The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CT-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
CT-2   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
CT-3   Win (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.60 -8.00
CT-4   Win (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
CT-5   Win (8/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
CT-6   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $29.00 $29.00 23.00
CT-7   Win (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
CT-8   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 2.00

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:152     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIVE FOR STRIDE 3 5 5 45   3½ 1 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 35% 1.80 1.70 W
COLONIAL ROAD 4 6 64 55   2½ 2 (campbell t)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 7.80  
UNDERBOSS 5 3 1nk 1   1½ 3 (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 1.60 41% 1.40 0.80 S
I'MLIVINGTHEDREAM 2 2 42 34   4 4 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
MANHATTAN IMAGE 6 4 2nk 2   511½ 521½ (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 12.60  
LORD ROCKINGHAM 1 1 3½ 611   614½ 626¼ (gomez r)LARROSA G 118 12.00 23.90  
 
CT-2   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY VISIBLE 1 2 1 1½   1 1 (clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 35% 1.90 5.50 W
PRACTICALLY THERE 5 7 610 64   4 2 (campbell t)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 15.40  
TIMEISGOLDEN 6 5 5 54   5 3 (cornwell j)REYNOLDS C 122 6.00 5% 17.90 3.90 S
JAMESTOWN ROAD 2 3 42 2½   3 47 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 2.20  
CALYPSO GHOST 3 1 2 31   2 5 (harting chris )BATISTA A 122 5.00 5.70  
CASTLE OF CAYLEE 7 6 718 718   710¾ 612¼ (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.50  
SOMMER VELVET 4 4 32 4   6 712¾ (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 122 4.50 29% 2.50 2.70  
 
CT-3   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:13     1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBERLY 2 1 11 13   14 1¼ (ramos agosto )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 2.30  
SECRET CASTLE 8 7 5 6   5 2¼ (brown ronne)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 34% 1.90 4.70 P
ARROWWOOD 4 6 66 55   34 3½ (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 4.50 15% 5.80 4.10 S
BONNIE BLUETOOTH 5 3 43 33   24 3½ (brown ro)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00 4.90 DH
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD 6 4 7 710¼   6 5 (jackson angelo )ADAMS L 113 15.00 36.70  
BOUNDTOBEOK 1 2 3 4   4 66 (johnson c)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 6.50  
COUSIN WINNIE 7 5 21 23   7 715 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SNEAKY LYNK 3 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (boggs joanna)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 11% 8.30 9.00  
 
CT-4   05/11/2024 2970ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
See original race card.
:221 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVANCE CASH 1 6 11     1 1 (peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 13% 6.50 1.30 W
PRIZE FIGHTER 2 7 6     3 2 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00 4.50  
GRAND ESCAPE 3 5 21     2 3 (viands st)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50 16% 5.10 8.00 S
COWBOY AT HEART 5 2 3     4 4 (walters davi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.50 3.00  
E J'S REVENGE 6 1 5     6 5 (murtaugh andrew )REAP E 120 30.00 25.70  
MONTAUK DADDY 4 4 4     5 6 (spriggs tos)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 39% 1.60 5.60  
INSIDE RISK 7 3 7     710¾ 7 (caison l)ADAMS L 113 12.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE               (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL CATCHER 9 8 4 34   2½ 1 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 2.50 11% 8.10 2.80 W
CAFFEINENNICOTINE 8 6 23 1nk   1½ 2 (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.00 P
MR. DUMBLEDORE 3 5 8 67   5 3 (grams c)REYNOLDS C 116 3.50 30% 2.30 2.50 S
GIACOMO CASANOVA 2 2 6 5   42 4 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 20.00 11.60  
BORN TO SIN 5 3 13 2nk   3½ 5 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 36.30  
HURRICANE ALERT 1 1 7 89   78 616¼ (brown ro)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 10.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
DESTIN'S RAINBOW 6 4 3 4   6 718 (meyers f)PELTROCHE F 116 8.00 10.30  
DEFIANT GIANT 7 9 9 911   912½ 818¾ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 7.30  
COURT TUDOR 4 7 5 78   812 921½ (kirlew lenw)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00 59.30  
 
CT-6   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:132     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATERLOO ROSE 1 2 65 6   2nk 1 (o'neill ton)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.50 W
SAYYESTOTHELADY 4 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 2 (mckee cynthi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 37% 1.70 2.10 P
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN 5 5 3 31   4 3 (kreiser tim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 0.80  
AIM'S JUBILEE 6 6 5 4   53 4 (reggetts)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00 5.40  
UNCAPTURED RUBY 2 1 43 5   6 510¼ (malgarini t)MAWING A 120 20.00 24.30  
STACY ATTACK 3 4 1½ 1nk   31 610¾ (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 29% 2.40 9.50  
 
CT-7   05/11/2024 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Coin Collector Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
See original race card.
:22 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBAWITHATWIST 7 1 44     22 1½ (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 3.00 15% 5.70 1.40 W
PORK CHOP PETE 2 5 2nk     12 2½ (contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 31% 2.20 4.50 P
INDICATOR 5 6 6     4 3 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 6.00 8.80  
MARSHALL PEANUT 6 2 1nk     32 4 (atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 29% 2.50 2.90  
YOU BET A FORTUNE 4 4 55     6 53 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 11.50  
TIME TO ROCK 3 3 33     5 6 (viands stac)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
TWO BRONZE STARS 1 7 713¼     712¼ 713½ (brown ro)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 25.80  
 
CT-8   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:162     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA CODE 1 1 3 3   31 1 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.00 5% 19.00 2.00 W
LIAM'S KISS 4 6 46 4   2nk 2 (gazzier k)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 70% 0.40 1.80 P
LADY CINCO DE MAYO 5 3 1 1   1nk 3 (johnson dew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 30.00 24.20  
LINDA'S TAJ 6 5 2 2   4 4 (dollinger-sthr li)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 3.30  
PAMZ PALACE 2 2 711½ 79   5 5 (pickett g)ACOSTA D 118 12.00 9.30  
10  DASHING LASS 7 7 5 5   7 69 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00 15.40  
RIA FORMOSA 3 4 6 69   6 79 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 9.10  
SCR  COMODA               (jackson angelo )ADAMS L 113 20.00    
SCR  FLITTER               (andreadakis georgia)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
SCR  WHATTA NOTION               (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.