Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/8/4)-(6/1/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/1/4)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/7/3/1)-(4/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(4/7/5)-(5/7/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/6/5)-(4/7/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(5/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(5/7/4/8)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/8)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/8)-(6/3/4)-(3/5/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/8/4)-(6/3/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/5/2/7)-(1/2/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(1/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/7)-(1/2/7/6)-(5/1/6/10/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6)-(1/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/6)-(5/1/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (5/1/6/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/10/8)-(5/1/6/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/10/8)-(5/1/6/10/8)-(5/1/6/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZAWINNER Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb03 Jan13 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  HERCULES N LOVE Apr18 Mar24 Feb25 Feb11 Jan25 (perez ernesto)GALVAN JHAIR 118 12.00    
SCR  RING FUND Mar29 Feb17 Dec03 Nov18 Oct27 (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 12.00    
4  SUPER BUSTER Apr20 Mar30 Feb07 Jan07 Oct20 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 ★    
5  MIKE THE BOMB Apr07 Mar01 Feb09 Jan12   (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 118 15.00    
6  SENSUAL CHOCOLATE Mar13 Feb19 Jan08     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 77% 0.30    
7  PROUD ALUMNUS Oct12         (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 20.00    
8  LIOTTA Oct04 Sep13 Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 (woolley tim)ACOSTA D 124 3.50 ★    
 
CT-2   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUBBA GRUMP Nov06 Sep09 Aug17 Jul21 Jun16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
2  FANCY CONCHO Oct14 Sep09 Aug25 Jul21 Jun16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 1.60    
3  RUNALDO Apr27 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Dec14 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00    
4  ROCKET APPEAL May03 Apr19 Mar20 Mar02 Feb07 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  VAGABOND VIRGIN Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 Feb22 Dec09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
6  HERO'S MAN Mar11 Dec07 Oct25 Aug19 Jul21 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 36% 1.70    
 
CT-3   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AKINGISALWAYSKING Apr25 Apr04 Mar20 Mar13 Jan31 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HE'S ON FIRE May08 Mar25 Feb17 Jan27 Dec02 (mancill)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
3  SCHMEAR Apr25 Apr04 Mar13 Feb21 Jan10 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  BON BUENO Apr25 Apr04 Feb16 Feb01 Jan25 (gillespie a)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
5  ONLY GET'N BETTER Apr25 Mar30 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50 32% 2.20    
6  STAVANGER Apr25 Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 (racanelli j)MAYHEW W 122 30.00    
7  KEANU Apr05 Feb27 Feb14 Nov05 Oct07 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
8  PRACTICAL SENSE Mar22 Feb24 Jan31 Jan12 Dec09 (jones michae)BATISTA A 122 2.50    
 
CT-4   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAN SEBASTIAN May03 Jan24 Dec15     (contreras javi)REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
2  RUDD'S ROCKET Apr25 Mar28 Jan24 Dec15 Dec01 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
3  ROOMMATE MARTIN Mar30         (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of BYE BYE BLUES by ADIOS CHARLIE)
4  RACING HOT LINE Apr25 Apr05 Nov03 Oct14 Sep16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of RANSOM PAST DUE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  DANTE'S INFERNO Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Jan11 Dec15 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
6  TOWN HOT Apr25 Apr05 Mar13     (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
7  PRIME SHOPPING Apr11         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by TONALIST out of HOLIDAY SHOPPING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
 
CT-5   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMODA Apr25 Nov01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 (jackson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 110 15.00    
2  LUNA WEST Apr25 Mar14 Feb23 Jan11 Dec16 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 5.00    
3  AZTECA GIRL Apr25 Apr05 Feb23 Feb03 Jan14 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
4  ICY STARE Apr25 Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Aug24 (jones roylan)BATISTA A 122 15.00 13% 6.60    
5  GONE WITH THE WYN Apr26 Apr05 Feb14 Aug01   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  BREAKING BULLET Apr25 Apr04 Feb09 Jan10 Dec08 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
7  SERENADE SOLDIER Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Feb09 (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
8  QUEEN P Apr04 Dec16 Sep09 Aug05   (pickett crystal )BAEZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Feb23 Feb02 (aylor l)LARROSA G 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY FLAMINGO Apr04 Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 Nov24 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
2  TUESDAY TOO Apr04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan24 Dec09 (kopecki e)BAEZ M 122 12.00    
3  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Apr20 Mar27 Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 27% 2.60    
4  NINETY PROOF Feb14 Dec14 Nov29 Oct06 Sep02 (groves janice)MAWING A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PALACIO Apr27 Apr20 Apr04 Mar27 Feb28 (tobin l)REYNOLDS C 122 15.00    
6  THETA Apr11 Mar14 Feb07 Jan11 Dec06 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
7  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Apr04 Feb24 Jan13 Dec06 Oct12 (hurley jack)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00    
8  OPPO TACO Apr20 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 Nov30 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 ★    
 
CT-7   05/16/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE May03 Apr19 Apr13 Mar29 Mar13 (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 8.00    
2  DAN THE MAN CAN Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
3  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Apr20 Mar01 Dec15 Aug31 Aug03 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
4  MISSIONARY May03 Mar30 Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
5  RIVER CROSROAD RVF Mar28 Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 Sep16 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  REMYS GUNSMOKE May03 Mar21 Feb23 Dec16 Jan19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
7  GRAND FIBER Apr20 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 Jan25 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE ILLUSIONIST Apr05 Jan25 Dec22 Nov17 Nov02 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   05/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEWONTTALKTOME Apr27 Apr18 Apr05 Mar07 Feb24 (sigler g)ACOSTA D 116 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Apr27 Mar21 Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  DREAM STREET ROSE Apr18 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (jones michae)BATISTA A 116 6.00    
4  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov29 (meyers shane)AVILES YAN 113 20.00    
5  SYMPTOMATIC Mar20 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan05 (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 10.00    
6  CUT HIM LOOSE Apr18 Mar08 Feb02     (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPARKLEINYOUREYE May04 Apr18 Apr05 Mar14 Mar07 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
8  GHOST OF ALCINA Apr20 Jan04 Nov17 Oct19 Sep23 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY FREE WILL Apr12 Mar27 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
2  SUPER SNEAKY Apr04 Mar14 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00    
3  LOVE NOTION Apr25 Mar14 Nov03 Oct12 Sep17 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 122 20.00    
4  STATELY APRIL Apr25 Apr04 Mar27 Mar15 Feb24 (rose da)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
5  MRS. SPEAKER Apr25 Apr12 Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 (comi ra)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
6  NO VIOLENCE Apr29 Mar27 Mar01 Dec16 Sep21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
7  REZOOM Apr26 Apr14 Mar24 Mar02 Feb03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 15.00    
SCR  COAL'S MAGNOLIA Apr25 Mar23 Mar10 Mar02 Feb10 (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TIDBIT Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Sep06 Jul21 (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
10  INTERCEPTION Apr26 Feb21 Feb03 Jan10 Nov02 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLORINE Apr26 Apr05 Mar14 Feb23   (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
SCR  BOLD INDY May02         (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.