The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $20.80 -4.00
CT-2   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $16.00 -6.00
CT-3   Win (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
CT-4   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
CT-5   Win (5/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $11.00 -8.00
CT-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $14.60 -6.00
CT-7   Win (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $25.80 -8.00
CT-8   Win (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -5.00
CT-9   Win (5/1/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:15     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKE THE BOMB 4 2 3 1nk   1½ 1 (mancilla )BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00 9.40  
SENSUAL CHOCOLATE 5 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 77% 0.30 0.60 P
TIZAWINNER 1 1 5 5   3 3 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 S
HERCULES N LOVE 2 3 6 6   4 414½ (perez ernesto)GALVAN JHAIR 118 12.00 14.40  
SUPER BUSTER 3 5 4 4   5 518 (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 12.90  
LIOTTA 7 6 1nk 3.2   6 623½ (woolley tim)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 6.00  
PROUD ALUMNUS 6 7 715½ 723¼   7100 7100 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 20.00 40.60  
SCR  RING FUND               (viands st)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 12.00    
 
CT-2   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAGABOND VIRGIN 5 6 5 4   4 1¼ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 7.00  
RUNALDO 3 4 6 6   5 2¼ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 3.70  
FANCY CONCHO 2 2 42 5   2nk 3½ (grams c)REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 3.10  
HERO'S MAN 6 5 31 3.2   1nk 41 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 36% 1.70 2.20  
BUBBA GRUMP 1 1 2nk 2nk   3.2 51 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 20% 4.10 3.20  
ROCKET APPEAL 4 3 1nk 1nk   6 6 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
 
CT-3   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:133     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY GET'N BETTER 4 4 57 5   3.2 1 (shanley timothy)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 32% 2.20 4.00 W
PRACTICAL SENSE 7 6 43 3   1nk 2 (jones michael )BATISTA A 122 2.50 3.00  
BON BUENO 3 3 613 610   6 3 (gillespie a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 6.20  
AKINGISALWAYSKING 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 45 (murtaugh andrew )REAP E 122 30.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
SCHMEAR 2 2 3 42   4¾ 5 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 13% 6.70 1.00  
KEANU 6 5 2nk 1nk   5¾ 610¼ (pickett g)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 20% 4.00 7.60  
STAVANGER 5 7 717 722   722¼ 742 (racanelli j)MAYHEW W 122 30.00 78.90  
SCR  HE'S ON FIRE               (mancilla )BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
 
CT-4   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:143     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADLEY DO RIGHT 8 7 12 11   1 1 (obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 3.40  
RACING HOT LINE 4 3 32 3   3 2 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00 2.10 P
RUDD'S ROCKET 2 2 53 5   2 34 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 10.50  
PRIME SHOPPING 7 8 6 6   6 4 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.10  
SAN SEBASTIAN 1 1 22 4   4 5 (contreras javier)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00 45.40  
DANTE'S INFERNO 5 4 4 21   5 610½ (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
TOWN HOT 6 6 8 7   7 711¾ (pyke joseph)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 14.20  
ROOMMATE MARTIN 3 5 7 8   819¾ 837 (perry e)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 7.80  
 
CT-5   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:22 :463       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA WEST 2 4 13     1 1¾ (dollinger-sthr )ADAMS L 115 5.00 4.50  
GONE WITH THE WYN 5 6 57     36 2¾ (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40 1.10 P
SERENADE SOLDIER 6 3 33     2 3 (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 18% 4.60 2.60 S
EVERYDAYISAGIFT 8 2 45     4 4 (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 20.00 25.60  
AZTECA GIRL 3 8 79     69 5 (pickett g)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 9.50  
QUEEN P 7 1 810     8 6 (pickett g)BAEZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
COMODA 1 7 68     79 77 (jackson a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 110 15.00 18.10  
ICY STARE 4 5 23     58 811¼ (jones royland )BATISTA A 122 15.00 13% 6.60 27.70  
SCR  BREAKING BULLET               (walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPPO TACO 8 1 4     2 1½ (walters dav)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 6.30  
SPIRIT ON THE WIND 7 3 3     3 2½ (hurley jack)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 12.30  
ESSENTIAL MAGIC 3 5 1     1 3 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 27% 2.60 3.20 S
NINETY PROOF 4 4 6     56 4 (groves janice)MAWING A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
THETA 6 2 2     4 54 (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 43% 1.30 1.10  
PALACIO 5 7 711½     7 6 (tobin l)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00 32.60  
TUESDAY TOO 2 6 814½     8 76 (kopecki e)BAEZ M 122 12.00 10.70  
GREY FLAMINGO 1 8 55     6 8 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 6.60  
 
CT-7   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONARY 4 3 1½     13 1 (knoblauch-perez m)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 11.90  
GRAND FIBER 6 1 4     33 2 (mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30 P
SETTLEMENT DATE 1 7 3     4 3 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 8.00 15.30  
RIVER CROSROAD RVF 5 4 7     5 4 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10  
DRINKWITHTHESTARS 3 6 2½     23 55 (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 47% 1.10 0.40  
THE ILLUSIONIST 7 2 52     6 6 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 18.00  
DAN THE MAN CAN 2 5 63     7 711½ (sanderson s)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 8% 11.70 19.50  
SCR  REMYS GUNSMOKE               (grams c)REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
 
CT-8   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTINACHRYSALIS 2 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 27% 2.70 0.50 W
DREAM STREET ROSE 3 5 78 5   44 2hd (jones michael )BATISTA A 116 6.00 40.60  
SHEWONTTALKTOME 1 1 4 33   3 3¼ (sigler g)ACOSTA D 116 2.50 31% 2.30 4.30 S
SPARKLEINYOUREYE 7 6 21 2nk   2nk 4½ (jones mic)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 17% 4.80 3.40  
GHOST OF ALCINA 8 8 811 8   68 55 (gazzier )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 43.90  
CUT HIM LOOSE 6 7 5 44   56 610¼ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 12.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
NEW AGE BAD GIRL 4 3 63 7   79 713 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 20.00 20.80  
SYMPTOMATIC 5 4 31 65   813 816 (viands stacey)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00 34.60  
 
CT-9   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. SPEAKER 5 4 4 6   32 1¾ (comi ralp)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 1.60 31% 2.20 2.30 W
10  INTERCEPTION 9 9 5 33   1½ 2¾ (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
TIDBIT 8 8 3 2nk   2½ 3 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 10.40  
LADY FREE WILL 1 2 7 54   4 4 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
STATELY APRIL 4 3 2 4   66 5 (rose dav)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00 11.30  
LOVE NOTION 3 5 918¼ 921¼   710½ 6 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 122 20.00 35.70  
REZOOM 7 7 1 1nk   55 710½ (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00 31.20  
SUPER SNEAKY 2 1 8 818¼   826½ 837½ (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00 33.30  
NO VIOLENCE 6 6 6 711¼   927 944½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 15% 5.70 5.50  
SCR  BOLD INDY               (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
SCR  COAL'S MAGNOLIA               (nixon jus)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLORINE               (carlisle john)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.