Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (1/11/5/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (3/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (3/7/10/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (11/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (6/4/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (9/1/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (12/4/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (5/8/4/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE JAMES Sep20 Jul27       (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
STASHU Sep11 Aug24 Jul22     (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
BOSTONTONIAN Sep23 Jun22       (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 0.80 44% 1.20    
COUNTTHEBRAVE Sep25         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 5.00 14% 6.00    
GARDINER Sep12 Aug11       (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
PURSE THIEF Aug29 Jul22 Jun19 May26   (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DBOOK Jul14 Jun14       (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
 
KEE-2   10/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONIAL ROSE Sep04 Nov24 Oct11 Aug26 Jul23 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.40 58% 0.70    
ELODINE Sep19 Aug25 Jul25 Jun30 Jun12 (lopez elias)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
SO FAR SO GOOD Sep13 Aug08 Jul05 Jun12   (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 12.00    
PLAY MAKER Sep13 Jul28 Jul04 Jun02   (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIBE CHECK Sep27 Aug25 Jul27 Jun16 May19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 6% 15.20    
AMERICAN SPLENDOR Sep13 Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun16 (cambray andres)ROMAN A 120 30.00    
OUR PRAYER Sep13 Apr19 Mar29 Feb10   (radosevich )HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
CAT'S SYMPHONY Sep06 Aug17 Jul11 Jun04 May04 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00    
TIZ SALTY Sep19 Aug26 Jul27 Jun26   (thompson michael)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  REAL QUEEN Sep21 Sep06 Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 (cristel mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
11  POLITICAL SPIN Sep13 Aug18 Jul13     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 8% 11.10    
 
KEE-3   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FASHION KATE Sep20 Aug19 Jul29 Jul06 Jun08 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 4.50    
BIRDIE ROSE Sep29 Sep08 Jul31 Jul22 Jun27 (salas marcelino)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00    
WAILUA Sep25 Jul19 Jun08 Feb08   (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.20 43% 1.30    
RIBBONSINHERHAIR Oct02 Sep12 Jun16 Apr19 Jan12 (robertson mclean)ORTIZ L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
LIL GIN N CLASS Sep25 Jul31 Jul06 Jun12 May01 (eggleston tim)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
CANDY CRAZE Sep20 Aug17 Jul21 Jun05 May24 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May25 Apr28 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 8.00    
MISS PEABODY Sep19 Jul22 Jun15 Sep13 Aug05 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00    
IDALOU Sep18 Aug17 Jun21 Jun02 Feb25 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
 
KEE-4   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY STAR Aug26 Jun20 May19 Apr20 Dec07 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
LUCKY SPEECH Aug29 Jul27 Jun15 May17 Apr05 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Sep11 May19 Apr07 Aug19 Jun22 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
LUCY'S CAKES FLY Dec15 Nov11 Oct15 Aug31 Aug19 (molloy thomas)TORRES A 122 50.00    
INSENSITIVE Aug05 Mar07 Feb11 Dec29 Oct28 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOLIVIE (IRE) Sep05 Aug04 Jul06 May29 Nov01 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
NANDA DEA         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 17.70    
VALENTINA DAY Sep11 Jul22 Jun13 Apr21 Mar08 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  FOR FLYING (BRZ) Sep14 Aug17 Jun27     (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
10  SELENAIA (IRE) May18 Apr04 Sep03 Aug04 Jun10 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
11  JOIN THE DANCE Sep11 Jul06 Jun13 May03 Mar23 (stewart dal)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
 
KEE-5   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HASTEN Sep21 Aug17       (simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUCCESSFUL UNION Sep18         (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 15.00    
UNCLE JIM         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
MASTER CONTROLLER Sep01         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 20.00    
COPP Sep12         (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KING OF ASHES         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  IRON SHARPENS IRON         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
MATH TUTOR Sep14 Aug03       (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
SPEECHLESS Sep21 Aug24       (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 10% 9.40    
10  ARTHUR JR         (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
11  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Sep19 Aug24       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
12  CARCAR EXPRESS Sep12         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 20.00    
 
KEE-6   10/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTOFINO Sep07 Jul07 May24 Mar28 Jan28 (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
B D VALESKI Sep11 Aug11 Jun22 May25 Apr05 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR Oct02 Sep11 Aug23 Jul15 Jul03 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Sep11 Aug03 Jun30 May31 Apr21 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
WILD WEST JUSTICE Aug29 Jul19 Jul03 May11 Aug05 (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
LINZER Aug31 Jul14 Jun16 Apr16 Mar06 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
FINSTER Sep18 Aug05 Aug08     (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
CRUZIN MAN Sep07 Aug11 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
GILDED RULER Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Jul15 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET Aug11 Jul14 Jun13 May01 Mar23 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLED Sep05 Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 May03 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
PEIGNOIR Sep20 Aug05 Jul05 Nov10 Oct15 (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
CRUSHED ICE Aug31 Jul28 Jul11 Jun20 May17 (quartarolo an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRETTY PROVOCATIVE Sep27 Aug22 Jun08 Nov12 Sep10 (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
LET'S DUET Sep27 Jun26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  GIDGET ROSE LEE Sep24 Sep03 Jul04 Jun06   (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
ARIJANA'S PEARL Oct03 Aug31 Aug07 Jul18 Mar23 (robertson m)TORRES A 118 20.00    
FORESEEN Aug10 Jun15 Apr27 Apr17 Feb18 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
UNION MIST Sep14 Jun28 Jun01 May03 Mar23 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  MIDSUMMER MARCH Sep20 Sep05 Apr25 Mar23 Feb24 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILERA Aug29 Jul06 Jun08 May18 Dec30 (matz michae)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY APPOINTED Sep11 May25 Apr21 Feb25 Jan21 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
MOHAWK TRAIL Mar24 Mar02 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SAFFRON MOON Nov23 Oct07 Aug17 Dec24 Apr27 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
BLISSFUL Aug14 Jul13 May18 Apr21 Mar21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SAMAY (PER) Sep08 Aug07 Jul31 Jul21 Jul17 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 May26 Dec26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
WATCH THIS BIRDIE Sep11 Aug14 Apr21 Mar23 Feb17 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
BALI BELLE Jul06 May12 Feb24 Jan13 Dec09 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
10  TOWHEAD Sep18 Jul28 Jun20 May10 Apr14 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00    
11  AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) Aug31         (walden william)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
12  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Sep05 Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 Oct27 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
KEE-9   10/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIS CHARMING Sep12 Feb18 Oct22 Oct01   (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
NEON BORDEAUX         (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
TENNESSEE LAMB Sep29 Aug25 Jun30 Oct14 Sep13 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
BEDARD Sep10 Jul19 Jun23 Oct08 Aug20 (attard kevin)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
DUKE OF DUVAL Sep15 Aug24 Jul07 Mar15   (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
KNOW WHO YOU ARE Aug24 Oct07 Aug27     (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
GREER'S GOLD Sep08 Aug24       (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
RAFAROO Aug23 Jul20 Jun15     (ladauceur haro)TORRES A 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Nov30 Nov09       (cook brian)MOJICA O 120 30.00 8% 11.20    
10  CAN'T STOP WILLIS Sep15 Aug24       (milligan ed)TORRES A 120 20.00    
11  HANGIN IN THERE Sep20 Aug10 Jun22 Apr27 Mar30 (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
12  BOURBON SOCIETY Sep15 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Apr06 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  CALLER Aug29 Sep04 Aug07     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.