Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   TRI (3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6)-(3/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-1 $14.75 $2.75 23%
KEE-6   EXA (6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-9 $25.81 $5.81 29%
    TRI (6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-9-2 $40.78 $10.78 36%
    SFT (6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9)-(6/4/2/1/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-9-2-1 $30.77 $18.77 156%
KEE-9   WIN (5/8/4/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $11.72 $1.72 17%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:12     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOSTONTONIAN 3 2 11½ 12½   12 1nk (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 0.80 44% 1.20 1.16 W
4  COUNTTHEBRAVE 4 1 32 34   22 2nk (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 14% 6.00 3.09 P
1  BLAKE JAMES 1 7 67 69½   45 33 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.44 S
5  GARDINER 5 5 21½ 22½   34½ 43½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 8.04  
2  STASHU 2 6 78½ 710   57½ 511¾ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 15.01  
7  DBOOK 7 3 42½ 56   79 614¼ (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 16.32  
6  PURSE THIEF 6 4 53½ 44   68½ 715¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 5% 19.00 13.16  
 
KEE-2   10/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:151 1:412   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONIAL ROSE 1 5 32 2½ 1nk 14½ 19¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.40 58% 0.70 0.58 W
8  CAT'S SYMPHONY 8 1 53 64½ 41¾ 24½ 29¼ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 11.43  
2  ELODINE 2 2 11½ 1½ 2nk 34½ 39¼ (lopez elia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 35.34  
11  POLITICAL SPIN 11 8 84½ 98½ 76¼ 56¾ 410 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 11.10 5.12  
4  PLAY MAKER 4 6 42½ 42½ 52¾ 66¾ 511 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 22.54  
7  OUR PRAYER 7 3 95½ 88 86¼ 78¼ 611¼ (radosevic)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00 19.68  
3  SO FAR SO GOOD 3 4 21½ 31 31½ 46½ 712¼ (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00 19.31  
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 6 9 64 77 96¾ 88¾ 813½ (cambray andres)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00 ######  
9  TIZ SALTY 9 10 117 1113 1113¼ 914¼ 915 (thompson micha)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 21.55  
10  REAL QUEEN 10 11 106 1012 1011¾ 1014½ 1016 (cristel m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 ######  
5  VIBE CHECK 5 7 74 54 64¾ 1120½ 1135¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 6% 15.20 10.68  
 
KEE-3   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:113     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WAILUA 2 7 76½ 53½   22 11 (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 43% 1.30 0.47 W
5  LIL GIN N CLASS 4 2 31½ 2nk   12 21 (eggleston tim)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 36% 1.80 2.44 P
2  BIRDIE ROSE 1 3 2½ 31½   33 36¼ (salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 47.13  
4  RIBBONSINHERHAIR 3 4 65½ 75½   65 48 (robertson mcle)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 5% 19.00 34.48  
8  MISS PEABODY 6 1 1½ 1nk   43 59¾ (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 9.27  
9  IDALOU 7 6 55½ 42   54 610¼ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 22.90  
6  CANDY CRAZE 5 5 45 65   78 715¼ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 29.54  
SCR  HIGH FASHION KATE               (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
SCR  OPPOSITE THE CROWD               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
 
KEE-4   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :491 1:14 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NANDA DEA (ARG) 7 5 54½ 53½ 53½ 2½ 12¼ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 17.70 3.02 W
1  QUALITY STAR 1 9 88 86 76½ 41½ 22¼ (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.50  
11  JOIN THE DANCE 10 4 12 11 1½ 1½ 33 (stewart d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 13.39  
10  SELENAIA (IRE) 9 10 98½ 96½ 98 85½ 44¼ (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 5% 19.00 10.81  
5  INSENSITIVE 5 6 66 64½ 65 75 54¼ (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 32.09  
3  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 3 1 43½ 42½ 42 52½ 65¾ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 57% 0.70 1.17  
4  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 4 2 22 21 2½ 31½ 76½ (molloy thoma)TORRES A 122 50.00 57.88  
2  LUCKY SPEECH 2 3 32 32 32 63 87 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.98  
8  VALENTINA DAY 8 7 77 75 87 98 98¼ (toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 68.42  
6  BOLIVIE (IRE) 6 8 109½ 107½ 109½ 108¼ 108½ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 10.57  
SCR  FOR FLYING (BRZ)               (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:29   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UNCLE JIM 3 9 84 63½   21 13 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.26 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NOW NOW by DARBY CREEK LANCE)
5  COPP 5 8 53¼ 42   31½ 23 (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.13 P
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
2  SUCCESSFUL UNION 2 11 117 96¾   53½ 33¼ (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00 8.14  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SWEET SUCCESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  SPEECHLESS 8 4 94½ 106¾   63½ 44 (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 10% 9.40 9.58  
  (by STREET SENSE out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MATH TUTOR 7 2 21½ 2½   11 55½ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 42.98  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
6  KING OF ASHES 6 7 73¾ 73¾   43 66 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 32.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CAUSEFORCOMMOTION by AMERICAIN)
10  ARTHUR JR 9 5 63¼ 84¼   74 78 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 17.59  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PARADE OF ROSES by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
4  MASTER CONTROLLER 4 3 31½ 31½   97½ 88 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 20.00 39.33  
  (by TAPITURE out of KEY IS TO WIN by DIXIE UNION)
11  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE 10 6 43 52   85 910 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 42% 1.40 5.20  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
1  HASTEN 1 10 107 117¾   1113 1022½ (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.91  
  (by LAOBAN out of ON MY TOES by MORE THAN READY)
12  CARCAR EXPRESS 11 1 11½ 1½   1011 1125½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 20.00 27.50  
  (by CARACARO out of FOXBEAU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  IRON SHARPENS IRON               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DANALAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
KEE-6   10/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:22 :46 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOUBLE CLUTCH 3 6 63¼ 73¼   41¼ 1¼ (arnold george )ORTIZ L 121 3.50 15% 5.70 1.65 W
9  GILDED RULER 7 3 51¾ 51¾   2nk 2¼ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 23.48 P
2  B D VALESKI 2 7 41½ 41¾   3.2 33 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 7% 13.70 4.58 S
1  PORTOFINO 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 43¼ (orseno jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.77  
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET 8 5 31½ 3.2   51¾ 56 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 13.43  
8  CRUZIN MAN 6 2 2½ 2nk   77¾ 621½ (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 10.43  
6  LINZER 5 8 83½ 62¾   67¾ 724¾ (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.00 44% 1.30 3.36  
5  WILD WEST JUSTICE 4 4 73¼ 83½   813¾ 836¾ (caramori )LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 27.55  
SCR  FINSTER               (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:382   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEIGNOIR 2 4 11½ 1½ 11 12 13 (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.01 W
1  CHILLED 1 2 54½ 53½ 44 22 23 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 26% 2.90 2.17 P
5  LET'S DUET 5 8 911¼ 99½ 910 59½ 39¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 7% 12.60 14.57 S
8  FORESEEN 7 1 21½ 31½ 33 36 49¾ (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 10.86  
9  UNION MIST 8 7 88¼ 86½ 54½ 48 512¾ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 33% 2.00 2.93  
3  CRUSHED ICE 3 5 42½ 2½ 21 612½ 622¾ (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.74  
4  PRETTY PROVOCATIVE 4 9 78 76 89½ 715½ 723¾ (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 24.98  
10  MIDSUMMER MARCH 9 6 32½ 43 65 816 827½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 36.03  
7  ARIJANA'S PEARL 6 3 66 66 78½ 917 929½ (robertson)TORRES A 118 20.00 35.21  
SCR  GIDGET ROSE LEE               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) 11 2 11 21½ 2½ 13½ 1½ (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 5.91  
4  SAFFRON MOON 4 8 95¾ 108 104¾ 44 2½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.10 1.21 P
5  BLISSFUL 5 4 64½ 76½ 73¼ 55 32¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 17.97  
7  ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) 7 10 129¼ 1212½ 126¾ 87½ 43¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 16.61  
12  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 12 6 53 54 31½ 23½ 53¼ (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 40% 1.50 3.58  
2  HEAVENLY APPOINTED 2 9 43 44 52 33½ 63¾ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 17.87  
8  WATCH THIS BIRDIE 8 12 107¾ 97½ 94¼ 66 73¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 8% 11.30 17.41  
9  BALI BELLE 9 11 117¾ 1110½ 115¼ 77 86 (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 ######  
6  SAMAY (PER) 6 5 74¾ 66 63 108¾ 911¼ (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00 39.39  
3  MOHAWK TRAIL 3 3 31½ 33½ 42 119¼ 1012¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 10% 8.60 11.51  
10  TOWHEAD 10 7 85¼ 87 83¼ 1210¼ 1113¾ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00 76.82  
1  TEQUILERA 1 1 21 11½ 1½ 98½ 1214¾ (matz mich)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 5% 19.00 28.52  
 
KEE-9   10/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:114 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEDARD 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12½ 12¼ (attard kevin)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 13% 6.80 4.86 W
  (by NYQUIST out of REASON by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  TENNESSEE LAMB 3 2 32½ 32 32 32½ 22¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 2.52  
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
12  BOURBON SOCIETY 12 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 22½ 32¾ (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00 12% 7.10 4.02 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
8  RAFAROO 8 6 55½ 55 42 43½ 46½ (ladauceur ha)TORRES A 120 8.00 17% 4.80 7.32  
  (by HARD SPUN out of LIGHT GREEN by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  DUKE OF DUVAL 5 5 43 42 52½ 57½ 58½ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.10 3.88  
  (by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
11  HANGIN IN THERE 11 9 912½ 1015 910¼ 69½ 610 (orseno jos)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 46.24  
  (by BERNARDINI out of PRETTY EXTRAVAGANT by WITH DISTINCTION)
7  GREER'S GOLD 7 10 1014 914½ 1010¼ 79¾ 711 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 17.27  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GREER LYNN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  TIS CHARMING 1 4 66 77 87¼ 910¾ 814 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 69.70  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DERBY EVE by TIZNOW)
6  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 6 8 77½ 66 65 89¾ 914¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 21.48  
  (by UNION RAGS out of BIRDY NUM by TAPIT)
2  NEON BORDEAUX 2 11 1217½ 1219 1218¼ 1116¾ 1016 (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 25.53  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STELLARIS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10  CAN'T STOP WILLIS 10 12 1114½ 1116 1117¼ 1217 1118¼ (milligan )TORRES A 120 20.00 48.68  
  (by NYQUIST out of INDELIBLE by TIZNOW)
9  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) 9 7 88 88½ 77 1012¼ 1218¼ (cook brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 8% 11.20 48.08  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
SCR  CALLER               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.