAY Jun27 Jun06 May09 Mar09 Feb01 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 3.50    
4  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Jun27 May09 Mar22 Feb07 Dec07 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DERBY DAY DREAMS Jun27 Jun15 May25 Jan18 Dec14 (barber c)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 31% 2.30    
6  ROAD PARTY Oct14 Aug25 Aug10 Jul06 May25 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
7  TEACHINTHERELEASE Jun20 May24 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 (murdock s)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 10% 9.20    
8  ICING Jun30 May16 Apr19 Mar29 Feb18 (allen ferri)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 10.00    
SCR  ROCKET APPEAL Jun14 Jun01 May16 May03 Apr19 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
10  BUBBA GRUMP Jun27 May16 Nov06 Sep09 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
SCR  JUNGLE BEAST Jun27 Apr12 Mar22 Dec07 Nov18 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
12  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May30 Dec01 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACING HOT LINE Jun07 May16 Apr25 Apr05 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.60 22% 3.50    
2  TUP'S TO TAKE Jul11 Jun21 May30 May03 Apr11 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEST HOP IS A DROP Jul11 Jun21       (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 116 30.00    
4  BLAZE FOR DAZE Jun07 May10 Apr25 Apr11   (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 109 10.00    
5  UNCLE PRESS Jun28 Jun07 May10 Apr19 Jul06 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 3.50 ★    
6  SHOOT THE BREEZE Jun28 May17 Apr25 Apr05 Dec15 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 50% 1.00    
7  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Jun22 May17 May10 Mar21 Feb24 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 118 30.00    
8  HERE'STHEBREADMAN Jul01 Jun22 Jun07 May19 Jul01 (binning m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.