Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $6.60 $0.60 10%
CNL-3   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $15.00 $3.00 25%
CNL-5   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $20.90 $8.90 74%
CNL-11   WIN (12/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $64.20 $56.20 703%
    EXA (12/7/1/3)-(12/7/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $147.30 $131.30 821%
CNL-12   DD (12/7/1/3)-(2/11/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-11 $87.10 $71.10 444%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT-11:45
See original race card.
4:024         4:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALIO (IRE) 1 315 212 2 1nk 18 114 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 148 3.50 1.70  
  (by VADAMOS out of FIGURANTE by EXCELLENT ART)
PAVONI 2 416½ 414½ 45 4 28 214 (fisher joh)O' CONOR 148 1.50 33% 2.00 4.20 P
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOOTKA SOUND by LONHRO (AUS))
ANZIO 3 115 112 1 33 318 328¾ (webb sandra)DALTON BERNARD 148 12.00 15.20  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
DARK POOL 6 215 312½ 3 2nk 420 436 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 141 2.50 24% 3.20 3.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
HUMAAM 5 517½ 514½ 55 5 555 595 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 154 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNIFORMLY YOURS by GRAND SLAM)
L'AVVOCATO (FR) 4 620 616½ 66 6100 6100 6100 (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 4.50 3.80  
  (by FRANKEL out of AFTER DAWN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
 
CNL-2   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
4:002         4:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY DAN 1 3 4 4 26 2 1 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.20 45% 1.20 2.00 W
TWO PAST EIGHT (GB) 3 4 3 2 16 1 2 (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 154 4.00 5% 19.00 1.30 P
MINELLA PLUS (IRE) 5 1 17 1 312 424½ 328 (garner tho)O' CONOR 144 3.00 16.10  
BELLARMINE HALL 4 5 511½ 56 417 324½ 429 (bourke liam)DALTON BERNARD 154 10.00 19.70  
EXUMA (IRE) 2 2 27 3 5100 5100 5100 (beecher ma)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 155 4.50 30% 2.40 1.80  
SCR  LYDFORD (GB)               (garner tho)KORRELL VIRGINIA 153 12.00    
 
CNL-3   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Randolph Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
4:003         4:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCULPATE 6 19 16 1 15 17 115½ (kingsley ar)HENDRIKS PARKER 149 6.00 20% 4.10 3.60 W
  (by BLAME out of GREAT MILLS HIGH by STUDENT COUNCIL)
CAINUDOTHETWIST 7 512½ 5 45 3 37 215½ (kingsley arc)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 10.00 7.60  
  (by AMERICAIN out of BOURBON TWIST by LANGFUHR)
HAINT BLUE (FR) 1 310½ 3 2 25 27 316¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 151 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 S
  (by DONE TALKING out of QUEEN MOON by LAWMAN (FR))
MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 4 615 610½ 611 615½ 520 429 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 145 4.50 24% 3.10 2.30  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MOLLY MAXIMA by BIG SHUFFLE)
LOVE SAGA 5 717 712½ 713½ 512 413 530¾ (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 149 15.00 5% 19.00 32.20  
  (by MOSLER out of SAGAMOON by MALIBU MOON)
AFRAID NOT 2 29 26 3 4 634 658½ (gomens juli)GALLIGAN GERARD 145 4.00 11.30  
  (by TOURIST out of TREPIDATION by SEEKING THE GOLD)
GETBACKSHADRACK (IRE) 3 411½ 4 510 722½ 748 758¾ (young lesl)O' CONOR 143 8.00 4.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MY FOREVER ANNIE (IRE)               (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 155 3.50    
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES out of HURRICANE BLEUE by HURRICANE RUN)
 
CNL-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACKETT 7 5 5 36   33 1 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 27% 2.70 2.10 W
FREDDY BOY 5 3 1nk 2nk   1 2 (gutierre)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.00 1.90  
GREY SHADOW 2 1 2nk 1nk   2 3 (rodriguez ang)KARAMANOS A 119 1.80 5.40  
LUCKY DAY 3 4 3 4   410 413 (cooney s)JARAMILLO E 119 8.00 13.10  
IMPROBABLE ME 4 6 69 612¼   516 518½ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
LISTENING 1 2 45 5   617½ 625½ (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
CAJUN SWAGGER 6 7 710 713¾   719 727 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 10.00 27% 2.70 7.20  
 
CNL-5   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:09     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDAZZO 3 5 4 4   3 1½ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
JOLLY BY GOLLY 2 4 21 2½   21 2½ (smith ham)CARRASCO R 121 1.80 1.10  
NORTHERN CHILL 4 1 11 1½   11 31 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.80 4.50 S
PATIENT CAPITAL 5 3 5 53   4 43 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 31% 2.30 2.70  
OMNI KING 1 2 3 3   5 512 (kelly blake)JARAMILLO E 121 3.50 7.90  
SCR  CATALINA ROYALTY               (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
SCR  VIGORISH               (simms jr)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:073     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFASA (CHI) 6 3 2½ 2½   12 1 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 1.20  
REPO ROCKS 5 2 1½ 1½   22 2 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 28% 2.50 2.70 P
MURRAY 1 7 7 66   46 3 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00 13% 7.00 4.50 S
LUGAN KNIGHT 2 5 43 44   5 4 (mccarthy micha)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 10.40  
BLUE KENTUCKY 4 4 6 76   6 5 (sims matthe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.00 11.00 DH
FREE SOUL 7 1 32 3   3 5 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00 33.10 DH
WHELEN SPRINGS 3 6 5 5   7 720½ (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 123 1.80 19% 4.30 7.00  
 
CNL-7   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTPARTY 3 7 83 7   52 1¼ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00 72.80  
FONDRE 9 3 7 6   41 2¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
MOMENTOUS MISS 6 1 3.2 3   1½ 3¼ (payne beale)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 21% 3.70 4.90 S
CALL THE QUESTION 4 10 95 9   73 4½ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50 3.70  
LITA 5 8 5 5   2½ 5¾ (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 19% 4.20 4.20  
DELIZIOSA 8 2 4 42   31 6 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 123 20.00 38.90  
BABY BLOCKS 1 6 6 8   6 7 (kelly blake)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 5.80  
MOONSHINING 7 9 105 10   9 8 (rodrigue)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 47.90  
11  LUSTY 10 5 1nk 1   8 9 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.00 36% 1.80 3.50  
LEGEND OF LIGHT 2 4 2nk 2   10 10 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 27.00  
SCR  DON DIVA               (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOAT'S A ROCKIN 7 1 1 12   1 1 (kulp l)ROSADO JOHAN 122 1.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
B DETERMINED 3 7 56 5   34 2 (stettinius su)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 30.80  
LUCCI 2 5 2 22   2 3 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 21% 3.70 3.50 S
BOSS IS A PAL 5 2 45 34   44 4 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
WHERE'S RAY 4 6 6 66   68 57 (salzman timot)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.50 5.60  
BORRACHO 1 4 3 44   57 68 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 5.50  
SAN COSTANTINO 6 3 77 78   7 7 (bowersock m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00 24.10  
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (bowersock maria)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL I WANT IS YOU 6 7 6 6   4 1¾ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 2.70  
SOL HOPE 5 5 5 55   2nk 2¾ (lightner mary)CURTIS BEN 123 3.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
12  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 10 2 31 31   1nk 3 (joseph a)JARAMILLO E 123 10.00 29% 2.40 3.70 S
CHICKAHOMINY 4 6 7 7   6 4 (godsey kare)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 9.00 15.90  
10  VISBY 8 10 10 910¾   7 5 (nixon justin)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 12.00 8.90  
11  LADY ZETA 9 1 42 43   5 6 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SWEET GRACIE 7 9 9 8   9 7 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00 78.80  
DETERMINED JESTER 2 3 2nk 1nk   3½ 8 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5.00  
MOANAS POWER 1 4 1nk 2nk   8 910 (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 125 10.00 15.60  
YOU'RE THE ONE 3 8 8 1011¾   1010¾ 1011½ (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 123 30.00 25.10  
SCR  ALLA BREVE               (matz michael )KARAMANOS A 125 3.50    
SCR  CAVALIER CUPID               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
 
CNL-10   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THURSDAY GIRL 2 4 42 5   2nk 1 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 6.00 3.90  
PROMISE ME GOLD 7 8 7 7   4 2 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.40 P
GRANUAILE 6 6 6 6   32 33 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 2.00 23% 3.30 2.30 S
11  LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS 9 7 8 8   7 4 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.10  
THY NAME IS WOMAN 5 5 5 4   5 5 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 4.00 12% 7.10 3.60  
PULL NO PUNCHES 1 9 910¾ 910½   8 6 (hemingway m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
MY SOFIA ROSE 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 7 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00 26.60  
10  FLORINE 8 2 3½ 3.2   6 8 (hester leann)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00 57.20  
BONNIE BLUE 4 3 2½ 2nk   9 914 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 33.60  
SCR  MEGEEZER               (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY               (pattershall ma)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
SCR  THUNDAR CLOUD               (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
 
CNL-11   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CAPTAINS 3 11 10 95   7 1¼ (smith ham)CARRASCO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 31.10 W
OCONEE LIFE 7 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 6% 16.40 2.20 P
10  WE GOT THIS 10 10 8 7   4 3½ (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 8.00 22.10  
MR. LEFTY 5 5 5 4   5 4 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00 8.30  
AWESOME FANTASY 2 7 6 6   6 5 (bowersock )SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 7.80 DH
LEGEND'S THUNDER 4 1 42 5   3 5 (nuesch)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00 56.10 DH
12  YAHMO 12 2 3½ 2nk   2nk 7 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 62% 0.60 1.30  
BABY OSCAR 1 8 1110¼ 107   9 8 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 111 10.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
HERCULES N LOVE 9 4 2½ 31   8 97 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00 87.40  
DOUBLE AUGHT BUCK 6 6 7 8   1010½ 10 (williams gary )ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 50.30  
DIALED IN A PANIC 8 9 9 11   1111 1115¾ (aguirre antho)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 88.50  
11  CHEATIN SONG 11 12 1211¾ 1211½   1220 1226½ (libertini jas)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 17.10  
SCR  OLUDENIZ               (martinez jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER               (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 20.00    
 
CNL-12   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LA BEFANA 9 6 3 33   2 1¼ (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 10% 9.20 1.30 W
DONATE LIFE 2 2 22 21   1 2¼ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 3.50 60% 0.70 1.60 P
LADYS CHANT 1 3 5 4   3 3 (bowersock m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 9.50 S
LUNA AMARILLA 5 5 6 5   4 4 (marrero nesto)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
IRISH ANGEL 7 4 4 65   5 5 (milosevic )SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 10.00  
PASSIONFORQUALITY 4 7 7 77   713½ 6 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 41.60  
CLASSY DISPOSITION 6 9 87 8   815 79 (azpurua )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 2.50 7% 12.90 7.40  
FINAL NOTE 3 1 12 11   6 8 (marrero nesto)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00 55.50  
LAZY ACES 8 8 910½ 910½   915 912¼ (libertini jas)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 43.20  
SCR  GREYGRAZIE               (huffman kenn)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  JURASSIC CHICK               (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHARMIN               (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  STYLE AND PROFILE               (allen a )GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.