Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-3   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.00 $2.00 25%
Simulator Race results
 
CT-1   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:15     1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MIKE THE BOMB 4 2 32½ 1nk   1½ 14¼ (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00 9.40  
6  SENSUAL CHOCOLATE 5 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 24¼ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 77% 0.30 0.60 P
1  TIZAWINNER 1 1 55½ 57¼   35½ 36¼ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.60 S
2  HERCULES N LOVE 2 3 67½ 68¼   47½ 414½ (perez ernesto)GALVAN JHAIR 118 12.00 14.40  
4  SUPER BUSTER 3 5 43½ 44¼   58½ 518 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 ★ 12.90  
8  LIOTTA 7 6 1nk 3.2   68½ 623½ (woolley tim)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 ★ 6.00  
7  PROUD ALUMNUS 6 7 715½ 723¼   7100 7100 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 20.00 40.60  
SCR  RING FUND               (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 12.00    
 
CT-2   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:123     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VAGABOND VIRGIN 5 6 52¼ 41¼   41¾ 1¼ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50 7.00  
3  RUNALDO 3 4 65¾ 66¼   52¼ 2¼ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 3.70  
2  FANCY CONCHO 2 2 42 51¼   2nk 3½ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.60 3.10  
6  HERO'S MAN 6 5 31 3.2   1nk 41 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 36% 1.70 2.20  
1  BUBBA GRUMP 1 1 2nk 2nk   3.2 51 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 20% 4.10 3.20  
4  ROCKET APPEAL 4 3 1nk 1nk   62¾ 69¼ (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
 
CT-3   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:133     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ONLY GET'N BETTER 4 4 57 54½   3.2 13¾ (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 32% 2.20 4.00 W
8  PRACTICAL SENSE 7 6 43 31½   1nk 23¾ (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 2.50 3.00  
4  BON BUENO 3 3 613 610   62¼ 34¾ (gillespie a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 6.20  
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING 1 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 45 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 122 30.00 5% 19.00 46.10  
3  SCHMEAR 2 2 32½ 42   4¾ 56¼ (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 13% 6.70 1.00  
7  KEANU 6 5 2nk 1nk   5¾ 610¼ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 4.00 20% 4.00 7.60  
6  STAVANGER 5 7 717 722   722¼ 742 (racanelli j)MAYHEW W 122 30.00 78.90  
SCR  HE'S ON FIRE               (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
 
CT-4   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:143     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BRADLEY DO RIGHT 8 7 12 11   12½ 13¾ (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 3.40  
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
4  RACING HOT LINE 4 3 32 31½   32½ 23¾ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00 2.10 P
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
2  RUDD'S ROCKET 2 2 53 51¾   22½ 34 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 10.50  
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
7  PRIME SHOPPING 7 8 63½ 63¾   64¾ 45¾ (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.10  
  (by TONALIST out of HOLIDAY SHOPPING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  SAN SEBASTIAN 1 1 22 41½   44½ 59¾ (contreras javi)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00 45.40  
  (by TOURIST out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
5  DANTE'S INFERNO 5 4 42½ 21   54¾ 610½ (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
6  TOWN HOT 6 6 85½ 74¾   75¾ 711¾ (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★ 14.20  
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
3  ROOMMATE MARTIN 3 5 74½ 85¼   819¾ 837 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 7.80  
  (by JUBA out of BYE BYE BLUES by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
CT-5   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:22 :463       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUNA WEST 2 4 13     13½ 1¾ (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 5.00 4.50  
5  GONE WITH THE WYN 5 6 57     36 2¾ (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40 1.10 P
7  SERENADE SOLDIER 6 3 33     23½ 32¼ (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 18% 4.60 2.60 S
9  EVERYDAYISAGIFT 8 2 45     46½ 44¼ (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 20.00 25.60  
3  AZTECA GIRL 3 8 79     69 55¾ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 10.00 9.50  
8  QUEEN P 7 1 810     89½ 66¼ (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
1  COMODA 1 7 68     79 77 (jackson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 110 15.00 18.10  
4  ICY STARE 4 5 23     58 811¼ (jones roylan)BATISTA A 122 15.00 13% 6.60 27.70  
SCR  BREAKING BULLET               (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
 
CT-6   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:221 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OPPO TACO 8 1 44½     23½ 1½ (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 ★ 6.30  
7  SPIRIT ON THE WIND 7 3 34½     33½ 2½ (hurley jack)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 12.30  
3  ESSENTIAL MAGIC 3 5 12½     13½ 31¼ (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 27% 2.60 3.20 S
4  NINETY PROOF 4 4 65½     56 42¼ (groves janice)MAWING A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
6  THETA 6 2 22½     44½ 54 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 43% 1.30 1.10  
5  PALACIO 5 7 711½     77¾ 65¼ (tobin l)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00 32.60  
2  TUESDAY TOO 2 6 814½     89¼ 76 (kopecki e)BAEZ M 122 12.00 10.70  
1  GREY FLAMINGO 1 8 55     66¼ 86¼ (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00 6.60  
 
CT-7   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:222 :46       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISSIONARY 4 3 1½     13 12¾ (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 11.90  
7  GRAND FIBER 6 1 41½     33 22¾ (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30 P
1  SETTLEMENT DATE 1 7 31½     43¼ 34¼ (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 8.00 15.30  
5  RIVER CROSROAD RVF 5 4 73½     56¾ 44½ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 21% 3.70 4.10  
3  DRINKWITHTHESTARS 3 6 2½     23 55 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 47% 1.10 0.40  
8  THE ILLUSIONIST 7 2 52     66¾ 68½ (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00 18.00  
2  DAN THE MAN CAN 2 5 63     77¾ 711½ (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 8% 11.70 19.50  
SCR  REMYS GUNSMOKE               (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
 
CT-8   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KRISTINACHRYSALIS 2 2 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 27% 2.70 0.50 W
3  DREAM STREET ROSE 3 5 78 54½   44 2hd (jones michae)BATISTA A 116 6.00 40.60  
1  SHEWONTTALKTOME 1 1 41½ 33   32½ 3¼ (sigler g)ACOSTA D 116 2.50 31% 2.30 4.30 S
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE 7 6 21 2nk   2nk 4½ (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 17% 4.80 3.40  
8  GHOST OF ALCINA 8 8 811 87½   68 55 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 43.90  
6  CUT HIM LOOSE 6 7 52½ 44   56 610¼ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 12.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
4  NEW AGE BAD GIRL 4 3 63 75½   79 713 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 20.00 20.80  
5  SYMPTOMATIC 5 4 31 65   813 816 (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00 34.60  
 
CT-9   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MRS. SPEAKER 5 4 45½ 64¼   32 1¾ (comi ra)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 1.60 31% 2.20 2.30 W
10  INTERCEPTION 9 9 55¾ 33   1½ 2¾ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
9  TIDBIT 8 8 31½ 2nk   2½ 32¾ (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 8.00 10.40  
1  LADY FREE WILL 1 2 77¾ 54   42½ 42¾ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 29% 2.40 2.60  
4  STATELY APRIL 4 3 21½ 43½   66 58¼ (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00 11.30  
3  LOVE NOTION 3 5 918¼ 921¼   710½ 68¾ (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 122 20.00 35.70  
7  REZOOM 7 7 11½ 1nk   55 710½ (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00 31.20  
2  SUPER SNEAKY 2 1 88¼ 818¼   826½ 837½ (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00 33.30  
6  NO VIOLENCE 6 6 66¼ 711¼   927 944½ (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 15% 5.70 5.50  
SCR  BOLD INDY               (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
SCR  COAL'S MAGNOLIA               (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLORINE               (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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