Handicappers' Race Results

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Colonial Downs
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CNL-1   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.40  
CNL-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
CNL-3   Win (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
CNL-4   Win (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
CNL-5   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 3.80
CNL-6   Win (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $4.40  
CNL-7   Win (11/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $147.60  
CNL-8   Win (8/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
CNL-9   Win (6/12/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.40  
CNL-10   Win (11/6/5/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $9.80  
CNL-11   Win (12/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $64.20 $64.20 56.20
CNL-12   Win (2/11/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT-11:45
See original race card.
4:024         4:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALIO (IRE) 1 315 212 2 1nk 18 114 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 148 3.50 1.70  
PAVONI 2 416½ 414½ 45 4 28 214 (fisher john )O' CONOR 148 1.50 33% 2.00 4.20 P
ANZIO 3 115 112 1 33 318 328¾ (webb sandra)DALTON BERNARD 148 12.00 15.20  
DARK POOL 6 215 312½ 3 2nk 420 436 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 141 2.50 24% 3.20 3.10  
HUMAAM 5 517½ 514½ 55 5 555 595 (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 154 10.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
L'AVVOCATO (FR) 4 620 616½ 66 6100 6100 6100 (neilson kathy)GALLIGAN GERARD 154 4.50 3.80  
 
CNL-2   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
4:002         4:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY DAN 1 3 4 4 26 2 1 (fisher r)WATTERS GRAHAM 156 1.20 45% 1.20 2.00 W
TWO PAST EIGHT (GB) 3 4 3 2 16 1 2 (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 154 4.00 5% 19.00 1.30 P
MINELLA PLUS (IRE) 5 1 17 1 312 424½ 328 (garner thoma)O' CONOR 144 3.00 16.10  
BELLARMINE HALL 4 5 511½ 56 417 324½ 429 (bourke liam)DALTON BERNARD 154 10.00 19.70  
EXUMA (IRE) 2 2 27 3 5100 5100 5100 (beecher mark)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 155 4.50 30% 2.40 1.80  
SCR  LYDFORD (GB)               (garner thoma)KORRELL VIRGINIA 153 12.00    
 
CNL-3   08/12/2024 11880ft TURF RC11 FIRM Randolph Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
4:003         4:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCULPATE 6 19 16 1 15 17 115½ (kingsley arch)HENDRIKS PARKER 149 6.00 20% 4.10 3.60 W
CAINUDOTHETWIST 7 512½ 5 45 3 37 215½ (kingsley archi)WATTERS GRAHAM 153 10.00 7.60  
HAINT BLUE (FR) 1 310½ 3 2 25 27 316¼ (dalton kate)DALTON BERNARD 151 3.00 30% 2.40 2.30 S
MOLLY FANTASY (GER) 4 615 610½ 611 615½ 520 429 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 145 4.50 24% 3.10 2.30  
LOVE SAGA 5 717 712½ 713½ 512 413 530¾ (mcdermott sean)MCDERMOTT SEAN 149 15.00 5% 19.00 32.20  
AFRAID NOT 2 29 26 3 4 634 658½ (gomens julie)GALLIGAN GERARD 145 4.00 11.30  
GETBACKSHADRACK (IRE) 3 411½ 4 510 722½ 748 758¾ (young leslie)O' CONOR 143 8.00 4.60  
SCR  MY FOREVER ANNIE (IRE)               (young f)BARGARY JAMIE 155 3.50    
 
CNL-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACKETT 7 5 5 36   33 1 (mccutchen jas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.50 27% 2.70 2.10 W
FREDDY BOY 5 3 1nk 2nk   1 2 (gutierrez )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 4.00 1.90  
GREY SHADOW 2 1 2nk 1nk   2 3 (rodriguez angel)KARAMANOS A 119 1.80 5.40  
LUCKY DAY 3 4 3 4   410 413 (cooney s)JARAMILLO E 119 8.00 13.10  
IMPROBABLE ME 4 6 69 612¼   516 518½ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 6.00 19% 4.20 4.60  
LISTENING 1 2 45 5   617½ 625½ (chapman k)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
CAJUN SWAGGER 6 7 710 713¾   719 727 (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 10.00 27% 2.70 7.20  
 
CNL-5   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:09     1:214   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDAZZO 3 5 4 4   3 1½ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
JOLLY BY GOLLY 2 4 21 2½   21 2½ (smith hamil)CARRASCO R 121 1.80 1.10  
NORTHERN CHILL 4 1 11 1½   11 31 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 27% 2.80 4.50 S
PATIENT CAPITAL 5 3 5 53   4 43 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 31% 2.30 2.70  
OMNI KING 1 2 3 3   5 512 (kelly blake)JARAMILLO E 121 3.50 7.90  
SCR  CATALINA ROYALTY               (nunn dougl)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
SCR  VIGORISH               (simms jr)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:073     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFASA (CHI) 6 3 2½ 2½   12 1 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 123 4.00 1.20  
REPO ROCKS 5 2 1½ 1½   22 2 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 28% 2.50 2.70 P
MURRAY 1 7 7 66   46 3 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00 13% 7.00 4.50 S
LUGAN KNIGHT 2 5 43 44   5 4 (mccarthy michael)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 10.40  
BLUE KENTUCKY 4 4 6 76   6 5 (sims matthew )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 8% 11.00 11.00 DH
FREE SOUL 7 1 32 3   3 5 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 123 15.00 33.10 DH
WHELEN SPRINGS 3 6 5 5   7 720½ (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 123 1.80 19% 4.30 7.00  
 
CNL-7   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTPARTY 3 7 83 7   52 1¼ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00 72.80  
FONDRE 9 3 7 6   41 2¼ (delacour ar)CARRASCO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
MOMENTOUS MISS 6 1 3.2 3   1½ 3¼ (payne beale)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 21% 3.70 4.90 S
CALL THE QUESTION 4 10 95 9   73 4½ (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 118 3.50 3.70  
LITA 5 8 5 5   2½ 5¾ (klesaris steve)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.50 19% 4.20 4.20  
DELIZIOSA 8 2 4 42   31 6 (ochoa gerard)SANCHEZ J 123 20.00 38.90  
BABY BLOCKS 1 6 6 8   6 7 (kelly blake)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.00 5.80  
MOONSHINING 7 9 105 10   9 8 (rodriguez )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 47.90  
11  LUSTY 10 5 1nk 1   8 9 (russell britt)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.00 36% 1.80 3.50  
LEGEND OF LIGHT 2 4 2nk 2   10 10 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 15.00 27.00  
SCR  DON DIVA               (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 123 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOAT'S A ROCKIN 7 1 1 12   1 1 (kulp l)ROSADO JOHAN 122 1.80 42% 1.40 0.70 W
B DETERMINED 3 7 56 5   34 2 (stettinius suza)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00 30.80  
LUCCI 2 5 2 22   2 3 (sanchez-salomon ro)RUIZ JORGE 122 5.00 21% 3.70 3.50 S
BOSS IS A PAL 5 2 45 34   44 4 (stettinius suzan)BOYCE FOREST 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
WHERE'S RAY 4 6 6 66   68 57 (salzman timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.50 5.60  
BORRACHO 1 4 3 44   57 68 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 124 2.50 5.50  
SAN COSTANTINO 6 3 77 78   7 7 (bowersock mar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 30.00 24.10  
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (bowersock maria)BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:223 :453 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL I WANT IS YOU 6 7 6 6   4 1¾ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 123 10.00 2.70  
SOL HOPE 5 5 5 55   2nk 2¾ (lightner mary)CURTIS BEN 123 3.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
12  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 10 2 31 31   1nk 3 (joseph a)JARAMILLO E 123 10.00 29% 2.40 3.70 S
CHICKAHOMINY 4 6 7 7   6 4 (godsey karen )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 10% 9.00 15.90  
10  VISBY 8 10 10 910¾   7 5 (nixon justin)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 12.00 8.90  
11  LADY ZETA 9 1 42 43   5 6 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SWEET GRACIE 7 9 9 8   9 7 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00 78.80  
DETERMINED JESTER 2 3 2nk 1nk   3½ 8 (schoenthal phil)BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00 5.00  
MOANAS POWER 1 4 1nk 2nk   8 910 (munoz carlos)SILVERA RUBEN 125 10.00 15.60  
YOU'RE THE ONE 3 8 8 1011¾   1010¾ 1011½ (ashby lynn)ROCCO S 123 30.00 25.10  
SCR  ALLA BREVE               (matz r)KARAMANOS A 125 3.50    
SCR  CAVALIER CUPID               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
 
CNL-10   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THURSDAY GIRL 2 4 42 5   2nk 1 (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 118 6.00 3.90  
PROMISE ME GOLD 7 8 7 7   4 2 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.40 P
GRANUAILE 6 6 6 6   32 33 (meyers f)CURTIS BEN 118 2.00 23% 3.30 2.30 S
11  LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS 9 7 8 8   7 4 (crook-demasi)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 2.10  
THY NAME IS WOMAN 5 5 5 4   5 5 (trombetta micha)KARAMANOS A 118 4.00 12% 7.10 3.60  
PULL NO PUNCHES 1 9 910¾ 910½   8 6 (hemingway mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
MY SOFIA ROSE 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 7 (mcclure diana)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00 26.60  
10  FLORINE 8 2 3½ 3.2   6 8 (hester leanne)CASIQUE UBARDO 124 30.00 57.20  
BONNIE BLUE 4 3 2½ 2nk   9 914 (cooney s)ASHTON GAVIN 118 15.00 33.60  
SCR  MEGEEZER               (huffman kenneth)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY               (pattershall mary)CONNER TYLER 124 20.00    
SCR  THUNDAR CLOUD               (brown kel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
 
CNL-11   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE CAPTAINS 3 11 10 95   7 1¼ (smith hamil)CARRASCO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 31.10 W
OCONEE LIFE 7 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 2.50 6% 16.40 2.20 P
10  WE GOT THIS 10 10 8 7   4 3½ (azpurua ed)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 8.00 22.10  
MR. LEFTY 5 5 5 4   5 4 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 118 6.00 8.30  
AWESOME FANTASY 2 7 6 6   6 5 (bowersock ma)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 7.80 DH
LEGEND'S THUNDER 4 1 42 5   3 5 (nuesch p)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00 56.10 DH
12  YAHMO 12 2 3½ 2nk   2nk 7 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 4.00 62% 0.60 1.30  
BABY OSCAR 1 8 1110¼ 107   9 8 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 111 10.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
HERCULES N LOVE 9 4 2½ 31   8 97 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 30.00 87.40  
DOUBLE AUGHT BUCK 6 6 7 8   1010½ 10 (williams l)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 50.30  
DIALED IN A PANIC 8 9 9 11   1111 1115¾ (aguirre anthony)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00 88.50  
11  CHEATIN SONG 11 12 1211¾ 1211½   1220 1226½ (libertini jason)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 17.10  
SCR  OLUDENIZ               (martinez joseph)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 20.00    
SCR  SWIFT DANCER               (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 20.00    
 
CNL-12   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LA BEFANA 9 6 3 33   2 1¼ (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 124 3.00 10% 9.20 1.30 W
DONATE LIFE 2 2 22 21   1 2¼ (schoenthal )CARRASCO R 119 3.50 60% 0.70 1.60 P
LADYS CHANT 1 3 5 4   3 3 (bowersock mar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 9.50 S
LUNA AMARILLA 5 5 6 5   4 4 (marrero nestor)FUENTES MARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
IRISH ANGEL 7 4 4 65   5 5 (milosevic mi)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 10.00  
PASSIONFORQUALITY 4 7 7 77   713½ 6 (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 41.60  
CLASSY DISPOSITION 6 9 87 8   815 79 (azpurua ed)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 2.50 7% 12.90 7.40  
FINAL NOTE 3 1 12 11   6 8 (marrero nestor)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00 55.50  
LAZY ACES 8 8 910½ 910½   915 912¼ (libertini jason)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 43.20  
SCR  GREYGRAZIE               (huffman kennet)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  JURASSIC CHICK               (rodriguez an)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 15.00    
SCR  SHARMIN               (mcmahon i)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
SCR  STYLE AND PROFILE               (allen fe)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.